951 resultados para psychotic break


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En el artículo se analiza cómo los acuerdos regionales, que proliferaron a partir de los años noventa, contribuyen a fragmentar o consolidar el proceso de integración de la Comunidad Andina. Para el autor, existen elementos objetivos, económicos y estratégicos, sobre la base de los cuales se pueden elaborar lineamientos de confluencia mínima que partan de lo positivo de los acuerdos de integración formales y que incluyan los nuevos elementos de propuestas alternativas.

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El artículo analiza un ámbito de la participación de los indígenas en la coyuntura de quiebre del régimen monárquico producida en Quito ante las noticias de la invasión napoleónica y la abdicación del trono español en favor de José Bonaparte. El trabajo investiga si los indígenas de Quito fueron fundamentalmente indiferentes ante la proclamación de autonomía de la primera junta quiteña en 1809 o si tuvieron alguna propuesta específica durante el período de mayor convulsión y movilización entre 1810 y 1812. De otro lado, explora las actitudes de la élite y la plebe en el período. El trabajo pone atención en el ambiente de temor que la movilización popular suscitó luego de los abusos y la cruenta represión cometidas por las tropas limeñas acantonadas en Quito, en 1810.

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Este estudio analiza las diversas posiciones asumidas por los indígenas frente a la Revolución de Quito de 1809. Siguiendo a dos personajes clave del Corregimiento de Riobamba, un cacique y un indio, busca las causas de la adhesión o del rechazo. Con ese propósito se estudian varias coyunturas que empiezan a mediados del siglo XVIII, desde las peticiones caciquiles y el posterior reacomodo de las autoridades indígenas efectuadas por los reformistas borbónicos, las continuas imposiciones tributarias y el terremoto de 1797, que desembocan en el levantamiento indígena de 1803. El artículo muestra una ruptura radical entre los indios del común y el pensamiento criollo fundador de la nación.

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La autora analiza tres ejemplos de la actual narrativa oral quechua del distrito de Chinchero, en Perú. En ellos muestra cómo la incorporación del simbolismo culinario es una herramienta para inculcar y reforzar ciertas costumbres o la historia sociocultural del ayllu. En esta narrativa, la presencia de personajes que violan la etiqueta culinaria de la comunidad presagia, con frecuencia, eventos funestos, anticiparían la llegada de la muerte o de un personaje malévolo (el “condenado”, la layqa, la suq’a), o la desintegración de relaciones familiares. Por otro lado, si en la trama algún personaje ofrece comida bajo circunstancias inusuales o misteriosas, esta llega a causar daño o es, incluso, mortal. Para aumentar la tensión, los narradores quechuas utilizan la mímica, los efectos sonoros, las alusiones culinarias a comidas adulteradas, la creación de la estructura paralela y la repetición de los conceptos e ideas clave. La autora concluye que los relatos de advertencia cumplen dos funciones: entretener y enseñar, fortaleciendo en ambos casos la cohesión social en el ayllu.

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El autor interpreta el poemario Mordiendo el frío, del ecuatoriano Edwin Madrid. Lo hace a la luz de una afirmación del filósofo Alain Badiou: que el poema actual tiene solo una responsabilidad estética, ya no filosófica. Barreto afirma que Madrid muestra el deslinde entre filosofía y el poema moderno, para ello, se vale del lenguaje coloquial, el humor y la gozosa levedad sexual de Valerio, el personaje poético del libro. Según Barreto, el lenguaje poético, vacío, ya no cataliza la experiencia del sujeto: deviene en pura información. Añade que tal desconfianza en la poesía y el lenguaje líricos constituye una velada crítica a la institucionalización del género. Así, esta obra mostraría el agotamiento lírico de cierta poesía moderna. Barreto sugiere que dicho agotamiento se inserta en las condiciones globalizadas de las sociedades actuales, y que participa de la muerte de la experiencia en el sujeto moderno. Concluye que Madrid no lamenta la ruptura entre filosofía y poesía, por el contrario, busca trazar nuevas sensibilidades, signadas por la cotidianidad posmoderna.

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En las primeras décadas del siglo XX, la Argentina sufrió un desajuste económico y social respecto del plan estratégico de 1880. Los acontecimientos históricos rompieron el modelo de la prosperidad infinita y pusieron de manifiesto la disolución del ser nacional en revueltas militares, fraude electoral, corrupción, caudillismo y brechas profundas entre regiones y clases sociales. Hacia 1930, la escritura de Roberto Artl se presenta como un cuestionamiento acerca de los límites del proyecto modernizador y de las instancias más significativas del mandato de progreso histórico. Los personajes de sus ficciones le permiten al escritor proyectar una interpretación no solo de su ser caído y angustiado, sino también del sujeto desligado de aquella sociabilidad propuesta por la generación de los románticos y que en 1880 parecía determinar una identidad estable, según reglas aparentemente seguras. El escritor posee la visión de que 1930 es el momento histórico que exige otro estatuto de lo real. El efecto de lectura de la obra de Arlt reside en la manipulación indefinida del lenguaje literario a través de la propuesta de personajes anclados en la percepción de un mundo que los excluye y de una peripecia narrativa que devela la descentración de la Historia como relato total. Consecuentemente, su eficacia es impactar y movilizar el cuerpo social a través de la producción imaginaria como una versión literaria de la Historia.

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This paper analyzes two claims that have been made about the Target2 payment system. The first one is that this system has been used to support unsustainable current account deficits of Southern European countries. The second one is that the large accumulation of Target2 claims by the Bundesbank represents an unacceptable risk for Germany if the eurozone were to break up. We argue that these claims are unfounded. They also lead to unnecessary fears in Germany that make a solution of the eurozone crisis more difficult. Ultimately, this fear increases the risk of a break-up of the eurozone. Or to paraphrase Franklin Roosevelt, what Germany should fear most is simply its own fear.

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Cross-border banking is currently not stable in Europe. Cross-border banks need a European safety net. Moreover, a truly integrated European level banking system may help to break the diabolical loop between the solvency of the domestic banking system and the fiscal standing of the national sovereign. This policy paper first sketches the building blocks of a banking union. Importantly, a new European Deposit Insurance and Resolution Authority (EDIRA) should start simultaneously with the ECB assuming supervisory powers. A combination of European supervision and local resolution cannot work because it is not ‘incentive compatible’. Next, this paper proposes a transition period to gradually phase in the European deposit insurance coverage. Finally, we calculate that a European Deposit Insurance Fund would amount to about €30-50 billion for the 75 euro area banks that were subject to the EBA stress tests. This Fund could be created over a period of time through risk-based deposit insurance premiums levied on these banks. Once up and running, the Fund would then turn into a European Deposit Insurance and Resolution Fund to also deal with the resolution of one or more of these European banks.

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The behavior of the Asian summer monsoon is documented and compared using the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Reanalysis (ERA) and the National Centers for Environmental Prediction-National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP-NCAR) Reanalysis. In terms of seasonal mean climatologies the results suggest that, in several respects, the ERA is superior to the NCEP-NCAR Reanalysis. The overall better simulation of the precipitation and hence the diabatic heating field over the monsoon domain in ERA means that the analyzed circulation is probably nearer reality. In terms of interannual variability, inconsistencies in the definition of weak and strong monsoon years based on typical monsoon indices such as All-India Rainfall (AIR) anomalies and the large-scale wind shear based dynamical monsoon index (DMI) still exist. Two dominant modes of interannual variability have been identified that together explain nearly 50% of the variance. Individually, they have many features in common with the composite flow patterns associated with weak and strong monsoons, when defined in terms of regional AIR anomalies and the large-scale DMI. The reanalyses also show a common dominant mode of intraseasonal variability that describes the latitudinal displacement of the tropical convergence zone from its oceanic-to-continental regime and essentially captures the low-frequency active/break cycles of the monsoon. The relationship between interannual and intraseasonal variability has been investigated by considering the probability density function (PDF) of the principal component of the dominant intraseasonal mode. Based on the DMI, there is an indication that in years with a weaker monsoon circulation, the PDF is skewed toward negative values (i,e., break conditions). Similarly, the PDFs for El Nino and La Nina years suggest that El Nino predisposes the system to more break spells, although the sample size may limit the statistical significance of the results.

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The monsoon depressions that form over India during the summer are analyzed using simulations from the Laboratoire de Meteorologie Dynamique general circulation model. This type of synoptic system often occurs with a frequency of one to two per month and can produce a strong Indian rainfall. Two kinds of analyses are conducted in this study. The first one is a subjective analysis based on the evolution of the precipitation rate and the pattern of the sea level pressure. The second one is an objective analysis performed using the TRACK program, which identifies and tracks the minima in the sea level pressure anomaly held and computes the statistics for the distribution of systems. The analysis of a 9-yr control run, which simulates strong precipitation rates over the foothills of the Himalayas and over southern India but weak rates over central India, shows that the number of disturbances is coo low and that they almost never occur during August, when break conditions prevail. The generated disturbances more often move north, toward the foothills of the Himalayas. Another analysis is performed to study the effect of the Tibetan Plateau elevation on these disturbances with a 9-yr run carried out with a Tibetan Plateau at 50% of its current height. It is shown that this later integration simulates more frequent monsoon disturbances, which move rather northwestward, in agreement with the current observations. The comparison between the two runs shows that the June-July-August rainfall difference is in large part due to changes in the occurrence of the monsoon disturbances.

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Climate model simulations of past and future climate invariably contain prescribed zonal mean stratospheric ozone. While the effects of zonal asymmetry in ozone have been examined in the Northern Hemisphere, much greater zonal asymmetry occurs in the Southern Hemisphere during the break up of the Antarctic ozone hole. We prescribe a realistic three-dimensional distribution of ozone in a high vertical resolution atmospheric model and compare results with a simulation containing zonal mean ozone. Prescribing the three dimensional ozone distribution results in a cooling of the stratosphere and upper troposphere comparable to that caused by ozone depletion itself. Our results suggest that changes in the zonal asymmetry of ozone have had important impacts on Southern Hemisphere climate, and will continue to do so in the future.

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The intraseasonal variability (ISV) of the Indian summer monsoon is dominated by a 30–50 day oscillation between “active” and “break” events of enhanced and reduced rainfall over the subcontinent, respectively. These organized convective events form in the equatorial Indian Ocean and propagate north to India. Atmosphere–ocean coupled processes are thought to play a key role the intensity and propagation of these events. A high-resolution, coupled atmosphere–mixed-layer-oceanmodel is assembled: HadKPP. HadKPP comprises the Hadley Centre Atmospheric Model (HadAM3) and the K Profile Parameterization (KPP) mixed-layer ocean model. Following studies that upper-ocean vertical resolution and sub-diurnal coupling frequencies improve the simulation of ISV in SSTs, KPP is run at 1 m vertical resolution near the surface; the atmosphere and ocean are coupled every three hours. HadKPP accurately simulates the 30–50 day ISV in rainfall and SSTs over India and the Bay of Bengal, respectively, but suffers from low ISV on the equator. This is due to the HadAM3 convection scheme producing limited ISV in surface fluxes. HadKPP demonstrates little of the observed northward propagation of intraseasonal events, producing instead a standing oscillation. The lack of equatorial ISV in convection in HadAM3 constrains the ability of KPP to produce equatorial SST anomalies, which further weakens the ISV of convection. It is concluded that while atmosphere–ocean interactions are undoubtedly essential to an accurate simulation of ISV, they are not a panacea for model deficiencies. In regions where the atmospheric forcing is adequate, such as the Bay of Bengal, KPP produces SST anomalies that are comparable to the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission Microwave Imager (TMI) SST analyses in both their magnitude and their timing with respect to rainfall anomalies over India. HadKPP also displays a much-improved phase relationship between rainfall and SSTs over a HadAM3 ensemble forced by observed SSTs, when both are compared to observations. Coupling to mixed-layer models such as KPP has the potential to improve operational predictions of ISV, particularly when the persistence time of SST anomalies is shorter than the forecast lead time.

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(From author). Comments: First 3D stochastic/fractal model of cirrus; first detailed analysis & explanation of power spectra of ice water content, including first observations of 50-km scale break and mixing-induced steepening of spectrum; first demonstration of the potential effect of wind shear on radiative fluxes by changing fall-streak orientation. Has spawned work on the effect of 3D photon transport on the radiative effects of cirrus clouds.

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In 2002 India experienced a severe drought, one among the five worst droughts since records began in 1871, notable for its countrywide influence. The drought was primarily due to an unprecedented break in the monsoon during July, which persisted for almost the whole month and affected most of the sub-continent. The failure of the monsoon in 2002 was not predicted and India was not prepared for the devastating impacts on, for example, agriculture. This paper documents the evolution of the 2002 Indian summer monsoon and considers the possible factors that contributed to the drought and the failure of the forecasts. The development of the 2002/2003 El Nino and the unusually high levels of Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) activity during the monsoon season are identified as the central players. The 2002/2003 El Nino was characterised by very high sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) in the central Pacific that developed rapidly during the monsoon season. It is suggested that the unusual character of the developing El Nino was associated with the MJO and was a consequence of the eastward extension of the West Pacific Warm Pool, brought about primarily by a series of westerly wind events (WWEs) as part of the eastward movement of the active phase of the MJO. During the boreal summer, the MJO is usually characterised by northward movement, but in 2002 the northward component of the MJO was weak and the MJO was dominated by a strong eastward component, probably driven by the abnormally high SSTs in the central Pacific. It is suggested that a positive feedback existed between the developing El Nino and the eastward component of the MJO, which weakened the active phases of the monsoon. In particular, the unprecedented monsoon break in July could be associated with the juxtaposition of strong MJO activity with a developing El Nino, both of which interfered constructively with each other to produce major perturbations to the distribution of tropical heating. Subsequently, the main impact of the developing El Nino was a modulation of the Walker circulation that led to the overall suppression of the Indian monsoon during thess latter part of the season. It is argued that the unique combination of a rapidly developing El Nino and strong MJO activity, which was timed within the seasonal cycle to have maximum impact on the Indian summer monsoon, meant that prediction of the prolonged break in July and the seasonally deficient rainfall was a challenge for both the empirical and dynamical forecasting systems. Copyright (C) 2006 Royal Meteorological Society.