The Peace Processes in the Basque Country and Northern Ireland (1994-2006): a Comparative Approach

The peace process in Northern Ireland demonstrates that new sovereignty formulas need to be explored in order to meet the demands of the populations and territories in conflict. The profound transformation of the classic symbolic elements of the nation-state within the context of the European Union has greatly contributed to the prospects for a resolution of this old conflict. Today’s discussions are focused on the search for instruments of shared sovereignty that are adapted to a complex and plural social reality. This new approach for finding a solution to the Irish conflict is particularly relevant to the Basque debate about formulating creative and modern solutions to similar conflicts over identity and sovereignty. The notion of shared sovereignty implemented in Northern Ireland –a formula for complex interdependent relations– is of significant relevance to the broader international community and is likely to become an increasingly potent and transcendent model for conflict resolution and peace building.

Multimodel inference and multimodel averaging in empirical modeling of occupational exposure levels.

Empirical modeling of exposure levels has been popular for identifying exposure determinants in occupational hygiene. Traditional data-driven methods used to choose a model on which to base inferences have typically not accounted for the uncertainty linked to the process of selecting the final model. Several new approaches propose making statistical inferences from a set of plausible models rather than from a single model regarded as 'best'. This paper introduces the multimodel averaging approach described in the monograph by Burnham and Anderson. In their approach, a set of plausible models are defined a priori by taking into account the sample size and previous knowledge of variables influent on exposure levels. The Akaike information criterion is then calculated to evaluate the relative support of the data for each model, expressed as Akaike weight, to be interpreted as the probability of the model being the best approximating model given the model set. The model weights can then be used to rank models, quantify the evidence favoring one over another, perform multimodel prediction, estimate the relative influence of the potential predictors and estimate multimodel-averaged effects of determinants. The whole approach is illustrated with the analysis of a data set of 1500 volatile organic compound exposure levels collected by the Institute for work and health (Lausanne, Switzerland) over 20 years, each concentration having been divided by the relevant Swiss occupational exposure limit and log-transformed before analysis. Multimodel inference represents a promising procedure for modeling exposure levels that incorporates the notion that several models can be supported by the data and permits to evaluate to a certain extent model selection uncertainty, which is seldom mentioned in current practice.

Complementarities between mathematical and computational modeling: the case of the repeated Prisoners' Dilemma

We study the properties of the well known Replicator Dynamics when applied to a finitely repeated version of the Prisoners' Dilemma game. We characterize the behavior of such dynamics under strongly simplifying assumptions (i.e. only 3 strategies are available) and show that the basin of attraction of defection shrinks as the number of repetitions increases. After discussing the difficulties involved in trying to relax the 'strongly simplifying assumptions' above, we approach the same model by means of simulations based on genetic algorithms. The resulting simulations describe a behavior of the system very close to the one predicted by the replicator dynamics without imposing any of the assumptions of the mathematical model. Our main conclusion is that mathematical and computational models are good complements for research in social sciences. Indeed, while computational models are extremely useful to extend the scope of the analysis to complex scenarios hard to analyze mathematically, formal models can be useful to verify and to explain the outcomes of computational models.

What do we gain from simplicity versus complexity in species distribution models?

Species distribution models (SDMs) are widely used to explain and predict species ranges and environmental niches. They are most commonly constructed by inferring species' occurrence-environment relationships using statistical and machine-learning methods. The variety of methods that can be used to construct SDMs (e.g. generalized linear/additive models, tree-based models, maximum entropy, etc.), and the variety of ways that such models can be implemented, permits substantial flexibility in SDM complexity. Building models with an appropriate amount of complexity for the study objectives is critical for robust inference. We characterize complexity as the shape of the inferred occurrence-environment relationships and the number of parameters used to describe them, and search for insights into whether additional complexity is informative or superfluous. By building 'under fit' models, having insufficient flexibility to describe observed occurrence-environment relationships, we risk misunderstanding the factors shaping species distributions. By building 'over fit' models, with excessive flexibility, we risk inadvertently ascribing pattern to noise or building opaque models. However, model selection can be challenging, especially when comparing models constructed under different modeling approaches. Here we argue for a more pragmatic approach: researchers should constrain the complexity of their models based on study objective, attributes of the data, and an understanding of how these interact with the underlying biological processes. We discuss guidelines for balancing under fitting with over fitting and consequently how complexity affects decisions made during model building. Although some generalities are possible, our discussion reflects differences in opinions that favor simpler versus more complex models. We conclude that combining insights from both simple and complex SDM building approaches best advances our knowledge of current and future species ranges.

Interpolation methods for stochastic processes spaces

In this paper the scales of classes of stochastic processes are introduced. New interpolation theorems and boundedness of some transforms of stochastic processes are proved. Interpolation method for generously-monotonous rocesses is entered. Conditions and statements of interpolation theorems concern he xed stochastic process, which diers from the classical results.

The Role of the European Union in the Processes to Ban Cluster Munitions

At the end of 2008 the Convention on Cluster Munitions (CCM) that outlawed almost all types of cluster munitions was signed. It was the product of the so-called Oslo process, which had been set up two years earlier as a reaction to the failure to add a new protocol banning cluster munitions to the Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons (CCW). The position of the EU in these two processes was ambivalent: on the one hand it belonged to the strongest proponents for a new protocol within the CCW, but on the other hand the member states were in general not able to act jointly in the Oslo Process. According to this working paper especially the aspect of national security and the related relationship to the United States influenced the stances of many member states and complicated the formation of a common European position. There were common normative values of the EU detected, which played a role in the CCW, but they were only secondary to other interests of the member states.

The stabilizing effects of the acquired immunity on the schistosomiasis transmission modeling - the sensitivity Analysis

A mathematical model is proposed to analyze the effects of acquired immunity on the transmission of schistosomiasis in the human host. From this model the prevalence curve dependent on four parameters can be obtained. These parameters were estimated fitting the data by the maximum likelihood method. The model showed a good retrieving capacity of real data from two endemic areas of schistosomiasis: Touros, Brazil (Schistosoma mansoni) and Misungwi, Tanzania (S. haematobium). Also, the average worm burden per person and the dispersion of parasite per person in the community can be obtained from the model. In this paper, the stabilizing effects of the acquired immunity assumption in the model are assessed in terms of the epidemiological variables as follows. Regarded to the prevalence curve, we calculate the confidence interval, and related to the average worm burden and the worm dispersion in the community, the sensitivity analysis (the range of the variation) of both variables with respect to their parameters is performed.

Defining secretion processes in astrocytes

During the last decade, evidence that release of chemical transmitters from astrocytes might modulate neuronal activity (the so-called "gliotransmission") occurs in situ has been extensively provided. Nevertheless, gliotransmission remains a highly debated topic because of the lack of direct morphological and functional evidence. Here we provided new information supporting gliotransmission, by i) deepen knowledge about specific properties of regulated secretion of glutamatergic SLMVs, and ii) investigating the involvement of astrocytes in the transmission of dopamine, a molecule whose interaction with astrocytes is likely to occur, but it's still not proven.¦VGLUT-expressing glutamatergic SLMVs have been previously identified both in situ and in vitro, but description of kinetics of release were still lacking. To elucidate this issue, we took advantage of fluorescent tools (styryl dyes and pHluorin) and adapted experimental paradigms and analysis methods previously developed to study exo-endocytosis and recycling of glutamatergic vesicles at synapses. Parallel use of EPIfluorescence and total internal reflection (TIRF) imaging allowed us to find that exo-endocytosis processes in astrocytes are extremely fast, with kinetics in the order of milliseconds, able to sustain and follow neuronal signalling at synapses. Also, exocytosis of SLMVs is under the control of fast, localized Ca2+ elevations in close proximity of SLMVs and endoplasmatic reticulum (ER) tubules, the intracellular calcium stores. Such complex organization supports the fast stimulus-secretion coupling we described; localized calcium elevations have been recently observed in astrocytes in situ, suggesting that these functional microdomains might be present in the intact tissue. In the second part of the work, we investigated whether astrocytes possess some of the benchmarks of brain dopaminergic cells. It's been known for years that astrocytes are able to metabolize monoamines by the enzymes MAO and COMT, but to date no clear information that glial cells are able to uptake and store monoamines have been provided. Here, we identified a whole apparatus for the storage, degradation and release of monoamines, at the ultrastructural level. Electron microscopy immunohistochemistry allowed us to visualize VMAT2- and dopamine-positive intracellular compartments within astrocytic processes, i.e. dense -core granules and cisterns. These organelles might be responsible for dopamine release and storage, respectively; interestingly, this intracellular distribution is reminiscent of VMAT2 expression in dendrites if neurons, where dopamine release is tonic and plays a role in the regulation of its a basal levels, suggesting that astrocytic VMAT2 is involved in the homeostasis of dopamine in healthy brains of adult mammals.¦Durant cette dernière décennie, de nombreux résultats sur le relâchement des transmetteurs par les astrocytes pouvant modulé l'activité synaptique (gliotransmission) ont été fournis. Néanmoins, la gliotransmission reste un processus encore très débattu, notamment à cause de l'absence de preuves directes, morphologique et fonctionnelle démontrant ce phénomène. Nous présentons dans nos travaux de nombreux résultats confortant l'hypothèse de la gliotransmission, dont i) une étude approfondie sur les propriétés spatiales et temporelles de la sécrétion régulée du glutamate dans les astrocytes, et ii) une étude sur la participation des astrocytes dans la transmission de la dopamine, une neuromodulateur dont l'interaction avec les astrocytes est fortement probable, mais qui n'a encore jamais été prouvée. L'expression des petites vésicules (SLMVs - Synaptic Like Micro Vesicles) glutamatergiques exprimant les transporteurs vésiculaires du glutamate (VGLUTs) dans les astrocytes a déjà été prouvé tant in situ qu'in vitro. Afin de mettre en évidence les propriétés précises de la sécrétion de ces organelles, nous avons adapté à nos études des méthodes expérimentales conçues pour observer les processus de exocytose et endocytose dans les neurones. Les résolutions spatiale et temporelle obtenues, grâce a l'utilisation en parallèle de l'épi fluorescence et de la fluorescence a onde évanescente (TIRF), nous ont permis de montrer que la sécrétion régulée dans les astrocytes est un processus extrêmement rapide (de l'ordre de la milliseconde) et qu'elle est capable de soutenir et de suivre la transmission de signaux entre neurones. Nous avons également découvert que cette sécrétion a lieu dans des compartiments subcellulaires particuliers où nous observons la présence du reticulum endoplasmique (ER) ainsi que des augmentations rapides de calcium. Cette organisation spatiale complexe pourrait être la base morphologique du couplage rapide entre le stimulus et la sécrétion. Par ailleurs, plusieurs études récentes in vivo semblent confirmer l'existence de ces compartiments. Depuis des années nous savons que les astrocytes sont capables de métaboliser les monoamines par les enzymes MAO et COMT. Nous avons donc fourni de nouvelles preuves concernant la présence d'un appareil de stockage dans les astrocytes participant à la dégradation et la libération de monoamines au niveau ultrastructurelle. Grâce à la microscopie électronique, nous avons découvert la présence de compartiments intracellulaires exprimant VMAT2 dans les processus astrocytaires, sous forme de granules et des citernes. Ces organelles pourraient donc être responsables à la fois du relâchement et du stockage de la dopamine. De manière surprenante, cette distribution intracellulaire est similaire aux dendrites des neurones exprimant VMAT2, où la dopamine est libérée de façon tonique permettant d'agir sur la régulation de ses niveaux de base. Ces résultats, suggèrent une certaine participation des VMAT2 présents dans les astrocytes dans le processus d'homéostase de la dopamine dans le cerveau.¦A de nombreuses reprises, dans des émissions scientifiques ou dans des films, il est avancé que les hommes n'utilisent que 10% du potentiel de leur cerveau. Cette légende provient probablement du fait que les premiers chercheurs ayant décrit les cellules du cerveau entre le XIXème et le XXeme siècle, ont montré que les neurones, les cellules les plus connues et étudiées de cet organe, ne représentent seulement que 10% de la totalité des cellules composant du cerveau. Parmi les 90% restantes, les astrocytes sont sans doute les plus nombreuses. Jusqu'au début des années 90, les astrocytes ont été plutôt considérés peu plus que du tissu conjonctif, ayant comme rôles principaux de maintenir certaines propriétés physiques du cerveau et de fournir un support métabolique (énergie, environnement propre) aux neurones. Grace à la découverte que les astrocytes ont la capacité de relâcher des substances neuro-actives, notamment le glutamate, le rôle des astrocytes dans le fonctionnement cérébral a été récemment reconsidérée.¦Le rôle du glutamate provenant des astrocytes et son impact sur la fonctionnalité des neurones n'a pas encore été totalement élucidé, malgré les nombreuses publications démontrant l'importance de ce phénomène en relation avec différentes fonctions cérébrales. Afin de mieux comprendre comment les astrocytes sont impliqués dans la transmission cérébrale, nous avons étudié les propriétés spatio-temporelles de cette libération grâce à l'utilisation des plusieurs marqueurs fluorescents combinée avec différentes techniques d'imagerie cellulaires. Nous avons découvert que la libération du glutamate par les astrocytes (un processus maintenant appelé "gliotransmission") était très rapide et contrôlée par des augmentations locales de calcium. Nous avons relié ces phénomènes à des domaines fonctionnels subcellulaires morphologiquement adaptés pour ce type de transmission. Plus récemment, nous avons concentré nos études sur un autre transmetteur très important dans le fonctionnement du cerveau : la dopamine. Nos résultats morphologiques semblent indiquer que les astrocytes ont la capacité d'interagir avec ce transmetteur, mais d'une manière différente comparée au glutamate, notamment en terme de rapidité de transmission. Ces résultats suggèrent que le astrocytes ont la capacité de modifier leurs caractéristiques et de s'adapter à leur environnement par rapport aux types de transmetteur avec lequel ils doivent interagir.

Preliminary regional rockfall hazard mapping using LIDAR-based slope frequency distribution and CONEFALL modeling

A factor limiting preliminary rockfall hazard mapping at regional scale is often the lack of knowledge of potential source areas. Nowadays, high resolution topographic data (LiDAR) can account for realistic landscape details even at large scale. With such fine-scale morphological variability, quantitative geomorphometric analyses become a relevant approach for delineating potential rockfall instabilities. Using digital elevation model (DEM)-based ?slope families? concept over areas of similar lithology and cliffs and screes zones available from the 1:25,000 topographic map, a susceptibility rockfall hazard map was drawn up in the canton of Vaud, Switzerland, in order to provide a relevant hazard overview. Slope surfaces over morphometrically-defined thresholds angles were considered as rockfall source zones. 3D modelling (CONEFALL) was then applied on each of the estimated source zones in order to assess the maximum runout length. Comparison with known events and other rockfall hazard assessments are in good agreement, showing that it is possible to assess rockfall activities over large areas from DEM-based parameters and topographical elements.

Functional analysis and structural modeling of human APOBEC3G reveal the role of evolutionarily conserved elements in the inhibition of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 infection and Alu transposition.

Retroelements are important evolutionary forces but can be deleterious if left uncontrolled. Members of the human APOBEC3 family of cytidine deaminases can inhibit a wide range of endogenous, as well as exogenous, retroelements. These enzymes are structurally organized in one or two domains comprising a zinc-coordinating motif. APOBEC3G contains two such domains, only the C terminal of which is endowed with editing activity, while its N-terminal counterpart binds RNA, promotes homo-oligomerization, and is necessary for packaging into human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) virions. Here, we performed a large-scale mutagenesis-based analysis of the APOBEC3G N terminus, testing mutants for (i) inhibition of vif-defective HIV-1 infection and Alu retrotransposition, (ii) RNA binding, and (iii) oligomerization. Furthermore, in the absence of structural information on this domain, we used homology modeling to examine the positions of functionally important residues and of residues found to be under positive selection by phylogenetic analyses of primate APOBEC3G genes. Our results reveal the importance of a predicted RNA binding dimerization interface both for packaging into HIV-1 virions and inhibition of both HIV-1 infection and Alu transposition. We further found that the HIV-1-blocking activity of APOBEC3G N-terminal mutants defective for packaging can be almost entirely rescued if their virion incorporation is forced by fusion with Vpr, indicating that the corresponding region of APOBEC3G plays little role in other aspects of its action against this pathogen. Interestingly, residues forming the APOBEC3G dimer interface are highly conserved, contrasting with the rapid evolution of two neighboring surface-exposed amino acid patches, one targeted by the Vif protein of primate lentiviruses and the other of yet-undefined function.

Report on Induction Processes for Medical Staff in the HPSS

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Report on the Induction Processes for Medical Staff in the HPSS

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Processament de música basat en el seu contingut

Projecte de recerca elaborat a partir d’una estada a la National University of Singapore Singapur, entre juliol i octubre del 2007. Donada l'explosió de la música a l'internet i la ràpida expansió de les col•leccions de música digital, un repte clau en l'àrea de la informació musical és el desenvolupament de sistemes de processament musical eficients i confiables. L'objectiu de la investigació proposada ha estat treballar en diferents aspectes de l'extracció, modelatge i processat del contingut musical. En particular, s’ha treballat en l'extracció, l'anàlisi i la manipulació de descriptors d'àudio de baix nivell, el modelatge de processos musicals, l'estudi i desenvolupament de tècniques d'aprenentatge automàtic per a processar àudio, i la identificació i extracció d'atributs musicals d'alt nivell. S’han revisat i millorat alguns components d'anàlisis d'àudio i revisat components per a l'extracció de descriptors inter-nota i intra-nota en enregistraments monofónics d'àudio. S’ha aplicat treball previ en Tempo a la formalització de diferents tasques musicals. Finalment, s’ha investigat el processat d'alt nivell de música basandonos en el seu contingut. Com exemple d'això, s’ha investigat com músics professionals expressen i comuniquen la seva interpretació del contingut musical i emocional de peces musicals, i hem usat aquesta informació per a identificar automàticament intèrprets. S’han estudiat les desviacions en paràmetres com to, temps, amplitud i timbre a nivell inter-nota i intra-nota.

Treeline and climate change : analyzing and modeling patterns and shifts in the Swiss Alps

Summary: Global warming has led to an average earth surface temperature increase of about 0.7 °C in the 20th century, according to the 2007 IPCC report. In Switzerland, the temperature increase in the same period was even higher: 1.3 °C in the Northern Alps anal 1.7 °C in the Southern Alps. The impacts of this warming on ecosystems aspecially on climatically sensitive systems like the treeline ecotone -are already visible today. Alpine treeline species show increased growth rates, more establishment of young trees in forest gaps is observed in many locations and treelines are migrating upwards. With the forecasted warming, this globally visible phenomenon is expected to continue. This PhD thesis aimed to develop a set of methods and models to investigate current and future climatic treeline positions and treeline shifts in the Swiss Alps in a spatial context. The focus was therefore on: 1) the quantification of current treeline dynamics and its potential causes, 2) the evaluation and improvement of temperaturebased treeline indicators and 3) the spatial analysis and projection of past, current and future climatic treeline positions and their respective elevational shifts. The methods used involved a combination of field temperature measurements, statistical modeling and spatial modeling in a geographical information system. To determine treeline shifts and assign the respective drivers, neighborhood relationships between forest patches were analyzed using moving window algorithms. Time series regression modeling was used in the development of an air-to-soil temperature transfer model to calculate thermal treeline indicators. The indicators were then applied spatially to delineate the climatic treeline, based on interpolated temperature data. Observation of recent forest dynamics in the Swiss treeline ecotone showed that changes were mainly due to forest in-growth, but also partly to upward attitudinal shifts. The recent reduction in agricultural land-use was found to be the dominant driver of these changes. Climate-driven changes were identified only at the uppermost limits of the treeline ecotone. Seasonal mean temperature indicators were found to be the best for predicting climatic treelines. Applying dynamic seasonal delimitations and the air-to-soil temperature transfer model improved the indicators' applicability for spatial modeling. Reproducing the climatic treelines of the past 45 years revealed regionally different attitudinal shifts, the largest being located near the highest mountain mass. Modeling climatic treelines based on two IPCC climate warming scenarios predicted major shifts in treeline altitude. However, the currently-observed treeline is not expected to reach this limit easily, due to lagged reaction, possible climate feedback effects and other limiting factors. Résumé: Selon le rapport 2007 de l'IPCC, le réchauffement global a induit une augmentation de la température terrestre de 0.7 °C en moyenne au cours du 20e siècle. En Suisse, l'augmentation durant la même période a été plus importante: 1.3 °C dans les Alpes du nord et 1.7 °C dans les Alpes du sud. Les impacts de ce réchauffement sur les écosystèmes - en particuliers les systèmes sensibles comme l'écotone de la limite des arbres - sont déjà visibles aujourd'hui. Les espèces de la limite alpine des forêts ont des taux de croissance plus forts, on observe en de nombreux endroits un accroissement du nombre de jeunes arbres s'établissant dans les trouées et la limite des arbres migre vers le haut. Compte tenu du réchauffement prévu, on s'attend à ce que ce phénomène, visible globalement, persiste. Cette thèse de doctorat visait à développer un jeu de méthodes et de modèles pour étudier dans un contexte spatial la position présente et future de la limite climatique des arbres, ainsi que ses déplacements, au sein des Alpes suisses. L'étude s'est donc focalisée sur: 1) la quantification de la dynamique actuelle de la limite des arbres et ses causes potentielles, 2) l'évaluation et l'amélioration des indicateurs, basés sur la température, pour la limite des arbres et 3) l'analyse spatiale et la projection de la position climatique passée, présente et future de la limite des arbres et des déplacements altitudinaux de cette position. Les méthodes utilisées sont une combinaison de mesures de température sur le terrain, de modélisation statistique et de la modélisation spatiale à l'aide d'un système d'information géographique. Les relations de voisinage entre parcelles de forêt ont été analysées à l'aide d'algorithmes utilisant des fenêtres mobiles, afin de mesurer les déplacements de la limite des arbres et déterminer leurs causes. Un modèle de transfert de température air-sol, basé sur les modèles de régression sur séries temporelles, a été développé pour calculer des indicateurs thermiques de la limite des arbres. Les indicateurs ont ensuite été appliqués spatialement pour délimiter la limite climatique des arbres, sur la base de données de températures interpolées. L'observation de la dynamique forestière récente dans l'écotone de la limite des arbres en Suisse a montré que les changements étaient principalement dus à la fermeture des trouées, mais aussi en partie à des déplacements vers des altitudes plus élevées. Il a été montré que la récente déprise agricole était la cause principale de ces changements. Des changements dus au climat n'ont été identifiés qu'aux limites supérieures de l'écotone de la limite des arbres. Les indicateurs de température moyenne saisonnière se sont avérés le mieux convenir pour prédire la limite climatique des arbres. L'application de limites dynamiques saisonnières et du modèle de transfert de température air-sol a amélioré l'applicabilité des indicateurs pour la modélisation spatiale. La reproduction des limites climatiques des arbres durant ces 45 dernières années a mis en évidence des changements d'altitude différents selon les régions, les plus importants étant situés près du plus haut massif montagneux. La modélisation des limites climatiques des arbres d'après deux scénarios de réchauffement climatique de l'IPCC a prédit des changements majeurs de l'altitude de la limite des arbres. Toutefois, l'on ne s'attend pas à ce que la limite des arbres actuellement observée atteigne cette limite facilement, en raison du délai de réaction, d'effets rétroactifs du climat et d'autres facteurs limitants.