Technology Creation, Diffusion, and Growth Cycles

Standard macroeconomic models that assume an exogenous stochastic process for multifactor productivity offer the interpretation that recessions are the result of ''bad news'' (technological regress) and expansions are the result of ''good news'' (technological advancement). The view taken here is that both expansions and recessions are the result of ''good news'' in the sense that in both cases, aggregate production possibilities have increased. Recessions can be thought of as the transition from one technological frontier to the next.

An overview of China's one child policy and health consequences on society

In 1979, China implemented the one child policy to stifle the burden of the massive demographic growth cast on the future economic development and quality of living conditions. At the time, a quarter of the world's population resided in China and occupied only 7 percent of the world's arable land (The World Factbook, 2006). The government set the target total population to about 1.4 billion for the year 2010 and to significantly reduce the natural increase rate. First this overview paper will describe population demographics and economy of China's society. This paper will also investigate what the one child policy entails and how it is implemented. Furthermore, the consequences of the policy in regard to population growth, sex ratio, marital discrepancies, adverse health of mother and child, aging population, and pension coverage will be examined. Finally, future recommendations and an alternative policy will be postulated to increase the effectiveness of the policy and improve its effects on health. ^

NRAS and BRAF mutations in primary cutaneous melanoma: A comparison of mutation rates between radial and vertical growth phases in individual tumors

Primary cutaneous melanoma is a cancer arising from melanocytes in the skin. In recent decades the incidence of this malignancy has increased significantly. Mortality rates are high for patients with tumors measuring over a few millimeters in thickness. Response rates to conventional radiation and chemotherapy are very low in patients with metastatic melanoma. New therapies targeting melanoma’s aberrant cell signaling pathways such as the MAP Kinase pathway are being developed. Mutations of NRAS and BRAF genes are quite common in cutaneous melanoma and lead to constitutive activation of the MAP Kinase pathway. This study tests the hypothesis that NRAS and BRAF mutations increase as a tumor progresses from the noninvasive radial growth phase (RGP) to the invasive vertical growth phase (VGP). Laser capture microdissection was used to obtain separate, pure tumor DNA samples from the RGP and VGP of thirty primary cutaneous melanomas. PCR was used to amplify NRAS exon 2 and BRAF exon 15 tumor DNA. The amplified DNA was sequenced and analyzed for mutations. An overall mutation rate of 74% was obtained for the twenty-three melanomas in which there were complete sequence results. With the exception of one melanoma NRAS and BRAF mutations were mutually exclusive. All seven NRAS exon 2 mutations involved codon 61. Three of these melanomas had mutations in both the RGP and VGP. The remaining four tumors were wild type for NRAS exon 2 in the RGP but mutated in the VGP. Of the fifteen BRAF exon 15 mutated melanomas all but one involved codon 600. Twelve of the fifteen BRAF exon 15 mutations were the T1799A type. Nine of the fifteen BRAF mutated tumors had the same mutation in both the RGP and VGP. Five of fifteen melanomas had wild type RGP DNA and BRAF exon 15 mutated VGP DNA. A single melanoma had BRAF exon 15 mutated DNA in the RGP and wild type DNA in the VGP. Overall, these results suggest a trend toward the acquisition of NRAS and BRAF mutations as cutaneous melanomas change from a noninvasive to an invasive, potentially deadly cancer.^

Growth and development of body fat distribution from skinfold measurements: Longitudinal principal components

Longitudinal principal components analyses on a combination of four subcutaneous skinfolds (biceps, triceps, subscapular and suprailiac) were performed using data from the London Longitudinal Growth Study. The main objectives were to discover at what age during growth sex differences in body fat distribution occur and to see if there is continuity in body fatness and body fat distribution from childhood into the adult status (18 years). The analyses were done for four age sectors (3mon-3yrs, 3yrs-8yrs, 8yrs-18yrs and 3yrs-18yrs). Longitudinal principal component one (LPC1) for each age interval in both sexes represents the population mean fat curve. Component two (LPC2) is a velocity of fatness component. Component three (LPC3) in the 3mon-3yrs age sector represents infant fat wave in both sexes. In the next two age sectors component three in males represents peaks and shifts in fat growth (change in velocity), while in females it represents body fat distribution. Component four (LPC4) in the same two age sectors is a reversal in the sexes of the patterns seen for component three, i.e., in males it is body fat distribution and in females velocity shifts. Components five and above represent more complicated patterns of change (multiple increases and decreases across the age interval). In both sexes there is strong tracking in fatness from middle childhood to adolescence. In males only there is also a low to moderate tracking of infant fat with middle to late childhood fat. These data are strongly supported in the literature. Several factors are known to predict adult fatness among the most important being previous levels of fatness (at earlier ages) and the age at rebound. In addition we found that the velocity of fat change in middle childhood was highly predictive of later fatness (r $\approx -$0.7), even more so than age at rebound (r $\approx -$0.5). In contrast to fatness (LPC1), body fat distribution (LPC3-LPC4) did not track well even though significant components of body fat distribution occur at each age. Tracking of body fat distribution was higher in females than males. Sex differences in body fat distribution are non existent. Some sex differences are evident with the peripheral-to-central ratios after age 14 years. ^

SEVERITY OF IRON DEFICIENCY ANEMIA AND ITS RELATIONSHIP TO GROWTH AND MORBIDITY IN A POPULATION OF PRE-SCHOOLERS IN RURAL GUATEMALA (IRON DEFICIENCY, MORBIDITY, GROWTH)

The objectives of this study were to determine the nature of the relationship between severity of iron deficiency anemia, response to iron treatment, respiratory and gastrointestinal illness and weight change. Seventy-five pre-school children from rural Guatemala received daily oral iron therapy for an eleven week period, and were classified into one of three groups having different degrees of iron deficiency anemia. Anthropometric and biochemical data were collected prior and after iron treatment; morbidity data were collected throughout the period of treatment. The outcome variables were percentage weight change, percentage of total days ill with any type of symptom, percentage of total days ill with gastrointestinal symptoms, percentage of total days ill with respiratory symptoms, percentage of total days ill with combination syndrome symptoms. Age, sex and socio-economic status, were independent of any of the independent or outcome variables used. On the other hand, the level of hemoglobin covaried with the height of the children, the smallest children were the most severely anemic. The relationships between hemoglobin levels and weight change, frequency of morbidity (gastrointestinal, respiratory and combination syndrome) and total number of days ill with any symptomatology were investigated. No statistical significance was found in these analyses except when contrasting children with normal hemoglobin levels to iron deficient children, where the findings indicated the normal children experienced more gastrointestinal morbidity. The same relationship were again analyzed but including delta hemoglobin as covariate in the analysis, this latter one was found to be significant at 7% when the percentage of days ill from gastrointestinal morbidity was tested against the hemoglobin groups. The relationship found indicates that, all other covariates accounted for, the percentage of days ill from gastrointestinal morbidity will decrease approximately 1% for each 1% increase in delta of hemoglobin. ^

Robust effect sizes and their confidence intervals for group difference between trajectories in hierarchical linear growth model

Hierarchical linear growth model (HLGM), as a flexible and powerful analytic method, has played an increased important role in psychology, public health and medical sciences in recent decades. Mostly, researchers who conduct HLGM are interested in the treatment effect on individual trajectories, which can be indicated by the cross-level interaction effects. However, the statistical hypothesis test for the effect of cross-level interaction in HLGM only show us whether there is a significant group difference in the average rate of change, rate of acceleration or higher polynomial effect; it fails to convey information about the magnitude of the difference between the group trajectories at specific time point. Thus, reporting and interpreting effect sizes have been increased emphases in HLGM in recent years, due to the limitations and increased criticisms for statistical hypothesis testing. However, most researchers fail to report these model-implied effect sizes for group trajectories comparison and their corresponding confidence intervals in HLGM analysis, since lack of appropriate and standard functions to estimate effect sizes associated with the model-implied difference between grouping trajectories in HLGM, and also lack of computing packages in the popular statistical software to automatically calculate them. ^ The present project is the first to establish the appropriate computing functions to assess the standard difference between grouping trajectories in HLGM. We proposed the two functions to estimate effect sizes on model-based grouping trajectories difference at specific time, we also suggested the robust effect sizes to reduce the bias of estimated effect sizes. Then, we applied the proposed functions to estimate the population effect sizes (d ) and robust effect sizes (du) on the cross-level interaction in HLGM by using the three simulated datasets, and also we compared the three methods of constructing confidence intervals around d and du recommended the best one for application. At the end, we constructed 95% confidence intervals with the suitable method for the effect sizes what we obtained with the three simulated datasets. ^ The effect sizes between grouping trajectories for the three simulated longitudinal datasets indicated that even though the statistical hypothesis test shows no significant difference between grouping trajectories, effect sizes between these grouping trajectories can still be large at some time points. Therefore, effect sizes between grouping trajectories in HLGM analysis provide us additional and meaningful information to assess group effect on individual trajectories. In addition, we also compared the three methods to construct 95% confident intervals around corresponding effect sizes in this project, which handled with the uncertainty of effect sizes to population parameter. We suggested the noncentral t-distribution based method when the assumptions held, and the bootstrap bias-corrected and accelerated method when the assumptions are not met.^

Effects of exogeneous p53 on growth suppression, apoptosis, and differentiation in oral cancer cell lines

The p53 gene is known to be one of the most commonly mutated genes in human cancers. Many squamous cell carcinomas of the head and neck (SCCHNs) have been shown to contain nonfunctional p53 as well. The use of p53-mediated gene therapy to treat such cancers has become an intensive area of research. Although there have been varied treatment responses to p53 gene therapy, the role that endogenous p53 status plays in this response has not been thoroughly examined. Because of this, the hypothesis of this study examined the role that the endogenous p53 status of cells plays in their response to p53 gene therapy. To test this, an adenoviral vector containing p53 (p53FAd) was administered to three squamous cell carcinoma lines with varied endogenous p53. The SCC9 cell line demonstrates no p53 protein expression, the SCC4 cell line displays overexpression of a mutant p53 protein, and the 1986LN cell line displays low to no expression of wild-type p53 protein as a consequence of human papillomavirus infection. After treatment with p53FAd, the cells were examined for evidence of exogenous p53 expression, growth suppression, alterations in cellular proteins, G1 growth arrest, apoptosis, and differentiation state. Each cell line exhibited exogenous p53 protein. Growth suppression was seen most prominently in the SCC9 cells, to some extent in the 1986LN cells, and little was seen with the SCC4 cells. WAF1/p21 protein was induced in all three cell lines, while PCNA, bcl-2, and bax expression was not significantly affected in any of the lines. Apoptosis developed first in SCC9 cells, next in 1986LN cells, with little seen in the SCC4 cells. The SCC9 line was the only line to show significant GI growth arrest. No significant differences were observed in the overall expression of differentiation markers, aside from increased keratin 13 mRNA levels in all three lines indicating a possible tendency toward differentiation. This study indicates that the endogenous p53 status of squamous cell carcinomas appears to play a critical role in determining the response to p53 adenoviral gene therapy. ^