A Coupled 2 × 2D Babcock–Leighton Solar Dynamo Model. I. Surface Magnetic Flux Evolution

The need for reliable predictions of the solar activity cycle motivates the development of dynamo models incorporating a representation of surface processes sufficiently detailed to allow assimilation of magnetographic data. In this series of papers we present one such dynamo model, and document its behavior and properties. This first paper focuses on one of the model's key components, namely surface magnetic flux evolution. Using a genetic algorithm, we obtain best-fit parameters of the transport model by least-squares minimization of the differences between the associated synthetic synoptic magnetogram and real magnetographic data for activity cycle 21. Our fitting procedure also returns Monte Carlo-like error estimates. We show that the range of acceptable surface meridional flow profiles is in good agreement with Doppler measurements, even though the latter are not used in the fitting process. Using a synthetic database of bipolar magnetic region (BMR) emergences reproducing the statistical properties of observed emergences, we also ascertain the sensitivity of global cycle properties, such as the strength of the dipole moment and timing of polarity reversal, to distinct realizations of BMR emergence, and on this basis argue that this stochasticity represents a primary source of uncertainty for predicting solar cycle characteristics.

Threading dislocation lines in two-sided flux-array decorations

Two-sided flux decoration experiments indicate that threading dislocation lines (TDLs), which cross the entire film, are sometimes trapped in metastable states. We calculate the elastic energy associated with the meanderings of a TDL. The TDL behaves as an anisotropic and dispersive string with thermal fluctuations largely along its Burgers vector. These fluctuations also modify the structure factor of the vortex solid. Both effects can, in principle, be used to estimate the elastic moduli of the material.

Anàlisi del flux de materials del sector de la fusta a Catalunya per l’any 2005

Anàlisi del flux de manterials que travessen el sector de la fusta a Catalunya durant l’any 2005 calculant els balanços de matèria i els indicadors derivats, de cara a avaluar la gestió dels boscos a Catalunya

La Infermera i la gestió del flux de ciutadants en l'atenció primària de salut

Les consultes d’infermeria contribueixen com una porta d’entrada normalitzada en el sistema d’Atenció Primària, oferint resposta a la demanda habitual d’un número important de ciutadans. Una expectativa és reduir els cost i el volum de treball dels metges, sempre que es mantingui la qualitat de l’atenció al ciutadà. La millora organitzativa vers l’accessibilitat al Centre de Salut millora la satisfacció de ciutadans i professionals.