Ilmastonmuutoksen vaikutus energialiiketoimintaan

Tässä kandidaatin työssä tarkasteltiin ilmastonmuutoksen vaikutuksia energialiiketoimintaan Suomessa. Ilmastonmuutoksen vaikutuksia on tutkittu RCAO- ilmastomallilla, missä luotiin ilmaston muuttumisen skenaariot eri ilmastotekijöille ajanjaksolle 2016- 2045. Mallin avulla saadut tulokset ovat suuntaa antavia ja niihin on suhtauduttava kriittisesti. Ilmastonmuutoksen myötä on odotettavissa, että vikojen määrä tulee lisääntymään. Suomessa suuri osa keskijänniteverkosta on rakennettu metsien läpi ja ne ovat erittäin vika-alttiita. Tuulisuuden lisääntyminen, ukkosmäärien kasvu ja tykkylumi lisäävät tulevaisuudessa metsien keskelle rakennettujen verkkojen vikoja ellei niitä kehitetä vikavarmemmiksi. Verkkojen siirtäminen teiden varsiin ja kaapelointiasteen lisääminen ovat varmasti oikeita ratkaisuja tulevaisuuden kannalta. Verkkoyhtiöille ilmastonmuutos aiheuttaa luultavasti enemmän haittoja kuin hyötyjä. Vikojen lisääntyminen ja kunnossapidon kasvu aiheuttavat kuluja ja heikentävät energialiiketoiminnan kannattavuutta. Verkon luotettavuuden parantaminen näkyy investointikustannusten kasvuna. Sadannan lisääntyminen ja routaantumisen vähentyminen pehmentää maata ja heikentää kunnossapitoon käytettävien koneiden liikkumista maastossa.

Suicide par sulfure d'hydrogène et délai post mortem long : à propos d'un cas. [Suicide by hydrogen sulfide inhalation and significant post mortem delay: A case report].

L'hydrogène sulfuré (H2S) est un gaz toxique retrouvé à l'état naturel et dans certains milieux industriels, à l'origine d'intoxication accidentelle, mais pouvant être également et facilement synthétisé de manière domestique. Des cas de suicide par hydrogène sulfuré ont ainsi été décrits à partir de produits ménagers dans la littérature depuis 2009, aux États-Unis et au Japon. La plupart présentait des délais post mortem (DPM) courts (moins de 72 heures). En France, les intoxications aiguës à l'H2S demeurent rares et sont le plus souvent liées à des accidents du travail. Nous rapportons ici le cas d'un homme âgé de 37 ans découvert à son domicile, en état de décomposition avancée avec un DPM de deux mois. Compte tenu de la présence d'une importante signalétique avisant du danger potentiel d'exposition à l'H2S, des mesures de précaution ont été mises en oeuvre dès la découverte du corps et poursuivies jusqu'aux opérations d'autopsie. Les analyses toxicologiques ont confirmé la présence d'H2S au niveau des prélèvements de cerveau et de muscle. Le cas présenté constitue le premier cas de suicide avec un délai post mortem long à l'H2S rapporté en France. Dans la littérature, les constatations macroscopiques à l'autopsie ne sont pas spécifiques tandis que les analyses toxicologiques reposent essentiellement sur la recherche et la quantification d'H2S. En raison de leur redistribution post mortem, les résultats de ces analyses doivent être interprétés avec prudence, et encore plus en cas de délai post mortem long et de phénomènes de putréfaction qui peuvent également être une source de génération d'H2S post mortem. Hydrogen sulfide (H2S) which is a poisonous gas found either in the natural state or in industrial environments and potentially linked with accidental intoxication, can also be easily handmade. Several cases of suicide by inhaling H2S produced by mixing household products have been reported in the literature since 2009 in USA and Japan. Most of them involved short post mortem delays up to 72 hours. In France, acute H2S poisoning remains rare and mostly accidental. We report the case of a 37-year-old man found at home, in an advanced stage of decomposition with a 2-month post mortem delay. As numerous warning signs about a high risk of H2S exposure were present, some precautionary measures were taken from the discovery of the cadaver to the autopsy. Toxicological analyses confirmed the presence of H2S in brain and muscle samples. This observation is the first French case with a long post mortem delay. As macroscopic findings in such cases are described to be unspecific in literature, toxicological analysis must focus on the detection and the quantification of H2S. However, due to the phenomena of post mortem drug redistribution and neo-formation, their results should be interpreted with much more caution when the post mortem delay is long. The potential increase in such voluntary-intoxication-related-deaths in France, similar to the recent Japanese and American waves of suicides, requires for forensic scientists, a good knowledge of both thanatological and toxicological pictures, and precautionary measures to adopt in such situations.

Repetitive Deliberate Fires: Critical Review of the Situation and Proposal of a Follow-Up Process and Systematic Analysis

Deliberate fires appear to be borderless and timeless events creating a serious security problem. There have been many attempts to develop approaches to tackle this problem, but unfortunately acting effectively against deliberate fires has proven a complex challenge. This article reviews the current situation relating to deliberate fires: what do we know, how serious is the situation, how is it being dealt with, and what challenges are faced when developing a systematic and global methodology to tackle the issues? The repetitive nature of some types of deliberate fires will also be discussed. Finally, drawing on the reality of repetition within deliberate fires and encouraged by successes obtained in previous repetitive crimes (such as property crimes or drug trafficking), we will argue that the use of the intelligence process cycle as a framework to allow a follow-up and systematic analysis of fire events is a relevant approach. This is the first article of a series of three articles. This first part is introducing the context and discussing the background issues in order to provide a better underpinning knowledge to managers and policy makers planning on tackling this issue. The second part will present a methodology developed to detect and identify repetitive fire events from a set of data, and the third part will discuss the analyses of these data to produce intelligence.

Identifying Pertinent Variables for Nonresponse Follow-Up Surveys : Lessons Learned from 4 Cases in Switzerland

All social surveys suffer from different types of errors, of which one of the most studied is non-response bias. Non-response bias is a systematic error that occurs because individuals differ in their accessibility and propensity to participate in a survey according to their own characteristics as well as those from the survey itself. The extent of the problem heavily depends on the correlation between response mechanisms and key survey variables. However, non-response bias is difficult to measure or to correct for due to the lack of relevant data about the whole target population or sample. In this paper, non-response follow-up surveys are considered as a possible source of information about non-respondents. Non-response follow-ups, however, suffer from two methodological issues: they themselves operate through a response mechanism that can cause potential non-response bias, and they pose a problem of comparability of measure, mostly because the survey design differs between main survey and non-response follow-up. In order to detect possible bias, the survey variables included in non-response surveys have to be related to the mechanism of participation, but not be sensitive to measurement effects due to the different designs. Based on accumulated experience of four similar non-response follow-ups, we studied the survey variables that fulfill these conditions. We differentiated socio-demographic variables that are measurement-invariant but have a lower correlation with non-response and variables that measure attitudes, such as trust, social participation, or integration in the public sphere, which are more sensitive to measurement effects but potentially more appropriate to account for the non-response mechanism. Our results show that education level, work status, and living alone, as well as political interest, satisfaction with democracy, and trust in institutions are pertinent variables to include in non-response follow-ups of general social surveys. - See more at: https://ojs.ub.uni-konstanz.de/srm/article/view/6138#sthash.u87EeaNG.dpuf

Ilmastonmuutos ja pitkän sähkökatkon haitat

Tämän diplomityön päätavoitteena oli tutkia millaisia vaikutuksia ilmastonmuutoksella on pitkiin sähkökatkoihin ja miten pitkä sähkökatko vaikuttaa yhteiskunnan toimintoihin sekä sähkönkäyttäjiin. Työn alussa käydään läpi ilmastonmuutos ilmiönä. Sittemmin tutkitaan erilaisia ilmastomalleja ja malleista saatuja tuloksia esimerkiksi lämpötilan ja tuulisuuden osalta. Myös roudan ja tykkylumen esiintymiseen paneudutaan. Yli puolet työstä koostuu yhteiskunnan sähkökatkon sietämisen tutkimisesta. Perustoimintojen, kuten vesijohtojen, lämmityksen ja puhelimen toimintaa tutkitaan. Työssä tehdään myös katsaus kuntien valmistuneisuuteen valmiussuunnitelmien ja varavoiman osalta.

3,4-Methylenedioxy-methamphetamine induces in vivo regional up-regulation of central nicotinic receptors in rats and potentiates the regulatory effects of nicotine on these receptors

Nicotine (NIC), the main psychostimulant compound of smoked tobacco, exerts its effects through activation of central nicotinic acetylcholine receptors (nAChR), which become up-regulated after chronic administration. Recent work has demonstrated that the recreational drug 3,4-methylenedioxymethamphetamine (MDMA) has affinity for nAChR and also induces up-regulation of nAChR in PC 12 cells. Tobacco and MDMA are often consumed together. In the present work we studied the in vivo effect of a classic chronic dosing schedule of MDMA in rats, alone or combined with a chronic schedule of NIC, on the density of nAChR and on serotonin reuptake transporters. MDMA induced significant decreases in [3H]paroxetine binding in the cortex and hippocampus measured 24 h after the last dose and these decreases were not modified by the association with NIC. In the prefrontal cortex, NIC and MDMA each induced significant increases in [3H]epibatidine binding (29.5 and 34.6%, respectively) with respect to saline-treated rats, and these increases were significantly potentiated (up to 72.1%) when the two drugs were associated. Also in this area, [3H]methyllycaconitine binding was increased a 42.1% with NIC + MDMA but not when they were given alone. In the hippocampus, MDMA potentiated the a7 regulatory effects of NIC (raising a 25.5% increase to 52.5%) but alone was devoid of effect. MDMA had no effect on heteromeric nAChR in striatum and a coronal section of the midbrain containing superior colliculi, geniculate nuclei, substantia nigra and ventral tegmental area. Specific immunoprecipitation of solubilised receptors suggests that the up-regulated heteromeric nAChRs contain a4 and b2 subunits. Western blots with specific a4 and a7 antibodies showed no significant differences between the groups, indicating that, as reported for nicotine, up-regulation caused by MDMA is due to post-translational events rather than increased receptor synthesis.

Low-fat dairy products and blood pressure: follow-up of 2290 older persons at high cardiovascular risk participating in the PREDIMED study

High blood pressure (BP) has been ranked as the most important risk factor worldwide regarding attributable deaths. Dietary habits are major determinants of BP. Among them, frequent intake of low-fat dairy products may protect against hypertension. Our aim was to assess the relationship between low-fat dairy product intake and BP levels and their changes after 12 month follow-up in a cohort of asymptomatic older persons at high cardiovascular risk recruited into a large-scale trial assessing the effects of Mediterranean diets on cardiovascular outcomes. Data from 2290 participants, including 1845 with hypertension, were available for analyses. Dairy products were not a specific part of the intervention; thus, data were analysed as an observational cohort. Dietary information was collected with validated semi-quantitative FFQ and trained personnel measured BP. To assess BP changes, we undertook cross-sectional analyses at baseline and at the end of follow-up and longitudinal analyses. A statistically significant inverse association between low-fat dairy product intake and systolic BP was observed for the 12-month longitudinal analysis. In the longitudinal analysis, the adjusted systolic and diastolic BP were significantly lower in the highest quintile of low-fat dairy product intake ( 2 4·2 (95% CI 2 6·9, 2 1·4) and 2 1·8 (95% CI 2 3·2, 2 0·4) mmHg respectively), whereas the point estimates for the difference in diastolic BP indicated a modest non-significant inverse association. Intake of low-fat dairy products was inversely associated with BP in an older population at high cardiovascular risk, suggesting a possible protective effect against hypertension.

Traditional cockney and popular London speech

This paper gives a full description of the phonetics and phonology of Traditional Cockney and Popular London speech, treating these varieties as constituting a continuum rather than two separate dialects. Exemplification of the vowels, diphthongs and consonants is provided, both in isolate words and in connected speech, along with their range of variation. The frequencies of the vowels have been charted on the basis of the pronunciation of three elderly male speakers. Regarding the consonants, there are detailed observations on the features typically associated with the linguistic varieties examined: strong aspiration of unvoiced plosives, glottalization, H-dropping, L-vocalization and TH-fronting. A section on prosody provides coverage of lexical stress, rhythm and intonation. The paper takes into account up-to-date research on these phenomena, but does not deal with the most recent vowel shifts, some of which form part of Multi-cultural London English.

A single-blind, randomised controlled trial on the effects of lithium and quetiapine monotherapy on the trajectory of cognitive functioning in first episode mania: A 12-month follow-up study.

BACKGROUND: Cognitive deficits have been reported during the early stages of bipolar disorder; however, the role of medication on such deficits remains unclear. The aim of this study was to compare the effects of lithium and quetiapine monotherapy on cognitive performance in people following first episode mania. METHODS: The design was a single-blind, randomised controlled trial on a cohort of 61 participants following first episode mania. Participants received either lithium or quetiapine monotherapy as maintenance treatment over a 12-month follow-up period. The groups were compared on performance outcomes using an extensive cognitive assessment battery conducted at baseline, month 3 and month 12 follow-up time-points. RESULTS: There was a significant interaction between group and time in phonemic fluency at the 3-month and 12-month endpoints, reflecting greater improvements in performance in lithium-treated participants relative to quetiapine-treated participants. After controlling for multiple comparisons, there were no other significant interactions between group and time for other measures of cognition. CONCLUSION: Although the effects of lithium and quetiapine treatment were similar for most cognitive domains, the findings imply that early initiation of lithium treatment may benefit the trajectory of cognition, specifically verbal fluency in young people with bipolar disorder. Given that cognition is a major symptomatic domain of bipolar disorder and has substantive effects on general functioning, the ability to influence the trajectory of cognitive change is of considerable clinical importance.

Sleep in vitro : Erk pathway regulates sleep duration and sleep related genes

To date, for most biological and physiological phenomena, the scientific community has reach a consensus on their related function, except for sleep, which has an undetermined, albeit mystery, function. To further our understanding of sleep function(s), we first focused on the level of complexity at which sleep-like phenomenon can be observed. This lead to the development of an in vitro model. The second approach was to understand the molecular and cellular pathways regulating sleep and wakefulness, using both our in vitro and in vivo models. The third approach (ongoing) is to look across evolution when sleep or wakefulness appears. (1) To address the question as to whether sleep is a cellular property and how this is linked to the entire brain functioning, we developed a model of sleep in vitro by using dissociated primary cortical cultures. We aimed at simulating the major characteristics of sleep and wakefulness in vitro. We have shown that mature cortical cultures display a spontaneous electrical activity similar to sleep. When these cultures are stimulated by waking neurotransmitters, they show a tonic firing activity, similar to wakefulness, but return spontaneously to the "sleep-like" state 24h after stimulation. We have also shown that transcriptional, electrophysiological, and metabolic correlates of sleep and wakefulness can be reliably detected in dissociated cortical cultures. (2) To further understand at which molecular and cellular levels changes between sleep and wakefulness occur, we have used a pharmacological and systematic gene transcription approach in vitro and discovered a major role played by the Erk pathway. Indeed, pharmacological inhibition of this pathway in living animals decreased sleep by 2 hours per day and consolidated both sleep and wakefulness by reducing their fragmentation. (3) Finally, we tried to evaluate the presence of sleep in one of the most primitive species with a neural network. We set up Hydra as a model organism. We hypothesized that sleep as a cellular (neuronal) property may occur with the appearance of the most primitive nervous system. We were able to show that Hydra have periodic rest phases amounting to up to 5 hours per day. In conclusion, our work established an in vitro model to study sleep, discovered one of the major signaling pathways regulating vigilance states, and strongly suggests that sleep is a cellular property highly conserved at the molecular level during evolution. -- Jusqu'à ce jour, la communauté scientifique s'est mise d'accord sur la fonction d'une majorité des processus physiologiques, excepté pour le sommeil. En effet, la fonction du sommeil reste un mystère, et aucun consensus n'est atteint le concernant. Pour mieux comprendre la ou les fonctions du sommeil, (1) nous nous sommes d'abord concentré sur le niveau de complexité auquel un état ressemblant au sommeil peut être observé. Nous avons ainsi développé un modèle du sommeil in vitro, (2) nous avons disséqué les mécanismes moléculaires et cellulaires qui pourraient réguler le sommeil, (3) nous avons cherché à savoir si un état de sommeil peut être trouvé dans l'hydre, l'animal le plus primitif avec un système nerveux. (1) Pour répondre à la question de savoir à quel niveau de complexité apparaît un état de sommeil ou d'éveil, nous avons développé un modèle du sommeil, en utilisant des cellules dissociées de cortex. Nous avons essayé de reproduire les corrélats du sommeil et de l'éveil in vitro. Pour ce faire, nous avons développé des cultures qui montrent les signes électrophysiologiques du sommeil, puis quand stimulées chimiquement passent à un état proche de l'éveil et retournent dans un état de sommeil 24 heures après la stimulation. Notre modèle n'est pas parfait, mais nous avons montré que nous pouvions obtenir les corrélats électrophysiologiques, transcriptionnels et métaboliques du sommeil dans des cellules corticales dissociées. (2) Pour mieux comprendre ce qui se passe au niveau moléculaire et cellulaire durant les différents états de vigilance, nous avons utilisé ce modèle in vitro pour disséquer les différentes voies de signalisation moléculaire. Nous avons donc bloqué pharmacologiquement les voies majeures. Nous avons mis en évidence la voie Erkl/2 qui joue un rôle majeur dans la régulation du sommeil et dans la transcription des gènes qui corrèlent avec le cycle veille-sommeil. En effet, l'inhibition pharmacologique de cette voie chez la souris diminue de 2 heures la quantité du sommeil journalier et consolide l'éveil et le sommeil en diminuant leur fragmentation. (3) Finalement, nous avons cherché la présence du sommeil chez l'Hydre. Pour cela, nous avons étudié le comportement de l'Hydre pendant 24-48h et montrons que des périodes d'inactivité, semblable au sommeil, sont présentes dans cette espèce primitive. L'ensemble de ces travaux indique que le sommeil est une propriété cellulaire, présent chez tout animal avec un système nerveux et régulé par une voie de signalisation phylogénétiquement conservée.