Bancos públicos em sistemas financeiros maduros: perspectivas teóricas e desafios para os países em desenvolvimento

The paper discusses two theoretical approaches to the role of public banks (PBs): the Shaw-McKinnon model and an alternative Keynesian view. In the former, the PBs still in operation in less developing countries would be near to become fully unnecessary, in view of the advance of their financial development in the last twenty years. In the Keynesian approach this hypothesis is unlikely. Financial markets are viewed as structurally inefficient and "incomplete" for the requirements of the process of economic development. Nevertheless, it is undeniable that economic and financial development will require a definition of new strategies for PBs. The paper is concluded with a brief discussion of this issue.

Iceland's meltdown: the rise and fall of international banking in the North Atlantic

This paper shows how rapid privatization and liberalization of Iceland's small local banks around 2000, combined with well-developed crony relations among the elite, enabled a small group of financiers to leverage government-guaranteed deposits into a vast wave of mergers and acquisitions abroad, and redistribute enough of the profits back home to make the economy boom. Negative policy feedback loops were systematically undermined. The incoming left-wing government, with IMF support, has managed to protect the bulk of the population from the worst of the effects.

Pankkien vakavaraisuussääntelyn vaikutus startup-yritysten rahoitukseen

Tutkielman tavoitteena on määrittää, miten pankkien vakavaraisuussääntelyn muuttuminen on vaikuttanut startup-yritysten lainan hintaan ja ehtoihin, sekä tarkastella startup-yritysten muiden rahoitusmahdollisuuksien kehittymistä. Startup-yritysten eri rahoituslähteiden kasvu kootaan lähteiden vuositilastoista. Pankkien vakavaraisuussääntelyä tarkastellaan vertailemalla lainsäädännön tilaa eri vuosina. Sääntelyn vaikutuksia arvioidaan suorittamalla laskuesimerkkejä tietynlaisten pankkien ja startup-yritysten tilanteessa. Lähtöarvot kootaan lainsäädännöstä, tilastoista, tieteellisistä julkaisuista tai asiantuntijahaastattelujen pohjalta. Startup-yritysten luottoluokitukset määritetään käyttämällä Suomen Asiakastieto Oy:n luokitusmallia. Tuloksena tutkielma luo kattavan kuvan pankkien vakavaraisuussääntelyn kehittymisestä ja startup-yritysten rahoituslähteistä. Pankkisektorin ulkopuolinen rahoitus startupeille on kasvanut 2,5 %:n vuosivauhtia vuodesta 2008, josta vertaislainat ovat olleet suuressa roolissa. Lähes 72 % pankkien vähittäislainojen markkinoista on siirtynyt sisäisten luokitusten menetelmään vastuiden riskipainojen laskennassa. Siirtymä uuteen menetelmään aiheuttaa korkopaineita viidesosalle startupeista. 58 %:lle startupeista muutos ei ole ongelma. 42 % startupeista ei voi pienentää potentiaalisen lainan korkoaan edes lainan kokoisella vakuudella. Pääomavaatimusten kasvu ja pankkien siirtyminen uusiin laskentamenetelmiin voi nostaa startup-yrityksen lainan korkoa jopa 15 %.

The "hot money" phenomenon in Brazil

Because of its high interest rates, Brazil attracts more and more speculative capital flows, called "hot money", under the form of foreign loans, direct or portfolio investments. Actually, the country is directly involved in a carry-trade strategy that tends to appreciate the real, what penalizes the Brazilian exportations of manufactured products. Moreover, capital inflows are extremely volatile, and their departure, causing a fall in loans granted to the Brazilian private banks, could provoke a dangerous burst of the speculative bubble they have contributed to form in the Brazilian real estate sector.

Alternative banking: theory and evidence from Europe

Since financial liberalization in the 1980s, non-profit maximizing, stakeholder-oriented banks have outperformed private banks in Europe. This article draws on empirical research, banking theory and theories of the firm to explain this apparent anomaly for neo-liberal policy and contemporary market-based banking theory. The realization of competitive advantages by alternative banks (savings banks, cooperative banks and development banks) has significant implications for conceptions of bank change, regulation and political economy.

Crédito bancário corporativo no Brasil: evolução recente e perspectivas

This article aims to analyse the evolution of the corporate banking credit market in Brazil during the recent cycle (january 2003 to june 2009) from a Keynesian theoretical reference point. The article focuses on the dynamics of the six major segments of this market (industry, commerce, services, infrastructure, real estate and rural sector), highlighting their main similarities and differences concerning the cyclical dynamics, the participation in the total corporate banking credit, the origin of resources, the composition of capital ownership and the performance of public and private banks.

Exclusão financeira no Brasil: uma análise regional exploratória

Financial exclusion in Brazil: a regional investigation. Despite the fact that after the second half of the nineties the studies of financial exclusion have gained strength among the studies about poverty and regional and social inequalities, a few studies about this problem had appear in the Brazilian economic literature. The present work aims to contribute to this discussion by doing a regional investigation about the phenomenon of financial exclusion inside Brazil. The main hypothesis of the study is that this phenomenon is not disassociated of the space in which it happens. Thought of the use of proxies two dimensions of financial exclusion had been studied: the access to financial services and the suitability of it.

Revelações da crise: moeda fiduciária e as relações Tesouro/Banco Central

The current crisis shed a new light on issues that, previously, were not perceived as serious or important. It highlighted the close ties between fiat currency and government bonds denominated in it or, in other words, the relationship between Treasury and Central Bank. Two ill-conceived views of the "new consensus" on money that had turned into taboos were put in evidence. The first, derived from the quantitative theory, concerns the rejection of unsterilized monetary expansion; the second, directly related to the neoliberal ideology, prohibits or imposes strict limits on the role of central banks in the financing of public debts.

A crise do sistema financeiro globalizado contemporâneo

The paper analyses the development of the contemporary global financial system as a consequence of markets as well as States strategies. This global financial system based on the flexible dollar has generated many financial bubbles since it started in the 80s, of which the 2008 crisis is the latest and the largest, particularly because it affected the main banks in the core market of the system, the U.S. On the last decades, banks had changed their business strategies from traditional lending activities towards more speculative investments, similar to what hedge funds do.

Chronic macro-economic and financial imbalances in the world economy: a meta-economic view

Global finance, combining offshore banking and universal banks to drive a broader globalization process, has transformed the modus operandi of the world economy. This requires a new "meta-economic" framework in which short-term portfolio-investment flows are treated as the dominant phenomenon they have become. Organized by global finance, these layered bi-directional flows between center and periphery manage a tension between financial concentration and monetary fragmentation. The resulting imbalances express the asymmetries built into that tension and render the exchange rate a more strategic policy variable than ever.

Hallitustoiminnan erityispiirteet Etelä-Karjalan alueella toimivissa pk-yrityksissä

Teollisuuden rakennemuutoksen myötä pk-yrityskanta on Etelä-Karjalan alueen elinvoimaisuudelle tärkeämpi kuin koskaan. Kehittyäkseen pienistä keskikokoisiksi yritykset tarvitsevat lisää osaamista paitsi johtoon myös hallituksiinsa. Tähän selvitykseen on koottu Pk-yritysten hallitustoiminta Etelä-Karjalassa -hankkeen tuloksia. Hanketta rahoittivat Euroopan sosiaalirahasto ja Hämeen ELY-keskus ja se toteutettiin Lappeenrannan teknillisen yliopiston toimesta vuosien 2014-2015 aikana. Hankkeen keskeisenä tavoitteena oli vahvistaa Etelä-Karjalassa sijaitsevien pk-kokoluokan yritysten hallitustyötä ja hallitusten hyödyntämismahdollisuuksia sekä lisätä pk-yrityksissä toimivien hallitusjäsenten osaamista pk-yritysten hallitusjäseniltä vaadittavista taidoista ja osaamisalueista. Hankkeen toisena tavoitteena oli selvittää Suomessa toimivien venäläisomisteisten yritysten hallitustoiminnan erityispiirteitä. Hankkeen aikana toteutettiin koulutuksia ja työpajatoimintaa sekä laadittiin kaksi julkaisua. Hankkeen tiedonkeruu tapahtui haastattelemalla ja työpajatoiminnan kautta syksyn 2014 ja kevään 2015 aikana. Hankkeen tuloksina syntyi käsillä oleva selvitys hallitustoiminnan erityispiirteistä suomalaisissa ja venäläisissä Etelä-Karjalan alueella toimivissa pk-yrityksissä sekä suomalaisten pk-yritysten hallitustoiminnan erityispiirteisiin keskittyvä tiivistelmä. Hankkeeseen osallistui Etelä-Karjalan alueella toimivia pk-yrittäjiä, hallituksenjäseniä, yrityksiä tukevia toimijoita ja erilaisten sidosryhmien edustajia. Lappeenrannan teknillisen yliopiston hankepartnereina toimivat Etelä-Karjalan Hallituspartnerit ry, Etelä-Karjalan Yrittäjät ry sekä Etelä-Karjalan Kauppakamari.

Lohkoketjuteknologian soveltaminen finanssisektorille

Tämän kandidaatintutkielman tarkoituksena on tutkia, miten lohkoketjuteknologiaa voi soveltaa finanssisektorille. Tutkimus tarjoaa yleiskuvan lohkoketjuteknologista, sekä sen sovelluskohteista finanssisektorilla. Tutkimusmenetelmä on kvalitatiivinen ja se toteutettiin haastattelemalla pankkeja, jotka osallistuvat Distributed Ledger Group (DLG)-konsortioon. Kyseinen konsortio pyrkii 42 pankin ja R3cev nimisen yrityksen välisessä yhteistyössä soveltamaan lohkoketjuteknologiaa pankkisektorille. Haastattelujen perusteella pankit pitävät lohkoketjuteknologian potentiaalia pitkällä aikavälillä suurena. Erityisesti lohkoketjuteknologian odotetaan laskevan kustannuksia, sekä nopeuttavan toimintoja useiden eri tuotteiden kohdalla. Pelkästään pankkisektorilla tutkitaan tällä hetkellä kymmeniä eri sovelluskohteita. Ennen kuin lohkoketjulla voidaan nähdä kaupallista toimintaa, tulee haasteita ylittää sekä teknisellä, että säädännöllisellä puolella. Vielä on liian varhaista arvioida, milloin lohkoketjuteknologiaa tullaan soveltamaan laajemmin finanssisektorilla. Pankkien oma tutkimus aiheesta oli vielä suhteellisen varhaisessa vaiheessa. Lohkoketjuteknologian potentiaali voidaan nähdä tutkimuksen perusteella valtavan suurena. Vielä on kuitenkin vaikea arvioida tullaanko tähän potentiaaliin tulevaisuudessa yltämään. Finanssisektorilla on monia toimijoita, jotka tutkivat lohkoketjuteknologiaa ja se vauhdittaa kehitystä. Lohkoketjuteknologia saattaa tulevaisuudessa mullistaa monia finanssisektorin osa-alueita tai jopa korvata ne kokonaan.

Consumer Behavior in Mortgage Market: Evidence from Russia

The purpose of this master thesis is to identify behavioral patterns of potential borrower in mortgage market in crisis conditions and to link mortgage products available on Russian market with potential borrowers segments in dependence of detected patterns. Empirical results achieved through 172 answers of potential borrowers allowed to classify them in four groups in dependence of respondent perceptions about mortgage and future. On the basis of literature review and currently state of Russian mortgage market particular mortgage products were suggested to each of four clusters of potential borrowers. Then, recommendations for Russian banks how to apply received results were developed. Current master thesis has strong both academic and managerial contributions. It it adds significant value to existing consumer behavior studies; and provides practical recommendations for Russian banks how to understand mortgage borrower behavior in order to increase trust to mortgage among population.

Scanning the future of Single Euro Payment Area – towards cashless payment methods

The future of paying in the age of digitalization is a topic that includes varied visions. This master’s thesis explores images of the future of paying in the Single Euro Payment Area (SEPA) up to 2020 and 2025 through the views of experts specialized in paying. This study was commissioned by a credit management company in order to obtain more detailed information about the future of paying. Specifically, this thesis investigates what could be the most used payment methods in the future, what items could work as a medium of exchange in 2020 and how will they evolve towards the year 2025. Changing consumer behavior, trends connected to payment methods, security and private issues of new cashless payment methods were also part of this study. In the empirical part of the study the experts’ ideas about probable and preferable future images of paying were investigated through a two-round Disaggregative Delphi method. The questionnaire included numeric statements and open questions. Three alternative future images were created with the help of cluster analysis: “Unsurprising Future”, “Technology Driven Future” and “The Age of the Customer”. The plausible images had similarities and differences, which were reflected to the previous studies in the literature review. The study’s findings were formed based on the images of futures’ similarities and to the open questions answers that were received from the questionnaire. The main conclusion of the study was that development of technology will unify and diversify SEPA; the trend in 2020 seems to be towards more cashless payment methods but their usage depends on the countries’ financial possibilities and customer preferences. Mobile payments, cards and cash will be the main payment methods but the banks will have competitors from outside the financial sector. Wearable payment methods and NFC technology are seen as widely growing trends but subcutaneous payment devices will likely keep their niche position until 2025. In the meantime, security and private issues are seen to increase because of identity thefts and various frauds. Simultaneously, privacy will lose its meaning to younger consumers who are used to sharing their transaction and personal data with third parties in order to get access to attractive services. Easier access to consumers’ transaction data will probably open the door for hackers and cause new risks in paying processes. There exist many roads to future, and this study was not an attempt to give any complete answers about it even if some plausible assumptions about the future’s course were provided.

Effects of bank supervision and regulation on bank risk

In the last few decades, banking has strongly internationalized and become more complex. Hence, bank supervision and regulation has taken global perspective, too. The most important international regulation are the Basel frameworks by the Basel committee on banking supervision. This study examines the effects of bank supervision and regulation, especially the Basel II, on bank risk and risk-taking. In order to separate and recognize the efficiency of these effects, the co-effects of many supervisory and regulatory tools together with other relevant factors must be taken into account. The focus of the study is on the effects of asymmetric information and banking procyclicality on the efficiency of the Basel II. This study tries to find an answer, if the Basel II, implemented in 2008, has decreased bank risk in banks of European Union member states. This study examines empirically, if the volatility on bank stock returns have changed after the implementation of the Basel II. Panel data consists of 62 bank stock returns, bank-specific variables, economic variables and variables concerning regulatory environment between 2003 and 2011. Fixed effects regression is used for panel data analysis. Results indicate that volatility on bank stock returns has increased after 2008 and the implementation of the Basel II. Result is statistically very significant and robustness has been verified in different model specifications. The result of this study contradicts with the goal of the Basel II about banking system stability. Banking procyclicality and wrong incentives for regulatory arbitrage under asymmetric information explained in theoretical part may explain this result. On the other hand, simultaneously with the implementation of the Basel II, the global financial crisis emerged and caused severe losses in banks and increased stock volatility. However, it is clear that supervision and regulation was unable to prevent the global financial crisis. After the financial crisis, supervision and regulation have been reformed globally. The main problems of the Basel II, examined in the theoretical part, have been recognized in order to prevent problems of procyclicality and wrong incentives in the future.