Short and long-term effects of azadirachtin A on development and egg production of Rhodnius prolixus

Azadirachtin A was given through a blood meal to 4th-instar larvae and to adult females of Rhodnius prolixus. Development (ecdysis) and egg production were inhibited in a dose-dependent manner. Long-term experiments with subsequent four feedings on azadirachtin-free blood were performed with 4th-instar larvae and with adult females. Only in the low-dose azadirachtin larval groups (0.01 and 0.1 microng/ml of blood), development was partially restored; after a single 1.0 microng/ml treatment about 50% of the treated larvae were still alive 120 days later without any adult emergence. Similarly fed females had a dose-dependent lower survival and egg deposition rate. The results are discussed in relation to the mode of azadirachtin A action.

Aggregate and welfare effects of long run inflation risk under inflation and price-level targeting

This paper presents a DSGE model in which long run inflation risk matters for social welfare. Aggregate and welfare effects of long run inflation risk are assessed under two monetary regimes: inflation targeting (IT) and price-level targeting (PT). These effects differ because IT implies base-level drift in the price level, while PT makes the price level stationary around a target price path. Under IT, the welfare cost of long run inflation risk is equal to 0.35 percent of aggregate consumption. Under PT, where long run inflation risk is largely eliminated, it is lowered to only 0.01 per cent. There are welfare gains from PT because it raises average consumption for the young and lowers consumption risk substantially for the old. These results are strongly robust to changes in the PT target horizon and fairly robust to imperfect credibility, fiscal policy, and model calibration. While the distributional effects of an unexpected transition to PT are sizeable, they are short-lived and not welfare-reducing.

Plasma cell precursors: long-distance travelers looking for a home.

Little is known about the migration of plasma cell precursors to the lymph node medulla. In this issue of Immunity, Fooksman et al. (2010) propose that this migration is largely independent of chemotactic cues but follows a long linear walk of random orientation.

Prognostic importance of hyponatremia in patients with acute pulmonary embolism

Rapport de synthèse Enjeux et contexte: L'hyponatrémie est un trouble électrolytique fréquent et associé à un pronostic défavorable dans de nombreuses affections card iovascu lai res (1-5), pour lesquelles il est un marqueur de l'activation neurohumorale (6). Sa valeur pronostique chez les patients se présentant avec une emboîie pulmonaire était jusque là inconnue ; elle fait l'objet de la présente étude.Objectifs: Examiner chez les patients hospitalisés pour une embolie pulmonaire, les associations entre hyponatrémie et mortalité ainsi qu'avec le taux de réhospitalisation. Méthodes: Nous avons étudié les données de 13728 patients avec un diagnostic principal d'embolie pulmonaire provenant de 185 hôpitaux en Pennsylvanie (janvier 2000 à novembre 2002.) Nous avons utilisé un modèle de régression logistique afin d'établir l'association indépendante entre le niveau de sodium lors de la présentation aux urgences et la mortalité ainsi que le taux de ^hospitalisation durant 30 jours. Nous avons ajusté pour les caractéristiques du patient (race, assurance, sévérité de la maladie, usage de la thrombolyse) et de l'hôpital (région, taille, avec ou sans médecins en formation.)Résultats principaux: Une hyponatrémie (sodium £ 135 mmol/l) était présente chez 2907 patients (21.1%). Les patients avec un sodium >135, 130-135, et <130 mmol/l avaient une mortalité cumulée à 30 jours de 8.0%, 13.6%, et 28.5% (P <0.001), et un taux de réadmission de 11.8%, 15.6%, et 19.3% (P <0.001), respectivement. Comparés aux patients avec un sodium >135 mmol/l, les odd ratios ajustés concernant la mortalité étaient significativement plus important pour les patients avec un sodium compris entre 130 et 135 mmol/l (OR 1.53, 95% Cl: 1.33-1.76) ou <130 mmol/l (OR 3.26, 95% Cl: 2.48-4.29). Les odd ratios ajustés concernant la réhospitalisation étaient également augmentés pour les patients présentant un sodium entre 130 et 135 mmol/l (OR 1.28, 95% Cl: 1.12-1.46) ou <130 mmol/l (OR 1.44, 95% Cl: 1.02-2.02). Conclusions et perspectives: L'hyponatrémie est fréquente chez les patients se présentant avec une embolie pulmonaire, de plus elle est un prédicateur indépendant de la mortalité à court terme, ainsi que du taux de réhospitalisation. La natrémie est une information généralement disponible lors de l'établissement d'un pronostic. Bien que cette association soit compatible avec une activation neurohumorale, nous ne pouvons pas attester des mécanismes impliqués, du fait que notre étude ne donne pas d'informations sur d'autres étapes de la physiologie de cette association.

Empirical testing of genuine savings as an indicator of weak sustainability: a three-country analysis of long run trends

Genuine Savings has emerged as a widely-used indicator of sustainable development. In this paper, we use long-term data stretching back to 1870 to undertake empirical tests of the relationship between Genuine Savings (GS) and future well-being for three countries: Britain, the USA and Germany. Our tests are based on an underlying theoretical relationship between GS and changes in the present value of future consumption. Based on both single country and panel results, we find evidence supporting the existence of a cointegrating (long run equilibrium) relationship between GS and future well-being, and fail to reject the basic theoretical result on the relationship between these two macroeconomic variables. This provides some support for the GS measure of weak sustainability. We also show the effects of modelling shocks, such as World War Two and the Great Depression.

Long-term effect of a school-based physical activity program (KISS) on fitness and adiposity in children: a cluster-randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: School-based intervention studies promoting a healthy lifestyle have shown favorable immediate health effects. However, there is a striking paucity on long-term follow-ups. The aim of this study was therefore to assess the 3 yr-follow-up of a cluster-randomized controlled school-based physical activity program over nine month with beneficial immediate effects on body fat, aerobic fitness and physical activity. METHODS AND FINDINGS: Initially, 28 classes from 15 elementary schools in Switzerland were grouped into an intervention (16 classes from 9 schools, n = 297 children) and a control arm (12 classes from 6 schools, n = 205 children) after stratification for grade (1st and 5th graders). Three years after the end of the multi-component physical activity program of nine months including daily physical education (i.e. two additional lessons per week on top of three regular lessons), short physical activity breaks during academic lessons, and daily physical activity homework, 289 (58%) participated in the follow-up. Primary outcome measures included body fat (sum of four skinfolds), aerobic fitness (shuttle run test), physical activity (accelerometry), and quality of life (questionnaires). After adjustment for grade, gender, baseline value and clustering within classes, children in the intervention arm compared with controls had a significantly higher average level of aerobic fitness at follow-up (0.373 z-score units [95%-CI: 0.157 to 0.59, p = 0.001] corresponding to a shift from the 50th to the 65th percentile between baseline and follow-up), while the immediate beneficial effects on the other primary outcomes were not sustained. CONCLUSIONS: Apart from aerobic fitness, beneficial effects seen after one year were not maintained when the intervention was stopped. A continuous intervention seems necessary to maintain overall beneficial health effects as reached at the end of the intervention. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ControlledTrials.com ISRCTN15360785.

Bertrand and the long run

We propose a new model of simultaneous price competition, based on firms offering personalized prices to consumers. In a market for a homogeneous good and decreasing returns, the unique equilibrium leads to a uniform price equal to the marginal cost of each firm, at their share of the market clearing quantity. Using this result for the short-run competition, we then investigate the long-run investment decisions of the firms. While there is underinvestment, the overall outcome is more competitive than the Cournot model competition. Moreover, as the number of firms grows we approach the competitive long-run outcome.

Tracking cost savings from competitive tendering in the short and long run

A major initiative of the Thatcher and Major Conservative administrations was that public sector ancillary and professional services provided by incumbent direct service organisations [DSOs] be put out to tender. Analyses of this initiative, in the UK and elsewhere, found costs were often reduced in the short run. However, few if any studies went beyond the first round of tendering. We analyze data collected over successive rounds of tendering for cleaning and catering services of Scottish hospitals in order to assess the long term consequences of this initiative. The experience of the two services was very different. Cost savings for cleaning services tended to increase with each additional round of tendering and became increasingly stable. In accordance with previous results in the literature, DSOs produced smaller cost reductions than private contractors: probably an inevitable consequence of the tendering process at the time. Cost savings from DSOs tended to disappear during the first round of tendering, but they appear to have been more permanent in successive rounds. Cost savings for catering, on the other hand, tended to be much smaller, and these were not sustained.