988 resultados para Simulation tools


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The application of forced unsteady-state reactors in case of selective catalytic reduction of nitrogen oxides (NOx) with ammonia (NH3) is sustained by the fact that favorable temperature and composition distributions which cannot be achieved in any steady-state regime can be obtained by means of unsteady-state operations. In a normal way of operation the low exothermicity of the selective catalytic reduction (SCR) reaction (usually carried out in the range of 280-350°C) is not enough to maintain by itself the chemical reaction. A normal mode of operation usually requires supply of supplementary heat increasing in this way the overall process operation cost. Through forced unsteady-state operation, the main advantage that can be obtained when exothermic reactions take place is the possibility of trapping, beside the ammonia, the moving heat wave inside the catalytic bed. The unsteady state-operation enables the exploitation of the thermal storage capacity of the catalyticbed. The catalytic bed acts as a regenerative heat exchanger allowing auto-thermal behaviour when the adiabatic temperature rise is low. Finding the optimum reactor configuration, employing the most suitable operation model and identifying the reactor behavior are highly important steps in order to configure a proper device for industrial applications. The Reverse Flow Reactor (RFR) - a forced unsteady state reactor - corresponds to the above mentioned characteristics and may be employed as an efficient device for the treatment of dilute pollutant mixtures. As a main disadvantage, beside its advantages, the RFR presents the 'wash out' phenomena. This phenomenon represents emissions of unconverted reactants at every switch of the flow direction. As a consequence our attention was focused on finding an alternative reactor configuration for RFR which is not affected by the incontrollable emissions of unconverted reactants. In this respect the Reactor Network (RN) was investigated. Its configuration consists of several reactors connected in a closed sequence, simulating a moving bed by changing the reactants feeding position. In the RN the flow direction is maintained in the same way ensuring uniformcatalyst exploitation and in the same time the 'wash out' phenomena is annulated. The simulated moving bed (SMB) can operate in transient mode giving practically constant exit concentration and high conversion levels. The main advantage of the reactor network operation is emphasizedby the possibility to obtain auto-thermal behavior with nearly uniformcatalyst utilization. However, the reactor network presents only a small range of switching times which allow to reach and to maintain an ignited state. Even so a proper study of the complex behavior of the RN may give the necessary information to overcome all the difficulties that can appear in the RN operation. The unsteady-state reactors complexity arises from the fact that these reactor types are characterized by short contact times and complex interaction between heat and mass transportphenomena. Such complex interactions can give rise to a remarkable complex dynamic behavior characterized by a set of spatial-temporal patterns, chaotic changes in concentration and traveling waves of heat or chemical reactivity. The main efforts of the current research studies concern the improvement of contact modalities between reactants, the possibility of thermal wave storage inside the reactor and the improvement of the kinetic activity of the catalyst used. Paying attention to the above mentioned aspects is important when higher activity even at low feeding temperatures and low emissions of unconverted reactants are the main operation concerns. Also, the prediction of the reactor pseudo or steady-state performance (regarding the conversion, selectivity and thermal behavior) and the dynamicreactor response during exploitation are important aspects in finding the optimal control strategy for the forced unsteady state catalytic tubular reactors. The design of an adapted reactor requires knowledge about the influence of its operating conditions on the overall process performance and a precise evaluation of the operating parameters rage for which a sustained dynamic behavior is obtained. An apriori estimation of the system parameters result in diminution of the computational efforts. Usually the convergence of unsteady state reactor systems requires integration over hundreds of cycles depending on the initial guess of the parameter values. The investigation of various operation models and thermal transfer strategies give reliable means to obtain recuperative and regenerative devices which are capable to maintain an auto-thermal behavior in case of low exothermic reactions. In the present research work a gradual analysis of the SCR of NOx with ammonia process in forced unsteady-state reactors was realized. The investigation covers the presentationof the general problematic related to the effect of noxious emissions in the environment, the analysis of the suitable catalysts types for the process, the mathematical analysis approach for modeling and finding the system solutions and the experimental investigation of the device found to be more suitable for the present process. In order to gain information about the forced unsteady state reactor design, operation, important system parameters and their values, mathematical description, mathematicalmethod for solving systems of partial differential equations and other specific aspects, in a fast and easy way, and a case based reasoning (CBR) approach has been used. This approach, using the experience of past similarproblems and their adapted solutions, may provide a method for gaining informations and solutions for new problems related to the forced unsteady state reactors technology. As a consequence a CBR system was implemented and a corresponding tool was developed. Further on, grooving up the hypothesis of isothermal operation, the investigation by means of numerical simulation of the feasibility of the SCR of NOx with ammonia in the RFRand in the RN with variable feeding position was realized. The hypothesis of non-isothermal operation was taken into account because in our opinion ifa commercial catalyst is considered, is not possible to modify the chemical activity and its adsorptive capacity to improve the operation butis possible to change the operation regime. In order to identify the most suitable device for the unsteady state reduction of NOx with ammonia, considering the perspective of recuperative and regenerative devices, a comparative analysis of the above mentioned two devices performance was realized. The assumption of isothermal conditions in the beginningof the forced unsteadystate investigation allowed the simplification of the analysis enabling to focus on the impact of the conditions and mode of operation on the dynamic features caused by the trapping of one reactant in the reactor, without considering the impact of thermal effect on overall reactor performance. The non-isothermal system approach has been investigated in order to point out the important influence of the thermal effect on overall reactor performance, studying the possibility of RFR and RN utilization as recuperative and regenerative devices and the possibility of achieving a sustained auto-thermal behavior in case of lowexothermic reaction of SCR of NOx with ammonia and low temperature gasfeeding. Beside the influence of the thermal effect, the influence of the principal operating parameters, as switching time, inlet flow rate and initial catalyst temperature have been stressed. This analysis is important not only because it allows a comparison between the two devices and optimisation of the operation, but also the switching time is the main operating parameter. An appropriate choice of this parameter enables the fulfilment of the process constraints. The level of the conversions achieved, the more uniform temperature profiles, the uniformity ofcatalyst exploitation and the much simpler mode of operation imposed the RN as a much more suitable device for SCR of NOx with ammonia, in usual operation and also in the perspective of control strategy implementation. Theoretical simplified models have also been proposed in order to describe the forced unsteady state reactors performance and to estimate their internal temperature and concentration profiles. The general idea was to extend the study of catalytic reactor dynamics taking into account the perspectives that haven't been analyzed yet. The experimental investigation ofRN revealed a good agreement between the data obtained by model simulation and the ones obtained experimentally.

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Simulation is a useful tool in cardiac SPECT to assess quantification algorithms. However, simple equation-based models are limited in their ability to simulate realistic heart motion and perfusion. We present a numerical dynamic model of the left ventricle, which allows us to simulate normal and anomalous cardiac cycles, as well as perfusion defects. Bicubic splines were fitted to a number of control points to represent endocardial and epicardial surfaces of the left ventricle. A transformation from each point on the surface to a template of activity was made to represent the myocardial perfusion. Geometry-based and patient-based simulations were performed to illustrate this model. Geometry-based simulations modeled ~1! a normal patient, ~2! a well-perfused patient with abnormal regional function, ~3! an ischaemic patient with abnormal regional function, and ~4! a patient study including tracer kinetics. Patient-based simulation consisted of a left ventricle including a realistic shape and motion obtained from a magnetic resonance study. We conclude that this model has the potential to study the influence of several physical parameters and the left ventricle contraction in myocardial perfusion SPECT and gated-SPECT studies.

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Mechanistic soil-crop models have become indispensable tools to investigate the effect of management practices on the productivity or environmental impacts of arable crops. Ideally these models may claim to be universally applicable because they simulate the major processes governing the fate of inputs such as fertiliser nitrogen or pesticides. However, because they deal with complex systems and uncertain phenomena, site-specific calibration is usually a prerequisite to ensure their predictions are realistic. This statement implies that some experimental knowledge on the system to be simulated should be available prior to any modelling attempt, and raises a tremendous limitation to practical applications of models. Because the demand for more general simulation results is high, modellers have nevertheless taken the bold step of extrapolating a model tested within a limited sample of real conditions to a much larger domain. While methodological questions are often disregarded in this extrapolation process, they are specifically addressed in this paper, and in particular the issue of models a priori parameterisation. We thus implemented and tested a standard procedure to parameterize the soil components of a modified version of the CERES models. The procedure converts routinely-available soil properties into functional characteristics by means of pedo-transfer functions. The resulting predictions of soil water and nitrogen dynamics, as well as crop biomass, nitrogen content and leaf area index were compared to observations from trials conducted in five locations across Europe (southern Italy, northern Spain, northern France and northern Germany). In three cases, the model’s performance was judged acceptable when compared to experimental errors on the measurements, based on a test of the model’s root mean squared error (RMSE). Significant deviations between observations and model outputs were however noted in all sites, and could be ascribed to various model routines. In decreasing importance, these were: water balance, the turnover of soil organic matter, and crop N uptake. A better match to field observations could therefore be achieved by visually adjusting related parameters, such as field-capacity water content or the size of soil microbial biomass. As a result, model predictions fell within the measurement errors in all sites for most variables, and the model’s RMSE was within the range of published values for similar tests. We conclude that the proposed a priori method yields acceptable simulations with only a 50% probability, a figure which may be greatly increased through a posteriori calibration. Modellers should thus exercise caution when extrapolating their models to a large sample of pedo-climatic conditions for which they have only limited information.

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In this paper, we present a computer simulation study of the ion binding process at an ionizable surface using a semi-grand canonical Monte Carlo method that models the surface as a discrete distribution of charged and neutral functional groups in equilibrium with explicit ions modelled in the context of the primitive model. The parameters of the simulation model were tuned and checked by comparison with experimental titrations of carboxylated latex particles in the presence of different ionic strengths of monovalent ions. The titration of these particles was analysed by calculating the degree of dissociation of the latex functional groups vs. pH curves at different background salt concentrations. As the charge of the titrated surface changes during the simulation, a procedure to keep the electroneutrality of the system is required. Here, two approaches are used with the choice depending on the ion selected to maintain electroneutrality: counterion or coion procedures. We compare and discuss the difference between the procedures. The simulations also provided a microscopic description of the electrostatic double layer (EDL) structure as a function of pH and ionic strength. The results allow us to quantify the effect of the size of the background salt ions and of the surface functional groups on the degree of dissociation. The non-homogeneous structure of the EDL was revealed by plotting the counterion density profiles around charged and neutral surface functional groups. © 2011 American Institute of Physics.

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Data was analyzed on development of the solanaceen fruit crop Cape gooseberry to evaluate how well a classical thermal time model could describe node appearance in different environments. The data used in the analysis were obtained from experiments conducted in Colombia in open fields and greenhouse condition at two locations with different climate. An empirical, non linear segmented model was used to estimate the base temperature and to parameterize the model for simulation of node appearance vs. time. The base temperature (Tb) used to calculate the thermal time (TT, ºCd) for node appearance was estimated to be 6.29 ºC. The slope of the first linear segment was 0.023 nodes per TT and 0.008 for the second linear segment. The time at which the slope of node apperance changed was 1039.5 ºCd after transplanting, determined from a statistical analysis of model for the first segment. When these coefficients were used to predict node appearance at all locations, the model successfully fit the observed data (RSME=2.1), especially for the first segment where node appearance was more homogeneous than the second segment. More nodes were produced by plants grown under greenhouse conditions and minimum and maximum rates of node appearance rates were also higher.

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Monte Carlo (MC) simulations have been used to study the structure of an intermediate thermal phase of poly(R-octadecyl ç,D-glutamate). This is a comblike poly(ç-peptide) able to adopt a biphasic structure that has been described as a layered arrangement of backbone helical rods immersed in a paraffinic pool of polymethylene side chains. Simulations were performed at two different temperatures (348 and 363 K), both of them above the melting point of the paraffinic phase, using the configurational bias MC algorithm. Results indicate that layers are constituted by a side-by-side packing of 17/5 helices. The organization of the interlayer paraffinic region is described in atomistic terms by examining the torsional angles and the end-to-end distances for the octadecyl side chains. Comparison with previously reported comblike poly(â-peptide)s revealed significant differences in the organization of the alkyl side chains.

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Kustannuspaineet, tuotteiden laatuvaatimukset ja lisääntyvässä määrin myös ammattitaitoisen työvoiman pula lisäävät robotisoinnin käyttötarvetta hitsauksessa. Tämä työ on tehty edellä mainituista lähtökohdista ja käsittelee robottihitsausjärjestelmän suunnitteluprojektia, joustavaa hitsausautomaatiota ja robotiikan soveltamista. Näkökohtana on Savonia-ammattikorkeakoulun sekä Pohjois-Savon alueen yritysten tutkimus-, kehitys- ja koulutustoiminnan tarpeet. Joustavuus on hitsausjärjestelmän päätavoite, jolla pyritään vastaamaan asiakasohjautuvan yksittäis- ja piensarjatuotannon haasteisiin. Ratkaisua yksittäis- ja piensarjatuotteiden kokonaistaloudelliseen hitsaukseen on haettu hitsausrobotin rinnalle lisätyllä apurobotilla, jonka päätehtävä on kappaleenkäsittely, mutta sitä voidaan käyttää myös mm. robotisoituun leikkauksen ja särmäykseen. Tavallisuudesta poikkeavaa järjestelmäratkaisua on perusteltu sillä, että ohjaus- ja ohjelmointitekniikan sekä kehittyneen anturoinnin myötä on robottien käytettävyys parantunut ja aiempaa haasteellisempien robottijärjestelmien toteuttaminen on tullut näin mahdolliseksi. Lisäksi virtuaalimallinnus, simulointi ja etäohjelmointi ovat työkaluja, joita voidaan käyttää mm. tuotannon laadun ja tehokkuuden parantamiseen. Työssä esitetty robottiaseman suunnittelu alkaa järjestelmän määrittelystä, vaatimuslistan laadinnasta sekä visioinnista ja päättyy kolmen järjestelmävaihtoehdon vertailuun. Esitetyillä järjestelmävaihtoehdoilla on haettu mahdollisuutta yhdistää yleensä erillisinä toteutettuja työvaiheita yhteiseen soluun. Tuotannon joustavuus on ollut tuotantokapasiteettia tärkeämpi laitteistokokoonpanon valintaperuste.

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Työssä on tutkittu pumpun valintaa integroidussa simulointiympäristössä. Tutkimuksen avulla on tarkoitus kehittää tieto- ja malligallerian (Galleria) infrastuktuuria ja käytössä olevia työvälineitä siihen suuntaan, että ulkoisten valitsinkomponenttien implementoiminen Gallerian tietokantaan olisi lähitulevaisuudessa helppoa ja nopeaa. Prosessi-integraation tieto- ja malligalleria on infrastruktuurimäärittely ja työvälineistö prosessikomponenttien ja osaprosessien simulointiin tarvittavien malli- ja parametritietojen kirjastoimiseksi internetpohjaiseen tietokantaan, josta ne ovat simulointiohjelmien käyttäjien ja muiden prosessisuunnittelijoiden helposti saatavilla. Tutkimuksen kirjallisessa osassa on keskitytty tutkimaan pumpun valinnan etenemistä ja valintaan vaikuttavia tekijöitä prosessisuunnittelijan näkökulmasta. Tutkimuksen soveltavassa osassa luotiin pumpunvalitsin ja sitä testattiiin Galleria- ympäristöä vastaavassa kehitysympäristössä. Pumpunvalitsimen kehittämisessä on käytetty apuna laitevalmistajalta saatua prosessikomponenttitietoa. Pumpunvalitsimen toteutus perustuu pumpun hydrauliseen valintaan ja esimerkkitapauksena käytettiin keskipakopumppua

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Background: The repertoire of statistical methods dealing with the descriptive analysis of the burden of a disease has been expanded and implemented in statistical software packages during the last years. The purpose of this paper is to present a web-based tool, REGSTATTOOLS http://regstattools.net intended to provide analysis for the burden of cancer, or other group of disease registry data. Three software applications are included in REGSTATTOOLS: SART (analysis of disease"s rates and its time trends), RiskDiff (analysis of percent changes in the rates due to demographic factors and risk of developing or dying from a disease) and WAERS (relative survival analysis). Results: We show a real-data application through the assessment of the burden of tobacco-related cancer incidence in two Spanish regions in the period 1995-2004. Making use of SART we show that lung cancer is the most common cancer among those cancers, with rising trends in incidence among women. We compared 2000-2004 data with that of 1995-1999 to assess percent changes in the number of cases as well as relative survival using RiskDiff and WAERS, respectively. We show that the net change increase in lung cancer cases among women was mainly attributable to an increased risk of developing lung cancer, whereas in men it is attributable to the increase in population size. Among men, lung cancer relative survival was higher in 2000-2004 than in 1995-1999, whereas it was similar among women when these time periods were compared. Conclusions: Unlike other similar applications, REGSTATTOOLS does not require local software installation and it is simple to use, fast and easy to interpret. It is a set of web-based statistical tools intended for automated calculation of population indicators that any professional in health or social sciences may require.

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Työn tavoitteena oli määritellä kirjallisuustutkimuksen ja suunnitteluesimerkin avulla vaatimuksia integroidulle simulointiympäristölle, joka sisältää simulointiohjelmien lisäksi prosessilaitteiden mitoitusohjelmia ja prosessilaite- ja mallitietokannan. Lisäksi pohdittiin simulointiympäristön tuomia etuja prosessissuunnitteluun. Esimerkkinä käytettiin yksinkertaista putkilinjaa. Ensin selvitettiin prosessisuunnittelun kulkua, menetelmiä, apuvälineitä ja ajankohtaisia teemoja kirjallisuuden perusteella. Prosessisuunnittelun menetelmistä keskityttiin yksityiskohtaisemmin prosessisimulointiin. Lisäksi etsittiin kirjallisuudesta esimerkkejä integroiduista suunnitteluympäristöistä. Kirjallisuusselvityksen perusteella määriteltiin yleisiä vaatimuksia integroidulle simulointiympäristölle. Seuraavaksi suunniteltiin esimerkkinä käytetty putkilinja ja kuvattiin suunnittelun eteneminen. Suunnitteluesimerkin avulla pyrittiin tunnistamaan suunnitteluprosessista ne kohdat, joissa integroitu simulointiympäristö helpottaisi työskentelyä sekä pohtimaan yksityiskohtaisemmin integroidun simulointiympäristön toimintoja. Lopuksi kuvattiin putkilinjan suunnittelun eteneminen integroidussa simulointiympäristössä ja pohdittiin sen etuja verrattuna perinteiseen putkilinjan suunnitteluun. Tutkimuksen perusteella integroitu simulointiympäristö tehostaa prosessisuunnittelua siten, että simulointimallien määrittelyissä tarvittavat laitetiedot ovat saatavissa helposti ja nopeasti ohjelmien ymmärtämässä muodossa. Simulointiympäristössä tieto eri sovellusten välillä siirtyy osittain automaattisesti, minkä takia ohjelmiin ei erikseen tarvitse syöttää samoja tietoja. Lisäksi integroitu simulointiympäristö tukee rinnakkaista suunnittelua ja automaatio- ja prosessisuunnittelun integrointia.Jatkotutkimusehdotuksena on lisäselvitykset siitä, miten simulointiympäristö sijoittuisi yrityksissä jo olemassa oleviin suunnittelujärjestelmiin, etenkin tiedonhallintajärjestelmiin nähden. Muina jatkotutkimusehdotuksina on integroidun simulointiympäristön tarkasteleminen automaatiosuunnittelijan kannalta sekä vaatimusmäärittelyjen tarkentaminen. Työssä ei juuri ole kiinnitetty huomiota siihen, kuinka helposti ehdotetut simulointiympäristön toiminnot ja vaatimukset ovat toteutettavissa teknisesti tai ylipäätään ovatko toteutettavissa, joten tämäkin vaatinee jatkotutkimuksia.

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The main objective of this master's thesis is to study robot programming using simulation software, and also how to embed the simulation software into company's own robot controlling software. The further goal is to study a new communication interface to the assembly line's components -more precisely how to connect the robot cell into this new communication system. Conveyor lines are already available where the conveyors use the new communication standard. The robot cell is not yet capable of communicating with to other devices using the new communication protocols. The main problem among robot manufacturers is that they all have their own communication systems and programming languages. There has not been any common programming language to program all the different robot manufacturers robots, until the RRS (Realistic Robot Simulation) standards were developed. The RRS - II makes it possible to create the robot programs in the simulation software and it gives a common user interface for different robot manufacturers robots. This thesis will present the RRS - II standard and the robot manufacturers situation for the RRS - II support. Thesis presents how the simulation software can be embedded into company's own robot controlling software and also how the robot cell can be connected to the CAMX (Computer Aided Manufacturing using XML) communication system.

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Severe combined immunodeficiency (SCID) and other severe non-SCID primary immunodeficiencies (non-SCID PID) can be treated by allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell (HSC) transplantation, but when histocompatibility leukocyte antigen-matched donors are lacking, this can be a high-risk procedure. Correcting the patient's own HSCs with gene therapy offers an attractive alternative. Gene therapies currently being used in clinical settings insert a functional copy of the entire gene by means of a viral vector. With this treatment, severe complications may result due to integration within oncogenes. A promising alternative is the use of endonucleases such as ZFNs, TALENs, and CRISPR/Cas9 to introduce a double-stranded break in the DNA and thus induce homology-directed repair. With these genome-editing tools a correct copy can be inserted in a precisely targeted "safe harbor." They can also be used to correct pathogenic mutations in situ and to develop cellular or animal models needed to study the pathogenic effects of specific genetic defects found in immunodeficient patients. This review discusses the advantages and disadvantages of these endonucleases in gene correction and modeling with an emphasis on CRISPR/Cas9, which offers the most promise due to its efficacy and versatility.

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The computer simulation of reaction dynamics has nowadays reached a remarkable degree of accuracy. Triatomic elementary reactions are rigorously studied with great detail on a straightforward basis using a considerable variety of Quantum Dynamics computational tools available to the scientific community. In our contribution we compare the performance of two quantum scattering codes in the computation of reaction cross sections of a triatomic benchmark reaction such as the gas phase reaction Ne + H2+ %12. NeH++ H. The computational codes are selected as representative of time-dependent (Real Wave Packet [ ]) and time-independent (ABC [ ]) methodologies. The main conclusion to be drawn from our study is that both strategies are, to a great extent, not competing but rather complementary. While time-dependent calculations advantages with respect to the energy range that can be covered in a single simulation, time-independent approaches offer much more detailed information from each single energy calculation. Further details such as the calculation of reactivity at very low collision energies or the computational effort related to account for the Coriolis couplings are analyzed in this paper.

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Tässä diplomityössä tehtiin käyttäjän opas kehittyneelle prosessisimulointiohjelmistolle APROS 5. Opas on osa VTT Energialle tehtävää APROS 5 käyttäjän koulutuspakettia, joka julkaistaan myöhemmin CD-ROM -muotoisena. Prosessisimulointiohjelmistoa AAPROS 5 voidaan käyttää termohydraulisten prosessien, automaatiopiirien ja sähköjärjestelmien mallinnuksessa. Ohjelma sisältää myös neutroniikkamallin ydinreaktorin käyttäytymisen mallintamiseksi. APROS:in aikaisemmilla UNIX-ympäristössä toimivilla versioilla on toteutettu useita ydinvoimalaitosten turvallisuustutkimukseen liittyviä analyysejä ja sekä ydinvoimalaitosten että konventionaalisten voimalaitosten koulutussimulaattoreita. APROS 5 toimii Windows NT -ympäristössä ja on oleellisesti erilainen käyttää kuin aikaisemmat versiot. Tämän myötä syntyi tarve uudelle käyttäjän oppaalle. Käyttäjän oppaassa esitetään APROS 5:n tärkeimmät toiminnot, mallinnuksen periaatteet ja termohydraulisten ja neutroniikan ratkaisumallit. Lisäksi oppaassa esitetään esimerkki, jossa mallinnetaan yksinkertaistettu VVER-440 -tyyppisen ydinvoimalaitoksen primääripiiri. Yksityiskohtaisempaa tietoa ohjelmistosta on saatavilla APROS 5 -dokumentaatiosta.

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Alpine tree-line ecotones are characterized by marked changes at small spatial scales that may result in a variety of physiognomies. A set of alternative individual-based models was tested with data from four contrasting Pinus uncinata ecotones in the central Spanish Pyrenees to reveal the minimal subset of processes required for tree-line formation. A Bayesian approach combined with Markov chain Monte Carlo methods was employed to obtain the posterior distribution of model parameters, allowing the use of model selection procedures. The main features of real tree lines emerged only in models considering nonlinear responses in individual rates of growth or mortality with respect to the altitudinal gradient. Variation in tree-line physiognomy reflected mainly changes in the relative importance of these nonlinear responses, while other processes, such as dispersal limitation and facilitation, played a secondary role. Different nonlinear responses also determined the presence or absence of krummholz, in agreement with recent findings highlighting a different response of diffuse and abrupt or krummholz tree lines to climate change. The method presented here can be widely applied in individual-based simulation models and will turn model selection and evaluation in this type of models into a more transparent, effective, and efficient exercise.