Modulation of inflammatory pathways by the HIV protease inhibitors

Les inhibiteurs de la protéase du VIH (IP) constituent une des classes de traitements antirétroviraux parmi les plus utilisés au cours de l'infection par le VIH. Leur utilisation est associée à divers effets secondaires, notamment la dyslipidémie, la résistance à l'insuline, la lipodystrophie et certaines complications cardio-vasculaires. Ces molécules ont également des propriétés anti-tumorales, décrites chez des patients non infectés par le VIH. Pourtant, les mécanismes moléculaires à l'origine de ces effets annexes restent méconnus. Dans ce travail, nous démontrons que les IP, comme le Nelfinavir, le Ritonavir, le Lopinavir, le Saquinavir et l'Atazanavir, entrainent la production d'interleukine-lß (IL-lß), une puissante cytokine pro-inflammatoire, connue pour son rôle central dans les maladies inflammatoires. La sécrétion d'IL-lß requiert la formation de l'inflammasome, un complexe protéique intracellulaire servant de plateforme d'activation de la caspase-1 et, par la suite, à la maturation protéolytique de certaines cytokines, dont l'IL-lß. Dans les macrophages murins en culture primaire, ainsi que dans une lignée de monocytes humains, nous démontrons que les IP augmentent la maturation et la sécrétion de l'IL-lß via l'induction d'un inflammasome dépendant de ASC. De plus, nous établissons que les IP induisent spécifiquement l'activation de AIM2, un inflammasome détectant la présence intracytosolique d'ADN viral ou bactérien. Nos résultats démontrent l'existence d'une nouvelle voie d'activation de l'inflammasome AIM2 par un signal endogène dont la nature reste à définir. Ces données suggèrent que AIM2 pourrait jouer un rôle important dans la promotion de l'activité anti-tumorale ainsi que dans les autres effets annexes observés chez les patients traités par IP. -- HIV protease inhibitors (Pis) are among the most often used classes of antiretroviral drugs for HIV infection. Treatment of patients with HIV-PIs is associated with the development of metabolic side effects including dyslipidemia, insulin resistance, lipodystrophy and cardiovascular complications. In addition, these drugs have been reported to have anti¬tumoral properties in non-infected patients, however the molecular mechanisms causing these off-target effects are still unclear. Here we show that the HIV-PIs, such as Nelfinavir, Ritonavir, Lopinavir, Saquinavir and Atazanavir, activate the production of interleukin-lß (IL-lß), a potent pro-inflammatory cytokine that plays a central role in the pathogenesis of inflammatory diseases. The release of IL-lß depends on the activation of the inflammasome, a multiprotein complex that serves as a platform for caspase-1 activation and subsequent proteolytic maturation of cytokines including IL-lß. We found that in mouse primary macrophages as well as in a human monocytic cell line, the HIV-PIs augment the maturation and secretion of IL-lß by triggering an ASC-dependent inflammasome activation. Moreover, we show that the HIV-PIs specifically engage AIM2, a recently characterized inflammasome -forming protein that was described to detect the cytosolic release of bacterial and viral DNA. Our findings demonstrate a new pathway of activation of the AIM2 inflammasome by a yet to be defined endogenous signal and may suggest a possible role for AIM2 in promoting anti¬tumoral activity and off-target effects observed in HIV-PIs treated patients.

Tenofovir use is associated with an increase in serum alkaline phosphatase in the Swiss HIV Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Tenofovir (TDF) use has been associated with proximal renal tubulopathy, reduced calculated glomerular filtration rates (cGFR) and losses in bone mineral density. Bone resorption could result in a compensatory osteoblast activation indicated by an increase in serum alkaline phosphatase (sAP). A few small studies have reported a positive correlation between renal phosphate losses, increased bone turnover and sAP. METHODS: We analysed sAP dynamics in patients initiating (n = 657), reinitiating (n = 361) and discontinuing (n = 73) combined antiretroviral therapy with and without TDF and assessed correlations with clinical and epidemiological parameters. RESULTS: TDF use was associated with a significant increase of sAP from a median of 74 U/I (interquartile range 60-98) to a plateau of 99 U/I (82-123) after 6 months (P < 0.0001), with a prompt return to baseline upon TDF discontinuation. No change occurred in TDF-sparing regimes. Univariable and multivariable linear regression analyses revealed a positive correlation between sAP and TDF use (P < or = 0.003), but no correlation with baseline cGFR, TDF-related cGFR reduction, changes in serum alanine aminotransferase (sALT) or active hepatitis C. CONCLUSIONS: We document a highly significant association between TDF use and increased sAP in a large observational cohort. The lack of correlation between TDF use and sALT suggests that the increase in sAP is because of the bone isoenzyme and indicates stimulated bone turnover. This finding, together with published data on TDF-related renal phosphate losses, this finding raises concerns that TDF use could result in osteomalacia with a loss in bone mineral density at least in a subset of patients. This potentially severe long-term toxicity should be addressed in future studies.

Development and Validation of Decision Rules to Guide Frequency of Monitoring CD4 Cell Count in HIV-1 Infection before Starting Antiretroviral Therapy.

Background: Although CD4 cell count monitoring is used to decide when to start antiretroviral therapy in patients with HIV-1 infection, there are no evidence-based recommendations regarding its optimal frequency. It is common practice to monitor every 3 to 6 months, often coupled with viral load monitoring. We developed rules to guide frequency of CD4 cell count monitoring in HIV infection before starting antiretroviral therapy, which we validated retrospectively in patients from the Swiss HIV Cohort Study.Methodology/Principal Findings: We built up two prediction rules ("Snap-shot rule" for a single sample and "Track-shot rule" for multiple determinations) based on a systematic review of published longitudinal analyses of CD4 cell count trajectories. We applied the rules in 2608 untreated patients to classify their 18 061 CD4 counts as either justifiable or superfluous, according to their prior >= 5% or < 5% chance of meeting predetermined thresholds for starting treatment. The percentage of measurements that both rules falsely deemed superfluous never exceeded 5%. Superfluous CD4 determinations represented 4%, 11%, and 39% of all actual determinations for treatment thresholds of 500, 350, and 200x10(6)/L, respectively. The Track-shot rule was only marginally superior to the Snap-shot rule. Both rules lose usefulness for CD4 counts coming near to treatment threshold.Conclusions/Significance: Frequent CD4 count monitoring of patients with CD4 counts well above the threshold for initiating therapy is unlikely to identify patients who require therapy. It appears sufficient to measure CD4 cell count 1 year after a count > 650 for a threshold of 200, > 900 for 350, or > 1150 for 500x10(6)/L, respectively. When CD4 counts fall below these limits, increased monitoring frequency becomes advisable. These rules offer guidance for efficient CD4 monitoring, particularly in resource-limited settings.

ZNRD1 (zinc ribbon domain-containing 1) is a host cellular factor that influences HIV-1 replication and disease progression.

BACKGROUND: Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) takes advantage of multiple host proteins to support its own replication. The gene ZNRD1 (zinc ribbon domain-containing 1) has been identified as encoding a potential host factor that influenced disease progression in HIV-positive individuals in a genomewide association study and also significantly affected HIV replication in a large-scale in vitro short interfering RNA (siRNA) screen. Genes and polymorphisms identified by large-scale analysis need to be followed up by means of functional assays and resequencing efforts to more precisely map causal genes. METHODS: Genotyping and ZNRD1 gene resequencing for 208 HIV-positive subjects (119 who experienced long-term nonprogression [LTNP] and 89 who experienced normal disease progression) was done by either TaqMan genotyping assays or direct sequencing. Genetic association analysis was performed with the SNPassoc package and Haploview software. siRNA and short hairpin RNA (shRNA) specifically targeting ZNRD1 were used to transiently or stably down-regulate ZNRD1 expression in both lymphoid and nonlymphoid cells. Cells were infected with X4 and R5 HIV strains, and efficiency of infection was assessed by reporter gene assay or p24 assay. RESULTS: Genetic association analysis found a strong statistically significant correlation with the LTNP phenotype (single-nucleotide polymorphism rs1048412; [Formula: see text]), independently of HLA-A10 influence. siRNA-based functional analysis showed that ZNRD1 down-regulation by siRNA or shRNA impaired HIV-1 replication at the transcription level in both lymphoid and nonlymphoid cells. CONCLUSION: Genetic association analysis unequivocally identified ZNRD1 as an independent marker of LTNP to AIDS. Moreover, in vitro experiments pointed to viral transcription as the inhibited step. Thus, our data strongly suggest that ZNRD1 is a host cellular factor that influences HIV-1 replication and disease progression in HIV-positive individuals.

Hepatites Virais Frequência do antígeno de superfície da hepatite viral tipo B nos portadores do HIV e grávidas atendidos no Laboratório Elisa-Blot do Hospital Agostinho Neto Praia em 2006 e 2007

Com a finalidade de fazer uma avaliação da frequência do antígeno de superfície da hepatite viral do tipo B (AgHBs) nos portadores HIV e grávidas atendidos no Laboratório Elisa-Blot do Hospital Agostinho Neto em 2006 e 2007, foi feito um estudo descritivo retrospectivo, com base na recolha de dados entre 1 de Janeiro de 2006 a 31 de Dezembro de 2007. Os dados foram recolhidos com base em fichas e no banco de dados informático, existentes no Laboratório Elisa-Blot do Hospital Agostinho Neto. Os dados foram colectados segundo as variáveis de tempo, pessoa e lugar. Os resultados demonstraram uma frequência do AgHBs durante o período de estudo de 4,96% (25/504). Esse valor corresponde a 11% (15/135) dos portadores do HIV e 3% em grávidas com sorologia positiva para HBsAg. Em relação ao perfil dos portadores do HIV, estes tinham uma idade média de 40,6 anos, a maioria do sexo feminino e residentes no concelho da Praia. As grávidas tinham uma idade média de 28,4 anos, a maioria residente também no concelho da Praia. As análises também demonstraram que o perfil dos casos com sorologia positiva para o AgHBs nos portadores do HIV era na sua maioria do sexo masculino com uma proporção de 60% durante o período de estudo. A maior ocorrência ocorreu na faixa etária 30 a 49 anos com uma proporção de 67% e 50% relativamente ao período de estudo. O concelho da Praia foi o que apresentou maior proporção com 67% e 58% em 2006 e 2007 respectivamente. Em relação as grávidas a maior proporção de positividade do AgHBs ocorreu também na faixa etária 30 a 49 anos com 75% e 67% e no concelho da Praia com uma proporção de 50% e 67% referentes aos anos 2006 e 2007 respectivamente.

Boosting of Replication Competent NYVAC Primed HIV-1-Specific T-Cell Responses by HIV Synthetic Long Peptides (SLP)

Background: To enhance the induction of insert specific immune responses, a new generation of replication competent poxvirus vectors was designed and evaluated against non-replicating poxvirus vectors in a HIV vaccine study in non human primates.Methods: Rhesus macaques were immunized with either the non-replicating variant NYVAC-GagPolNef HIV-1 clade C or the replicating NYVAC-GagPolNef-C-KC, boosted with HIVGag- PolEnv-SLP and immune responses were monitored.Results: Gag-specific T-cell responses were only detected in animals immunized with the replicating NYVAC-GagPolNef-C-KC variant. Further enhancement and broadening of the immune response was studied by boosting the animals with novel T-cell immunogens HIVconsv synthetic long peptides (SLP), which direct vaccine-induced responses to the most conserved regions of HIV and contain both CD4 T-helper and CD8 CTL epitopes. The adjuvanted (Montanide ISA-720) SLP divided into subpools and delivered into anatomically separate sites enhanced the Gag-specific T-cell responses in 4 out of 6 animals, to more than 1000 SFC/106 PBMC in some animals. Furthermore, the SLP immunization broadened the immune response in 4 out of 6 animals to multiple Pol epitopes. Even Env-specific responses, to which the animals had not been primed, were induced by SLP in 2 out of 6 animals.Conclusion: This new immunization strategy of priming with replicating competent poxvirus NYVAC-HIVGagPolNef and boosting with HIVGagPolEnv-SLP, induced strong and broad Tcell responses and provides a promising new HIV vaccine approach. This study was performed within the Poxvirus T-cell Vaccine Discovery Consortium (PTVDC) which is part of the CAVD program.

Liver enzyme elevation after lamivudine withdrawal in HIV-hepatitis B virus co-infected patients: the Swiss HIV Cohort Study.

Background The principal causes of liver enzyme elevation among HIV-hepatitis B virus (HBV) co-infected patients are the hepatotoxic effects of antiretroviral therapy (ART), alcohol abuse, ART-induced immune reconstitution and the exacerbation of chronic HBV infection. Objectives To investigate the incidence and severity of liver enzyme elevation, liver failure and death following lamivudine (3TC) withdrawal in HIV-HBV co-infected patients. Methods Retrospective analysis of the Swiss HIV Cohort Study database to assess the clinical and biological consequences of the discontinuation of 3TC. Variables considered for analysis included liver enzyme, HIV virological and immunological parameters, and medication prescribed during a 6-month period following 3TC withdrawal. Results 3TC was discontinued in 255 patients on 363 occasions. On 147 occasions (109 patients), a follow-up visit within 6 months following 3TC withdrawal was recorded. Among these patients, liver enzyme elevation occurred on 42 occasions (29%), three of them (2%) with severity grade III and five of them (3.4%) with severity grade IV elevations (as defined by the AIDS Clinical Trials Group). Three patients presented with fulminant hepatitis. One death (0.7%) was recorded. Conclusions HBV reactivation leading to liver dysfunction may be an under-reported consequence of 3TC withdrawal in HIV-HBV co-infected patients. Regular monitoring of HBV markers is warranted if active therapy against HBV is discontinued.

Once-daily dolutegravir is superior to once-daily darunavir/ritonavir in treatment-naïve HIV-1-positive individuals: 96 week results from FLAMINGO.

INTRODUCTION: Dolutegravir (DTG) 50 mg once daily was superior to darunavir/ritonavir (DRV/r) 800 mg/100 mg once daily through Week 48, with 90% vs. 83% of participants achieving HIV RNA 50 c/mL (p=0.025) [1]. We present data through Week 96. MATERIAL AND METHODS: FLAMINGO is a multicentre, randomized, open-label, Phase IIIb non-inferiority study, in which HIV-1-positive ART-naïve adults with HIV-1 RNA≥1000 c/mL and no evidence of viral resistance were randomized 1:1 to receive DTG or DRV/r, with investigator-selected backbone NRTIs (TDF/FTC or ABC/3TC). Participants were stratified by screening HIV-1 RNA (≤100K c/mL) and NRTI backbone. RESULTS: A total of 484 adults were randomized and treated; 25% had baseline HIV RNA 100K c/mL. At Week 96, the proportion of participants with HIV RNA 50 c/mL was 80% in the DTG arm vs. 68% in the DRV/r arm (adjusted difference 12.4%; 95% CI 4.7, 20.2%; p=0.002). Secondary analyses supported primary results: per-protocol [(DTG 83% vs. DRV/r 70%), 95% CI 12.9 (5.3, 20.6)] and treatment-related discontinuation = failure [(98% vs. 95%), 95% CI 3.2 (-0.3, 6.7)]. Overall virologic non-response (DTG 8%; DRV/r 12%) and non-response due to other reasons (DTG 12%; DRV/r 21%) occurred less frequently on DTG. As at Week 48, the difference between arms was most pronounced in participants with high baseline viral load (82% vs. 52% response through Week 96) and in the TDF/FTC stratum (79% vs. 64%); consistent responses were seen in the ABC/3TC stratum (82% vs. 75%). Six participants (DTG 2, none post-Week 48; DRV/r 4, two post-Week 48) experienced protocol-defined virologic failure (PDVF; confirmed viral load 200 c/mL on or after Week 24); none had treatment-emergent resistance to study drugs. Most frequent drug-related adverse events (AEs) were diarrhoea, nausea and headache, with diarrhoea significantly more common on DRV/r (24%) than DTG (10%). Significantly more participants had Grade 2 fasting LDL toxicities on DRV/r (22%) vs. DTG (7%), p<0.001; mean changes in creatinine for DTG (~0.18 mg/dL) observed at Week 2 were stable through Week 96. CONCLUSIONS: Once-daily DTG was superior to once-daily DRV/r in treatment-naïve HIV-1-positive individuals, with no evidence of emergent resistance to DTG in virologic failure and relatively similar safety profiles for DTG and DRV/r through 96 Weeks.

Replicative phenotyping adds value to genotypic resistance testing in heavily pre-treated HIV-infected individuals--the Swiss HIV Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Replicative phenotypic HIV resistance testing (rPRT) uses recombinant infectious virus to measure viral replication in the presence of antiretroviral drugs. Due to its high sensitivity of detection of viral minorities and its dissecting power for complex viral resistance patterns and mixed virus populations rPRT might help to improve HIV resistance diagnostics, particularly for patients with multiple drug failures. The aim was to investigate whether the addition of rPRT to genotypic resistance testing (GRT) compared to GRT alone is beneficial for obtaining a virological response in heavily pre-treated HIV-infected patients. METHODS: Patients with resistance tests between 2002 and 2006 were followed within the Swiss HIV Cohort Study (SHCS). We assessed patients' virological success after their antiretroviral therapy was switched following resistance testing. Multilevel logistic regression models with SHCS centre as a random effect were used to investigate the association between the type of resistance test and virological response (HIV-1 RNA <50 copies/mL or ≥1.5 log reduction). RESULTS: Of 1158 individuals with resistance tests 221 with GRT+rPRT and 937 with GRT were eligible for analysis. Overall virological response rates were 85.1% for GRT+rPRT and 81.4% for GRT. In the subgroup of patients with >2 previous failures, the odds ratio (OR) for virological response of GRT+rPRT compared to GRT was 1.45 (95% CI 1.00-2.09). Multivariate analyses indicate a significant improvement with GRT+rPRT compared to GRT alone (OR 1.68, 95% CI 1.31-2.15). CONCLUSIONS: In heavily pre-treated patients rPRT-based resistance information adds benefit, contributing to a higher rate of treatment success.

Hepatitis C virus infections in the Swiss HIV Cohort Study: a rapidly evolving epidemic.

BACKGROUND: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection has a growing impact on morbidity and mortality in patients infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). We assessed trends in HCV incidence in the different HIV transmission groups in the Swiss HIV Cohort Study (SHCS). METHODS: HCV infection incidence was assessed from 1998, when routine serial HCV screening was introduced in the SHCS, until 2011. All HCV-seronegative patients with at least 1 follow-up serology were included. Incidence rates (IRs) of HCV infections were compared between men who have sex with men (MSM), injection drug users (IDU), and heterosexuals (HET). RESULTS: HCV incidence was assessed in 3333 MSM, 123 IDU, and 3078 HET with a negative HCV serology at baseline. Over 23 707 person-years (py) for MSM, 733 py for IDU, and 20 752 py for HET, 101 (3%), 41 (33%), and 25 (1%) of patients seroconverted, respectively. The IR of HCV infections in MSM increased from 0.23 (95% credible interval [CrI], .08-.54) per 100 py in 1998 to 4.09 (95% CrI, 2.57-6.18) in 2011. The IR decreased in IDU and remained <1 per 100 py in HET. In MSM, history of inconsistent condom use (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 2.09; 95% CI, 1.33-3.29) and past syphilis (adjusted HR, 2.11; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.39-3.20) predicted HCV seroconversion. CONCLUSIONS: In the SHCS, HCV infection incidence decreased in IDU, remained stable in HET, and increased 18-fold in MSM in the last 13 years. These observations underscore the need for improved HCV surveillance and prevention among HIV-infected MSM.

Influence of noninjecting and injecting drug use on mortality, retention in the cohort, and antiretroviral therapy, in participants in the Swiss HIV Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: We studied the influence of noninjecting and injecting drug use on mortality, dropout rate, and the course of antiretroviral therapy (ART), in the Swiss HIV Cohort Study (SHCS). METHODS: Cohort participants, registered prior to April 2007 and with at least one drug use questionnaire completed until May 2013, were categorized according to their self-reported drug use behaviour. The probabilities of death and dropout were separately analysed using multivariable competing risks proportional hazards regression models with mutual correction for the other endpoint. Furthermore, we describe the influence of drug use on the course of ART. RESULTS: A total of 6529 participants (including 31% women) were followed during 31 215 person-years; 5.1% participants died; 10.5% were lost to follow-up. Among persons with homosexual or heterosexual HIV transmission, noninjecting drug use was associated with higher all-cause mortality [subhazard rate (SHR) 1.73; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.07-2.83], compared with no drug use. Also, mortality was increased among former injecting drug users (IDUs) who reported noninjecting drug use (SHR 2.34; 95% CI 1.49-3.69). Noninjecting drug use was associated with higher dropout rates. The mean proportion of time with suppressed viral replication was 82.2% in all participants, irrespective of ART status, and 91.2% in those on ART. Drug use lowered adherence, and increased rates of ART change and ART interruptions. Virological failure on ART was more frequent in participants who reported concomitant drug injections while on opiate substitution, and in current IDUs, but not among noninjecting drug users. CONCLUSIONS: Noninjecting drug use and injecting drug use are modifiable risks for death, and they lower retention in a cohort and complicate ART.

Association of different lipid measures for atherogenic lipid fractions and risk of coronary events in patients receiving combination antiretroviral therapy: the Swiss HIV Cohort Study

Background: Evidence for a better performance of different highly atherogenic versus traditional lipid parameters for coronary heart disease (CHD) risk prediction is conflicting. We investigated the association of the ratios of sma11 dense low density lipoprotein(LDL)/apoplipoprotein A, aolipoprotein B/apolipoprotein A-I and total cholesterol! HDL-cholesterol and CHD events in patients on combination antiretroviral therapy (cART).Methods: Case control study nested into the Swiss HIV Cohort Study: for each cART-treated patient with a first coronary event between April 1, 2000 and July 31, 2008 (case) we selected four control patients (1) that were without coronary events until the date of the event of the index case, (2) had a plasma sample within ±30 days of the sample date of the respective case, (3) received cART and (4) were then matched for age, gender and smoking status. Lipoproteins were measured by ultracentrifugation. Conditional logistic regression models were used to estimate the independent effects of different lipid ratios and the occurrence of coronary events.Results: In total, 98 cases (19 fatal myocardial infarctions [MI] and 79 non-fatal coronary events [53 definite MIs, 15 possible MIs and 11 coronary angioplasties or bypassesJ) were matched with 392 controls. Cases were more often injecting drug users, less likely to be virologically suppressed and more often on abacavir-containing regimens. In separa te multivariable models of total cholesterol, triglycerides, HDL-cholesterol, systolic blood pressure, abdominal obesity, diabetes and family history of CHD, small dense-LDL and apolipoprotein B were each statistically significantly associated with CHD events (for 1 mg/dl increase: odds ratio [OR] 1.05, 95% CI 1.00-1.11 and 1.15, 95% CI 1.01-1.31, respectively), but the ratiosof small dense-LDLlapolipoprotein A-I (OR 1.26, 95% CI 0.95-1.67), apolipoprotein B/apolipoprotein A-I (OR 1.02, 95% CI 0.97-1.07) and HDL-cholesterol! total cholesterol (OR 0.99 95% CI 0.98-1.00) were not. Following adjustment for HIV related and cART variables these associations were weakened in each model: apolipoprotein B (OR 1.27, 95% CI 1.00-1.30), sd-LDL (OR 1.04, 95% CI 0.99-1.20), small dense-LDLlapolipoprotein A-I (OR 1.17, 95% CI 0.87-1.58), apolipoprotein B/apolipoprotein A-I (OR 1.02, 95% CI 0.97-1.07) and total cholesterolJHDL- cholesterol (OR 0.99, 95% CI 0.99-1.00).Conclusions: In patients receiving cART, small dense-LDL and apolipoprotein B showed the strongest associations with CHD events in models controlling for traditional CHD risk factors including total cholesterol and triglycerides. Adding small dense LDLlapoplipoprotein A-l, apolipoprotein B/apolipoprotein A-I and total cholesterol! HDL-cholesterol ratios did not further improve models of lipid parameters and associations of increased risk for CHD events.

Resurgence of HIV infection among men who have sex with men in Switzerland: mathematical modelling study.

BACKGROUND: New HIV infections in men who have sex with men (MSM) have increased in Switzerland since 2000 despite combination antiretroviral therapy (cART). The objectives of this mathematical modelling study were: to describe the dynamics of the HIV epidemic in MSM in Switzerland using national data; to explore the effects of hypothetical prevention scenarios; and to conduct a multivariate sensitivity analysis. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: The model describes HIV transmission, progression and the effects of cART using differential equations. The model was fitted to Swiss HIV and AIDS surveillance data and twelve unknown parameters were estimated. Predicted numbers of diagnosed HIV infections and AIDS cases fitted the observed data well. By the end of 2010, an estimated 13.5% (95% CI 12.5, 14.6%) of all HIV-infected MSM were undiagnosed and accounted for 81.8% (95% CI 81.1, 82.4%) of new HIV infections. The transmission rate was at its lowest from 1995-1999, with a nadir of 46 incident HIV infections in 1999, but increased from 2000. The estimated number of new infections continued to increase to more than 250 in 2010, although the reproduction number was still below the epidemic threshold. Prevention scenarios included temporary reductions in risk behaviour, annual test and treat, and reduction in risk behaviour to levels observed earlier in the epidemic. These led to predicted reductions in new infections from 2 to 26% by 2020. Parameters related to disease progression and relative infectiousness at different HIV stages had the greatest influence on estimates of the net transmission rate. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: The model outputs suggest that the increase in HIV transmission amongst MSM in Switzerland is the result of continuing risky sexual behaviour, particularly by those unaware of their infection status. Long term reductions in the incidence of HIV infection in MSM in Switzerland will require increased and sustained uptake of effective interventions.

Epidemiologia Molecular, Evolução Viral e Perfil de Resistência aos Antirretrovirais em uma População de Pacientes Infectados por Hiv-1 e/ou Hiv-2 Residentes em Diferentes Ilhas do Arquipélago de Cabo Verde

O diagnóstico sorológico da infecção pelo HIV-1 e HIV-2 teve início em Cabo Verde em 1987, mas pouco se sabe a respeito da diversidade genética desses vírus nessas ilhas, localizadas na costa Ocidental Africana. Neste estudo, caracterizamos a epidemiologia molecular do HIV-1 e HIV-2 em Cabo Verde, analisamos a origem dos principais clados de HIV introduzidos no país e descrevemos a ocorrência de mutações de resistência aos antirretrovirais (DRM) em indivíduos virgens de tratamento (ARTn) e pacientes em tratamento (ARTexp) oriundos das diferentes ilhas. Amostras de sangue, dados sociodemográfico e clínico-laboratoriais foram obtidos de 221 indivíduos HIV positivos entre 2010-2011. As amostras foram sequenciadas na região da polimerase (1300 pares de bases) e análises filogenéticas e de bootscan foram realizadas para a subtipagem viral. Os algoritmos disponibilizados nos sites Stanford HIV Database e HIV-GRADE e.V. Algorithm Homepage foram utilizados para avaliar a existência de DRM em pacientes positivos para HIV-1 e HIV-2, respectivamente. Os estudos evolutivos e filogeográficos foram realizados através do programa BEAST. Entre os 221 pacientes analisados, sendo 169 (76,5%) HIV-1, 43 (19,5%) HIV-2 e 9 de (4,1%) co-infectados pelo HIV-1 e pelo HIV-2, 67% eram do sexo feminino. As medianas de idade foram de 34 (IQR = 1-75) e 47 (IQR = 12-84) para o HIV-1 e HIV-2, respectivamente. A infecção pelo HIV-1 é causada pelo subtipo G (36,6%), CRF02_AG (30,6%), subtipo F1, (9,7%), URFs (10,4%), subtipo B (5,2%), CRF05_DF (3,0%), subtipo C (2,2%), CRF06_cpx (0,7%), CRF25_cpx (0,7%) e CRF49_cpx (0,7%), e todas as infecções por HIV-2 pertencem ao grupo A. De acordo com as análises filogeográficas e de origem do HIV, estima-se que o HIV-2 foi o primeiro tipo viral introduzido em Cabo Verde e possui relações filogenéticas com sequências referências de Portugal. O HIV-1 entrou no país mais tarde, primeiramente pelo subtipo G, evidenciando relações com sequências da África Central e de Portugal. Transmissão de DRM (TDRM) foi observada em 3,4% (2/58) de pacientes HIV-1 ARTn (1,7% NRTI, NNRTI 1,7%), mas não entre os infectados com HIV-2. Entre os pacientes ARTexp, DRM foi observada em 47,8% (33/69) dos infectados pelo HIV-1 (37,7% NRTI, NNRTI 37,7%, 7,4% de PI, 33,3% para duas classes) e 17,6% (3/17) nos infectados pelo HIV-2 (17,6%, 11,8% NRTI PI, 11,8% para ambas as classes). Este estudo indica que Cabo Verde tem um cenário epidemiológico molecular complexo e único dominado pelo HIV-1 subtipo G, CRF02_AG e F1 e HIV-2 grupo A, sendo esse o primeiro tipo viral introduzido em Cabo Verde. A ocorrência de TDRM e o nível relativamente elevado de DRM entre os pacientes tratados constituem uma preocupação, pelo que o monitoramento contínuo dos pacientes em ARTexp, incluindo genotipagem são políticas públicas a serem implementadas.