Spatial prediction of monthly wind speeds in complex terrain with adaptive general regression neural networks

This paper presents the general regression neural networks (GRNN) as a nonlinear regression method for the interpolation of monthly wind speeds in complex Alpine orography. GRNN is trained using data coming from Swiss meteorological networks to learn the statistical relationship between topographic features and wind speed. The terrain convexity, slope and exposure are considered by extracting features from the digital elevation model at different spatial scales using specialised convolution filters. A database of gridded monthly wind speeds is then constructed by applying GRNN in prediction mode during the period 1968-2008. This study demonstrates that using topographic features as inputs in GRNN significantly reduces cross-validation errors with respect to low-dimensional models integrating only geographical coordinates and terrain height for the interpolation of wind speed. The spatial predictability of wind speed is found to be lower in summer than in winter due to more complex and weaker wind-topography relationships. The relevance of these relationships is studied using an adaptive version of the GRNN algorithm which allows to select the useful terrain features by eliminating the noisy ones. This research provides a framework for extending the low-dimensional interpolation models to high-dimensional spaces by integrating additional features accounting for the topographic conditions at multiple spatial scales. Copyright (c) 2012 Royal Meteorological Society.

Seleção e caracterização de estirpes de Bacillus thuringiensis eficientes contra a Diatraea saccharalis (Lepidoptera: Crambidae)

O objetivo deste trabalho foi selecionar e caracterizar estirpes nativas de Bacillus thuringiensis tóxicas a Diatraea saccharalis (Lepidoptera: Crambidae). Cento e seis estirpes pertencentes ao Banco de Bactérias de Invertebrados, da Embrapa Recursos Genéticos e Biotecnologia, foram testadas quanto à toxicidade a D. saccharalis, e, as mais tóxicas, caracterizadas por métodos bioquímicos e moleculares. Das 106 estirpes testadas, 16 causaram 100% de mortalidade em 24 horas. As três estirpes mais tóxicas apresentaram concentração letal média entre 8 e 43 ng cm-2. O perfil proteico das 16 estirpes mostrou a presença de proteínas de 130 e 65 kDa, e a caracterização molecular mostrou a presença dos genes tipo cry1 e cry2: cry1Aa, cry1Ab, cry1Ac e cry2Aa. A concentração letal média de esporos e cristais obtidos a partir de estirpes recombinantes, que expressavam individualmente os genes cry1Aa, cry1Ab, cry1Ac e cry2Aa, variou entre 222 e 610 ng cm-2, valores muito superiores aos das estirpes nativas mais tóxicas, que apresentavam possibilidade de expressão simultânea desses genes. Este resultado é indicativo de que há sinergia entre as toxinas. Há interação entre as toxinas de B. thuringiensis e seus receptores na broca-do-colmo da cana-de-açúcar.

Ecological-niche factor analysis: how to compute habitat-suitability maps without absence data?

We propose a multivariate approach to the study of geographic species distribution which does not require absence data. Building on Hutchinson's concept of the ecological niche, this factor analysis compares, in the multidimensional space of ecological variables, the distribution of the localities where the focal species was observed to a reference set describing the whole study area. The first factor extracted maximizes the marginality of the focal species, defined as the ecological distance between the species optimum and the mean habitat within the reference area. The other factors maximize the specialization of this focal species, defined as the ratio of the ecological variance in mean habitat to that observed for the focal species. Eigenvectors and eigenvalues are readily interpreted and can be used to build habitat-suitability maps. This approach is recommended in Situations where absence data are not available (many data banks), unreliable (most cryptic or rare species), or meaningless (invaders). We provide an illustration and validation of the method for the alpine ibex, a species reintroduced in Switzerland which presumably has not yet recolonized its entire range.

Ausgegraben! Schweizer Archäologen erforschen die griechische Stadt Eretria. Eine Ausstellung der Schweizerischen Archäologischen Schule in Griechenland in Zusammenarbeit mit dem Antikenmuseum Basel und Sammlung Ludwig (22.09.2010-30.01.2011).

Eretria war eine der grossen Städte des antiken Griechenland. Zahlreiche Monumente und Kunstwerke zeugen noch heute von ihrer bedeutenden Vergangenheit. 1964 haben Archäologen aus der Schweiz die Erforschung der antiken Stadt, die vor über einem Jahrhundert begonnen hatte, in enger Zusammenarbeit mit den zuständigen griechischen Behörden aufgenommen. Zum ersten Mal sollen nun die bisherigen Ergebnisse in der Schweiz präsentiert werden: Die Ausstellung lässt anhand von etwa 500 Ausgrabungsfunden eine blühende griechische Stadt wieder aufleben. Eretria war von Anfang an ein wichtiger Knotenpunkt zwischen Ost und West. Die Stadt liegt am östlichen Ufer des Golfes von Euböa gegenüber von Attika. Von diesem zentralen Punkt in der Ägäis brachen eretrische Abenteurer ab dem 8. Jh. v. Chr. auf, um das gesamte Mittelmeer zu durchkreuzen. Obschon Eretria zur Zeit der Perserkriege um 490 v. Chr. und unter der athenischen Herrschaft im 5. Jh. gelitten hatte, erlebte die Stadt in den folgenden Jahrhunderten eine neue Blütezeit, die sich bis in die römische Kaiserzeit fortsetzte. Erst im 6. Jh. n. Chr. wird der Ort vollständig verlassen. Die Stadt der Lebenden stellt anschaulich die verschiedenen Bereiche des Lebens in einer antiken griechischen Stadt vor. Anhand der Wohnhäuser der eretrischen Aristokratie wird das Privatleben thematisiert. Im Gegensatz zu den Privathäusern, die nach aussen geschlossen sind, öffnen sich die öffentlichen Gebäude auf grosse Plätze. Die Agora, die Säulenhallen, das Theater, die Palästren und das Gymnasion bieten den Einwohnern genügend Raum, um sich zu treffen, über Politik und Kultur zu debattieren und Neuigkeiten auszutauschen. Die Stadt der Götter zeigt, welche Götter man in Eretria verehrte. Im Zentrum Eretrias befand sich das Heiligtum des Apollon Daphnephoros (= <des Lorbeerträgers>). Der Stadtgott Apollon teilte sich mit seiner Zwillingsschwester Artemis die Vorrangstellung im eretrischen Pantheon. Daneben hatten aber auch andere Götter ihren Platz: Athena auf der Akropolis, Demeter und Kore an deren Abhängen und Dionysos beim Theater. Die Stadt der Toten geht auf die Jenseitsvorstellungen und auf die Bestattungsbräuche der damaligen Menschen ein. Die oberirdischen Monumente sind seit langem verschwunden. Die eigentlichen Gräber in der Tiefe der Erde mit den sterblichen Überresten und den Grabbeigaben blieben indes intakt. Sie lehren uns viel über die Gesellschaft Eretrias und über das Verhältnis der Menschen zum Tod. Begleitpublikation zur Ausstellung "ausgegraben! Schweizer Archäologen erforschen die griechische Stadt Eretria", die vom 22. September 2010 bis zum 30. Januar 2011 im Antikenmuseum Basel und Sammlung Ludwig gezeigt wurde.

Restitución 3D de la topografía de la antigua ciudad de Tarraco en un entorno SIG: propuestas metodológicas y primeros resultados

Durante los últimos años el Institut Català d’Arquelogia Clàssica, el Museu d’Història de Tarragona, contando con la colaboración de la Generalitat de Catalunya, han desarrallado el proyecto Planimetría Arqueológica de Tárraco, destinado a la elaboración de una planta arqueológica global en la cual se recogieran intervenciones y noticias referentes a los hallazgos arqueológicos existentes. Este trabajo fue publicado utilizando como plataforma de trabajo un SIG construido para tal fin (Macias et al. 2007). Sin embargo, un problema de difícil solución arqueológica venía dado por las transformaciones urbanísticas de la ciudad, sufridas en su mayor parte a lo largo de los siglos XIX y XX. Éstas habían provocado la pérdida irremediable de gran parte de la elevación que acogiera la ciudad romana, cambiando substancialmente su aspecto original. Ante esta situación y como proyecto paralelo a la realización de la Planimetría Arqueológica de Tarragona se plantearon formas de cubrir este vacío. Se presenta en esta comunicación una propuesta metodológica para la reconstrucción de los grandes «vacíos topográficos » originados por la evolución urbanística de Tarragona mediante la obtención e integración en un SIG de diversos tipos de información documental. En estas zonas rebajadas no resulta posible la obtención de información estratigráfica y arqueológica, por lo que es imprescindible la definición de vías metodológicas alternativas basadas en la extrapolación de datos extraídos de la cartografía histórica, panorámicas del XVI o fotografías tomadas en los siglos XIX y XX. Esta técnica permite aplicar los resultados obtenidos en los nuevos análisis interpretativos, complementando así la interpretación arqueológica de la topografía urbana de la ciudad romana. A partir de esta información, y aplicando funciones y técnicas de interpolación propias de un GIS, se propone aquí un modelo de relieve de la ciudad de Tarraco.

Automatic Decision-Oriented Mapping of Pollution Data

The paper deals with the development and application of the methodology for automatic mapping of pollution/contamination data. General Regression Neural Network (GRNN) is considered in detail and is proposed as an efficient tool to solve this problem. The automatic tuning of isotropic and an anisotropic GRNN model using cross-validation procedure is presented. Results are compared with k-nearest-neighbours interpolation algorithm using independent validation data set. Quality of mapping is controlled by the analysis of raw data and the residuals using variography. Maps of probabilities of exceeding a given decision level and ?thick? isoline visualization of the uncertainties are presented as examples of decision-oriented mapping. Real case study is based on mapping of radioactively contaminated territories.

Semivariogram models for estimating fig fly population density throughout the year

The objective of this work was to select semivariogram models to estimate the population density of fig fly (Zaprionus indianus; Diptera: Drosophilidae) throughout the year, using ordinary kriging. Nineteen monitoring sites were demarcated in an area of 8,200 m2, cropped with six fruit tree species: persimmon, citrus, fig, guava, apple, and peach. During a 24 month period, 106 weekly evaluations were done in these sites. The average number of adult fig flies captured weekly per trap, during each month, was subjected to the circular, spherical, pentaspherical, exponential, Gaussian, rational quadratic, hole effect, K-Bessel, J-Bessel, and stable semivariogram models, using ordinary kriging interpolation. The models with the best fit were selected by cross-validation. Each data set (months) has a particular spatial dependence structure, which makes it necessary to define specific models of semivariograms in order to enhance the adjustment to the experimental semivariogram. Therefore, it was not possible to determine a standard semivariogram model; instead, six theoretical models were selected: circular, Gaussian, hole effect, K-Bessel, J-Bessel, and stable.

Ydinvoimalan paineakun mallinnus

Tässä työssä on käytetty VTT:n ja Fortumin kehittämääAPROS simulaatio-ohjelmistoa vesi-ilma -täytteisen paineakun käyttäytymisen tutkimiseen. Tavoitteena oli tarkastella APROSin paineakkumallin käyttäytymistä alhaisessa lämpötilassa käyttäen 6-yhtälömallia sekä rakentaa vaihtoehtoiseksi laskentamenetelmäksi kaksi analyyttistä laskentamallia korvaamaan APROSin sisäinen laskenta. Kyseiset analyyttiset mallit ovat isentrooppinen ja isoterminen ja ne on rakennettu kokonaan käyttäen APROSin omia moduuleja. Työ sisältää APROSin version 5.06 sekä työn aikana kehitetyn kehitysversion vertailut eri alkulämpötiloista alkaneissa paisunnoissa, vertailun Pactelin purkaus¬kokeesta saadulla massavirralla sekä osion, jossa analyyttiset mallit on yhdistetty kokonaiseen Pactelin APROS-malliin. Myös purkauksen kulkeutumista primääripiirissä on tarkasteltu. Simulaatiot vahvistavat, että versiolla 5.06 on vaikeuksia paineen laskennassa, kun paisunnan alkulämpötila on alle 30 ºC. Kehitysversiossa painekäyttäytyminen on selvästi parantunut, mutta versio kärsii ongelmista, jotka liittyvät kaasun lämpötilan painumiseen APROSin sisäisten rajoitusten alapuolelleja tätä kautta ongelmiin materiaali¬ominaisuuksien ennustamisessa. Tämän johdosta APROSin kehitysversio päätyy erilaisiin tuloksiin myös tilanteissa, joissa alkuperäinen 5.06 ei kärsi alhaisen lämpötilan ongelmista. Analyyttisistä malleista isentrooppinen malli päätyy antamaan säännönmukaisesti muita malleja ja versioita alempia paineita. Isoterminen malli sen sijaan näyttää päätyvän version 5.06 kanssa melko samankaltaisiin tuloksiin. On kuitenkin muistettava, että kummatkin analyyttiset mallit olettavat kaasun olevan kuivaa ja jättävät massasiirron faasien välillä kokonaan huomiotta.

Quantitative morphometry analysis of the fetal brain using clinical MR imaging

In vivo fetal magnetic resonance imaging provides aunique approach for the study of early human braindevelopment [1]. In utero cerebral morphometry couldpotentially be used as a marker of the cerebralmaturation and help to distinguish between normal andabnormal development in ambiguous situations. However,this quantitative approach is a major challenge becauseof the movement of the fetus inside the amniotic cavity,the poor spatial resolution provided by very fast MRIsequences and the partial volume effect. Extensiveefforts are made to deal with the reconstruction ofhigh-resolution 3D fetal volumes based on severalacquisitions with lower resolution [2,3,4]. Frameworkswere developed for the segmentation of specific regionsof the fetal brain such as posterior fossa, brainstem orgerminal matrix [5,6], or for the entire brain tissue[7,8], applying the Expectation-Maximization MarkovRandom Field (EM-MRF) framework. However, many of theseprevious works focused on the young fetus (i.e. before 24weeks) and use anatomical atlas priors to segment thedifferent tissue or regions. As most of the gyraldevelopment takes place after the 24th week, acomprehensive and clinically meaningful study of thefetal brain should not dismiss the third trimester ofgestation. To cope with the rapidly changing appearanceof the developing brain, some authors proposed a dynamicatlas [8]. To our opinion, this approach however faces arisk of circularity: each brain will be analyzed /deformed using the template of its biological age,potentially biasing the effective developmental delay.Here, we expand our previous work [9] to proposepost-processing pipeline without prior that allow acomprehensive set of morphometric measurement devoted toclinical application. Data set & Methods: Prenatal MRimaging was performed with a 1-T system (GE MedicalSystems, Milwaukee) using single shot fast spin echo(ssFSE) sequences (TR 7000 ms, TE 180 ms, FOV 40 x 40 cm,slice thickness 5.4mm, in plane spatial resolution1.09mm). For each fetus, 6 axial volumes shifted by 1 mmwere acquired under motherâeuro?s sedation (about 1min pervolume). First, each volume is segmentedsemi-automatically using region-growing algorithms toextract fetal brain from surrounding maternal tissues.Inhomogeneity intensity correction [10] and linearintensity normalization are then performed. Brain tissues(CSF, GM and WM) are then segmented based on thelow-resolution volumes as presented in [9]. Ahigh-resolution image with isotropic voxel size of 1.09mm is created as proposed in [2] and using B-splines forthe scattered data interpolation [11]. Basal gangliasegmentation is performed using a levet setimplementation on the high-resolution volume [12]. Theresulting white matter image is then binarized and givenas an input in FreeSurfer software(http://surfer.nmr.mgh.harvard.edu) to providetopologically accurate three-dimensional reconstructionsof the fetal brain according to the local intensitygradient. References: [1] Guibaud, Prenatal Diagnosis29(4) (2009). [2] Rousseau, Acad. Rad. 13(9), 2006. [3]Jiang, IEEE TMI 2007. [4] Warfield IADB, MICCAI 2009. [5]Claude, IEEE Trans. Bio. Eng. 51(4) 2004. [6] Habas,MICCAI 2008. [7] Bertelsen, ISMRM 2009. [8] Habas,Neuroimage 53(2) 2010. [9] Bach Cuadra, IADB, MICCAI2009. [10] Styner, IEEE TMI 19(39 (2000). [11] Lee, IEEETrans. Visual. And Comp. Graph. 3(3), 1997. [12] BachCuadra, ISMRM 2010.

Estratigrafia i evolució conceptual d'un paisatge de muntanya al massís del Garraf: la Maçana-Rovirós-Térmens (Begues)

En aquest estudi, l'aplicació regressiva de tècniques com la prospecció arqueològica, la foto i cartointerpretació, els SIG i el buidatge documental han permès la reconstrucció diacrònica del paisatge de l'àrea de la Maçana-Térmens-Rovirós (Begues). L'estudi paisatgístic del Garraf revesteix un singular interès per la seva condició muntanyenca i la seva intensa antropització. Els entorns de muntanya són medis especialment sensibles a processos de canvi, especialment en el cas del massís del Garraf, proper a importants nuclis d'habitació des de l'antiguitat. El nostre treball mostrarà com, en ocasions, el canvi paisatgístic ha estat irreversible al massís.

Simulating Communication Routes in Mediterranean Alluvial Plains

Societies exchange knowledge, ideas and merchandise throughout their territories. Topography plays a fundamental role in the trajectory of such movements whilst helping to explain the distribution of human constructions. Standard GIS functions have been employed widely to simulate communication routes between settlements, but the straight application of published least cost route models proved inadequate for Mediterranean alluvial plain areas in which seasonal floods become an important factor to acknowledge. The objective of this study is the production of a new model, using topographic and hydrologic factors as variables from which it would be possible to simulate a route, and test it against known Roman itineraries. The selected Roman stretches are Girona – Coll de Pannisars and Tarragona – Montblanc. The new model shows the need to consider each case individually but also stresses the hydrologic factor, expressed in seasonal floods, as being of prime importance in the creation and development of Roman roads in Mediterranean alluvial plains.

The Application of 3D Reconstruction Techniques in the Analysis of Ancient Tarraco’s Urban Topography

The widespread implementation of GIS-based 3D topographical models has been a great aid in the development and testing of archaeological hypotheses. In this paper, a topographical reconstruction of the ancient city of Tarraco, the Roman capital of the Tarraconensis province, is presented. This model is based on topographical data obtained through archaeological excavations, old photographic documentation, georeferenced archive maps depicting the pre-modern city topography, modern detailed topographical maps and differential GPS measurements. The addition of the Roman urban architectural features to the model offers the possibility to test hypotheses concerning the ideological background manifested in the city shape. This is accomplished mainly through the use of 3D views from the main city accesses. These techniques ultimately demonstrate the ‘theatre-shaped’ layout of the city (to quote Vitrubius) as well as its southwest oriented architecture, whose monumental character was conceived to present a striking aspect to visitors, particularly those arriving from the sea.

Poblament i estructuració del territori a la comarca del Vallès Oriental: una proposta metodològica

Landscape research in urban or peri-urban areas implies important methodological constraints. In this sense, the area of study, placed in the Vallès basin, near the city of Barcelona, has known an important process of landscape’s transformation in the last two decades. This fact restrains the retrieving of archaeological data and the development of archaeological surveys and fieldwalking. The destruction of large agrarian areas implies that landscape morphology research must focus on an intensive work with historical cartography and old aerial photography within a GIS environment.

Análisis arqueomorfológico y dinámica territorial en el Vallés Oriental (Barcelona) de la Protohistoria s. VI-V a.C.) a la alta Edad Media (s. IX-X)

La investigación sobre el paisaje en zonas urbanas o periurbanas implica importantes limitaciones metodológicas. En el presente estudio, el trabajo se centra en un llano pre-litoral próximo a la ciudad de Barcelona, el Vallès Oriental, profundamente urbanizado en las últimas dos décadas, hecho que condiciona la recuperación de nuevos datos arqueológicos y la implementación de programas de prospección arqueológica. Asimismo, la particular topografía que presenta el llano, caracterizado por unos relieves suaves, ha obligado a adaptar la metodología del análisis arqueomorfológico a este contexto geográfico. El artículo presenta los resultados del análisis arqueomorfológico realizado, que han sido cruzados con la documentación histórica y arqueológica para caracterizar —desde una perspectiva diacrónica— la red viaria, la estructuración territorial y la evolución del poblamiento de esta área y, finalmente, determinar las dinámicas del paisaje en época romana. La investigación sobre la morfología del territorio se ha llevado a cabo a partir de un intenso trabajo de fotointerpretación y análisis de la cartografía histórica en entorno SIG, especialmente útil en un paisaje marcado por las importantes trasformaciones del medio rural. Igualmente, los datos generados en los últimos años por la investigación arqueológica han sido revisados de forma detallada, a fin de contribuir a la planificación de las prospecciones arqueológicas y arqueomorfológicas desarrolladas.