Ensaio clínico fase III para Leishmaniose Tegumentar Americana forma cutâneaequivalência entre esquemas de alta e baixa dose de antimoniato de meglumina

Neste estudo comparamos esquemas de alta e baixa dose de antimoniato de meglumina (AM) para o tratamento da forma cutânea de leishmaniose tegumentar americana, em pacientes oriundos do estado do Rio de Janeiro. OBJETIVO: Comparar a eficácia representada pela cura imediata (epitelização em 120 dias), tardia (cicatrização em 360 dias) e definitiva (ausência de reativação ou lesão mucosa em 720 dias) e toxicidade (clínica, laboratorial e eletrocardiográfica) com duas diferentes doses de tratamento com AM para leishmaniose cutânea (LC) e comparar os critérios de cura clínica aqui adotados com aqueles estabelecidos pelo Ministério da Saúde. MÉTODO: Ensaio clínico de não inferioridade, controlado, randomizado, cego e de fase III, com 60 pacientes com LC alocados em dois grupos de tratamento: (A) 20mg Sb5+/kg/dia por 20 dias e (B) 5mg Sb5+/kg/dia por 30 dias administrados por via intramuscular. RESULTADOS: Pacientes dos grupos A e B apresentaram, respectivamente: Cura imediata 90,0% e 86,7%, com tempo médio de epitelização de 58,7 e 54,9 dias; cura tardia por intenção de tratar 76,7% e 73,3%; e cura tardia por análise de protocolo 84,6% e 75,9%. Dos 53 pacientes que apresentaram epitelização em até 120 dias, 44 (83,4%) evoluíram para cura tardia. Quando avaliados conjuntamente, os efeitos adversos (EA) clínicos, laboratoriais e eletrocardiográficos foram mais frequentes no grupo A que no grupo B (médias 7,9 e 4,7) e mais graves [RR= 2,22 (IC 95% 1,22-4,06) p=0,0045] no grupo A. Os EA clínicos graus 2 e 3 foram mais frequentes no grupo A; RR=6,5 (IC 95% 1,60-26,36) p=0,001 Os EA laboratoriais foram mais frequentes RR=1,39 (IC 95% 0,99-1,93) p=0,05 e mais graves (graus 2, 3 ou 4) RR=4,67 (IC 95% 1,49-14,59) p=0,0016 no grupo A. Hiperlipasemia foi a alteração laboratorial mais frequente e mais grave. Pacientes do grupo A apresentaram um RR=4,0, p=0,006 de desenvolver hiperlipasemia moderada a grave, com fração atribuível de 75%. Dez pacientes (16,7%) necessitaram suspender o tratamento temporariamente por apresentarem QTc >0,46ms, entretanto não houve diferença entre os grupos.CONCLUSÃO: A dose de 5mg Sb5+/kg/dia mostrou-se menos tóxica, mais segura e de menor custo no tratamento da LC, especialmente em idosos e pacientes com co-morbidades, atualmente com restritas opções terapêuticas. Entretanto, a hipótese de não inferioridade da dose baixa em relação a dose alta não pôde ser comprovada A epitelização com 120 dias, seguida de progressiva melhora no sentido da cicatrização em 360 dias sugere um possível benefício com a flexibilização dos critérios de cura da LC

Northern Hemisphere atmospheric blocking as simulated by 15 atmospheric general circulation models in the period 1979-1988

As a part of the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP), the behaviour of 15 general circulation models has been analysed in order to diagnose and compare the ability of the different models in simulating Northern Hemisphere midlatitude atmospheric blocking. In accordance with the established AMIP procedure, the 10-year model integrations were performed using prescribed, time-evolving monthly mean observed SSTs spanning the period January 1979–December 1988. Atmospheric observational data (ECMWF analyses) over the same period have been also used to verify the models results. The models involved in this comparison represent a wide spectrum of model complexity, with different horizontal and vertical resolution, numerical techniques and physical parametrizations, and exhibit large differences in blocking behaviour. Nevertheless, a few common features can be found, such as the general tendency to underestimate both blocking frequency and the average duration of blocks. The problem of the possible relationship between model blocking and model systematic errors has also been assessed, although without resorting to ad-hoc numerical experimentation it is impossible to relate with certainty particular model deficiencies in representing blocking to precise parts of the model formulation.

Northern Hemisphere atmospheric blocking as simulated by 15 atmospheric general circulation models in the period 1979-1988 (Results from an AMIP diagnostic subproject)

As a part of the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP), the behaviour of 15 general circulation models has been analysed in order to diagnose and compare the ability of the different models in simulating Northern Hemisphere midlatitude atmospheric blocking. In accordance with the established AMIP procedure, the 10-year model integrations were performed using prescribed, time-evolving monthly mean observed SSTs spanning the period January 1979–December 1988. Atmospheric observational data (ECMWF analyses) over the same period have been also used to verify the models results. The models involved in this comparison represent a wide spectrum of model complexity, with different horizontal and vertical resolution, numerical techniques and physical parametrizations, and exhibit large differences in blocking behaviour. Nevertheless, a few common features can be found, such as the general tendency to underestimate both blocking frequency and the average duration of blocks. The problem of the possible relationship between model blocking and model systematic errors has also been assessed, although without resorting to ad-hoc numerical experimentation it is impossible to relate with certainty particular model deficiencies in representing blocking to precise parts of the model formulation.

Ionospheric convection response to slow, strong variations in a northward interplanetary magnetic field: A case study for January 14, 1988

We analyze ionospheric convection patterns over the polar regions during the passage of an interplanetary magnetic cloud on January 14, 1988, when the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) rotated slowly in direction and had a large amplitude. Using the assimilative mapping of ionospheric electrodynamics (AMIE) procedure, we combine simultaneous observations of ionospheric drifts and magnetic perturbations from many different instruments into consistent patterns of high-latitude electrodynamics, focusing on the period of northward IMF. By combining satellite data with ground-based observations, we have generated one of the most comprehensive data sets yet assembled and used it to produce convection maps for both hemispheres. We present evidence that a lobe convection cell was embedded within normal merging convection during a period when the IMF By and Bz components were large and positive. As the IMF became predominantly northward, a strong reversed convection pattern (afternoon-to-morning potential drop of around 100 kV) appeared in the southern (summer) polar cap, while convection in the northern (winter) hemisphere became weak and disordered with a dawn-to-dusk potential drop of the order of 30 kV. These patterns persisted for about 3 hours, until the IMF rotated significantly toward the west. We interpret this behavior in terms of a recently proposed merging model for northward IMF under solstice conditions, for which lobe field lines from the hemisphere tilted toward the Sun (summer hemisphere) drape over the dayside magnetosphere, producing reverse convection in the summer hemisphere and impeding direct contact between the solar wind and field lines connected to the winter polar cap. The positive IMF Bx component present at this time could have contributed to the observed hemispheric asymmetry. Reverse convection in the summer hemisphere broke down rapidly after the ratio |By/Bz| exceeded unity, while convection in the winter hemisphere strengthened. A dominant dawn-to-dusk potential drop was established in both hemispheres when the magnitude of By exceeded that of Bz, with potential drops of the order of 100 kV, even while Bz remained northward. The later transition to southward Bz produced a gradual intensification of the convection, but a greater qualitative change occurred at the transition through |By/Bz| = 1 than at the transition through Bz = 0. The various convection patterns we derive under northward IMF conditions illustrate all possibilities previously discussed in the literature: nearly single-cell and multicell, distorted and symmetric, ordered and unordered, and sunward and antisunward.

The United States in Southern Africa: Chester Crocker's linkage strategy 1981-1988

Chester Crocker was appointed as Reagan's Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs in 1981. He had criticised the inconsistencies of US African policy and proposed a renewed emphasis on the balance between America's global interests with specific regional priorities. While the focus of Congressmen, journalists and public opinion centred on the issue of apartheid, it was the Namibian War of Independence (South African Border War) that initially drew the attention of the Reagan administration, and it was the resolution of this war that remained the priority for the US government in this region throughout Crocker's time in office.