Desafios e perspectivas para institucionalização do monitoramento e avaliação no âmbito da gestão do Sistema Único de Saúde

Tese (doutorado)—Universidade de Brasília, Faculdade de Ciências da Saúde, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Ciências da Saúde, 2016.

Új tendenciák településeink megújulásában

Az ország népességszámának csökkenése a településhálózat szélső pólusain jelentkezik legerőteljesebben. Egyértelmű növekedés a főváros agglomerációjában, egyes üdülőterületeken és Nyugat-Magyarországon mutatható ki. Az ország 3154 településéből mindössze 160 népességszáma növekedett mind a 2000-2007 közötti, mind a 2007-2010 és 2010-2014 közötti időszakok egészében. Míg 2007-2010 között 600 település növekedési üteme volt pozitív, addig 2010-2014 között 1171. Nagyvárosaink közül 2007 után csak Budapest és Nyíregyháza népességszáma növekedett mindkét jelzett periódusban. Ezeken kívül míg 2007 és 2010 között csak Miskolc népességszáma csökkent, addig 2010 után az összes többi nagyvárosunké is.

Development of Safety Performance Functions for SafetyAnalyst Applications in Florida

In 2010, the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials (AASHTO) released a safety analysis software system known as SafetyAnalyst. SafetyAnalyst implements the empirical Bayes (EB) method, which requires the use of Safety Performance Functions (SPFs). The system is equipped with a set of national default SPFs, and the software calibrates the default SPFs to represent the agency’s safety performance. However, it is recommended that agencies generate agency-specific SPFs whenever possible. Many investigators support the view that the agency-specific SPFs represent the agency data better than the national default SPFs calibrated to agency data. Furthermore, it is believed that the crash trends in Florida are different from the states whose data were used to develop the national default SPFs. In this dissertation, Florida-specific SPFs were developed using the 2008 Roadway Characteristics Inventory (RCI) data and crash and traffic data from 2007-2010 for both total and fatal and injury (FI) crashes. The data were randomly divided into two sets, one for calibration (70% of the data) and another for validation (30% of the data). The negative binomial (NB) model was used to develop the Florida-specific SPFs for each of the subtypes of roadway segments, intersections and ramps, using the calibration data. Statistical goodness-of-fit tests were performed on the calibrated models, which were then validated using the validation data set. The results were compared in order to assess the transferability of the Florida-specific SPF models. The default SafetyAnalyst SPFs were calibrated to Florida data by adjusting the national default SPFs with local calibration factors. The performance of the Florida-specific SPFs and SafetyAnalyst default SPFs calibrated to Florida data were then compared using a number of methods, including visual plots and statistical goodness-of-fit tests. The plots of SPFs against the observed crash data were used to compare the prediction performance of the two models. Three goodness-of-fit tests, represented by the mean absolute deviance (MAD), the mean square prediction error (MSPE), and Freeman-Tukey R2 (R2FT), were also used for comparison in order to identify the better-fitting model. The results showed that Florida-specific SPFs yielded better prediction performance than the national default SPFs calibrated to Florida data. The performance of Florida-specific SPFs was further compared with that of the full SPFs, which include both traffic and geometric variables, in two major applications of SPFs, i.e., crash prediction and identification of high crash locations. The results showed that both SPF models yielded very similar performance in both applications. These empirical results support the use of the flow-only SPF models adopted in SafetyAnalyst, which require much less effort to develop compared to full SPFs.

Risk factors associated with negative in-vivo diagnostic results in bovine tuberculosis-infected cattle in Spain

BACKGROUND Despite great effort and investment incurred over decades to control bovine tuberculosis (bTB), it is still one of the most important zoonotic diseases in many areas of the world. Test-and-slaughter strategies, the basis of most bTB eradication programs carried out worldwide, have demonstrated its usefulness in the control of the disease. However, in certain countries, eradication has not been achieved due in part to limitations of currently available diagnostic tests. In this study, results of in-vivo and post-mortem diagnostic tests performed on 3,614 animals from 152 bTB-infected cattle herds (beef, dairy, and bullfighting) detected in 2007-2010 in the region of Castilla y León, Spain, were analyzed to identify factors associated with positive bacteriological results in cattle that were non-reactors to the single intradermal tuberculin test, to the interferon-gamma (IFN-γ) assay, or to both tests applied in parallel (Test negative/Culture + animals, T-/C+). The association of individual factors (age, productive type, and number of herd-tests performed since the disclosure of the outbreak) with the bacteriology outcome (positive/negative) was analyzed using a mixed multivariate logistic regression model. RESULTS The proportion of non-reactors with a positive post-mortem result ranged from 24.3% in the case of the SIT test to 12.9% (IFN-γ with 0.05 threshold) and 11.9% (95% CI 9.9-11.4%) using both tests in parallel. Older (>4.5 years) and bullfighting cattle were associated with increased odds of confirmed bTB infection by bacteriology, whereas dairy cattle showed a significantly lower risk. Ancillary use of IFN-γ assay reduced the proportion of T-/C + animals in high risk groups. CONCLUSIONS These results demonstrate the likelihood of positive bacteriological results in non-reactor cattle is influenced by individual epidemiological factors of tested animals. Increased surveillance on non-reactors with an increased probability of being false negative could be helpful to avoid bTB persistence, particularly in chronically infected herds. These findings may aid in the development of effective strategies for eradication of bTB in Spain.

A UTILIZAÇÃO DO SENSORIAMENTO REMOTO NA IDENTIFICAÇÃO DE SÍTIOS COM POTENCIAL AO DESENVOLVIMENTO DO ECOTURÍSMO

As geotecnologias são fundamentais para os estudos de identificação do potencial turístico e gestão do turismo. O objetivo da pesquisa é utilizar as técnicas de sensoriamento remoto na identificação de sítios com potencial ao desenvolvimento do ecoturismo, como quedas d’água, corredeiras, lagos, entre outros sítios no município de Monte Alegre de Minas – MG (Brasil). A metodologia parte da utilização de imagens de radar para a construção de modelos digitais de terreno e o cruzamento destas informações com bases cartográficas e dados resultantes da manipulação de imagens de satélite. O trabalho teve como fundamentação teórica o Plano Nacional de Turismo 2007 – 2010, elaborado pelo Ministério do Turismo e produções científicas de Sakitani (2006), Oliveira (2005) e Rossato (2004) e no que cabe à caracterização da região a obra de Lima (2007). Todos estes embasamentos teóricos são essenciais para a compreensão do que é a atividade turística e de como o sensoriamento remoto associado à cartografia digital podem facilitar a localização, a identificação, a quantificação, a valorização ambiental do local, o planejamento e finalmente a elaboração de material e disponibilização dos dados para a utilização dos turistas, agentes de turismo e usuários em geral.

Hoja Picagres: Uso de la Tierra

Proyecto de Actualización Cartográfica de usos de la Tierra a escala 1:10.000 GAM de Costa Rica. Elaboración de Cartografía digital y Ortofotos.

Hoja Porrosatí: Uso de la Tierra

Proyecto de Actualización Cartográfica de usos de la Tierra a escala 1:10.000 GAM de Costa Rica. Elaboración de Cartografía digital y Ortofotos.

Hoja Purires: Uso de la Tierra

Proyecto de Actualización Cartográfica de usos de la Tierra a escala 1:10.000 GAM de Costa Rica. Elaboración de Cartografía digital y Ortofotos.

Hoja Puente de Piedra: Uso de la Tierra

Proyecto de Actualización Cartográfica de usos de la Tierra a escala 1:10.000 GAM de Costa Rica. Elaboración de Cartografía digital y Ortofotos.

Hoja Punta de lanza: Uso de la Tierra

Proyecto de Actualización Cartográfica de usos de la Tierra a escala 1:10.000 GAM de Costa Rica. Elaboración de Cartografía digital y Ortofotos.

Hoja Purisil: Uso de la Tierra

Proyecto de Actualización Cartográfica de usos de la Tierra a escala 1:10.000 GAM de Costa Rica. Elaboración de Cartografía digital y Ortofotos.

Hoja Quelital: Uso de la Tierra

Proyecto de Actualización Cartográfica de usos de la Tierra a escala 1:10.000 GAM de Costa Rica. Elaboración de Cartografía digital y Ortofotos.

Hoja Quitirrisí: Uso de la Tierra

Proyecto de Actualización Cartográfica de usos de la Tierra a escala 1:10.000 GAM de Costa Rica. Elaboración de Cartografía digital y Ortofotos.

Hoja Real de Pereira: Uso de la Tierra

Proyecto de Actualización Cartográfica de usos de la Tierra a escala 1:10.000 GAM de Costa Rica. Elaboración de Cartografía digital y Ortofotos.

Hoja Ochomogo: Uso de la Tierra

Proyecto de Actualización Cartográfica de usos de la Tierra a escala 1:10.000 GAM de Costa Rica. Elaboración de Cartografía digital y Ortofotos.