Evolution of methodology for the study of adaptability and stability in cultivated species.

The GxE interaction only became widely discussed from evolutionary studies and evaluations of the causes of behavioral changes of species cultivated in environments. In the last 60 years, several methodologies for the study of adaptability and stability of genotypes in multiple environments trials were developed in order to assist the breeder's choice regarding which genotypes are more stable and which are the most suitable for the crops in the most diverse environments. The methods that use linear regression analysis were the first to be used in a general way by breeders, followed by multivariate analysis methods and mixed models. The need to identify the genetic and environmental causes that are behind the GxE interaction led to the development of new models that include the use of covariates and which can also include both multivariate methods and mixed modeling. However, further studies are needed to identify the causes of GxE interaction as well as for the more accurate measurement of its effects on phenotypic expression of varieties in competition trials carried out in genetic breeding programs.

Modelling of a wastewater treatment plant using GPS-X

Dissertation to obtain the degree of Master in Chemical and Biochemical Engineering

Creation of a web application for smart park system and parking prediction study for system integration

In the last few years, we have observed an exponential increasing of the information systems, and parking information is one more example of them. The needs of obtaining reliable and updated information of parking slots availability are very important in the goal of traffic reduction. Also parking slot prediction is a new topic that has already started to be applied. San Francisco in America and Santander in Spain are examples of such projects carried out to obtain this kind of information. The aim of this thesis is the study and evaluation of methodologies for parking slot prediction and the integration in a web application, where all kind of users will be able to know the current parking status and also future status according to parking model predictions. The source of the data is ancillary in this work but it needs to be understood anyway to understand the parking behaviour. Actually, there are many modelling techniques used for this purpose such as time series analysis, decision trees, neural networks and clustering. In this work, the author explains the best techniques at this work, analyzes the result and points out the advantages and disadvantages of each one. The model will learn the periodic and seasonal patterns of the parking status behaviour, and with this knowledge it can predict future status values given a date. The data used comes from the Smart Park Ontinyent and it is about parking occupancy status together with timestamps and it is stored in a database. After data acquisition, data analysis and pre-processing was needed for model implementations. The first test done was with the boosting ensemble classifier, employed over a set of decision trees, created with C5.0 algorithm from a set of training samples, to assign a prediction value to each object. In addition to the predictions, this work has got measurements error that indicates the reliability of the outcome predictions being correct. The second test was done using the function fitting seasonal exponential smoothing tbats model. Finally as the last test, it has been tried a model that is actually a combination of the previous two models, just to see the result of this combination. The results were quite good for all of them, having error averages of 6.2, 6.6 and 5.4 in vacancies predictions for the three models respectively. This means from a parking of 47 places a 10% average error in parking slot predictions. This result could be even better with longer data available. In order to make this kind of information visible and reachable from everyone having a device with internet connection, a web application was made for this purpose. Beside the data displaying, this application also offers different functions to improve the task of searching for parking. The new functions, apart from parking prediction, were: - Park distances from user location. It provides all the distances to user current location to the different parks in the city. - Geocoding. The service for matching a literal description or an address to a concrete location. - Geolocation. The service for positioning the user. - Parking list panel. This is not a service neither a function, is just a better visualization and better handling of the information.

Fatores de risco auto reportados associados aos acidentes rodoviários : um estudo sobre os condutores portugueses de veículos ligeiros

RESUMO - Objetivos: Anualmente morrem cerca de 1,3 milhões de pessoas, a nível mundial, devido aos acidentes de viação. Também mais de 20 milhões de pessoas sofrem ferimentos ligeiros ou graves devido aos acidentes de viação que resultam em incapacidade temporária ou permanente. Desta forma, consideram-se os acidentes de viação, um grave problema de saúde pública, com custos elevados para as sociedades afetando a saúde das populações e economias de cada país. Este estudo pretendeu descrever e caracterizar os condutores de veículos ligeiros, residentes em Portugal Continental, abrangendo características sociodemográficas, experiência de condução e questões relativas a atitudes, opiniões e comportamentos. Por outro lado procurou-se analisar a associação entre as opiniões, atitudes e comportamentos, auto reportados e a ocorrência de um acidente de viação nos últimos três anos a fim de construir um modelo final preditivo do risco de sofrer um acidente de viação. Método: Foi realizado um estudo observacional analítico transversal baseado num questionário traduzido para a língua portuguesa e com origem no projeto europeu SARTRE 4. A população-alvo foram todos os condutores de veículos ligeiros possuidores de uma licença de condução e residentes em Portugal Continental, baseado numa amostra de igual dimensão à definida no estudo europeu SARTRE 4 (600 condutores de veículos ligeiros). Das 52 perguntas existentes, selecionaram-se pela análise de componentes principais (ACP) variáveis potencialmente independentes e complementares para as componentes opiniões, atitudes e comportamentos. Para além das medidas descritivas usuais, recorreu-se à regressão logística binária para analisar associações e obter um modelo que permitisse estimar a probabilidade de sofrer um acidente rodoviário em função das variáveis selecionadas referentes às opiniões, atitudes e comportamentos auto reportados. Resultados: Dos 612 condutores inquiridos, 62,7% (383) responderam não ter sofrido nenhum acidente de viação nos últimos três anos enquanto 37,3% (228) respondeu ter estado envolvido em pelo menos um acidente de viação com danos materiais ou feridos, no mesmo período. De uma forma geral, o típico condutor que referiu ter sofrido um acidente nos últimos três anos é homem com mais de 65 anos de idade, com o 1º ensino básico, viúvo e sem filhos, não empregado e reside numa área urbana. Os condutores residentes numa área suburbana apresentaram um risco 5,368 mais elevado de sofrer um acidente de viação em relação aos condutores que habitam numa zona rural (IC 95%: 2,344-12,297; p<0,001). Os condutores que foram apenas submetidos uma vez a um controlo de álcool, nos últimos três anos, durante o exercício da condução apresentaram um risco 3,009 superior de sofrer um acidente de viação em relação aos condutores que nunca foram fiscalizados pela polícia (IC 95%: 1,949-4,647, p<0,001). Os condutores que referiram muito frequentemente parar para dormir quando se sentem cansados a conduzir têm uma probabilidade inferior de 81% de sofrer um acidente de viação em relação aos condutores que nunca o fazem (IC 95%: 0,058-0,620; p=0,006). Os condutores que quando cansados raramente bebem um café/bebida energética têm um risco de 4,829 superior de sofrer um acidente de viação do que os condutores que sempre o referiram fazer (IC 95%:1,807-12,903; p=0,002). Conclusões: Os resultados obtidos em relação aos fatores comportamentais vão ao encontro da maioria dos fatores de risco associados aos acidentes de viação referidos na literatura. Ainda assim, foram identificadas novas associações entre o risco de sofrer um acidente e as opiniões e as atitudes auto reportadas que através de estudos de maiores dimensões populacionais poderão vir a ser mais exploradas. Este trabalho vem reforçar a necessidade urgente de novas estratégias de intervenção, principalmente na componente comportamental, direcionadas aos grupos de risco, mantendo as existentes.

L'Oreal acquisition policy: The Body Shop case study

The Work Project I present focuses on the analysis of L’Oréal acquisition policy, trying to outline if the M&A deals it has led over the last 14 years have succeeded in creating value. By replicating the model proposed by Todd Hazelkorn, Marc Zenner and Anil Shivdasani in their paper “Creating Value with Mergers and Acquisitions”, I analyzed the 29 M&A deals that L’Oréal has led worldwide, understanding the common factors able to explain the success of such transactions. Further, I focused on The Body Shop case study, a highly criticized and controversial acquisition that has proved to be profitable and able to create value.

Produção de electricidade em Portugal

In the present work we intend to do an analysis of the production of electricity in special regime in Portugal. We will focus in particular in the remuneration system through the feed-in tariffs. First, we will excurse throughout different legal diplomas that regulated the special regime in Portugal, exploring which guarantees were conferred to electricity generators throughout the years. We intend to also evaluate how the producers remunerative rights were (or not) protected in the various legislative changes. In the second part of the dissertation we will examine whether the feed-in tariffs may be considered as State aid. Due to the inclusion of the subject in EU Law, we will analyze EU regulation and case law to support our position about the Portuguese regime. Finally, and to the extent that the production of electricity in special regime has undergone several changes to its remunerative regime in the last few years, we propose to analyze more carefully the amendments in question. We will scrutinize the reasons that based the amendments in question, which are mainly based on the economic crisis suffered by the country. We will also examine how those changes may jeopardize the remunerative rights of the producers.

Implementation progress of mental health services in Rwanda: Bugesera district case

RESUMO: O Ministério da Saúde do Governo do Ruanda identifica a saúde mental como uma área de prioridade estratégica para a intervenção em resposta à alta carga dos transtornos mentais no Ruanda. Ao longo dos últimos 20 anos após o genocídio, o sector público reconstruiu sua Resposta Nacional de Saúde Mental com base no acesso equitativo aos cuidados, através do desenvolvimento de uma Política Nacional de Saúde Mental e novas estruturas de saúde mental. A política de Saúde Mental do Ruanda, revista em 2010, prima pela descentralização e integração dos serviços de saúde mental em todas as estruturas nacionais do sistema de saúde e ao nível da comunidade. O presente estudo de caso tem como objetivo avaliar a situação do sistema de saúde mental de um distrito típico de uma área rural no Ruanda, e sugerir melhorias, incluindo algumas estratégias para monitoras as mudanças. Os resultados do estudo permitirão ao Ruanda reforçar a sua capacidade para implementar o Plano Nacional de Saúde Mental ao nível dos distritos. O relatório também será útil para monitorar o progresso da implementação de serviços de saúde mental nos distritos, incluindo a prestação de serviços de base comunitária e a participação dos usuários, suas famílias e outros interessados na promoção, prevenção, assistência e reabilitação em saúde mental. Este estudo também procurou avaliar o progresso da implementação dos cuidados de saúde mental a nível descentralizado, com vista a compreender as implicações em termos de recursos desses processos. Foi realizada uma análise situacional num local do distrito, baseado em entrevistas com as principais partes interessadas responsáveis, usando o Instrumento de Avaliação de Sistemas de Saúde Mental da Organização Mundial da Saúde (WHO-AIMS). Os resultados sugerem que os recursos humanos para a saúde mental e serviços de base comunitária de saúde mental no distrito continuam a ser extremamente limitados. Os profissionais de saúde mental são adicionalmente limitados na sua capacidade para oferecer intervenções de emergência a pacientes psiquiátricos e garantir a continuidade do tratamento farmacológico a pacientes com condições crônicas. Para planejar efetivamente, de acordo com as necessidades da comunidade, sugerimos que o sistema de saúde mental deve envolver também os representantes das famílias e dos usuários no processo de planificação de modo a melhorar a sua contribuição no processo de implementação das atividades de saúde mental. Este estudo de caso do Distrito de Bugesera oferece a primeira análise de nível distrital dos serviços de saúde mental no Ruanda, e pode servir como uma mais-valia para a melhoria do sistema de saúde mental, incluindo a advocacia para a melhoria da qualidade dos cuidados de saúde mental a este nível, aumentando o financiamento para a implementação de serviços clínicos de saúde mental e os recursos humanos disponíveis para a prestação de cuidados de saúde mental, principalmente a nível dos cuidados primários.--------------------- ABSTRACT: To deal with the high burden of mental health disorders resulting from consequences of the 1994 genocide against Tutsis, the Rwanda Ministry of Health (MoH) considers mental health as a priority intervention. For the last 20 years, Ministry of Health focused on rebuilding a national and equity-oriented mental health program responding to the population needs in mental health. Mental health services are now decentralized and integrated in the national health system, from the community level up to the referral level. This study assessed the situation of mental health services in one rural district in Rwanda. It was aimed at assessing the progress of implementation of mental health care at the decentralized level, focusing on resource implications and processes. This study is based on interviews conducted with key stakeholders, using the World Health Organization's Assessment Instrument for Mental Health Systems (WHO-AIMS). Findings show that human resources for mental health care and community-based mental health services of the assessed district remain extremely limited. Mental health professionals face limitation regarding the ability to provide emergency management of psychiatric patients and to ensure continuity of psychopharmacological treatment of patients with chronic conditions. To improve the implementation process of mental health interventions and activities, a planning process based on community needs and the involvement of representatives of families and users in planning process should be considered. The Bugesera case study on the situation of mental health services can serve as a baseline for improvement of the mental health program in Rwanda, in terms of quality care services, infrastructure and equipment, human and financial resources.

Measuring the effects of price movements on private consumption

This paper studies how shocks in the prices of Food, Energy and Financial Assets affect private consumption using a VAR Model. Then, the total effects are broken into direct and indirect effects, using the coefficients taken from the previous model. We use quarterly data for the Portuguese economy from the last 20 years. We found that energy prices and financial assets have a strong connection with consumption, suggesting that the economy may be too exposed to shocks in these markets.

A intervenção privada na prestação pública : da expansão do Estado às parcerias público-privadas

Durante séculos o papel do Estado na vida económica e social das nações foi crescendo, atingindo um desenvolvimento assinalável a partir da segunga guerra mundial, em execução do novo paradigma que dela resultou. Desenvolvimento que conheceu fortes críticas com paragem e posterior inversão de sentido durante a década de 80 em que se gerou alguma diluição da intervenção do Estado, criando-se um movimento de relativo cepticismo relativamente à bondade, à eficiência e aos custos daquela intervenção. Foi nesse contexto e paralelamente com o aumento da vontade de intervir do sector privado que surgiram as chamadas três «vagas» de intervenção privada, sucessivamente dirigidas às actividades públicas (i) em sectores industriais, comerciais ou de serviços não estratégicos, (ii) no domínio das infra-estruturas e, finalmente, (iii) na área social, recorrendo com diferentes níveis de sucesso, a diversos processos, da privatização às parcerias público-privadas (PPP), passando pela empresarialização. O movimento de reforma nascido de reservas quanto à eficiência do sector público não passou ao lado da saúde, particularmente do hospital público, em que assumiu objectivos e modos específicos, das «reformas de gestão» às «reformas de financiamento» e às «reformas organizacionais », para, na sequência do movimento anteriormente ocorrido noutros domínios, também recorrer às parcerias público-privadas. Depois de situar estas iniciativas no contexto do movimento que rodeou o aumento da intervenção privada na produção e na prestação pública, o artigo procura identificar os requisitos de compatibilidade das parcerias público-privadas com sistemas de saúde organizados e que perseguem a universalidade da cobertura, a acessibilidade e compreensividade dos cuidados e a equidade do acesso, com especial atenção ao facto de (designadamente em Portugal) a partilha de riscos e tarefas poder atribuir ao sector privado a gestão das dimensões clínicas da prestação.

On project finance and the first road concession in Portugal

In broad sense, Project Financing1 as a mean of financing large scale infrastructural projects worldwide has had a steady growth in popularity for the last 20 years. This growth has been relatively unscathed from most economic cycles. However in the wake of the 2007 systemic Financial Crisis, Project Financing was also in trouble. The liquidity freeze and credit crunch that ensued affected all parties involved. Traditional Lenders, of this type of financial instrument, locked-in long-term contractual obligations, were severely hit with scarcity of funding compounded by rapidly increasing cost of funding. All the while, Banks were “rescued” by the concerted actions of Central Banks and other Multi-Lateral Agencies around the world but at the same time “stressed” by upcoming regulatory effort (Basel Committee). This impact resulted in specific changes to this type of long-term financing. Changes such as Commercial Banks’ increased risk aversion; pricing increase and maturities decrease of credit facilities; enforcement of Market Disruption Event clauses; partial responsibility for project risk by Multilateral Agencies; and adoption of utility-like availability payments in other industrial sectors such as transportation and even social infrastructure. To the extent possible, this report is then divided in three parts. First, it begins with a more instructional part, touching academic literature (theory) and giving the Banks perspective (practice), but mostly as an overview of Project Finance for awareness’ sake. The renowned Harvard Business School professor – Benjamin Esty, states2 that Project Finance is a “relatively unexplored territory for both empirical and theoretical research” which means that academic research efforts are lagging the practice of Project Finance. Second, the report presents a practical case regarding the first Road Concession in Portugal in 1998 ending with the lessons learned 10 years after Financial Close. Lastly, the report concludes with the analysis of the current trends and changes to the industry post Financial Crisis of the late 2000’s. To achieve this I’ll reference relevant papers, books on the subject, online articles and my own experience in the Project Finance Department at a major Portuguese Investment Bank. Regarding the latter, with the signing of a confidentiality agreement, I’m duly omitting sensitive and proprietary bank information.

The reasons behind the progression in PISA scores: An education production function approach using semi-parametric techniques

Research Masters

Stem Cell Transplantation for Retinal Degenerations

Within the last few years, several reports have revealed that cell transplantation can be an effective way to replace lost neurons in the central nervous system (CNS) of patients affected with neurodegenerative diseases. Concerning the retina, the concept that newborn photoreceptors can integrate the retina and restore some visual functions was univocally demonstrated recently in the mouse eye (MacLaren et al. 2006) and remains to be achieved in human. These results pave the way to a standard approach in regenerative medicine aiming to replace lost photoreceptors. With the discovery of stem cells a great hope has appeared towards elaborating protocols to generate adequate cells to restore visual function in different retinal degeneration processes. Retinal stem cells (RSCs) are good candidates to repair the retina and are present throughout the retina development, including adulthood. However, neonatal mouse RSCs derived from the radial glia population have a different potential to proliferate and differentiate in comparison to adult RSCs. Moreover, we observed that adult mouse RSCs, depending on the culture conditions, have a marked tendency to transform, whereas neonatal RSCs show subtle chromosome abnormalities only after extensive expansion. These characteristics should help to identify the optimal cell source and culture conditions for cell transplantation studies. These results will be discussed in light of other studies using RSCs as well as embryonic stem cells. Another important factor to consider is the host environment, which plays a crucial role for cell integration and which was poorly studied in the normal and the diseased retina. Nonetheless, important results were recently generated to reconsider cell transplantation strategy. Perspectives to enhance cell integration by manipulating the environment will also be presented.

Surveillance active du cancer de la prostate [Active surveillance in prostate cancer].

Active surveillance in prostate cancer The spread of PSA in the screening of prostate cancer has almost doubled the incidence of this disease in the last twenty years. An improved understanding of the natural history of this cancer allows for risk stratification of the disease and to better predict insignificant prostate cancer. Active surveillance has recently been proposed as a new option to delay or avoid a radical treatment for patients with low-risk disease. The principle, results and future perspectives of this treatment modality are discussed in this review.

Secondary amyloidosis: a severe complication of ankylosing spondylitis. Two case-reports.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To report two cases of amyloidosis secondary to ankylosing spondylitis. PATIENTS AND RESULTS: Of the 47 ankylosing spondylitis patients who have received follow-up at our department over the last few years, two have developed AA amyloidosis. Both have extremely severe, long-standing joint disease, with virtually complete spinal ankylosis and destructive peripheral arthritis of the hips and wrists; one also has tarsal joint destruction. Renal dysfunction was the first manifestation of amyloidosis in both cases. One patient required chronic hemodialysis and developed peritonitis due to colonic perforation, probably at a site of amyloid deposition. CONCLUSIONS: Secondary amyloidosis is a rare complication of ankylosing spondylitis that can cause severe renal and gastrointestinal complications. No treatment capable of clearing established amyloid deposits is available to date.

Clinicopathologic correlates in the oldest-old: Commentary on "No disease in the brain of a 115-year-old woman".

den Dunnen et al. [den Dunnen, W.F.A., Brouwer, W.H., Bijlard, E., Kamphuis, J., van Linschoten, K., Eggens-Meijer, E., Holstege, G., 2008. No disease in the brain of a 115-year-old woman. Neurobiol. Aging] had the opportunity to follow up the cognitive functioning of one of the world's oldest woman during the last 3 years of her life. They performed two neuropsychological evaluations at age 112 and 115 that revealed a striking preservation of immediate recall abilities and orientation. In contrast, working memory, retrieval from semantic memory and mental arithmetic performances declined after age 112. Overall, only a one-point decrease of MMSE score occurred (from 27 to 26) reflecting the remarkable preservation of cognitive abilities. The neuropathological assessment showed few neurofibrillary tangles (NFT) in the hippocampal formation compatible with Braak staging II, absence of amyloid deposits and other types of neurodegenerative lesions as well as preservation of neuron numbers in locus coeruleus. This finding was related to a striking paucity of Alzheimer disease (AD)-related lesions in the hippocampal formation. The present report parallels the early descriptions of rare "supernormal" centenarians supporting the dissociation between brain aging and AD processes. In conjunction with recent stereological analyses in cases aged from 90 to 102 years, it also points to the marked resistance of the hippocampal formation to the degenerative process in this age group and possible dissociation between the occurrence of slight cognitive deficits and development of AD-related pathologic changes in neocortical areas. This work is discussed in the context of current efforts to identify the biological and genetic parameters of human longevity.