Teknologiaohjelma DENSY -Hajautetun energiantuotannon tulevaisuusskenaariot ja vaikutukset liiketoimintamalleihin

Tutkimuksen tavoitteena oli selvittää miten hajautettu energiantuotanto ja siihen liittyvä liiketoiminta tulee muuttumaan tulevaisuudessaja mitä mahdollisuuksia se voisi tarjota suomalaiselle osaamiselle. Työssä käydään läpi lyhyesti hajautetun energiantuotannon teknologian nykytilaa ja tehdään teknis-taloudellista vertailua eri tuotantoteknologioiden välillä. Tämän jälkeenon muodostettu asiantuntijoiden ja aktoreiden kanssa liiketoimin-taympäristöskenaarioita, jotka kuvaavat tulevaisuuden muutossuuntia hajautetun energian-tuotannon liiketoiminnassa. Skenaarioistunnoissa löydettiin muutosta ajavat voimat ja pohdittiin niiden vaikutusta alan kehitykseen. Työn tuloksena määriteltiin skenaarioiden kehitystä vahvimmin ohjaaviksi tekijöiksi infrastruktuurin kehittyneisyys ja toisaalta myös yhteiskunnan ohjaustoimet. Niiden pohjalta luotiin lopulliset neljä skenaariota ja niille kaikille liiketoimintakuvaukset. Skenaarioiden avulla suomalaisen toimijan näkökulmasta arvioitiin houkuttelevimmiksi markkina-alueiksi EU-15, Venäjä, Intia ja Kiina. Moninaisista liiketoimintaa estävistä te-kijöistä huolimatta markkinoilta löytyi suuri potentiaali hajautetun energiantuotannon jär-jestelmille. Potentiaalisimmiksi teknologioiksi suomalaisten yritysten kannalta nähtiin puolestaan diesel- ja kaasumoottorit, tuulivoima, pienvesivoima sekä bioenergia. Yhdessä markkina- ja teknologiatutkimuksien sekä skenaariotyön avulla luotiin uusia liiketoimin-takonseptikuvauksia tulevaisuuden hajautetun energiantuotannon markkinoille suomalai-sen toimijan näkökulmasta.

Solid and liquid biofuels markets in Finland - a study on international biofuels trade

This study considered the current situation of solid and liquid biofuels markets and international biofuels trade in Finland and identified the challenges ofthe emerging international biofuels markets for Finland. The fact that industryconsumes more than half of the total primary energy, widely applied combined heat and power production (CHP) and a high share of biofuels in the total energy consumption are specific to the Finnish energy system. One third of the electricity is generated in CHP plants. As much as 27% of the total energy consumption ismet by using wood and peat, which makes Finland the leading country in the use of biofuels. Finland has made a commitment to maintain greenhouse gas emissions at the 1990 level at the highest during the period 2008-2012. The Finnish energypolicy aims to achieve the target, and a variety of measures are taken to promote the use of renewable energy sources and especially wood fuels. In this study, the wooden raw material streams of the forest industry were included the international biofuels trade in addition to biomass streams that are traded for energy production. In 2004, as much as 45% of the raw wood importedinto Finland ended up in energy production. The total international trading of biofuels was evaluated at 72 PJ, of which the majority, 58 PJ, was raw wood. About 22% of wood based energy in Finland originated from imported raw wood. Tall oil and wood pellets composed the largest export streams of biofuels. The annual turnover of international biofuels trade was estimated at about ¤ 90 million fordirect trade and at about ¤ 190 million for indirect trade. The forest industryas the biggest user of wood, and the producer and user of wood fuels has a central position in biomass and biofuels markets in Finland. Lately, the international aspects of Finnish biofuels markets have been emphasised as the import of rawwood and the export of wood pellets have increased. Expanding the use of biofuels in the road transportation sector would increase the international streams ofbiofuels in Finland. In coming years, the international trading of biomass for energy purposes can be expected to continue growing.

Three essays on the determinants of output, inflation and interest rates

Résumé: Output, inflation and interest rates are key macroeconomic variables, in particular for monetary policy. In modern macroeconomic models they are driven by random shocks which feed through the economy in various ways. Models differ in the nature of shocks and their transmission mechanisms. This is the common theme underlying the three essays of this thesis. Each essay takes a different perspective on the subject: First, the thesis shows empirically how different shocks lead to different behavior of interest rates over the business cycle. For commonly analyzed shocks (technology and monetary policy errors), the patterns square with standard models. The big unknown are sources of inflation persistence. Then the thesis presents a theory of monetary policy, when the central bank can better observe structural shocks than the public. The public will then seek to infer the bank's extra knowledge from its policy actions and expectation management becomes a key factor of optimal policy. In a simple New Keynesian model, monetary policy becomes more concerned with inflation persistence than otherwise. Finally, the thesis points to the huge uncertainties involved in estimating the responses to structural shocks with permanent effects.

Superfícies de resposta do tangor 'Murcott' à fertilização com N, P e K

O valor de comercialização no mercado de fruta fresca e a maior resistência a doenças, como o declínio e a clorose variegada dos citros, comparado às variedades de laranjas, estimularam a produção de tangerinas e de 'Murcott' na última década. Por outro lado, faltam informações seguras para o diagnóstico das necessidades de adubação para esses cítricos. Assim, o presente trabalho foi planejado com os objetivos de estudar a demanda por nutrientes e estabelecer doses de fertilizantes para maximizar a produtividade e a qualidade dos frutos de tangor 'Murcott' e definir critérios de diagnóstico da análise de folhas para o manejo nutricional dessas plantas. O experimento foi desenvolvido durante seis anos, num pomar comercial da variedade Murcott sobre limoeiro 'Cravo', com 4 anos de idade. Os tratamentos foram arranjados no delineamento fatorial fracionado, do tipo ½ (4³) e constituídos por níveis de N (30; 100; 170 e 240 kg N ha-1), de P (20; 80; 140 e 200 kg ha-1 de P2O5) e de K (30; 110; 190 e 270 kg ha-1 de K2O). O N aumentou a produção média do período, enquanto o efeito do K foi negativo. Não houve efeito significativo para doses de P. A produção máxima de frutos foi obtida com as doses 155; 20 e 30 kg ha-1, respectivamente, de N, P2O5 e K2O, enquanto, para otimizar o tamanho dos frutos, foi necessário elevar a doses de K para 270 kg ha-1 de K2O. Outras características de qualidade dos frutos também foram estudas, bem como critérios para a interpretação de resultados de análises de folhas.

Leaf area estimatites of custard apple tree progenies

Leaf area measurements are required in several agronomical studies. Usually, there is an interest for measurement methods that are simple, quick and that will not destroy the leaf. The objectives of this work were to evaluate leaf area (y), length (l) and width (w) of 20 half-sibling progenies of custard apple tree (Annona squamosa L.), and to fit regression equations of the type y = a + bx, where x = l.w, that will allow y to be estimated based on l and w. The experiment was conducted as random blocks with five replicates and four plants per plot. Five mature leaves were randomly collected from each plant. Leaf area was measured with an automatic measuring device and leaf dimensions were determined with a ruler. All values of b were different from zero. Differences occurred only in 11% of the 190 possible comparison pairs between progenies, with regard to the estimates of b. No differences were observed between progenies with respect to leaf length, width and area. In view of this fact, the equation y = 0.72 x (R² = 0.77) was fitted for all progenies.

Paclobutrazol e estresse hídrico no florescimento e produção da mangueira (Mangifera indica) 'Tommy Atkins'

O uso de reguladores de crescimento e do estresse hídrico são práticas fundamentais para a indução do florescimento e produção da mangueira nas regiões tropicais. Avaliaram-se o florescimento e a produção da mangueira 'Tommy Atkins' na região semi-árida do Nordeste do Brasil, em resposta às aplicações de paclobutrazol (PBZ) no solo (2 mL do i.a./planta), com irrigação da planta, e foliares em diferentes doses (0,5 e 1 mL do i.a. em aplicação única e fracionada em duas vezes), sem irrigação da planta, além da testemunha (uma aplicação foliar de água seguida de estresse hídrico). O delineamento experimental foi o inteiramente casualizado, no esquema de parcelas subdivididas no tempo. As variáveis foram avaliadas em três épocas após a aplicação PBZ (68 a 91; 131 a 179 e 190 a 216 dias após para o florescimento da planta; e 180 a 203; 267 a 287 e 299 a 337 para o número e produção de frutos por planta). Os resultados indicaram que o estresse hídrico imposto às plantas, sem uso do PBZ, foi tão eficiente na indução do florescimento e na produção de frutos da mangueira quanto a aplicação de PBZ via solo, usando irrigação, e via foliar, sem irrigação. A segunda época de avaliação foi superior à primeira e à terceira épocas no florescimento e produção por planta. A aplicação do PBZ no solo antecipou em 23 dias o florescimento da planta na segunda época em relação à aplicação do estresse hídrico. O trabalho sugere que o estresse hídrico tem potencial para a indução do florescimento e pode substituir o estresse causado pela aplicação de PBZ em mangueiras, nas condições semi-áridas tropicais.

Los retos de la educación intercultural: Cataluña-Quebec

La educación multicultural y la intercultural, generalmente, suponen ideologías y prácticas diferentes, pero en otras ocasiones bajo estos conceptos se esconden realidades parecidas. Fijándonos en los discursos y las actuaciones llevadas a cabo en Cataluña y en Quebec, ambas políticas con la etiqueta de educación intercultural (Cataluña hacia donde creen que se debe avanzar y Quebec que lleva en este camino algunos años), pretendemos poner de manifiesto algunos de los retos que ambos contextos han tenido, tienen o tendrán que afrontar. De esta forma el texto se divide en tres partes: la primera describe la evolución catalana realizando, al final, un breve análisis de las relaciones entre los agentes educativos; la segunda presenta los pasos realizados desde los años sesenta en Quebec, con una explicación previa de su posición en comparación con Canadá multiculturalista; y, por último, las conclusiones apuntan a los citados retos de futuro que deberán tomarse en consideración.

Desenvolvimento de frutos e sementes de tamarindo

O objetivo deste trabalho foi avaliar as mudanças físicas e fisiológicas ocorridas durante o desenvolvimento de frutos e sementes de tamarindo. Foram selecionadas árvores de um pomar localizado na Escola Agrotécnica Federal de Sousa-PB, com 50% das inflorescências em antese, cujos ramos, contendo flores abertas, foram marcados, e as colheitas realizadas aos 20; 40; 70; 100; 130; 160; 190; 220; 250; 270 e 280 dias após a antese. A cada colheita, os frutos e as sementes foram submetidos às seguintes avaliações: comprimento, largura e espessura dos frutos e sementes (cm); massa da matéria seca dos frutos e sementes (g); teor de água das sementes (%); teste de germinação (%). As plantas de tamarindo levaram aproximadamente 280 dias após a antese para completar o ciclo desde a floração até a colheita, período representado pelo crescimento, maturação e o amadurecimento dos frutos. O crescimento dos frutos de tamarindo pode ser descrito por um modelo sigmoidal simples. A maturação fisiológica dos frutos de tamarindo ocorreu no período entre 270 e 280 dias após a antese, coincidindo com o desprendimento natural da planta-mãe e a maturação das sementes, aos 277 dias após a antese.

Les marquages corporels à l'adolescence : expression d'un mal-être profond? : se marquer pour se démarquer : du repérage des signes au choix des réponses adaptées

La problématique des marquages corporels en tant que pratiques ancestrales s'insèrent dans des formes contemporaines d'inscription corporelle. Nous nous sommes permis d'essayer de savoir s'il s'agissait toujours d'une expression d'un malaise psychologique important ? Quelles peuvent en être les conséquences ? Pourquoi marquer le corps ? La mise en oeuvre de ce travail s'est articulée en deux phases, au départ, nous avons opéré par une pré-enquête d'envergure qui a regroupé 200 adolescents (10 filles et 190 garçons). Ensuite et dans un deuxième temps nous avons interrogé dix adolescents qui se marquent la peau dont trois garçons, âgés de quinze à dix-neuf ans. Grâce à une « tri approche » : Entretien clinique, tests du Rorschach et du TAT. Les résultats auxquels nous sommes parvenus peuvent être résumés comme suit : ces pratiques expriment une souffrance qui peine à trouver une voie d'expression symbolique autre que le corps, l'angoisse et la relation d'objet du type anaclitique, l'organisation défensive renseigneraient essentiellement sur des défenses narcissiques, centrées notamment autour du clivage et le retournement sur soi, une identité fragile marquée par une image du corps et représentation de soi fragiles et un sur (dés) investissement des limites. Il s'agit d'une emprise sur le corps et sur les marques mêmes, permettant de retrouver l'objet et le recréer. À partir des principaux résultats obtenus, nous envisageons de travailler, en filigrane sur les spécificités des types de marquages corporels existant en Algérie. En effet si le présent travail s'est étayé sur une analyse prônant la globalité, un comparatif entre les types de marquages, de même, l'établissement d'un lien entre la symbolique de certaines pratiques et les soubassements psychodynamiques qui l'entourent, serait d'un apport considérable dans la compréhension du fait étudié dans ses moindres « recoins ». -- The problem of the physical markings as ancestral practices fit into contemporary forms of physical registration. We allowed to try to know if it was always about an expression of an important psychological illness? What can be the consequences? Why to mark the body? The application of this work articulated in two phases, at first, we operated by a large-scale pre- inquiry which grouped together 200 teenagers (10 girls and 190 boys). Then and in the second time we interrogated ten teenagers who mark the skin among which three boys, from fifteen to nineteen years old. Thanks to one « sorting approaches »: clinical Interview, tests of Rorschach and TAT. The results which we reached can be summarized as follows: these practices express a suffering which has difficulty in finding a way of symbolic expression other one than the body, the fear and the relation of object of the type anaclitique, the defensive organization would inform essentially about narcissistic defences, centred notably around the cleavage and the reversal on one, a fragile identity marked by an image of the body and the representation of one fragile and one on investment of the limits. It is about an influence on the body and on the marks, allowing to find the object and to recreate it. From the main obtained results, we intend to work, between the lines on the specificities of the types of physical markings existing in Algeria. Indeed if the present work supported on an analysis lauding the global nature, a comparative degree between the types of markings, also, the establishment of a link between the symbolism of certain practices and the bases psychodynamiques who surround him, would be of a considerable contribution in the understanding of the fact studied in its slightest « hidden recesses ».

El naixement d'un vilar medieval: Moredell (Gironès) en època carolíngia

This is the description of the birth, development and transformations of a small rural community in carolingian epoch through the written documentation and the analysis of the landscape.

Caracterización geográfica de los aceites de oliva vírgenes de la denominación de origen protegida ’Les Garrigues’ por su perfil de ácidos grasos

Se ha analizado el perfil de ácidos grasos en 190 muestras de aceite de oliva virgen de la DOP Les Garrigues (Lleida) de tres campañas consecutivas (1995/96, 1996/97 y 1997/98). Se ha encontrado que la mayor variabilidad entre los ácidos grasos es debida a aspectos relacionados con la climatología de la campaña oleícola y con la procedencia de los aceites. El análisis de componentes principales ha permitido obtener dos componentes principales que explican más del 80 % de la variabilidad observada. La representación de los aceites según sus componentes principales, permite separar aceites procedentes de dos subzonas con diferencias agroclimáticas. Se ha aplicado un análisis discriminante paso a paso y se ha obtenido una función que ha permitido clasificar correctamente en la subzona de procedencia más del 83 % de los 188 aceites. El modelo ha sido validado con 20 muestras de aceites procedentes de la campaña 1998/99, habiéndose clasificado correctamente el 84,6 % de las muestras.

IL1B and DEFB1 Polymorphisms Increase Susceptibility to Invasive Mold Infection After Solid-Organ Transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in immune genes have been associated with susceptibility to invasive mold infection (IMI) among hematopoietic stem cell but not solid-organ transplant (SOT) recipients. METHODS: Twenty-four SNPs from systematically selected genes were genotyped among 1101 SOT recipients (715 kidney transplant recipients, 190 liver transplant recipients, 102 lung transplant recipients, 79 heart transplant recipients, and 15 recipients of other transplants) from the Swiss Transplant Cohort Study. Association between SNPs and the end point were assessed by log-rank test and Cox regression models. Cytokine production upon Aspergillus stimulation was measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay in peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) from healthy volunteers and correlated with relevant genotypes. RESULTS: Mold colonization (n = 45) and proven/probable IMI (n = 26) were associated with polymorphisms in the genes encoding interleukin 1β (IL1B; rs16944; recessive mode, P = .001 for colonization and P = .00005 for IMI, by the log-rank test), interleukin 1 receptor antagonist (IL1RN; rs419598; P = .01 and P = .02, respectively), and β-defensin 1 (DEFB1; rs1800972; P = .001 and P = .0002, respectively). The associations with IL1B and DEFB1 remained significant in a multivariate regression model (P = .002 for IL1B rs16944; P = .01 for DEFB1 rs1800972). The presence of 2 copies of the rare allele of rs16944 or rs419598 was associated with reduced Aspergillus-induced interleukin 1β and tumor necrosis factor α secretion by PBMCs. CONCLUSIONS: Functional polymorphisms in IL1B and DEFB1 influence susceptibility to mold infection in SOT recipients. This observation may contribute to individual risk stratification.

Clinical features for diagnosis of pneumonia in children younger than 5 years: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Pneumonia is the biggest cause of deaths in young children in developing countries, but early diagnosis and intervention can effectively reduce mortality. We aimed to assess the diagnostic value of clinical signs and symptoms to identify radiological pneumonia in children younger than 5 years and to review the accuracy of WHO criteria for diagnosis of clinical pneumonia. METHODS: We searched Medline (PubMed), Embase (Ovid), the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, and reference lists of relevant studies, without date restrictions, to identify articles assessing clinical predictors of radiological pneumonia in children. Selection was based on: design (diagnostic accuracy studies), target disease (pneumonia), participants (children aged <5 years), setting (ambulatory or hospital care), index test (clinical features), and reference standard (chest radiography). Quality assessment was based on the 2011 Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2) criteria. For each index test, we calculated sensitivity and specificity and, when the tests were assessed in four or more studies, calculated pooled estimates with use of bivariate model and hierarchical summary receiver operation characteristics plots for meta-analysis. FINDINGS: We included 18 articles in our analysis. WHO-approved signs age-related fast breathing (six studies; pooled sensitivity 0·62, 95% CI 0·26-0·89; specificity 0·59, 0·29-0·84) and lower chest wall indrawing (four studies; 0·48, 0·16-0·82; 0·72, 0·47-0·89) showed poor diagnostic performance in the meta-analysis. Features with the highest pooled positive likelihood ratios were respiratory rate higher than 50 breaths per min (1·90, 1·45-2·48), grunting (1·78, 1·10-2·88), chest indrawing (1·76, 0·86-3·58), and nasal flaring (1·75, 1·20-2·56). Features with the lowest pooled negative likelihood ratio were cough (0·30, 0·09-0·96), history of fever (0·53, 0·41-0·69), and respiratory rate higher than 40 breaths per min (0·43, 0·23-0·83). INTERPRETATION: Not one clinical feature was sufficient to diagnose pneumonia definitively. Combination of clinical features in a decision tree might improve diagnostic performance, but the addition of new point-of-care tests for diagnosis of bacterial pneumonia would help to attain an acceptable level of accuracy. FUNDING: Swiss National Science Foundation.

Guia d’SCORM

Aquest document és una introducció a l’eina RELOAD i a les funcionalitats d’SCORM del Moodle.

Atividade microbiana do solo em pomar de laranja em resposta ao cultivo de adubos verdes

Adubos verdes (AVs) são condicionadores do solo utilizados para a melhoria da estrutura e fertilidade do solo. Este estudo avaliou o efeito de Crotalaria spectabilis Roth (crotalária), Cajanus cajan (L) Millsp (guandu) e Brachiaria decumbens Stapf (braquiária) nas propriedades microbiológicas e bioquímicas do solo sob laranjal. As leguminosas foram plantadas nas entrelinhas do laranjal e, após 3 meses, cortadas e lançadas nas entrelinhas. A braquiária, já estabelecida, foi roçada e lançada nas entrelinhas. Após 5 meses, as amostras de solo foram coletadas na entrelinha e na linha, na profundidade de 0-20 cm. O delineamento experimental foi em parcela subdividida. Efeito significativo (p< 0,05%) da aplicação dos AV sobre as contagens de bactérias, as atividades da desidrogenase e nitrificante foram obtidas e aumentaram, em média, de 20, 39 e 190%, respectivamente. O número de fungos diminuiu de 57%. A atividade da urease e a solubilizadora, e os conteúdos de matéria orgânica e umidade não foram influenciados pela aplicação dos AVs. Dentre as plantas, respostas significativas foram obtidas decorrentes do estímulo da atividade da desidrogenase em 57% pelo guandu, da urease em 58% pela braquiária, solubilizadora em 346% pela crotalária e nitrificante em 236% pelo guandu ou braquiária em relação aos demais AVs. Estes resultados sugerem que a aplicação de AVs durante anos consecutivos pode estimular a ação dos microrganismos e melhorar a qualidade do solo.