Freshwater runoff for Taylor Slough to Florida Bay for 1965 to 2000 for the FATHOM model

The Florida Bay ecosystem supports a number of economically important ecosystem services, including several recreational fisheries, which may be affected by changing salinity and temperature due to climate change. In this paper, we use a combination of physical models and habitat suitability index models to quantify the effects of potential climate change scenarios on a variety of juvenile fish and lobster species in Florida Bay. The climate scenarios include alterations in sea level, evaporation and precipitation rates, coastal runoff, and water temperature. We find that the changes in habitat suitability vary in both magnitude and direction across the scenarios and species, but are on average small. Only one of the seven species we investigate (Lagodon rhomboides, i.e., pinfish) sees a sizable decrease in optimal habitat under any of the scenarios. This suggests that the estuarine fauna of Florida Bay may not be as vulnerable to climate change as other components of the ecosystem, such as those in the marine/terrestrial ecotone. However, these models are relatively simplistic, looking only at single species effects of physical drivers without considering the many interspecific interactions that may play a key role in the adjustment of the ecosystem as a whole. More complex models that capture the mechanistic links between physics and biology, as well as the complex dynamics of the estuarine food web, may be necessary to further understand the potential effects of climate change on the Florida Bay ecosystem.

Miocene to Pliocene planktonic foraminifers in ODP Hole 134-832B

One hundred and sixty core samples were analyzed from Hole 832B to evaluate planktonic foraminiferal datum levels, and to zone and correlate the borehole succession. A total of 32 biostratigraphic events were recognized in the interval from Core 134-832B-59R through 134-832B-73R (702.49 through 846.4 meters below seafloor [mbsf]). These include 17 first appearance datum levels (FAD), 10 last appearance datum levels (LAD), and 5 coiling-change events in trochospiral species. The studied succession has been subdivided into nine planktonic foraminiferal zones (viz. downsequence N.22, N.21, N.20, N.19, N.18, N.17B, N.17A-N.16, N.15, N.8). The zonal index species occur in the expected stratigraphic order for zonal correlation, but some of the zonal boundaries may be diachronous compared to other localities in the western Pacific region. The FAD of Globorotalia (Truncorotalia) truncatulinoides (d' Orbigny) at 714.10 mbsf defines the boundary between the Zone N.22 and N.21; the boundary between Zones N.21 and N.20 at 741.73 mbsf is marked by the FAD of Globorotalia (Truncorotalia) tosaensis Takayanagi and Saito. The lower boundary of Zone N.20 is placed at 747.65 mbsf, based on the FAD of Globorotalia (Truncorotalia) crassaformis s.s. (Galloway and Wissler); the FAD of Sphaeroidinella dehiscens (Parker and Jones) at 756.61 mbsf defines the boundary between Zones N.18 and N.19. The FAD of Globorotalia (Globorotalia) tumida tumida (Brady) at 811.15 mbsf marks the boundary between Zones N.18 and N.17B. The boundary between Zones N.17B and N.17Ais placed at 843.52 mbsf, based on the FAD of Pulleniatina primalis Banner and Blow. A change in depositional conditions occurs at 846.4 mbsf just below the Zone N.17B lower boundary and is marked by the first appearance of abundant planktonic foraminifers in the region. The interval between 849.13 and 856.1 mbsf is placed in undifferentiated Zones N.17A and N.16, based on the rare occurrence of Neogloboquadrina acostaensis (Blow). The sparsely fossiliferous volcanic sandstone unit between 934.19 and 955.67 mbsf is positioned within Zone N.15 based on the presence of Globigerina (Zeaglobigerina) nepenthes Todd and Globigerinoides (Zeaglobigerina) druryi Arkers, and absence of N. acostaensis and Globorotalia (Jenkinsella) siakensis LeRoy. An unconformity between 955.67 and 971.80 mbsf may explain the absence of Zones N.14 through N.9. Basal Zone N.8 is recognized at 971.80 to 1008.60 mbsf by the presence of Globigerinoides sicanus De Stefani and the absence of Praeorbulina and Orbulina spp. The age of the succession between 702.49 and 1008.6 mbsf extends from the latest Pliocene or earliest Pleistocene (Zone N.22) to the earliest middle Miocene (Zone N.8). Among the datum levels evaluated here, the following events are considered to be the most reliable for time correlation in the studied region: the FADs of G. (T.) truncatulinoides, G. (T.) tosaensis, G. (T.) crassaformis, S. dehiscens, G. conglobatus (Brady), G. (G.) tumida tumida, and P. primalis; and the LADs of Globorotalia (Menardella) multicamerata Cushman and Jarvis, and Dentoglobigerina altispira altispira (Cushman and Jarvis). Application of a chronometric scale to part of the succession, suggests that the interval of calcareous sediment between 702.49 and 846.4 mbsf accumulated at about 30 m/m.y.