Development of a risk model for adverse drug events in the elderly

The aim of this study was to develop a predictive model for adverse drug events (ADEs) in elderly patients. Socio-demographic and medical data were collected from chart reviews, computerised information and a patient interview, for a population of 929 elderly patients (aged greater than or equal to 65 years) whose admission to the Waveney/B raid Valley Hospital in Northern Ireland was not scheduled. A further 204 patients formed a validation group. An ADE score was assigned to each patient using a modified Naranjo algorithm scoring system. The ADE scores ranged from 0 to 8. For the purposes of developing a risk model, scores of 4 or more were considered to constitute a high risk of an ADE.

Changing profile in the use of anti-asthma drugs

Data regarding the total number of anti-asthma drugs dispensed via community pharmacies within Northern Ireland from 1980 to 1997 were collected and analysed. The use of anti-asthma drugs within this population increased markedly over the study period from 19.84 DDDs/1000/day to 84.07 DDDs/1000/day. With the exception of the non-selective beta(2)-agonists, there has been an overall increasing trend in the utilization of all of the anti-asthma drugs during the study period. Most of the increase is attributable to the increase in prescribing of the selective beta(2)-agonists and the glucocorticoids, This increase in the utilization of anti-asthma drugs may be explained by an increasing prevalence of the condition, increased adherence to asthma management protocols or to the prescribing of more intensive drug therapies.