982 resultados para HELICITY AMPLITUDES


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In dieser Arbeit stelle ich Aspekte zu QCD Berechnungen vor, welche eng verknüpft sind mit der numerischen Auswertung von NLO QCD Amplituden, speziell der entsprechenden Einschleifenbeiträge, und der effizienten Berechnung von damit verbundenen Beschleunigerobservablen. Zwei Themen haben sich in der vorliegenden Arbeit dabei herauskristallisiert, welche den Hauptteil der Arbeit konstituieren. Ein großer Teil konzentriert sich dabei auf das gruppentheoretische Verhalten von Einschleifenamplituden in QCD, um einen Weg zu finden die assoziierten Farbfreiheitsgrade korrekt und effizient zu behandeln. Zu diesem Zweck wird eine neue Herangehensweise eingeführt welche benutzt werden kann, um farbgeordnete Einschleifenpartialamplituden mit mehreren Quark-Antiquark Paaren durch Shufflesummation über zyklisch geordnete primitive Einschleifenamplituden auszudrücken. Ein zweiter großer Teil konzentriert sich auf die lokale Subtraktion von zu Divergenzen führenden Poltermen in primitiven Einschleifenamplituden. Hierbei wurde im Speziellen eine Methode entwickelt, um die primitiven Einchleifenamplituden lokal zu renormieren, welche lokale UV Counterterme und effiziente rekursive Routinen benutzt. Zusammen mit geeigneten lokalen soften und kollinearen Subtraktionstermen wird die Subtraktionsmethode dadurch auf den virtuellen Teil in der Berechnung von NLO Observablen erweitert, was die voll numerische Auswertung der Einschleifenintegrale in den virtuellen Beiträgen der NLO Observablen ermöglicht. Die Methode wurde schließlich erfolgreich auf die Berechnung von NLO Jetraten in Elektron-Positron Annihilation im farbführenden Limes angewandt.

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The development of extratropical cyclones can be seen as an interplay of three positive potential vorticity (PV) anomalies: an upper-level stratospheric intrusion, low-tropospheric diabatically produced PV, and a warm anomaly at the surface acting as a surrogate PV anomaly. In the mature stage they become vertically aligned and form a “PV tower” associated with strong cyclonic circulation. This paradigm of extratropical cyclone development provides the basis of this thesis, which will use a climatological dataset and numerical model experiments to investigate the amplitude of the three anomalies and the processes leading in particular to the formation of the diabatically produced low-tropospheric PV anomaly.rnrnThe first part of this study, based on the interim ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA-Interim) dataset, quantifies the amplitude of the three PV anomalies in mature extratropical cyclones in different regions in the Northern Hemisphere on a climatological basis. A tracking algorithm is applied to sea level pressure (SLP) fields to identify cyclone tracks. Surface potential temperature anomalies ∆θ and vertical profiles of PV anomalies ∆PV are calculated at the time of the cyclones’ minimum SLP and during the intensification phase 24 hours before in a vertical cylinder with a radius of 200 km around the surface cyclone center. To compare the characteristics of the cyclones, they are grouped according to their location (8 regions) and intensity, where the central SLP is used as a measure of intensity. Composites of ∆PV profiles and ∆θ are calculated for each region and intensity class at the time of minimum SLP and during the cyclone intensification phase.rnrnDuring the cyclones’ development stage the amplitudes of all three anomalies increase on average. In the mature stage all three anomalies are typically larger for intense than for weak winter cyclones [e.g., 0.6 versus 0.2 potential vorticity units (PVU) at lower levels, and 1.5 versus 0.5 PVU at upper levels].rnThe regional variability of the cyclones’ vertical structure and the profile evolution is prominent (cyclones in some regions are more sensitive to the amplitude of a particular anomaly than in other regions). Values of ∆θ and low-level ∆PV are on average larger in the western parts of the oceans than in the eastern parts. In addition, a large seasonal variability can be identified, with fewer and weaker cyclones especially in the summer, associated with higher low-tropospheric PV values, but also with a higher tropopause and much weaker surface potential temperature anomalies (compared to winter cyclones).rnrnIn the second part, we were interested in the diabatic low-level part of PV towers. Evaporative sources were identified of moisture that was involved in PV production through condensation. Lagrangian backward trajectories were calculated from the region with high PV values at low-levels in the cyclones. PV production regions were identified along these trajectories and from these regions a new set of backward trajectories was calculated and moisture uptakes were traced along them. The main contribution from surface evaporation to the specific humidity of the trajectories is collected 12-72 hours prior to therntime of PV production. The uptake region for weaker cyclones with less PV in the centre is typically more localized with reduced uptake values compared to intense cyclones. However, in a qualitative sense uptakes and other variables along single trajectories do not vary much between cyclones of different intensity in different regions.rnrnA sensitivity study with the COSMO model comprises the last part of this work. The study aims at investigating the influence of synthetic moisture modification in the cyclone environment in different stages of its development. Moisture was eliminated in three regions, which were identified as important moisture source regions for PV production. Moisture suppression affected the cyclone the most in its early phase. It led to cyclolysis shortly after its genesis. Nevertheles, a new cyclone formed on the other side of a dry box and developed relatively quickly. Also in other experiments, moisture elimination led to strong intensity reduction of the surface cyclone, limited upper-level development, and delayed or missing interaction between the two.rnrnIn summary, this thesis provides novel insight into the structure of different intensity categories of extratropical cyclones from a PV perspective, which corroborates the findings from a series of previous case studies. It reveals that all three PV anomalies are typically enhanced for more intense cyclones, with important regional differences concerning the relative amplitude of the three anomalies. The moisture source analysis is the first of this kind to study the evaporation-condensation cycle related to the intensification of extratropical cyclones. Interestingly, most of the evaporation occurs during the 3 days prior to the time of maximum cyclone intensity and typically extends over fairly large areas along the track of the cyclone. The numerical model case study complements this analysis by analyzing the impact of regionally confined moisture sources for the evolution of the cyclone.

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The thesis investigates the nucleon structure probed by the electromagnetic interaction. One of the most basic observables, reflecting the electromagnetic structure of the nucleon, are the form factors, which have been studied by means of elastic electron-proton scattering with ever increasing precision for several decades. In the timelike region, corresponding with the proton-antiproton annihilation into a electron-positron pair, the present experimental information is much less accurate. However, in the near future high-precision form factor measurements are planned. About 50 years after the first pioneering measurements of the electromagnetic form factors, polarization experiments stirred up the field since the results were found to be in striking contradiction to the findings of previous form factor investigations from unpolarized measurements. Triggered by the conflicting results, a whole new field studying the influence of two-photon exchange corrections to elastic electron-proton scattering emerged, which appeared as the most likely explanation of the discrepancy. The main part of this thesis deals with theoretical studies of two-photon exchange, which is investigated particularly with regard to form factor measurements in the spacelike as well as in the timelike region. An extraction of the two-photon amplitudes in the spacelike region through a combined analysis using the results of unpolarized cross section measurements and polarization experiments is presented. Furthermore, predictions of the two-photon exchange effects on the e+p/e-p cross section ratio are given for several new experiments, which are currently ongoing. The two-photon exchange corrections are also investigated in the timelike region in the process pbar{p} -> e+ e- by means of two factorization approaches. These corrections are found to be smaller than those obtained for the spacelike scattering process. The influence of the two-photon exchange corrections on cross section measurements as well as asymmetries, which allow a direct access of the two-photon exchange contribution, is discussed. Furthermore, one of the factorization approaches is applied for investigating the two-boson exchange effects in parity-violating electron-proton scattering. In the last part of the underlying work, the process pbar{p} -> pi0 e+e- is analyzed with the aim of determining the form factors in the so-called unphysical, timelike region below the two-nucleon production threshold. For this purpose, a phenomenological model is used, which provides a good description of the available data of the real photoproduction process pbar{p} -> pi0 gamma.

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Magnetic Resonance Spectroscopy (MRS) is an advanced clinical and research application which guarantees a specific biochemical and metabolic characterization of tissues by the detection and quantification of key metabolites for diagnosis and disease staging. The "Associazione Italiana di Fisica Medica (AIFM)" has promoted the activity of the "Interconfronto di spettroscopia in RM" working group. The purpose of the study is to compare and analyze results obtained by perfoming MRS on scanners of different manufacturing in order to compile a robust protocol for spectroscopic examinations in clinical routines. This thesis takes part into this project by using the GE Signa HDxt 1.5 T at the Pavillion no. 11 of the S.Orsola-Malpighi hospital in Bologna. The spectral analyses have been performed with the jMRUI package, which includes a wide range of preprocessing and quantification algorithms for signal analysis in the time domain. After the quality assurance on the scanner with standard and innovative methods, both spectra with and without suppression of the water peak have been acquired on the GE test phantom. The comparison of the ratios of the metabolite amplitudes over Creatine computed by the workstation software, which works on the frequencies, and jMRUI shows good agreement, suggesting that quantifications in both domains may lead to consistent results. The characterization of an in-house phantom provided by the working group has achieved its goal of assessing the solution content and the metabolite concentrations with good accuracy. The goodness of the experimental procedure and data analysis has been demonstrated by the correct estimation of the T2 of water, the observed biexponential relaxation curve of Creatine and the correct TE value at which the modulation by J coupling causes the Lactate doublet to be inverted in the spectrum. The work of this thesis has demonstrated that it is possible to perform measurements and establish protocols for data analysis, based on the physical principles of NMR, which are able to provide robust values for the spectral parameters of clinical use.

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Produktionsmechanismen für Teilchenproduktion im mittleren Energiebereich wurden in Proton-Proton Kollisionen innerhalb der COMPASS-Kollaboration mit Hilfe des COMPASS-Spektrometers am SPS Beschleuniger am CERN untersucht. Die verschiedenen Produktionsmechanismen werden mittels Produktion der Vektormesonen omega und phi studiert und können die diffraktive Anregung des Strahlteilchens mit anschliessendem Zerfall der Resonanz, zentrale Produktion und den damit verwandten “Shake-off” Mechanismus enthalten. Die für diese Arbeit verwendeten Daten wurden in den Jahren 2008 und 2009 mit 190 GeV/c-Protonen aufgenommen, die auf ein Flüssigwasserstofftarget trafen. Das Target war von einem Rückstoßprotonendetektor umgeben, der ein integraler Bestandteil des neuentwickelten Hadrontriggersystems ist. Für dieses System wurden außerdem einige neue Detektoren gebaut. Die Leistungsfähigkeit des Rückstoßprotonendetektors und des Triggersystems wird untersucht und Effizienzen extrahiert. Außerdem wird sowohl eine Methode zur Rekonstruktion von Rückstoßprotonen als auch eine Methode zur Kalibration des Rückstoßprotonendetektors entwickelt und beschrieben. Die Produktion von omega-Mesonen wurde in der Reaktion pp -> p omega p, omega -> pi+pi-pi0 und die Produktion von phi-Mesonen in der Reaktion pp -> p phi p, phi -> K+K- bei einem Impulsübertrag zwischen 0.1 (GeV/c)^2 und 1 (GeV/c)^2 gemessen. Das Produktionsverhältnis s(pp -> p phi p)/s(pp -> p omega p) wird als Funktion des longitudinalen Impulsanteils xF bestimmt und mit der Vorhersage durch die Zweigregel verglichen. Es ergibt sich eine signifikante Verletzung der Zweigregel, die abhängig von xF ist. Die Verletzung wird in Verbindung zu resonanten Strukturen im pomega-Massenspektrum diskutiert. Die xF-Abhängigkeit verschwindet, wenn man die Region niedriger pomega- und pphi-Masse entfernt, die solche resonanten Strukturen aufweist. Zusätzlich wird die Spinausrichtung bzw. das Spindichtematrixelement rho00 für omega- und phi-Mesonen untersucht. Die Spinausrichtung wird im Helizitätssystemrnanalysiert, welches für eine Abgrenzung von resonanten, diffraktiven Anregungen geeignet ist. Außerdem wird die Spinausrichtung in einem Referenzsystem mit Bezug auf die Richtung des Impulsübertrags untersucht, mit dessen Hilfe zentrale Prozesse wie zentrale Produktion oder “shake-off” abgegrenzt werden. Auch hier wird eine Abhängigkeit von xF und der invarianten Masse des pomega-Systems beobachtet. Diese Abhängigkeit kann wieder auf die resonanten Strukturen in der Produktion von omega-Mesonen zurückgeführt werden. Die Ergebnisse werden abschließend im Hinblick auf die verschiedenen Produktionsmechanismen diskutiert.

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This thesis is on loop-induced processes in theories with warped extra dimensions where the fermions and gauge bosons are allowed to propagate in the bulk, while the Higgs sector is localized on or near the infra-red brane. These so-called Randall-Sundrum (RS) models have the potential to simultaneously explain the hierarchy problem and address the question of what causes the large hierarchies in the fermion sector of the Standard Model (SM). The Kaluza-Klein (KK) excitations of the bulk fields can significantly affect the loop-level processes considered in this thesis and, hence, could indirectly indicate the existence of warped extra dimensions. The analytical part of this thesis deals with the detailed calculation of three loop-induced processes in the RS models in question: the Higgs production process via gluon fusion, the Higgs decay into two photons, and the flavor-changing neutral current b → sγ. A comprehensive, five-dimensional (5D) analysis will show that the amplitudes of the Higgs processes can be expressed in terms of integrals over 5D propagators with the Higgs-boson profile along the extra dimension, which can be used for arbitrary models with a compact extra dimension. To this end, both the boson and fermion propagators in a warped 5D background are derived. It will be shown that the seemingly contradictory results for the gluon fusion amplitude in the literature can be traced back to two distinguishable, not smoothly-connected incarnations of the RS model. The investigation of the b → sγ transition is performed in the KK decomposed theory. It will be argued that summing up the entire KK tower leads to a finite result, which can be well approximated by a closed, analytical expression.rnIn the phenomenological part of this thesis, the analytic results of all relevant Higgs couplings in the RS models in question are compared with current and in particular future sensitivities of the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) and the planned International Linear Collider. The latest LHC Higgs data is then used to exclude significant portions of the parameter space of each RS scenario. The analysis will demonstrate that especially the loop-induced Higgs couplings are sensitive to KK particles of the custodial RS model with masses in the multi tera-electronvolt range. Finally, the effect of the RS model on three flavor observables associated with the b → sγ transition are examined. In particular, we study the branching ratio of the inclusive decay B → X_s γ

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BCJ-relations have a series of important consequences in Quantum FieldrnTheory and in Gravity. In QFT, one can use BCJ-relations to reduce thernnumber of independent colour-ordered partial amplitudes and to relate nonplanarrnand planar diagrams in loop calculations. In addition, one can usernBCJ-numerators to construct gravity scattering amplitudes through a squaringrn procedure. For these reasons, it is important to nd a prescription tornobtain BCJ-numerators without requiring a diagram by diagram approach.rnIn this thesis, after introducing some basic concepts needed for the discussion,rnI will examine the existing diagrammatic prescriptions to obtainrnBCJ-numerators. Subsequently, I will present an algorithm to construct anrneective Yang-Mills Lagrangian which automatically produces kinematic numeratorsrnsatisfying BCJ-relations. A discussion on the kinematic algebrarnfound through scattering equations will then be presented as a way to xrnnon-uniqueness problems in the algorithm.

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Diese Arbeit befasst sich mit der photoinduzierten Erzeugung neutraler Pionen, sehr nahe an der Schwellenenergie. Dabei werden zwei Ziele verfolgt: Zum einen die Überprüfung von Vorhersagen dieser effektiven Theorien und Modelle, zum anderen werden hier erstmals alle relevanten Partialwellenamplituden modellunabhängig aus gemessenen Observablen bestimmt. Diese Methode soll in Zukunft auch bei höheren Energien im Bereich der Nukleonresonanzen Anwendung finden. rnrnKonkret wird die Durchführung und Analyse eines Experiments vorgestellt, welches am Mainzer Mikrotron (MAMI) in den Jahren 2010 bis 2013 mit zirkular polarisiertem Photonenstrahl stattfand. Der Photonenstrahl wurde an einer Anlage zur Erzeugung energiemarkierter Bremsstrahlung aus dem Elektronenstrahl von MAMI gewonnen. Zum Nachweis der Reaktionsprodukte diente das hermetische 4pi CB/TAPS-Detektorsystem. Erstmalig standen bei derartigen Messungen auch transversal polarisierte Protonen zur Verfügung. Dazu wird Butanol in einer speziellen Apparatur dynamisch polarisiert. Molekularer Wasserstoff lässt sich aufgrund der para-Konfiguration nicht polarisieren. Wegen der Verwendung von Butanol als Targetmaterial, bei dem weniger als 5% aller erzeugten Pionen an polarisierten Protonen produziert wurden, ist die Behandlung des Untergrunds eine zentrale Aufgabe. rnrnEs werden zwei Methoden der Untergrundseparation vorgestellt, wovon die bessere in der Analyse angewendet wurde. Abschließend findet eine ausführliche Bewertung systematischer Fehler statt.rnrnDie erstmalige Verwendung transversal polarisierter Protonen ermöglicht den Zugang zu bisher nicht gemessenen Spin"=Freiheitsgraden. In Kombination mit einem komplementären Vorläufer-Experiment aus dem Jahr 2008 mit linear polarisiertem Photonenstrahl konnten aus den gewonnenen Daten erstmals alle komplexen s- und p-Partialwellenamplituden modellunabhängig bestimmt werden. rnrnDarüber hinaus wurden im Rahmen dieser Arbeit wesentliche Verbesserungen am apparativen Aufbau erzielt. Beispiele sind ein Elektronenstrahl-Polarimeter, ein zellularer CB-Multiplizitätstrigger, sowie signifikante Verbesserungen der Datennahmeelektronik und des Triggersystems, die teilweise in dieser Arbeit vorgestellt werden.

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Adults with ambulatory hypertension or white coat hypertension (WCH) display abnormal cardiovascular rhythms. We studied cardiovascular rhythms by Fourier analysis of 24-h ambulatory blood pressure (BP) measurement profiles in 129 hypertensive children, 54 children with WCH, and 146 age-, height-, and gender-matched healthy subjects. The day/night mean arterial pressure ratio was lower in hypertensive and patients with WCH compared with controls (1.13 versus 1.16 versus 1.21, respectively; p < 0.0001). Eighty-five percent of controls were dippers compared with 74% of WCH (n.s.) and 64% of patients with ambulatory hypertension (p < 0.0001). The prevalence of 24-h rhythms was similar among the groups, but prevalence of 12-h BP rhythms was increased in hypertensive (67%) and WCH (72%) compared with controls (51%, p < 0.0001). The amplitudes of the 24-, 8-, and 6-h BP rhythms were reduced in hypertensive and WCH compared with controls (p < 0.05). Hypertensive and patients with WCH displayed delayed 24-, 12-, 8-, 6-h acrophases in comparison with controls (p < 0.05). In conclusion, hypertensive children exhibit abnormal cardiovascular rhythmicity compared with controls, especially a higher prevalence of nondipping compared with normotensive children. Abnormalities in patients with WCH are intermediate between healthy children and patients with ambulatory hypertension.

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Background: fMRI Resting State Networks (RSNs) have gained importance in the present fMRI literature. Although their functional role is unquestioned and their physiological origin is nowadays widely accepted, little is known about their relationship to neuronal activity. The combined recording of EEG and fMRI allows the temporal correlation between fluctuations of the RSNs and the dynamics of EEG spectral amplitudes. So far, only relationships between several EEG frequency bands and some RSNs could be demonstrated, but no study accounted for the spatial distribution of frequency domain EEG. Methodology/Principal Findings: In the present study we report on the topographic association of EEG spectral fluctuations and RSN dynamics using EEG covariance mapping. All RSNs displayed significant covariance maps across a broad EEG frequency range. Cluster analysis of the found covariance maps revealed the common standard EEG frequency bands. We found significant differences between covariance maps of the different RSNs and these differences depended on the frequency band. Conclusions/Significance: Our data supports the physiological and neuronal origin of the RSNs and substantiates the assumption that the standard EEG frequency bands and their topographies can be seen as electrophysiological signatures of underlying distributed neuronal networks.

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High arterial partial oxygen pressure (Pao(2)) oscillations within the respiratory cycle were described recently in experimental acute lung injury. This phenomenon has been related to cyclic recruitment of atelectasis and varying pulmonary shunt fractions. Noninvasive detection of Spo(2) (oxygen saturation measured by pulse oximetry) as an indicator of cyclic collapse of atelectasis, instead of recording Pao(2) oscillations, could be of clinical interest in critical care. Spo(2) oscillations were recorded continuously in three different cases of lung damage to demonstrate the technical feasibility of this approach. To deduce Pao(2) from Spo(2), a mathematical model of the hemoglobin dissociation curve including left and right shifts was derived from the literature and adapted to the dynamic changes of oxygenation. Calculated Pao(2) amplitudes (derived from Spo(2) measurements) were compared to simultaneously measured fast changes of Pao(2), using a current standard method (fluorescence quenching of ruthenium). Peripheral hemoglobin saturation was capable to capture changes of Spo(2) within each respiratory cycle. For the first time, Spo(2) oscillations due to cyclic recruitment of atelectasis within a respiratory cycle were determined by photoplethysmography, a technology that can be readily applied noninvasively in clinical routine. A mathematic model to calculate the respective Pao(2) changes was developed and its applicability tested.

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The purpose of this study was to evaluate the anti-nociceptive activity of ketamine and isoflurane in horses using a limb withdrawal reflex (WR) model. Single and repeated stimulations were applied to the digital nerve of the left forelimb in ponies anaesthetised with isoflurane before, during and after intravenous administration of racemic ketamine. Surface electromyographic activity was recorded from the deltoid muscle. Higher stimulation intensity was required to evoke a reflex during ketamine administration. Furthermore, the amplitudes of response to stimulations were significantly and dose-dependently depressed and a flattening of the stimulus-response curves was observed. The reflex activity recovered partially once the ketamine infusion finished. The results demonstrated that the limb WR can be used to quantify the temporal effect of ketamine on the sensory-motor processing in ponies anaesthetised with isoflurane.

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This study investigated the excitability and accommodative properties of low-threshold human motor axons to test whether these motor axons have greater expression of the persistent Na(+) conductance, I(NaP). Computer-controlled threshold tracking was used to study 22 single motor units and the data were compared with compound motor potentials of various amplitudes recorded in the same experimental session. Detailed comparisons were made between the single units and compound potentials that were 40% or 5% of maximal amplitude, the former because this is the compound potential size used in most threshold tracking studies of axonal excitability, the latter because this is the compound potential most likely to be composed entirely of motor axons with low thresholds to electrical recruitment. Measurements were made of the strength-duration relationship, threshold electrotonus, current-voltage relationship, recovery cycle and latent addition. The findings did not support a difference in I(NaP). Instead they pointed to greater activity of the hyperpolarization-activated inwardly rectifying current (I(h)) as the basis for low threshold to electrical recruitment in human motor axons. Computer modelling confirmed this finding, with a doubling of the hyperpolarization-activated conductance proving the best single parameter adjustment to fit the experimental data. We suggest that the hyperpolarization-activated cyclic nucleotide-gated (HCN) channel(s) expressed on human motor axons may be active at rest and contribute to resting membrane potential.

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This study examines the excitability and recruitment of spinal motoneurons in human sleep. The main objective was to assess whether supraspinal inhibition affects the different subpopulations of the compound spinal motoneuron pool in the same way or rather in a selective fashion in the various sleep stages. To this end, we studied F-conduction velocities (FCV) and F-tacheodispersion alongside F-amplitudes and F-persistence in 22 healthy subjects in sleep stages N2, N3 (slow-wave sleep), REM and in wakefulness. Stimuli were delivered on the ulnar nerve, and F-waves were recorded from the first dorsal interosseus muscle. Repeated sets of stimuli were stored to obtain at least 15 F-waves for each state of vigilance. F-tacheodispersion was calculated based on FCVs using the modified Kimura formula. Confirming the only previous study, excitability of spinal motoneurons was generally decreased in all sleep stages compared with wakefulness as indicated by significantly reduced F-persistence and F-amplitudes. More importantly, F-tacheodispersion showed a narrowed range of FCV in all sleep stages, most prominently in REM. In non-REM, this narrowed range was associated with a shift towards significantly decreased maximal FCV and mean FCV as well as with a trend towards lower minimal FCV. In REM, the lowering of mean FCV was even more pronounced, but contrary to non-REM sleep without a shift of minimal and maximal FCV. Variations in F-tacheodispersion between sleep stages suggest that different supraspinal inhibitory neuronal circuits acting on the spinal motoneuron pool may contribute to muscle hypotonia in human non-REM sleep and to atonia in REM sleep.

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BACKGROUND: To develop risk-adapted prevention of psychosis, an accurate estimation of the individual risk of psychosis at a given time is needed. Inclusion of biological parameters into multilevel prediction models is thought to improve predictive accuracy of models on the basis of clinical variables. To this aim, mismatch negativity (MMN) was investigated in a sample clinically at high risk, comparing individuals with and without subsequent conversion to psychosis. METHODS: At baseline, an auditory oddball paradigm was used in 62 subjects meeting criteria of a late risk at-state who remained antipsychotic-naive throughout the study. Median follow-up period was 32 months (minimum of 24 months in nonconverters, n = 37). Repeated-measures analysis of covariance was employed to analyze the MMN recorded at frontocentral electrodes; additional comparisons with healthy controls (HC, n = 67) and first-episode schizophrenia patients (FES, n = 33) were performed. Predictive value was evaluated by a Cox regression model. RESULTS: Compared with nonconverters, duration MMN in converters (n = 25) showed significantly reduced amplitudes across the six frontocentral electrodes; the same applied in comparison with HC, but not FES, whereas the duration MMN in in nonconverters was comparable to HC and larger than in FES. A prognostic score was calculated based on a Cox regression model and stratified into two risk classes, which showed significantly different survival curves. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings demonstrate the duration MMN is significantly reduced in at-risk subjects converting to first-episode psychosis compared with nonconverters and may contribute not only to the prediction of conversion but also to a more individualized risk estimation and thus risk-adapted prevention.