Climate signals in the lower stratosphere and upper troposphere

Empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis and regression analysis are used to investigate zonally averaged seasonal temperature anomaly patterns and trends in the lower stratosphere and upper troposphere. The first four EOFs explain 64 percent of the temperature variance and can be related, respectively, to the solar flux (SF) and El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO), to the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO), to atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) and turbidity (TB), and to ENSO. The signal of the fourth EOF is modulated in January to March by the solar flux, with the sense of the modulation determined by the phase of the quasi-biennial oscillation.

Climatic effects on flood frequency: an example from southern Arizona

EXTRACT (SEE PDF FOR FULL ABSTRACT): After 1960, the Santa Cruz River at Tucson, Arizona, an ephemeral stream normally dominated by summer floods, experienced an apparent increased frequency of flooding coincident with an increased percentage of annual floods occurring in fall and winter. This shift reflects large-scale and low-frequency changes in the eastern Pacific Ocean, in part associated with El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomena. ... Questions are raised about the validity of standard methods of flood-frequency analysis to estimate regulatory and designed floods.

Climate variability and Crater Lake water levels

Crater Lake has fluctuated in elevation by 5 meters during the 20th Century. Reasons for these fluctuations were investigated as part of a long-term study of the Crater Lake ecosystem. Lake level changes were found to be closely related to precipitation variations. The lake can be thought of as acting as both a giant precipitation gage and as a large evaporation "pan". Winter snowfall variations are related to variations in the Southern Oscillation Index. Crater Lake offers a unique combination of simple geometry and hydrology, and a long record of supporting data, available nowhere else in the world for a caldera lake.

Climate forcing of Pacific herring recruitment and growth in southern British Columbia

Over the last 50 years, much of the variability in ocean climate and herring recruitment has occurred at two dominant periods centered around 5 and 16 years. Herring growth has also exhibited a dominant 5- and 18-year periodicity. A recent analysis of a number of relevant time series suggests that interannual variations in oceanic conditions off the west coast of Vancouver Island affect survival of herring and their principal predator, Pacific hake, which also exhibits a marked 16-year oscillation in abundance. Thus the dynamics of the herring stock are modulated by a combination of climate and predator forcing. Much of the interannual variation in herring growth is centered around the 5-year (moderate ENSO period) and 16-year (strong ENSO period) ocean climate oscillations and the 16-year recruitment oscillation.

Coastal climate reflected in carbon-13/carbon-12 ratio of organic carbon in varved sediment from Santa Barbara basin

A 1844-1987 time-series of carbon stable isotope ratios from dated sedimentary total organic carbon from the center of the Santa Barbara basin is compared with historical climate and oceanographic records. Carbon derived from carbon-13-depleted phytoplankton and carbon-13-enriched kelp appear responsible for a large part of the isotopic variance in sedimentary total organic carbon. El Niño/Southern Oscillation events are recorded by the isotopic response of marine organic carbon in sediments.

Inter-regional correlation in tree-growth variations in the western United States, 1513-1964, at ENSO, sunspot, and longer frequency bands

Cross-spectral analysis of regional tree-ring data suggests the spatial pattern of correlation between moisture variations in the Sierra Nevada of central California and in other parts of the western United States is frequency dependent. Short wavelengths (2.8 to 10.7 years), perhaps associated with El Niño/Southern Oscillation, are strongly coherent both to the north (Oregon) and to the south (Southern California). Longer wavelengths (45 to 75 years) are strongly coherent only to the north. Frequency bands corresponding to annual sunspot series were associated with relatively weak patterns of spatial correlation.

Tree-ring records as indicators of air-sea interaction in the northeast Pacific sector

Climate conditions in land areas of the Pacific Northwest are strongly influenced by atmosphere/ocean variability, including fluctuations in the Aleutian Low, Pacific-North American (PNA) atmospheric circulation modes, and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). It thus seems likely that climatically sensitive tree-ring data from these coastal land areas would likewise reflect such climatic parameters. In this paper, tree-ring width and maximum lakewood density chronologies from northwestern Washington State and near Vancouver Island, British Columbia, are compared to surface air temperature and precipitation from nearby coastal and near-coastal land stations and to monthly sea surface temperature (SST) and sea level pressure (SLP) data from the northeast Pacific sector. Results show much promise for eventual reconstruction of these parameters, potentially extending available instrumental records for the northeastern Pacific by several hundred years or more.

Meteorological signals in primary productivity at two mountain lakes

Fluctuations in primary productivity at two subalpine lakes reveal both meteorological and biological influences. At Castle Lake, California, large-scale climate events such as the El Niño/Southern Oscillation affect total annual production and, combined with human fishing activity, modify the seasonal pattern of productivity. At Lake Tahoe, California-Nevada, local spring weather conditions modulate annual production and its seasonality by determining the depth of mixing and resulting internal nutrient load. Climatic conditions also contribute to deviations from the long-term trend in productivity by increasing the incidence of forest fires and through anomalous external nutrient loads during precipitation extremes. A 3-year cycle in productivity of as yet unknown origin has also been detected at Lake Tahoe.

ENSO influences on atmospheric circulation and precipitation in the western United States

EXTRACT (SEE PDF FOR FULL ABSTRACT): The influence of ENSO on atmospheric circulation and precipitation over the western United States is presented from two perspectives. First, ENSO-associated circulation patterns over the North Pacific/North America sector were identified using an REOF (rotated empirical orthogonal function) analysis of the 700-mb height field and compositing these for extreme phases of the Southern Oscillation Index. ... Second, we examine the variability of precipitation during the warm and cool phases of ENSO for different locations in the western United States.

Multivariate climate reconstruction for the last 14,000 years in southernmost South America

Comparison between past changes in pollen assemblages and stable isotope ratios (deuterium and carbon) analyzed in the same peat core from Tierra del Fuego at latitude 55°S permitted identification of the relative contribution of precipitation versus temperature responsible for the respective change. Major steps in the sequence of paleoenvironmental changes, such as at 12700, 9000, 5000, and 4000 years ago are apparently related only to increase in precipitation, reflecting the latitudinal location and intensity of the westerly storm tracks. On the other hand, high paleoenvironmental variability, which is characteristic for the late-glacial and the latest Holocene, is related to temperature variability, which affects the relative moisture content. Comparison with other paleoenvironmental records suggests that the late-glacial temperature variability is probably related to variability in the extent of Antarctic sea-ice, which in turn appears to be related to the intensity of Atlantic deep-water circulation. Temperature variability during the latest Holocene, on the other hand, is probably related to the dynamics of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation.

Recent trends in the climate of the tropical Pacific region

EXTRACT (SEE PDF FOR FULL ABSTRACT): Observations of climate variables in the tropical Pacific region are examined for the period 1970-1994. We look at a variety of climate variables, including upper ocean temperatures, surface wind stress, precipitation, and the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) and find evidence for two distinct decadal-scale warmings in the tropical Pacific ocean-atmosphere climate system during this period.

Offshore coho salmon populations near the Pacific Northwest and large-scale atmospheric events

EXTRACT (SEE PDF FOR FULL ABSTRACT): Catch of coho salmon off the coast of Washington and Oregon since 1925 appears to be related to large-scale events in the atmosphere, which in turn affect ocean currents and coastal upwelling intensities in the northeastern Pacific. At least two time scales of variations can be identified. The first is that of the El Nino/Southern Oscillation phenomenon giving rise to an irregular cycle of between 3 to 7 years. ... The second time scale of variation seems to have a periodicity of about 20 years, although this is based on a limited dataset. ... This paper endeavors to describe how, if real, these atmospheric/oceanic effects are integrated and might affect the salmon catch. The possibility must also be considered that the atmospheric events are symbiotically related to the oceanic events and, further, that both may be enmeshed in even longer-term variability of climate.

The QBO, El Niño, and tidal resonance model

I tentatively conclude ... that the QBO may be either modulated or amplified by atmospheric tidal resonances. The generally strong correlation between the QBO and tropical Southern Oscillation, in turn, suggests that one or probably both of these stratospheric and tropospheric oscillations are modulated or amplified by the same tidal-resonance system. ... The strikingly weaker correlation between the Southern Oscillation and El Niño events strongly suggests that some critical parameters are missing in the GCMs specifically designed to predict El Niño occurrence.

根茎克隆植物羊草分株种群对去叶干扰的生长对策

克隆植物具有多种不同于非克隆植物的生长和繁殖策略。本研究首先综述了这些生长与繁殖策略之中，与我们的实验研究相关的尤其是对于去叶干扰适应策略的四个方面，包括克隆整合、克隆分株大小与密度之权衡( tradeoff)过程、碳水化合物贮备与利用、营养繁殖和芽种群(bud population)调节等。预测克隆植物选择什么样的对策以及某种对策发生作用的条件及程度如何，对克隆植物生态学研究者来说，将是富有挑战意味的课题。 羊草(Leymus chinensis (Trin,) Tzvel.)是禾本科的一种多年生根茎型克隆植物，常常处于由放牧或刈割造成的去叶干扰( defoliation)的胁迫下。在我们的第一个实验（2002年）中，考察了去叶干扰和根茎切割( rhizome severing)是否影响根茎本身和分株地上部分的生长、以及营养繁殖芽的数量特征。同时我们检验如下的假设：直接受到去叶干扰的分株除了会受益于可能的补偿作用之外，还会受益于克隆整合作用，即与之保持根茎联系的未受去叶处理的分株将转移碳水化合物或养分给受去叶干扰的分株，使之得以尽快恢复光合组织。实验结果显示：单次去叶干扰影响根茎生长和芽的产生，而对地上部分的生长影响甚微。只有重度去叶干扰才显著影响营养繁殖芽的产生，而轻度去叶干扰作用不明显。所以，当去叶强度不大时，补偿作用机制将弥补植物由于去叶干扰而受到的损失。我们的实验并未检测到克隆整合的发生，可能的原因是本实验持续的时间不足够长或者是由于根茎中的碳水化合物贮备在去叶干扰发生后发挥了作用，缓解了去叶干扰对羊草分株生长及芽生产的所造成的冲击。 在第二个实验（200 3年）中，为了考查相继数次的去叶干扰是否能够启动羊草分株间的克隆整合，以及启动克隆整合所需达到的去叶干扰的频次，我们将实验样方设计为两部分：核心区( Core section)和外围区(Periphery section)。不同频次的去叶处理（0去叶，作为对照; 1次去叶;3次去叶;5次去叶）仅施加于实验样方的核心区。结果表明，经历3次和5次去叶处理的样方外围区的生物量及水溶性碳水化合物( wsc)含量均明显少于经历1次去叶处理及0去叶处理的样方外围区，这意味着克隆整合在3次去叶和5次去叶两种处理中发生了，而在其它两种处理中没有发生。此外，分株的大小一数目之权衡可能在基株(genet)水平上发生，因此，一个克隆植物基株，当部分分株受到去叶干扰后，将增加其分株数目，但优先增加未受到去叶干扰部分的分株数目。我们将羊草的这种行为视为克隆基株试图逃避干扰的“逃逸行为”( escaping behavior)。 同时在实验中，我们监测了实验样方核心区分株的wsc浓度，目的是查明羊草枝条与根茎中wsc浓度随时间的变化格局及其对去叶干扰的响应，意在发现羊草枝条地上、地下部分和根茎中wsc浓度的时间变化之间的联系。在生长旺季，对照处理（即O去叶处理）的wsc浓度显著降低，这是由于植物在此时期的高生长速率和高呼吸速率所致;相比之下，其它经历去叶干扰的三个处理中羊草wsc浓度降低不如对照处理那么明显和迅速，甚至在高频次去叶处理中还有所上升，其原因大概是由于去叶而使叶面积减小，引起枝条的总呼吸下降所致。羊草枝条中最终的wsc浓度没有受到单次去叶处理的显著影响，却很可观地受到相继数次去叶干扰（3次和5次去叶处理）的影响。去叶干扰可能加速了碳水化合物在气温降低时自地上向地下的转移。枝条的地下部分wsc浓度比地上部分更稳定。在地上部分受到去叶干扰后，根茎中的wsc必然向上输出到地上枝条，而强烈的生长会消耗wsc，但可能的克隆整合（通常在相对频繁的去叶干扰条件下发生）将在一定程度上缓解这种wsc消耗。 在此实验中，我们还监测了羊草平均每分株所拥有的芽的数目，包括每分株分蘖节芽（tiller bud）数目和根茎芽(thizomatous bud)数目。从平均每分株芽数目的时间动态来看，各种去叶处理之间的差异程度不大，这主要是羊草在受到去叶干扰后补偿作用的贡献。与对照处理相比，受不同频次去叶干扰的三个处理的根茎芽具有相对于分蘖节的更强的增长优势。去叶干扰对根茎芽生长的促进作用大于对分蘖节芽的促进作用。我们认为这种反应是羊草克隆基株的一种逃避干扰的适应性努力，可视为一种“逃逸行为”，也可看作克隆植物觅养行为(foraging behavior)的一种特殊形式。芽的增长在中等频度的去叶干扰条件下最强，似乎同样符合中度干扰理论。有趣的是，特定频度的去叶干扰可能会造成芽种群中两大类型芽之间比例（根茎芽／分蘖节芽）的振荡现象（Oscillation）。 最后展望了对于羊草今后应继续开展的工作主要集中在两大方面：一是有性繁殖与无性繁殖之间在不同生境或不同干扰条件下的权衡关系;二是处于不同斑块对比度( patch contrast)的生境中的羊草克隆分株之问的生理整合，及其强度与斑块对比度的定量关系。

Physicochemical and biological cycles in a tide dominated, nitrogen-polluted temperate estuary

Spatio-temporal variations in the physicochemical and biological parameters in the Morlaix estuary on the Brittany coast of France were studied. Hydrographically, the estuary can be classified into 3 segments: the upper estuary where stratification always persists, the lower estuary where vertical homogeneity is permanent, and a middle estuary where there is a regular oscillation of stratification and homogeneity during every tidal cycle, stratification being associated with slack waters and homogeneity, with ebb and flood. Nitrogen pollution in the estuary is very intense.