The 5th anniversary of "Patient Safety in Surgery" - from the Journal's origin to its future vision.

A prospective study was undertaken to determine prognostic markers for patients with obstructive jaundice. Along with routine liver function tests, antipyrine clearance was determined in 20 patients. Four patients died after basal investigations. Five patients underwent definitive surgery. The remaining 11 patients were subjected to percutaneous transhepatic biliary decompression. Four patients died during the drainage period, while surgery was carried out for seven patients within 1-3 weeks of drainage. Of 20 patients, only six patients survived. Basal liver function tests were comparable in survivors and nonsurvivors. Discriminant analysis of the basal data revealed that plasma bilirubin, proteins and antipyrine half-life taken together had a strong association with mortality. A mathematical equation was derived using these variables and a score was computed for each patient. It was observed that a score value greater than or equal to 0.84 indicated survival. Omission of antipyrine half-life from the data, however, resulted in prediction of false security in 55% of patients. This study highlights the importance of addition of antipyrine elimination test to the routine liver function tests for precise identification of high risk patients.

Outcome Prediction after Cardiac Arrest Treated with Hypothermia

Rationale: Clinical and electrophysiological prognostic markers of brain anoxia have been mostly evaluated in comatose survivors of out hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) after standard resuscitation, but their predictive value in patients treated with mild induced hypothermia (IH) is unknown. The objective of this study was to identify a predictive score of independent clinical and electrophysiological variables in comatose OHCA survivors treated with IH, aiming at a maximal positive predictive value (PPV) and a high negative predictive value (NPV) for mortality. Methods: We prospectively studied consecutive adult comatose OHCA survivors from April 2006 to May 2009, treated with mild IH to 33-34_C for 24h at the intensive care unit of the Lausanne University Hospital, Switzerland. IH was applied using an external cooling method. As soon as subjects passively rewarmed (body temperature >35_C) they underwent EEG and SSEP recordings (off sedation), and were examined by experienced neurologists at least twice. Patients with status epilepticus were treated with AED for at least 24h. A multivariable logistic regression was performed to identify independent predictors of mortality at hospital discharge. These were used to formulate a predictive score. Results: 100 patients were studied; 61 died. Age, gender and OHCA etiology (cardiac vs. non-cardiac) did not differ among survivors and nonsurvivors. Cardiac arrest type (non-ventricular fibrillation vs. ventricular fibrillation), time to return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) >25min, failure to recover all brainstem reflexes, extensor or no motor response to pain, myoclonus, presence of epileptiform discharges on EEG, EEG background unreactive to pain, and bilaterally absent N20 on SSEP, were all significantly associated with mortality. Absent N20 was the only variable showing no false positive results. Multivariable logistic regression identified four independent predictors (Table). These were used to construct the score, and its predictive values were calculated after a cut-off of 0-1 vs. 2-4 predictors. We found a PPV of 1.00 (95% CI: 0.93-1.00), a NPV of 0.81 (95% CI: 0.67-0.91) and an accuracy of 0.93 for mortality. Among 9 patients who were predicted to survive by the score but eventually died, only 1 had absent N20. Conclusions: Pending validation in a larger cohort, this simple score represents a promising tool to identify patients who will survive, and most subjects who will not, after OHCA and IH. Furthermore, while SSEP are 100% predictive of poor outcome but not available in most hospitals, this study identifies EEG background reactivity as an important predictor after OHCA. The score appears robust even without SSEP, suggesting that SSEP and other investigations (e.g., mismatch negativity, serum NSE) might be principally needed to enhance prognostication in the small subgroup of patients failing to improve despite a favorable score.

Prognostic relevance of Masaoka and Müller-Hermelink classification in patients with thymic tumors.

BACKGROUND: To compare the prognostic relevance of Masaoka and Müller-Hermelink classifications. METHODS: We treated 71 patients with thymic tumors at our institution between 1980 and 1997. Complete follow-up was achieved in 69 patients (97%) with a mean follow up-time of 8.3 years (range, 9 months to 17 years). RESULTS: Masaoka stage I was found in 31 patients (44.9%), stage II in 17 (24.6%), stage III in 19 (27.6%), and stage IV in 2 (2.9%). The 10-year overall survival rate was 83.5% for stage I, 100% for stage IIa, 58% for stage IIb, 44% for stage III, and 0% for stage IV. The disease-free survival rates were 100%, 70%, 40%, 38%, and 0%, respectively. Histologic classification according to Müller-Hermelink found medullary tumors in 7 patients (10.1%), mixed in 18 (26.1%), organoid in 14 (20.3%), cortical in 11 (15.9%), well-differentiated thymic carcinoma in 14 (20.3%), and endocrine carcinoma in 5 (7.3%), with 10-year overall survival rates of 100%, 75%, 92%, 87.5%, 30%, and 0%, respectively, and 10-year disease-free survival rates of 100%, 100%, 77%, 75%, 37%, and 0%, respectively. Medullary, mixed, and well-differentiated organoid tumors were correlated with stage I and II, and well-differentiated thymic carcinoma and endocrine carcinoma with stage III and IV (p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed age, gender, myasthenia gravis, and postoperative adjuvant therapy not to be significant predictors of overall and disease-free survival after complete resection, whereas the Müller-Hermelink and Masaoka classifications were independent significant predictors for overall (p < 0.05) and disease-free survival (p < 0.004; p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: The consideration of staging and histology in thymic tumors has the potential to improve recurrence prediction and patient selection for combined treatment modalities.

Medicaid Value Management Program SFY 2008 Report Executive Summary, 2007

In SFY 2007 the Medicaid Value Management program was developed under the direction of the Iowa Medicaid Director to establish a more comprehensive approach for improving the quality and value of medical services to Iowa Medicaid members. Medical services Unit provided the leadership for the program development and implementation.

Medicaid Value Management Program SFY 2008 Report Executive Summary, 2007

In June, 2007, the Commonwealth Fund released a report entitled, “Aiming Higher: Results from a State Scorecard on Health System Performance.” The report ranked states’ health care performance based upon four areas: access, quality, potentially avoidable use of hospitals and costs of care, and healthy lives. Iowa was ranked second overall and was the only state to rank in the top 25 percent on each of the four measures.1 Coupling the HEDIS measures and CAHPS survey results with the Commonwealth report outcomes provides additional information for determining how the state performs with regard to the health care system, in general, and the Medicaid program specifically. For the past five years the results of eight outcome measures encompassing children and adults, and preventive, chronic and acute care have been reported by the University of Iowa Public Policy Center (PPC). The PPC is the independent evaluator for the Medicaid managed care programs and assists the state in an effort to understand the process of care within the Medicaid program. Seven of the eight measures are recommended by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid, while the eighth, annual dental visit, is used in recognition of the challenges found in providing dental care to Medicaid‐enrolled children and adults.

A characterization of a new value and an existing value for cooperative games with levels structure of cooperation

En aquest treball presentem dues caracteritzacions de dos valors diferents en el marc dels jocs coalicionals amb cooperació restringida. Les restriccions són introduïdes com una seqüència finita de particions del conjunt del jugadors, de manera que cada una d'elles eés més grollera que l'anterior, formant així una estructura amb diferents nivells d'unions a priori.

Low predictive value of elevated blood pressure during childhood and adolescence

Background: Screening of elevated blood pressure (BP) in children has been advocated to early identify hypertension. However, identification of children with sustained elevated BP is challenging due to the high BP variability. The value of an elevated BP measure during childhood and adolescence for the prediction of future elevated BP is not well described. Objectives: We assessed the positive (PPV) and negative (NPV) predictive value of high BP for sustained elevated BP in cohorts of children of the Seychelles, a rapidly developing island state in the African region. Methods: Serial school-based surveys of weight, height, and BP were conducted yearly between 1998-2006 among all students of the country in four school grades (kindergarten [G0, mean age (SD): 5.5 (0.4) yr], G4 [9.2 (0.4) yr], G7 [12.5 (0.4) yr] and G10 (15.6 (0.5) yr]. We constituted three cohorts of children examined twice at 3-4 years interval: 4,557 children examined at G0 and G4, 6,198 at G4 and G7, and 6,094 at G7 and G10. The same automated BP measurement devices were used throughout the study. BP was measured twice at each exam and averaged. Obesity and elevated BP were defined using the CDC (BMI_95th sex-, and age-specific percentile) and the NHBPEP criteria (BP_95th sex-, age-, and height specific percentile), respectively. Results: Prevalence of obesity was 6.1% at G0, 7.1% at G4, 7.5% at G7, and 6.5% at G10. Prevalence of elevated BP was 10.2% at G0, 9.9% at G4, 7.1% at G7, and 8.7% at G10. Among children with elevated BP at initial exam, the PPV of keeping elevated BP was low but increased with age: 13% between G0 and G4, 19% between G4 and G7, and 27% between G7 and G10. Among obese children with elevated BP, the PPV was higher: 33%, 35% and 39% respectively. Overall, the probability for children with normal BP to remain in that category 3-4 years later (NPV) was 92%, 95%, and 93%, respectively. By comparison, the PPV for children initially obese to remain obese was much higher at 71%, 71%, and 62% (G7-G10), respectively. The NPV (i.e. the probability of remaining at normal weight) was 94%, 96%, and 98%, respectively. Conclusion: During childhood and adolescence, having an elevated BP at one occasion is a weak predictor of sustained elevated BP 3-4 years later. In obese children, it is a better predictor.

Simpson-Golabi-Behmel syndrome type 1 in a 27-week macrosomic preterm newborn: the diagnostic value of rib malformations and index nail and finger hypoplasia.

The Simpson-Golabi-Behmel syndrome type 1 (SGBS1, OMIM #312870) is an X-linked overgrowth condition comprising abnormal facial appearance, supernumerary nipples, congenital heart defects, polydactyly, fingernail hypoplasia, increased risk of neonatal death and of neoplasia. It is caused by mutation/deletion of the GPC3 gene. We describe a macrosomic 27-week preterm newborn with SGBS1 who presents a novel GPC3 mutation and emphasize the phenotypic aspects which allow a correct diagnosis neonatally in particular the rib malformations, hypoplasia of index finger and of the same fingernail, and 2nd-3rd finger syndactyly.

Apports de la médecine nucléaire en cardiologie préventive: l'exemple du syndrome métabolique [Value of nuclear medicine in preventive cardiology: the metabolic syndrome example]

Metabolic syndrome represents a grouping of risk factors closely linked to cardiovascular diseases and diabetes. At first, nuclear medicine has no direct application in cardiology at the level of primary prevention, but positron emission tomography is a non invasive imaging technique that can assess myocardial perfusion as well as the endothelium-dependent coronary vasomotion--a surrogate marker of cardiovascular event rate--thus finding an application in studying coronary physiopathology. As the prevalence of the metabolic syndrome is still unknown in Switzerland, we will estimate it from data available in the frame of a health promotion program. Based on the deleterious effect on the endothelium already observed with two components, we will estimate the number of persons at risk in Switzerland.

Midregional pro-atrial natriuretic peptide and procalcitonin improve survival prediction in VAP.

Ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) affects mortality, morbidity and cost of critical care. Reliable risk estimation might improve end-of-life decisions, resource allocation and outcome. Several scoring systems for survival prediction have been established and optimised over the last decades. Recently, new biomarkers have gained interest in the prognostic field. We assessed whether midregional pro-atrial natriuretic peptide (MR-proANP) and procalcitonin (PCT) improve the predictive value of the Simplified Acute Physiologic Score (SAPS) II and Sequential Related Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) in VAP. Specified end-points of a prospective multinational trial including 101 patients with VAP were analysed. Death &lt;28 days after VAP onset was the primary end-point. MR-proANP and PCT were elevated at the onset of VAP in nonsurvivors compared with survivors (p = 0.003 and p = 0.017, respectively) and their slope of decline differed significantly (p = 0.018 and p = 0.039, respectively). Patients with the highest MR-proANP quartile at VAP onset were at increased risk for death (log rank p = 0.013). In a logistic regression model, MR-proANP was identified as the best predictor of survival. Adding MR-proANP and PCT to SAPS II and SOFA improved their predictive properties (area under the curve 0.895 and 0.880). We conclude that the combination of two biomarkers, MR-proANP and PCT, improve survival prediction of clinical severity scores in VAP.

Misleading tacrolimus concentration value in blood taken from a catheter used for tacrolimus administration.

PURPOSE: A misleading blood tacrolimus concentration (BTC) value caused by the contamination of a central venous catheter previously used for tacrolimus administration is described. SUMMARY: A 59-year-old woman with severe chronic obstructive pulmonary disease successfully underwent double lung transplantation. In the intensive care unit, she received a continuous i.v. infusion of tacrolimus from days 1 to 5 after transplantation through the distal lumen of a polyurethane triple-lumen central venous catheter. The catheter lumen was flushed twice a day with 0.9% sodium chloride injection. The proximal lumen was used for blood sampling after being flushed; the first 10 mL of blood was discarded. BTCs determined in whole blood one, four, and five days after transplantation were within the therapeutic range of 5-15 ng/mL. On day five the patient was transferred to the thoracic surgery ward and was switched to oral tacrolimus 1.5 mg twice daily. The BTC on day 6 was unexpectedly high at 134.5 ng/mL. The patient's clinical status was normal, and no signs of tacrolimus toxicity were observed. On day 7, blood samples were drawn from a peripheral vein and simultaneously through the central venous catheter. Although the central venous catheter had not been exposed to tacrolimus during the preceding two days, it yielded blood with a BTC eight times higher than the BTC in blood from the peripheral vein (41.4 ng/mL versus 5.1 ng/mL). CONCLUSION: The collection of blood from a central venous catheter lumen that had been used for tacrolimus administration resulted in a BTC about eight times higher than what was measured in peripheral blood.

Treatment results and prognostic factors in primary thyroid lymphoma patients: a rare cancer network study.

Background: This study analyzed prognostic factors and treatment outcomes of primary thyroid lymphoma. Patients and Methods: Data were retrospectively collected for 87 patients (53 stage I and 34 stage II) with median age 65 years. Fifty-two patients were treated with single modality (31 with chemotherapy alone and 21 with radiotherapy alone) and 35 with combined modality treatment. Median follow-up was 51 months. Results: Sixty patients had aggressive lymphoma and 27 had indolent lymphoma. The 5- and 10-year overall survival (OS) rates were 74% and 71%, respectively, and the disease-free survival (DFS) rates were 68% and 64%. Univariate analysis revealed that age, tumor size, stage, lymph node involvement, B symptoms, and treatment modality were prognostic factors for OS, DFS, and local control (LC). Patients with thyroiditis had significantly better LC rates. In multivariate analysis, OS was influenced by age, B symptoms, lymph node involvement, and tumor size, whereas DFS and LC were influenced by B symptoms and tumor size. Compared with single modality treatment, patients treated with combined modality had better 5-year OS, DFS, and LC. Conclusions: Combined modality leads to an excellent prognosis for patients with aggressive lymphoma but does not improve OS and LC in patients with indolent lymphoma.