Temporal aggregation of migration counts can improve accuracy and precision of trends

Temporal replicate counts are often aggregated to improve model fit by reducing zero-inflation and count variability, and in the case of migration counts collected hourly throughout a migration, allows one to ignore nonindependence. However, aggregation can represent a loss of potentially useful information on the hourly or seasonal distribution of counts, which might impact our ability to estimate reliable trends. We simulated 20-year hourly raptor migration count datasets with known rate of change to test the effect of aggregating hourly counts to daily or annual totals on our ability to recover known trend. We simulated data for three types of species, to test whether results varied with species abundance or migration strategy: a commonly detected species, e.g., Northern Harrier, Circus cyaneus; a rarely detected species, e.g., Peregrine Falcon, Falco peregrinus; and a species typically counted in large aggregations with overdispersed counts, e.g., Broad-winged Hawk, Buteo platypterus. We compared accuracy and precision of estimated trends across species and count types (hourly/daily/annual) using hierarchical models that assumed a Poisson, negative binomial (NB) or zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) count distribution. We found little benefit of modeling zero-inflation or of modeling the hourly distribution of migration counts. For the rare species, trends analyzed using daily totals and an NB or ZINB data distribution resulted in a higher probability of detecting an accurate and precise trend. In contrast, trends of the common and overdispersed species benefited from aggregation to annual totals, and for the overdispersed species in particular, trends estimating using annual totals were more precise, and resulted in lower probabilities of estimating a trend (1) in the wrong direction, or (2) with credible intervals that excluded the true trend, as compared with hourly and daily counts.

Inserção de fornecedores locais como fonte de desempenhos em custos de transação e legitimidade: estudo de caso na cadeia produtiva do petróleo e gás do Rio Grande do Norte

The inclusion of local suppliers in production chains has considerable impact on its performance, but most notably in its main actors. The results of this process may be of different kinds and can be analyzed from economic or institutional approaches. This study aimed to verify the existence of different performances of Petrobras due to the inclusion of local suppliers in the oil and gas production chain in the state of Rio Grande do Norte, from the viewpoints of transaction costs and the Institutional Theory. In order to this, were made the characterization of the PROMINP, the description of its actions and results, the mapping of its institutional context of reference, and identification of results obtained by Petrobras in terms of transaction costs and legitimacy. The theoretical framework is based on authors dealing with industrial concentration, as like Marshall, Krugman, Porter and Schmitz, from the sociological perspective of neoinstitucional theory, as like DiMaggio and Powell and Scott and Meyer, and transaction costs, as like Williamson. This is a qualitative research, with data collection done by consulting secondary fonts and semi-structured interviews with nineteen actors of three groups, namely: actors involved in actions of the program, representatives of enterprises and representative of Petrobras. To analyze the content was used the Suchman s model (1995) for categories associated with strategies of legitimation and fourteen variables associated with the three variables assets specificity, bounded rationality and opportunism (Williamson, 1995, 1989) in the case of transaction costs. The results indicate that PROMINP has achieved its objectives by encouraging the increased participation of local companies in the oil and gas production chain, reflecting in the economic development of the state. The Redepetro/RN, fostered and built upon the interaction of the participants, is presented as a solution of continuity to the participation of enterprises in the chain, after the closure of the actions of the program. PROMINP demands responses to coercive, legislative and regulatory pressures of the organizational field, whose institutional context of reference is wide. From the point of view of legitimacy, through strategies to gain cognitive legitimacy and maintaining pragmatic legitimacy, Petrobras can manipulate the environment, ensuring the compliance of the constituents to their technical and institutional demands. Enterprises, in turn, respond to the demands through compliance with technical demands, mainly through the certification of processes, and cultural changes. There aren t clear gains related to the transaction costs, however, gains in legitimacy can be seen as a cumulative capital that can serve as a competitive differential that generates economic gains. In terms of theoretical findings, it was found that, due to its explanatory power for actions that are difficult to explain only in economic terms, Institutional Theory may be used as theoretical support concurrent with other theories. TCE model has limitations in explaining the program actions. In the case, it s emphasized that Petrobras doesn t seek only economic efficiency, but has in its mission the commitment to social development.

Monogenic polynomials of four variables with binomial expansion

In the recent past one of the main concern of research in the field of Hypercomplex Function Theory in Clifford Algebras was the development of a variety of new tools for a deeper understanding about its true elementary roots in the Function Theory of one Complex Variable. Therefore the study of the space of monogenic (Clifford holomorphic) functions by its stratification via homogeneous monogenic polynomials is a useful tool. In this paper we consider the structure of those polynomials of four real variables with binomial expansion. This allows a complete characterization of sequences of 4D generalized monogenic Appell polynomials by three different types of polynomials. A particularly important case is that of monogenic polynomials which are simply isomorphic to the integer powers of one complex variable and therefore also called pseudo-complex powers.

Relações entre mecanismos de coordenação e controle com desempenho organizacional: um estudo nas instituições públicas de ensino médio de Natal

This research aimed at relating coordination and control forms to organizational performance. The multicase study was applied in two public high schools: Centro Federal de Educação Tecnológica do Rio Grande do Norte and Floriano Cavalcanti. In order to accomplish these objectives, it was developed a qualitative analysis and considered coordination and control forms of several authors. Also was considered Sander´s (1984) model of organizational performance. The mentioned model considers two criteria to analyze organizational performance: one instrumental (efficiency and efficacy) and other substantive (effectiveness e relevance). The research attempts to show the importance of balancing these criteria in a way that effectiveness and relevance becomes more important at schools. It was proven that the use of bureaucratic coordination forms has the power to influence the evaluation on the instrumental technique. At the same time, it was observed that the use of mechanisms based on the autonomy of the school is related to efficiency and efficacy. The object of this research can be considered successful

Síndrome de Burnout : um estudo com guias de turismo regional em Natal-RN

Burnout is a psychological syndrome triggered in response to continuous exposure to interpersonal stressors. It is considered a multifactorial construct, which is commonly characterized by three dimensions: emotional exhaustion, dehumanization, and lack of personal accomplishment.This study aimed to verify if the three characteristics of burnout (exhaustion, lack of dehumanization and personal accomplishment) are present in people working as guides Tourism in Natal - RN. It is a descriptive and quantitative study. 109 subjects were surveyed. Data collection was done through the use of questionnaires, the instrument used was the characterization of the Burnout Scale (ECB) created and validated in Brazil by Trocoli and Tamayo (2000). In order to analyze data we used descriptive statistics, analysis of core measures, exploratory and confirmatory factor analysis, reliability analysis, cluster analysis, multiple discriminant and Spearman correlation. Factor analysis identified four factors that explain 58.3% of the total variance. Those factors were named exhaustion, deception, avoidance, and dehumanization. The reliability of the instrument, as measured by Cronbach's Alpha was 0.918, which is considered excellent reliability. The 109 subjects were grouped into three cluster, which had the deception, avoidance, and dehumanization as discriminant. It is possible to conclude that the characteristics of burnout syndrome are present in the studied population where 19 people are on the high level of burnout, moderate in 32 and 56 in the light. The correlations between socio-demographic variables studied and the dimensions of burnout, were few and weak. The variable leave for health reasons in the study appeared to be related to feelings of exhaustion and avoidance behavior appeared related to younger individuals and who work only in the activity of Receptive Tourism Guide. Verification of the incidence of burnout in individuals surveyed suggest the need to adopt intervention strategies are individual, organizational and / or combined

Propriedades óticas dos sistemas cerâmicos atuais e suas aplicações em dentes naturais

A estética representa uma qualidade cada vez mais requisitada pela sociedade na atualidade. A busca pela aparência ideal expandiu-se também na medicina dentária, aumentando as exigências por resultados perfeitos. A medicina dentária tem desenvolvido novas técnicas e novos materiais com a ambição de reproduzir as propriedades estéticas e funcionais dos dentes naturais. Os sistemas totalmente cerâmicos têm sido alvo de grande entusiasmo dado as suas características inerentes. O seu potencial na reabilitação oral estética tem derrotado as suas antecessoras metalocerâmicas. À semelhança do esmalte e da dentina, os sistemas totalmente cerâmicos exibem boas propriedades óticas de translucidez, opacidade, fluorescência e opalescência, resultado da interação com a luz. Ainda que não seja possível dissociar as propriedades óticas das propriedades mecânicas de um dente natural para o sucesso de uma restauração, a heterogeneidade das cerâmicas têm sido exitosas enquanto sistema que combina diferentes propriedades para diferentes indicações clínicas. Esta variabilidade deve-se a diferentes composições químicas e a diferentes processos de fabricação, entre outros, que acentuam ou atenuam qualidades em cada sistema totalmente cerâmico. Este trabalho pretende abordar e comparar os sistemas cerâmicos atuais (cerâmicas com base em sílica, cerâmicas com base de alumina, cerâmicas com base em zircónia) de acordo com as suas propriedades óticas e a consequente aplicação clínica tendo em conta as características dos dentes naturais.

Determinazione di mercurio mediante DMA-80

I fenomeni di contaminazione antropica da mercurio sono sempre più diffusi e preoccupanti, tanto da spingere all’ attivazione di politiche nazionali ed internazionali atte a ridurre o almeno “contenere” i rischi legati a questo metallo tossico. Con quest’obiettivo è prioritaria la necessità di determinare la concentrazione del metallo in maniera veloce, economica ed efficiente. Il seguente report intende fornire informazioni utili nell’utilizzo dello spettrofotometro DMA-80 nell’analisi di Hg in varie matrici ambientali. Lo strumento è stato acquistato dall’IAMC-CNR di Capo Granitola per rispondere alle esigenze progettuali del progetto “Dinamica dei processi di evasione e deposizione del mercurio nell’area industrializzata della Rada di Augusta e definizioni delle mappe di rischio sanitario per le popolazioni residenti” (prot.n°0000466 18/2/2011) finanziato dall’Assessorato alla Salute della Regione Sicilia con l’obbiettivo di verificare il potenziale impatto del mercurio, derivato dalle emissioni dei reflui non trattati dell’impianto di cloro-soda SYNDIAL Priolo-Gargallo sulle popolazioni residenti nell’aria fortemente industrializzata di Augusta-Melilli (Siracusa).

Necessidades e expetativas dos professores face à supervisão/avaliação de desempenho docente no âmbito da educação visual/artes visuais

Dissertação apresentada para cumprimento dos requisitos necessários à obtenção do grau de Mestre em Ciências da Educação – Especialização em Supervisão Pedagógica.

Balanço de nutrientes em explorações agrícolas da Ilha Terceira

Dissertação de Mestrado, Engenharia Agronómica, 20 de Julho de 2016, Universidade dos Açores.

Degradation of compounds present in cork boiling water by gamma radiation

Cork boiling water is an aqueous and complex dark liquor with high concentration of phenolic compounds such as phenolic acids and tannins [1, 2], which are considered biorecalcitrants [2]. Ionizing radiation has been widely studied as an alternative technology for the degradation of organic contaminants without the addition of any other (e.g.: Fenton technologies). The aim of this work was to identify the compounds present in cork boiling water and further evaluate the resulting stable degradation products after gamma irradiation. The irradiation experiments of standard solutions were carried out at room temperature using a Co-60 experimental equipment. The applied absorbed doses were 20 and 50 kGy at a dose rate of 1.5 kGy/h, determined by routine dosimeters [3]. The identification of radiolytic products was carried out by HPLC-DAD-ESI/MS. The phenolic compounds were identified by comparing their retention times and UV–vis and mass spectra with those obtained from standard compounds, when available, as well as by comparing the obtained information with available data reported in the literature. Concerning the obtained results and the literature review, the main cork wastewater components are: quinic, gallic, protocatechuic, vanillic, syringic and ellagic acids. Based on this, we used protocatechuic, vanillic and syringic acids as model compounds to study their degradation by gamma radiation in order to identify the corresponding radiolytic products. Standard aqueous solutions were irradiated and the derivatives of each model compound are represented in figure 1. The obtained results seem to demonstrate that the derivatives of the parent compounds could also be phenolic acids, since it was observed the loss of 44 u (CO2) from the [M-H]- ions. Gallic and protocatechuic acids are identified as derivatives of vanillic and syringic acids, and gallic acid as a protocatechuic acid derivative. Compound 5 ([M-H]- at m/z 169) was tentatively identified as 2,4,6-trihydroxybenzoic acid, since its fragmentation pattern (m/z 151, 125 and 107) is similar to that previously reported in literature [4]. The structure of compound 7 was proposed based on the molecular ion and its fragmentation and compound 6 remains unknown.

Inserção de fornecedores locais como fonte de desempenhos em custos de transação e legitimidade: estudo de caso na cadeia produtiva do petróleo e gás do Rio Grande do Norte

The inclusion of local suppliers in production chains has considerable impact on its performance, but most notably in its main actors. The results of this process may be of different kinds and can be analyzed from economic or institutional approaches. This study aimed to verify the existence of different performances of Petrobras due to the inclusion of local suppliers in the oil and gas production chain in the state of Rio Grande do Norte, from the viewpoints of transaction costs and the Institutional Theory. In order to this, were made the characterization of the PROMINP, the description of its actions and results, the mapping of its institutional context of reference, and identification of results obtained by Petrobras in terms of transaction costs and legitimacy. The theoretical framework is based on authors dealing with industrial concentration, as like Marshall, Krugman, Porter and Schmitz, from the sociological perspective of neoinstitucional theory, as like DiMaggio and Powell and Scott and Meyer, and transaction costs, as like Williamson. This is a qualitative research, with data collection done by consulting secondary fonts and semi-structured interviews with nineteen actors of three groups, namely: actors involved in actions of the program, representatives of enterprises and representative of Petrobras. To analyze the content was used the Suchman s model (1995) for categories associated with strategies of legitimation and fourteen variables associated with the three variables assets specificity, bounded rationality and opportunism (Williamson, 1995, 1989) in the case of transaction costs. The results indicate that PROMINP has achieved its objectives by encouraging the increased participation of local companies in the oil and gas production chain, reflecting in the economic development of the state. The Redepetro/RN, fostered and built upon the interaction of the participants, is presented as a solution of continuity to the participation of enterprises in the chain, after the closure of the actions of the program. PROMINP demands responses to coercive, legislative and regulatory pressures of the organizational field, whose institutional context of reference is wide. From the point of view of legitimacy, through strategies to gain cognitive legitimacy and maintaining pragmatic legitimacy, Petrobras can manipulate the environment, ensuring the compliance of the constituents to their technical and institutional demands. Enterprises, in turn, respond to the demands through compliance with technical demands, mainly through the certification of processes, and cultural changes. There aren t clear gains related to the transaction costs, however, gains in legitimacy can be seen as a cumulative capital that can serve as a competitive differential that generates economic gains. In terms of theoretical findings, it was found that, due to its explanatory power for actions that are difficult to explain only in economic terms, Institutional Theory may be used as theoretical support concurrent with other theories. TCE model has limitations in explaining the program actions. In the case, it s emphasized that Petrobras doesn t seek only economic efficiency, but has in its mission the commitment to social development.

Revolução Tecnológica no séc. XXI: Vulnerabilidades e Potencialidades

Esta dissertação procura analisar o fenómeno da revolução tecnológica no séc. XXI, e as suas vulnerabilidades e potencialidades. Em particular os desafios internacionais associados à crescente utilização de armamento autónomo pelos atores internacionais, tomando como caso de estudo o emprego, por parte dos Estados Unidos da América, de UAS, no combate ao terrorismo no Paquistão. Para isso, numa primeira fase analisou-se a evolução do sistema internacional, da estratégia militar e do poder aéreo, em articulação com a revolução tecnológica, particularizada nos UAS, contextualizando e enquadrando o seu aparecimento e desenvolvimento. Numa segunda fase, buscou-se a caracterização desta tipologia de armamento, analisando-se as principais questões legais e éticas aplicáveis, para aferir as suas vulnerabilidades e potencialidades. Na fase seguinte, procurou refletir-se sobre a relação desta tecnologia com o sistema internacional, com o objetivo de serem tecidas algumas considerações sobre a forma como a sua existência, comercialização e utilização poderá influenciar as relações entre atores internacionais, estatais e não estatais. Numa quarta e última fase, efetuou-se um estudo de caso, para analisar, em termos concretos, a utilização de UAS num cenário real – explorando as causas e consequências resultantes da sua utilização, os resultados obtidos e as tendências futuras – para, deste modo, melhor poder percecionar as suas potencialidades e vulnerabilidades. Com esta investigação chegou-se à conclusão que o percurso evolutivo dos UAS apresenta bastantes semelhanças com o da aviação tripulada. Para além disso constatou-se que, por se constituir numa tecnologia tão disruptiva, a utilização de UAS apresenta desafios éticos e legais, ainda que os mesmos não se apresentem, a priori, como ilegais ou antiéticos. Por fim, chegou-se à conclusão que, pelas suas características, e com o aumentar da sua proliferação, os UAS podem tornar-se num fator potenciador de conflitos, ainda que possam ter um efeito positivo na diminuição da sua dimensão e intensidade.

Relações entre mecanismos de coordenação e controle com desempenho organizacional: um estudo nas instituições públicas de ensino médio de Natal

This research aimed at relating coordination and control forms to organizational performance. The multicase study was applied in two public high schools: Centro Federal de Educação Tecnológica do Rio Grande do Norte and Floriano Cavalcanti. In order to accomplish these objectives, it was developed a qualitative analysis and considered coordination and control forms of several authors. Also was considered Sander´s (1984) model of organizational performance. The mentioned model considers two criteria to analyze organizational performance: one instrumental (efficiency and efficacy) and other substantive (effectiveness e relevance). The research attempts to show the importance of balancing these criteria in a way that effectiveness and relevance becomes more important at schools. It was proven that the use of bureaucratic coordination forms has the power to influence the evaluation on the instrumental technique. At the same time, it was observed that the use of mechanisms based on the autonomy of the school is related to efficiency and efficacy. The object of this research can be considered successful

Síndrome de Burnout : um estudo com guias de turismo regional em Natal-RN

Burnout is a psychological syndrome triggered in response to continuous exposure to interpersonal stressors. It is considered a multifactorial construct, which is commonly characterized by three dimensions: emotional exhaustion, dehumanization, and lack of personal accomplishment.This study aimed to verify if the three characteristics of burnout (exhaustion, lack of dehumanization and personal accomplishment) are present in people working as guides Tourism in Natal - RN. It is a descriptive and quantitative study. 109 subjects were surveyed. Data collection was done through the use of questionnaires, the instrument used was the characterization of the Burnout Scale (ECB) created and validated in Brazil by Trocoli and Tamayo (2000). In order to analyze data we used descriptive statistics, analysis of core measures, exploratory and confirmatory factor analysis, reliability analysis, cluster analysis, multiple discriminant and Spearman correlation. Factor analysis identified four factors that explain 58.3% of the total variance. Those factors were named exhaustion, deception, avoidance, and dehumanization. The reliability of the instrument, as measured by Cronbach's Alpha was 0.918, which is considered excellent reliability. The 109 subjects were grouped into three cluster, which had the deception, avoidance, and dehumanization as discriminant. It is possible to conclude that the characteristics of burnout syndrome are present in the studied population where 19 people are on the high level of burnout, moderate in 32 and 56 in the light. The correlations between socio-demographic variables studied and the dimensions of burnout, were few and weak. The variable leave for health reasons in the study appeared to be related to feelings of exhaustion and avoidance behavior appeared related to younger individuals and who work only in the activity of Receptive Tourism Guide. Verification of the incidence of burnout in individuals surveyed suggest the need to adopt intervention strategies are individual, organizational and / or combined