991 resultados para 1995_03301658 MOC-26


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ContentsPoll: Will you watch the Olympics?One-on-one: Lisa UhlDanny Harris' second chanceHill remembers his Olympic glory

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Contents'This is an American Issue': Obama discusses rising tuition fees in Iowa City visitIowa State gears up for Drake RelaysISU policies set in place to prevent discriminationEvent shows off innovationFreedom's flame burns brightLocusic site focuses on local talent

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ContentsEagles finally SOARTeach-in addresses partnershipRelay for Life unites people of Story CountySoftball falls to LonghornsDo cameras curb traffic violations?Main Street Cultural District moves toward a new look

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ContentsWorldly experiencesAssociation hones in on improvement goalsPresident draws fire with State of the Union addressLadysoal prepares jazzy yearPower of free speech comes from the peopleWillms, Johnson will not return to play volleyball

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This paper summarizes the results of an intercomparison project with Earth System Models of Intermediate Complexity (EMICs) undertaken in support of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5). The focus is on long-term climate projections designed to 1) quantify the climate change commitment of different radiative forcing trajectories and 2) explore the extent to which climate change is reversible on human time scales. All commitment simulations follow the four representative concentration pathways (RCPs) and their extensions to year 2300. Most EMICs simulate substantial surface air temperature and thermosteric sea level rise commitment following stabilization of the atmospheric composition at year-2300 levels. The meridional overturning circulation (MOC) is weakened temporarily and recovers to near-preindustrial values in most models for RCPs 2.6-6.0. The MOC weakening is more persistent for RCP8.5. Elimination of anthropogenic CO2 emissions after 2300 results in slowly decreasing atmospheric CO2 concentrations. At year 3000 atmospheric CO2 is still at more than half its year-2300 level in all EMICs for RCPs 4.5-8.5. Surface air temperature remains constant or decreases slightly and thermosteric sea level rise continues for centuries after elimination of CO2 emissions in all EMICs. Restoration of atmospheric CO2 from RCP to preindustrial levels over 100-1000 years requires large artificial removal of CO2 from the atmosphere and does not result in the simultaneous return to preindustrial climate conditions, as surface air temperature and sea level response exhibit a substantial time lag relative to atmospheric CO2.

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