The relief of Vienna in vain. Assessing the Implications of Turkish EU-membership for Council of Ministers’ Decision-making. IES WORKING PAPER 1/2011

This research forecasts the implications of Turkish membership for decision-making effectiveness and dynamics within the Council of Ministers of the European Union (EU). Effectiveness is determined in this research by 'passage probability': the chance that a random proposal as put forth by the European Commission (EC) is accepted by the Council of Ministers. Dynamics are determined by means of the Shapley-Shubik Index (SSI), which plots power values of individual member states by forecasting a number of possible EU enlargement scenarios. This study falsifies earlier research by Baldwin and Widgrén.1 It finds that the implications of Turkish EU-membership for EU decision-making efficiency are ambiguous and depend on the number of other candidate states entering the EU alongside Turkey, as well as the timeslot - 2014 or 2020 - at which the accession would take place. Moreover, this study asserts that Turkish EU-accession would result in unequal- but generally negative - power changes among other EU member states, although member states with similar demographic weight will experience comparable changes. Finally, it appears that the larger a EU member state is, the more power it loses if Turkey would join the EU.

Un modelo para comprender la dinámica de los territorios rurales. El caso de la Argentina

Los territorios rurales de América Latina, y de la Argentina en particular, han sufrido cambios profundos en las últimas décadas producto de transformaciones en materia productiva, demográfica y social. Los cambios son complejos y han dado lugar a una multiplicidad de miradas y de enfoques sobre la nueva realidad. Frente a esta creciente complejidad, se plantea la construcción de un modelo interpretativo de la realidad rural de la Argentina que bien puede contribuir también para abordar las realidades de otros mundos rurales latinoamericanos. El modelo conceptual que se ofrece se construyó a partir del análisis empírico de numerosos casos de territorios rurales de la Argentina. Dicho modelo permite comprender los complejos procesos de organización y la dinámica rural, además de constituirse en una herramienta de prognosis para la definición de políticas públicas acordes que alienten nuevas dinámicas de desarrollo rural en la Argentina

(Table 2) AMS radiocarbon dates from sediment cores obtained during James Clark Ross cruise JR142, Kvitøya Trough

High-resolution geophysical and sediment core data are used to investigate the pattern and dynamics of former ice flow in Kvitøya Trough, northwestern Barents Sea. A new swath-bathymetric dataset identifies three types of submarine landform in the study area (streamlined landforms, meltwater channels and cavities, iceberg scours). Subglacially produced streamlined landforms provide a record of ice flow through Kvitøya Trough during the last glaciation. Flow directions are inferred from the orientations of streamlined landforms (drumlins, crag-and-tail features). Ice flowed northward for at least 135 km from an ice divide at the southern end of Kvitøya Trough. A large channel-cavity system incised into bedrock in the southern trough indicates that subglacial meltwater was present at the former ice-sheet base. Modest landform elongation ratios and a lack of mega-scale glacial lineations suggest that, although ice in Kvitøya Trough was melting at the bed and flowed faster than the likely thin and cold-based ice on adjacent banks, a major ice stream probably did not occupy the trough. Retreat was relatively rapid after 14-13.5 14C kyr B.P. and probably progressed via ice sheet-bed decoupling in response to rising sea level. There is little evidence for still stands during ice retreat or of ice-proximal deglacial sediments. Relict iceberg scours in present-day water depths of more than 350 m in the northern trough indicate that calving was an important mass loss mechanism during retreat.