Molecular screening of Plasmodium sp. asymptomatic carriers among transfusion centers from Brazilian Amazon region

The transmission of malaria in Brazil is heterogeneous throughout endemic areas and the presence of asymptomatic Plasmodium sp. carriers (APCs) in the Brazilian Amazon has already been demonstrated. Malaria screening in blood banks is based on the selection of donors in respect to possible risks associated with travel or residence, clinical evidence and/or inaccurate diagnostic methods thereby increasing the probability of transfusion-transmitted infection. We evaluated the frequency of APCs in four blood services in distinct areas of the Brazilian Amazon region. DNA was obtained from 400 human blood samples for testing using the phenol-chloroform method followed by a nested-PCR protocol with species-specific primers. The positivity rate varied from 1 to 3% of blood donors from the four areas with an average of 2.3%. All positive individuals had mixed infections for Plasmodium vivax and Plasmodium falciparum. No significant differences in the results were detected among these areas; the majority of cases originated from the transfusion centres of Porto Velho, Rondônia State and Macapá, Amapá State. Although it is still unclear whether APC individuals may act as reservoirs of the parasite, efficient screening of APCs and malaria patients in Brazilian blood services from endemic areas needs to be improved.

Acute neuromuscular manifestations in a patient associated with ingesting octopus (Octopus sp.)

The authors report neuromuscular manifestations in a 45-year-old woman after consuming octopus meat (Octopus sp.). The patient presented malaise, paresthesias in perioral and extremity areas, intense muscular weakness and arterial hypotension, followed by severe itch and disseminated cutaneous rash. Gastrointestinal manifestations and fever were not observed, reducing the probability of alimentary poisoning. The presence of muscular and neurological symptoms suggests neurotoxin action, which could have been ingested by the victim from the octopus salivary glands or from an accumulation of toxins in the meat, or by an unknown mechanism. There is little known about toxins of the Octopus genus and this communication is important alert to the possibility of poisoning in humans that eat octopus and its differentiation from alimentary poisonings arising from incorrect conservation of seafood.

Predictive factors of mortality in burn patients

Burn mortality statistics may be misleading unless they account properly for the many factors that can influence outcome. Such estimates are useful for patients and others making medical and financial decisions concerning their care. This study aimed to define the clinical, microbiological and laboratorial predictors of mortality with a view to focus on better burn care. Data were collected using independent variables, which were analyzed sequentially and cumulatively, employing univariate statistics and a pooled, cross-sectional, multivariate logistic regression to establish which variables better predict the probability of mortality. Survivors and non-survivors among burn patients were compared to define the predictive factors of mortality. Mortality rate was 5.0%. Higher age, larger burn area, presence of fungi in the wound, shorter length of stay and the presence of multi-resistant bacteria in the wound significantly predicted increased mortality. The authors conclude that those patients who are most apt to die are those with age > 50 years, with limited skin donor sites and those with multi-resistant bacteria and fungi in the wound.

Uncertainty on a Bertrand duopoly with product differentiation

The conclusions of the Bertrand model of competition are substantially altered by the presence of either differentiated goods or asymmetric information about rival’s production costs. In this paper, we consider a Bertrand competition, with differentiated goods. Furthermore, we suppose that each firm has two different technologies, and uses one of them according to a certain probability distribution. The use of either one or the other technology affects the unitary production cost. We show that this game has exactly one Bayesian Nash equilibrium. We do ex-ante and ex-post analyses of firms’ profits and market prices. We prove that the expected profit of each firm increases with the variance of its production costs. We also show that the expected price of each good increases with both expected production costs, being the effect of the expected production costs of the rival dominated by the effect of the own expected production costs.

Quantity competition in a differentiated duopoly

In this paper, we consider a Stackelberg duopoly competition with differentiated goods, linear and symmetric demand and with unknown costs. In our model, the two firms play a non-cooperative game with two stages: in a first stage, firm F 1 chooses the quantity, q 1, that is going to produce; in the second stage, firm F 2 observes the quantity q 1 produced by firm F 1 and chooses its own quantity q 2. Firms choose their output levels in order to maximise their profits. We suppose that each firm has two different technologies, and uses one of them following a certain probability distribution. The use of either one or the other technology affects the unitary production cost. We show that there is exactly one perfect Bayesian equilibrium for this game. We analyse the variations of the expected profits with the parameters of the model, namely with the parameters of the probability distributions, and with the parameters of the demand and differentiation.

International duopoly with unknown costs

We consider two firms, located in different countries, selling the same homogeneous good in both countries. In each country there is a non negative tariff on imports of the good produced in the other country. We suppose that each firm has two different technologies, and uses one of them according to a certain probability distribution. The use of either one or the other technology affects the unitary production cost. We analyse the effect of the production costs uncertainty on the profits of the firms and also on the welfare of the governments.

Asymmetric dynamic price competition with uncertainty

We consider a dynamic setting-price duopoly model in which a dominant (leader) firm moves first and a subordinate (follower) firm moves second. We suppose that each firm has two different technologies, and uses one of them according to a certain probability distribution. The use of either one or the other technology affects the unitary production cost. We analyse the effect of the production costs uncertainty on the profits of the firms, for different values of the intercept demand parameters.

Stochastic simulation of the morphology of fluvial sand channels reservoirs

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Engenharia Geológica (Georrecursos)

Tuberculosis among HIV-1-infected subjects in a tertiary out-patient service in São Paulo city, Brazil

TB is currently considered to be the most important infectious disease among HIV-1-infected subjects in developing countries, such as Brazil. A retrospective analysis of TB cases was performed, occurring from January 1995 to December 2010 in our cohort of 599 HIV positive patients. The primary outcome was the occurrence of active TB. Forty-one TB cases were diagnosed over this period of 16 years, among 599 HIV positive patients in an open cohort setting in the city of Sao Paulo, Brazil. All-time lowest mean CD4 T cell count at the time of TB diagnosis was 146 and 186 cells/mm³, respectively. The mean HIV viral load was 5.19 log10 copies/mL, and 59% of the patients were on HAART. TB incidence was 1.47 per 100 person-years, for a total follow-up time of 2775 person-years. The probability of surviving up to 10 years after diagnosis was 75% for TB patients as opposed to 96% for patients with other, non-TB opportunistic diseases (p = 0.03). TB can be considered a public health problem among people living with HIV in Brazil despite of the widespread use of antiretrovirals for the treatment of HIV infection/AIDS.

Integrating wind generation in the distribution network

Dissertação apresentada na Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia da Universidade Nova de Lisboa para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Energias Renováveis – Conversão Eléctrica e Utilização Sustentáveis

Hydrologic modeling and uncertainty analysis of an ungauged watershed using mapwindow-swat

Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies

Anopheles (Kerteszia) cruzii (DIPTERA: CULICIDAE) IN PERIDOMICILIARY AREA DURING ASYMPTOMATIC MALARIA TRANSMISSION IN THE ATLANTIC FOREST: MOLECULAR IDENTIFICATION OF BLOOD-MEAL SOURCES INDICATES HUMANS AS PRIMARY INTERMEDIATE HOSTS

Anopheles (Kerteszia) cruzii has been implicated as the primary vector of human and simian malarias out of the Brazilian Amazon and specifically in the Atlantic Forest regions. The presence of asymptomatic human cases, parasite-positive wild monkeys and the similarity between the parasites infecting them support the discussion whether these infections can be considered as a zoonosis. Although many aspects of the biology of An. cruzii have already been addressed, studies conducted during outbreaks of malaria transmission, aiming at the analysis of blood feeding and infectivity, are missing in the Atlantic Forest. This study was conducted in the location of Palestina, Juquitiba, where annually the majority of autochthonous human cases are notified in the Atlantic Forest of the state of São Paulo. Peridomiciliary sites were selected for collection of mosquitoes in a perimeter of up to 100 m around the residences of human malaria cases. The mosquitoes were analyzed with the purpose of molecular identification of blood-meal sources and to examine the prevalence of Plasmodium. A total of 13,441 females of An. (Ker.) cruzii were collected. The minimum infection rate was calculated at 0.03% and 0.01%, respectively, for P. vivax and P. malariae and only human blood was detected in the blood-fed mosquitoes analyzed. This data reinforce the hypothesis that asymptomatic human carriers are the main source of anopheline infection in the peridomiciliary area, making the probability of zoonotic transmission less likely to happen.

Inteligência artificial aplicada na previsão de mercados financeiros

Neste documento, são investigados vários métodos usados na inteligência artificial, com o objetivo de obter previsões precisas da evolução dos mercados financeiros. O uso de ferramentas lineares como os modelos AR, MA, ARMA e GARCH têm muitas limitações, pois torna-se muito difícil adaptá-los às não linearidades dos fenómenos que ocorrem nos mercados. Pelas razões anteriormente referidas, os algoritmos como as redes neuronais dinâmicas (TDNN, NARX e ESN), mostram uma maior capacidade de adaptação a estas não linearidades, pois não fazem qualquer pressuposto sobre as distribuições de probabilidade que caracterizam estes mercados. O facto destas redes neuronais serem dinâmicas, faz com que estas exibam um desempenho superior em relação às redes neuronais estáticas, ou outros algoritmos que não possuem qualquer tipo de memória. Apesar das vantagens reveladas pelas redes neuronais, estas são um sistema do tipo black box, o que torna muito difícil extrair informação dos pesos da rede. Isto significa que estes algoritmos devem ser usados com precaução, pois podem tornar-se instáveis.

Algorithm for the Parkinson’s disease behavioural models characterization using a biosensor

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Engenharia Biomédica

A família cuidadora perante a dependência do seu familiar idoso

RESUMO: O envelhecimento demográfico tem vindo a acentuar-se nas últimas décadas. É expectável um aumento mais acentuado no número de pessoas com mais de 80 anos, o que importará maiores custos médicos, mais suporte familiar e comunitário, maior probabilidade de cuidados de longa duração devido à prevalência de doenças crónicas. Conduzindo a uma maior procura de apoios formais e informais. A preocupação com aqueles que atingem idades avançadas tem vindo a suscitar inquietação face à urgência de necessidades de suporte, sentidas por familiares, amigos e vizinhos. A questão central que orientou este estudo diz respeito aos familiares cuidadores ou gestores de cuidados do seu familiar idoso dependente e ao idoso dependente. Procurei identificar quais as dificuldades sentidas e as estratégias desenvolvidas pela família cuidadora ou gestora dos cuidados prestados ao idoso dependente, descrever e caracterizar a dependência destes idosos. É um estudo transversal, exploratório, descritivo, de abordagem quantitativa e qualitativa. Apliquei um questionário a 25 familiares cuidadores ou gestores dos cuidados a idosos dependentes, internados nos serviços de medicina e cirurgia de um hospital privado, Hospital CUF Descobertas, possuindo previamente alguma dependência. Dos dados obtidos ressalta que as principais dificuldades sentidas pelos familiares cuidadores ou gestores dos cuidados são essencialmente na gestão do tempo e a saúde do cuidador. Estratégias mais desenvolvidas foram o recurso a empregada doméstica e a outros familiares. Posso Concluir que há uma tendência preferencial por parte da família, na complementaridade de apoios informais e formais para prestar os cuidados ao idoso dependente no seio da família.------------ ABSTRACT: Demographic aging has risen progressively over the past decades. The number of people over the age of 80 years old is expected to increase considerably and surely result in the rise of medical costs, the growing need for additional community and family support, higher probability of long-term medical care due to the increased risk of chronic disease and the seeking of help regarding formal and informal support. The concern with persons that attain advanced age has brought about a certain degree of uneasiness regarding the urgency of the need of support systems felt by family members, friends, neighbours. The main topic that has steered this study pertains to the family caregivers or the care managers of dependant elderly relatives and dependant elderly persons. I endeavoured to identify encountered difficulties and the strategies undertaken by family caregivers or care managers in regard to the elderly dependant, to describe and characterize the nature of the dependency of these elderly persons. Furthermore, this study could be defined as being wide-reaching, exploratory and descriptive, by means of a qualitative and quantitative approach. I utilized a questionnaire that involved 25 family caregivers and care managers of dependant elderly (hospitalized in medical or surgery wards of private hospital, CUF Descobertas Hospital and suffering from some type of dependency). Conclusions: The main difficulties felt by family caregivers or care managers are primarily related to time management and the health of the caregiver. Let it be mentioned that more developed strategies were adopted such as the employment/recruitment of a housemaid and the help of other relatives. In sum, it can be concluded that there is a preferential tendency by families in seeking the complementarity of informal and formal support in order to provide the necessary care to the dependent elderly in the family environment.