Similarity in food cleaning techniques within matrilines in wild vervet monkeys.

Social learning and the formation of traditions rely on the ability and willingness to copy one another. A central question is under which conditions individuals adapt behaviour to social influences. Here, we demonstrate that similarities in food processing techniques emerge on the level of matrilines (mother-offspring) but not on the group level in an experiment on six groups of wild vervet monkeys that involved grapes covered with sand. Monkeys regularly ate unclean grapes but also used four cleaning techniques more similarly within matrilines: rubbing in hands, rubbing on substrate, open with mouth, and open with hands. Individual cleaning techniques evolved over time as they converged within matrilines, stabilised at the end and remained stable in a follow-up session more than one year later. The similarity within matrilines persisted when we analyzed only foraging events of individuals in the absence of other matriline members and matriline members used more similar methods than adult full sisters. Thus, momentary conversion or purely genetic causation are unlikely explanations, favouring social learning as mechanism for within matriline similarities. The restriction of traditions to matriline membership rather than to the group level may restrict the development of culture in monkeys relative to apes or humans.

Tapaturman tutkintamenetelmän kehittäminen eräässä metsäteollisuusyrityksessä

Tutkimuksessa on käsitelty keskeisempiä tapaturmateorioita ja niiden pohjalta keskeisimpiä tapaturman tutkintamenetelmiä. Tutkimuksen tavoitteena on luoda yhtenäinen tapaturman tutkintamalliStora Enson Anjalankosken tehtaille huomioon ottaen paikan työsuojelulliset erityispiirteet. Tapaturmatutkijoilla on erilaiset käsitykset tapaturman syistä, ja niiden pohjalta on syntynyt tapaturmateorioita. Nämä teoriat puolestaan muokkaavat lähestymistapaa tapaturman tutkintaan. Tutkintamenetelmästä riippumatta jokainen tapaturman tutkintamenetelmä pyrkii tutkimaan, mitä tapahtui ja miten vastaavanlaiset tapaturmat voidaan estää. Tutkimustuloksena esitetyssä menetelmässä on käytetty pohjana olemassaolevia tapaturmateorioita ja -tutkintamenetelmiä sekä käytännön esimerkkejä. Anjalankosken tehtaiden tutkintamenetelmä koostuu neljästä osasta: ensi-ilmoitus, lähtötietojen kerääminen, analysointi sekä raportointi ja korjaavat toimenpiteet.

Problems of allometric scaling analysis: examples from mammalian reproductive biology.

Biological scaling analyses employing the widely used bivariate allometric model are beset by at least four interacting problems: (1) choice of an appropriate best-fit line with due attention to the influence of outliers; (2) objective recognition of divergent subsets in the data (allometric grades); (3) potential restrictions on statistical independence resulting from phylogenetic inertia; and (4) the need for extreme caution in inferring causation from correlation. A new non-parametric line-fitting technique has been developed that eliminates requirements for normality of distribution, greatly reduces the influence of outliers and permits objective recognition of grade shifts in substantial datasets. This technique is applied in scaling analyses of mammalian gestation periods and of neonatal body mass in primates. These analyses feed into a re-examination, conducted with partial correlation analysis, of the maternal energy hypothesis relating to mammalian brain evolution, which suggests links between body size and brain size in neonates and adults, gestation period and basal metabolic rate. Much has been made of the potential problem of phylogenetic inertia as a confounding factor in scaling analyses. However, this problem may be less severe than suspected earlier because nested analyses of variance conducted on residual variation (rather than on raw values) reveals that there is considerable variance at low taxonomic levels. In fact, limited divergence in body size between closely related species is one of the prime examples of phylogenetic inertia. One common approach to eliminating perceived problems of phylogenetic inertia in allometric analyses has been calculation of 'independent contrast values'. It is demonstrated that the reasoning behind this approach is flawed in several ways. Calculation of contrast values for closely related species of similar body size is, in fact, highly questionable, particularly when there are major deviations from the best-fit line for the scaling relationship under scrutiny.

Role of vitamin D deficiency in extraskeletal complications : predictor of health outcome or marker of health status?

The relationship of vitamin D with extraskeletal complications, such as cardiovascular disease, cancer, and autoimmune disease, is of major interest considering its roles in key biological processes and the worldwide high prevalence of vitamin D deficiency. However, the causal relationships between vitamin D and most extraskeletal complications are weak. Currently, a heated debate over vitamin D is being conducted according to two hypotheses. In this review, we first present the different arguments that suggest a major role of vitamin D in a very broad type of extraskeletal complications (hypothesis #1). We then present results from recent meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials indicating a lack of association of vitamin D with major extraskeletal complications (hypothesis #2). We discuss different issues (e.g., causality, confounding, reverse causation, misclassification, and Mendelian randomization) that contribute to the favoring of one hypothesis over the other. While ultimately only one hypothesis is correct, we anticipate that the results from the ongoing randomized controlled trials will be unlikely to reconcile the divided experts.

Population Size and Civil Conflict Risk: Is There A Causal Link?

[spa] La estimación del impacto del tamaño de la populación sobre la probabilidad de conflicto civil se complica por el sesgo de endogeneidad y las variables omitidas. Este artículo trata el problema de causalidad utilizando métodos de variables instrumentales en un panel de 37 países del África Sub-sahariana en el período 1981-2004. Encontramos que un aumento de la población en un 1% aumenta la probabilidad de conflicto civil por un 5.2%.

Timing History: The Introduction of Graphical Analysis in 19th Century British Economics

The introduction of time-series graphs into British economics in the 19th century depended on the « timing » of history. This involved reconceptualizing history into events which were both comparable and measurable and standardized by time unit. Yet classical economists in Britain in the early 19th century viewed history as a set of heterogenous and complex events and statistical tables as giving unrelated facts. Both these attitudes had to be broken down before time-series graphs could be brought into use for revealing regularities in economic events by the century's end.

Assessing functional relations in single-case designs: Quantitative proposals in the context of the evidence-based movement

In the context of the evidence-based practices movement, the emphasis on computing effect sizes and combining them via meta-analysis does not preclude the demonstration of functional relations. For the latter aim, we propose to augment the visual analysis to add consistency to the decisions made on the existence of a functional relation without losing sight of the need for a methodological evaluation of what stimuli and reinforcement or punishment are used to control the behavior. Four options for quantification are reviewed, illustrated, and tested with simulated data. These quantifications include comparing the projected baseline with the actual treatment measurements, on the basis of either parametric or nonparametric statistics. The simulated data used to test the quantifications include nine data patterns in terms of the presence and type of effect and comprising ABAB and multiple baseline designs. Although none of the techniques is completely flawless in terms of detecting a functional relation only when it is present but not when it is absent, an option based on projecting split-middle trend and considering data variability as in exploratory data analysis proves to be the best performer for most data patterns. We suggest that the information on whether a functional relation has been demonstrated should be included in meta-analyses. It is also possible to use as a weight the inverse of the data variability measure used in the quantification for assessing the functional relation. We offer an easy to use code for open-source software for implementing some of the quantifications.

Hume, liberty and the object of moral evaluation

Hume's project concerning the conflict between liberty and necessity is ";reconciliatory";. But what is the nature of Hume's project? Does he solve a problem in metaphysics only? And when Hume says that the dispute between the doctrines of liberty and necessity is merely verbal, does he mean that there is no genuine metaphysical dispute between the doctrines? In the present essay I argue for: (1) there is room for liberty in Hume's philosophy, and not only because the position is pro forma compatibilist, even though this has importance for the recognition that Hume's main concern when discussing the matter is with practice; (2) the position does not involve a ";subjectivization"; of every form of necessity: it is not compatibilist because it creates a space for the claim that the operations of the will are non-problematically necessary through a weakning of the notion of necessity as it applies to external objects; (3) Hume holds that the ordinary phenomena of mental causation do not preempt the atribuition of moral responsibility, which combines perfectly with his identification of the object of moral evaluation: the whole of the character of a person, in relation to which there is, nonetheless, liberty. I intend to support my assertions by a close reading of what Hume states in section 8 of the first Enquiry.

The relation between the general maxim of causality and the principle of uniformity in hume's theory of knowledge

ABSTRACT When Hume, in the Treatise on Human Nature, began his examination of the relation of cause and effect, in particular, of the idea of necessary connection which is its essential constituent, he identified two preliminary questions that should guide his research: (1) For what reason we pronounce it necessary that every thing whose existence has a beginning should also have a cause and (2) Why we conclude that such particular causes must necessarily have such particular effects? (1.3.2, 14-15) Hume observes that our belief in these principles can result neither from an intuitive grasp of their truth nor from a reasoning that could establish them by demonstrative means. In particular, with respect to the first, Hume examines and rejects some arguments with which Locke, Hobbes and Clarke tried to demonstrate it, and suggests, by exclusion, that the belief that we place on it can only come from experience. Somewhat surprisingly, however, Hume does not proceed to show how that derivation of experience could be made, but proposes instead to move directly to an examination of the second principle, saying that, "perhaps, be found in the end, that the same answer will serve for both questions" (1.3.3, 9). Hume's answer to the second question is well known, but the first question is never answered in the rest of the Treatise, and it is even doubtful that it could be, which would explain why Hume has simply chosen to remove any mention of it when he recompiled his theses on causation in the Enquiry concerning Human Understanding. Given this situation, an interesting question that naturally arises is to investigate the relations of logical or conceptual implication between these two principles. Hume seems to have thought that an answer to (2) would also be sufficient to provide an answer to (1). Henry Allison, in his turn, argued (in Custom and Reason in Hume, p. 94-97) that the two questions are logically independent. My proposal here is to try to show that there is indeed a logical dependency between them, but the implication is, rather, from (1) to (2). If accepted, this result may be particularly interesting for an interpretation of the scope of the so-called "Kant's reply to Hume" in the Second Analogy of Experience, which is structured as a proof of the a priori character of (1), but whose implications for (2) remain controversial.

Konstruktiivisen mallin ja suunnittelumallin käyttö aikakauslehtialalla tapahtuvassa murroksessa

Aikakauslehtialalla on vallalla ollut jo useamman vuoden ajan median digitaalinen murros, jonka vuoksi lehtitalot ovat joutuneet muuttamaan käytössä olleita toimintatapojaan ja kehittämään uusiin jakelukanaviin sisältöä pysyäkseen kovassa kilpailussa mukana. Tässä pro gradussa esitetään innovatiivisen konstruktiivisen mallin ja perinteisemmän liiketoimintasuunnitelmaa korostavan suunnittelumallin yhtäläisyyksiä ja eroavuuksia. Tutkielman empiirisessä osassa vertaillaan mallien käytettävyyttä aikakauslehtialalla keskittymällä malleille ominaisiin neljään eri dimensioon ja dimensioista muodostettuihin teemoihin aikakauslehtialalle sovellettuina. Tutkielmassa esitellään mallien toimintalogiikoita sekä prosessikaaviot, jotka kuvaavat uuden idean kehitysprosessia yrityksessä. Tutkimusote on kvalitatiivinen ja haastatteluaineisto on toteutettu puolistrukturoidulla haastattelumenetelmällä. Tuloksien avulla voidaan todeta, että aikakauslehtialalla tapahtuva murros on jo muuttanut toimittajien arkipäiväistä työnkuvaa. Toimittajien oman ammattitaidon ja osaamisen jatkuva kehittäminen sekä uusiin jakelukanaviin tutustuminen ja sinne sisällön tuottaminen ovat haasteita, johon he joutuvat sopeutumaan jatkossa. Ammattitaidon ylläpitoa sekä oikeanlaisen asiakastutkimuksen hyödyntämistä voidaankin pitää malleja yhdistävinä tekijöinä. Malleja erottavia tekijöitä ovat vuorostaan innovatiivisten ideoiden läpivienti sekä riskinottokyky.

Sopimusriskit kansainvälisessä kaupassa

Tutkimuksen tavoitteena on tuoda esille yleisimmät riskit liittyen kansainvälisessä kaupassa tehtyihin sopimuksiin. Tutkimus pyrkii avaamaan kansainvälisen kaupan ominaispiirteitä, jonka avulla saavutetaan yleiskäsitys kansainvälisen kaupan 2 sisällöstä. Kansainvälisen kaupan lisäksi tutkimus perehtyy sopimuksiin, niiden laadintaan, hyväksikäyttöön sekä sopimusriskien syy- ja seuraussuhteeseen.

Effektuaatio ja kausaatio startup -yrityksen toiminnassa: Monitapaustutkimus startup -yrityksissä

Tässä pro gradu -tutkielmassa tarkastellaan onko startup -yritysten toiminta perinteisen kausaatioteorian mukaista vai noudattaako toiminta Sarasvathyn (2001) effektuaatioteoriaa? Tutkimusongelmaa lähestytään kahden kysymyksen kautta: (1) Miten effektuaatio- tai kausaatioteorian mukainen toiminta näkyy yritysten prosesseissa käytännössä? (2) Missä määrin startup -yritykset luovat itse liiketoiminta-mahdollisuutensa (creation) vai löydetäänkö liiketoimintamahdollisuudet (discovery), ja miten liiketoimintamahdollisuuden alkuperä näkyy päätöksenteossa? Tutkielma on kvalitatiivinen monitapaustutkimus, jossa tarkastellaan kolmea startup -yritystä. Tutkielman aineisto kerättiin kolmen teemahaastattelun avulla. Aineisto analyysissä käytettiin sisällönanalyysiä. Effektuaatioteoria (effectuation) on Saras D. Sarasvathyn (2001) kehittämä yrittäjämäisen liiketoimintamahdollisuuden tunnistamista ja uuden yrityksen päätöksentekoa kuvaava teoria. Effektuaatio on vaihtoehtoinen malli perinteiselle kausaatiomallille (causation), joka keskittyy syy-seuraussuhteisiin. Kausaatiomallissa yritysten päätöksenteko tukeutuu käytettävissä oleviin tietoihin, ennusteisiin ja laskelmiin. Effektuaatio kuvaa päätöksentekoa tilanteissa, joissa ei ole käytettävissä riittävästi tietoa ennusteiden ja laskelmien tekemiseksi. Startup -yritysten lyhyestä toimintahistoriasta johtuen, päätöksenteon tueksi ei yleensä ole käytettävissä ennusteisiin ja laskelmiin tarvittavia tietoja. Ongelma korostuu erityisesti sellaisten yritysten kohdalla, joiden toiminta suuntautuu uusille ja kehittyville markkinoille. Tutkielma tuki Sarasvathyn effektuaatioteoriaa. Haastateltujen yritysten toiminnassa oli havaittavissa effektuaatioteorian mukaisia toimintatapoja. Yritykset pyrkivät toiminnassaan joustavuuteen erityisesti korostamalla yhteistyökumppaneiden asemaa yrityksen toiminnassa. Yhteistyön avulla yritykset pystyivät saavuttamaan muun muassa parempaa näkyvyyttä, lisäämään käytössään olevia resursseja sekä pitämään kulut alhaisemmalla tasolla. Yhtenä tärkeänä päätöksentekokriteerinä yritykset käyttivät effektuaatioteorian mukaisesti edullisen tappion periaatetta. Edullisen tappion periaatteen mukaisesti päätöksentekoa ohjaa tämän hetkisten tuottojen maksimoinnin sijaan tarvittavan investoinnin suuruus ja se kuinka paljon yritys on halukas riskeeraamaan päätökseen liittyvään hankkeeseen.

Causação circular do crescimento das economias em desenvolvimento: uma ponte entre as abordagens evolucionária e pós keynesiana

Based on the Post Keynesian approach and on the Evolutionary literature, this study seeks to demonstrate the causal relationships between the National Innovation System and the national and international financial systems. This study shows that there is a circular causation in the less developed economies that contributes to the immaturity of its National Innovation System and to its structural external vulnerability. Conclusions highlight that the cycles in the less developed economies mirror the cycles of international liquidity.

Interactions of decision mechanisms in an entrepreneurial firm’s journey to become a major player in its industry

This study discusses the interactions of different decision-making mechanisms in the process of change of a successful entrepreneurial dairy firm in Vietnam. The purpose of the study is to construct a theoretical framework, which explains the interactions between effectual and causal decision-making processes in different phases of business, and to provide a real life example with practical recommendations for entrepreneurs and managers. In order to achieve this purpose, a preliminary theoretical framework was built, using process theories applied to different decision making modes, referred to as causation and effectuation. The case was studied through ethnographic research method, with three semi-structured interviews, one unstructured interview, secondary data and observations within four months in 2013-2014. After the data was analyzed, a modified framework was drawn from the result. The finding of this study shows that there was an interaction between effectual and causal decision-making processes in different stages of the company’s development. The entrepreneur applied effectual decision-making process to develop a unique business model and a new dairy market segment. However, when a new market demand arose, the company’s resources became insufficient, they thus had to shift to causation process to adapt to market change. Simultaneously, with better-accumulated resources, the entrepreneur continued the effectuation process to create another brand new dairy market segment. This study, thus, contributes to effectuation theory, emphasizing the necessity of combining effectual and causal decision-making processes in different phases of business. It is suggested that business would develop with an effectual process until a business model is viable for growth. It continues to use this process up to a certain degree. When the market changes, the company needs to collect more means to adapt to the changes. They need to set new goals and this is a shift to the use of causal process, which builds on prediction. It uses goals and teleology as driving mechanisms and tries to exploit and fill potential resource gaps to achieve these goals. At the same time, there are new iterations that look to establish new lines or types of business with the given means, which are now well established. This again employs effectual mechanisms, which are based on evolutionary process, until they reach the stage of viable tested business model. Moreover, this study hopes to provide know-how to entrepreneurs and managers of small companies in similar situations, suggesting how to combine effectual and causal decision-making processes to deal with various circumstances in different times.