Seawater carbonate chemistry in the future ocean, 2008

Future anthropogenic emissions of CO2 and the resulting ocean acidification may have severe consequences for marine calcifying organisms and ecosystems. Marine calcifiers depositing calcitic hard parts that contain significant concentrations of magnesium, i.e. Mg-calcite, and calcifying organisms living in high latitude and/or cold-water environments are at immediate risk to ocean acidification and decreasing seawater carbonate saturation because they are currently immersed in seawater that is just slightly supersaturated with respect to the carbonate phases they secrete. Under the present rate of CO2 emissions, model calculations show that high latitude ocean waters could reach undersaturation with respect to aragonite in just a few decades. Thus, before this happens these waters will be undersaturated with respect to Mg-calcite minerals of higher solubility than that of aragonite. Similarly, tropical surface seawater could become undersaturated with respect to Mg-calcite minerals containing ?12 mole percent (mol%) MgCO3 during this century. As a result of these changes in surface seawater chemistry and further penetration of anthropogenic CO2 into the ocean interior, we suggest that (1) the magnesium content of calcitic hard parts will decrease in many ocean environments, (2) the relative proportion of calcifiers depositing stable carbonate minerals, such as calcite and low Mg-calcite, will increase and (3) the average magnesium content of carbonate sediments will decrease. Furthermore, the highest latitude and deepest depth at which cold-water corals and other calcifiers currently exist will move towards lower latitudes and shallower depth, respectively. These changes suggest that anthropogenic emissions of CO2 may be currently pushing the oceans towards an episode characteristic of a 'calcite sea.'

Planktonic foraminifera of sediment core T89-40 on the Walvis Ridge, South Atlantic

Core T89-40, eastern Walvis Ridge between the subtropical gyre and Benguela coastal upwelling system, contains three types of levels of abundant left-coiled Neogloboquadrina pachyderma, a cold, eutrophic species, next to subtropical species. Type A peaks (362, 110 and 53-43 ky BP) are accompanied with high percentages of other eutrophic species. They are attributed to intensified upwelling in the Northern Benguela region. Type B peaks (129 and 92 ky BP) are accompanied by moderate (<48%) contributions of other eutrophic species and increased numbers of subtropical species. These suggest intensified upwelling in the Northern Benguela cells and may reflect increased seasonal contrasts between the winter upwelling and the subtropical summer conditions. The highest C-peaks, up to 38%, are associated with strongly reduced percentages of other eutrophic species and with abundant subtropical species (Marine Isotopic Stage 11.3 (401 ky) and 9.3 (326 ky)). The subtropical species preceeded the C-peaks by ca 8 ky. We argue that the C-peaks were not produced by local reproduction but expatriated from the Northern Benguela upwelling cells. Here more nutrient-rich waters may have produced a mono-specific Neogloboquadrina pachyderma (left) fauna during strong polewards shifts of the frontal systems in the South Atlantic, which could have been transported 700 km offshore to the core location, unadmixed with eutrophic species from the surrounding waters. We propose meandering shelf-edge jets, strong contour jets, as a mechanism for the transport. The timing of the C-peaks and associated subtropical peaks agrees with the known precessional cyclicity of the SE Atlantic front movements and zonality of the trade winds, which supports the shelf-edge jet hypothesis.