Framingham risk score and alternatives for prediction of coronary heart disease in older adults

Background Guidelines for the prevention of coronary heart disease (CHD) recommend use of Framingham-based risk scores that were developed in white middle-aged populations. It remains unclear whether and how CHD risk prediction might be improved among older adults. We aimed to compare the prognostic performance of the Framingham risk score (FRS), directly and after recalibration, with refit functions derived from the present cohort, as well as to assess the utility of adding other routinely available risk parameters to FRS. Methods Among 2193 black and white older adults (mean age, 73.5 years) without pre-existing cardiovascular disease from the Health ABC cohort, we examined adjudicated CHD events, defined as incident myocardial infarction, CHD death, and hospitalization for angina or coronary revascularization. Results During 8-year follow-up, 351 participants experienced CHD events. The FRS poorly discriminated between persons who experienced CHD events vs. not (C-index: 0.577 in women; 0.583 in men) and underestimated absolute risk prediction by 51% in women and 8% in men. Recalibration of the FRS improved absolute risk prediction, particulary for women. For both genders, refitting these functions substantially improved absolute risk prediction, with similar discrimination to the FRS. Results did not differ between whites and blacks. The addition of lifestyle variables, waist circumference and creatinine did not improve risk prediction beyond risk factors of the FRS. Conclusions The FRS underestimates CHD risk in older adults, particularly in women, although traditional risk factors remain the best predictors of CHD. Re-estimated risk functions using these factors improve accurate estimation of absolute risk.

Using stress testing to guide primary prevention of coronary heart disease among intermediate-risk patients: a cost-effectiveness analysis

Noninvasive stress testing might guide the use of aspirin and statins for primary prevention of coronary heart disease, but it is unclear if such a strategy would be cost effective.

Coronary stenting through 4 French diagnostic catheter

A first case of coronary stent implantation through a 4 French diagnostic catheter is described.

Combined anatomical and clinical factors for the long-term risk stratification of patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention: the Logistic Clinical SYNTAX score

The SYNTAX score (SXscore), an anatomical-based scoring tool reflecting the complexity of coronary anatomy, has established itself as an important long-term prognostic factor in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). The incorporation of clinical factors may further augment the utility of the SXscore to longer-term risk stratify the individual patient for clinical outcomes.

Determinants of prognostically relevant intracoronary electrocardiogram ST-segment shift during coronary balloon occlusion

The prognostic relevance of quantitative an intracoronary occlusive electrocardiographic (ECG) ST-segment shift and its determinants have not been investigated in humans. In 765 patients with chronic stable coronary artery disease, the following simultaneous quantitative measurements were obtained during a 1-minute coronary balloon occlusion: intracoronary ECG ST-segment shift (recorded by angioplasty guidewire), mean aortic pressure, mean distal coronary pressure, and mean central venous pressure (CVP). Collateral flow index (CFI) was calculated as follows: (mean distal coronary pressure minus CVP)/(mean aortic pressure minus CVP). During an average follow-up duration of 50 ± 34 months, the cumulative mortality rate from all causes was significantly lower in the group with an ST-segment shift <0.1 mV (n = 89) than in the group with an ST-segment shift ≥0.1 mV (n = 676, p = 0.0211). Factors independently related to intracoronary occlusive ECG ST-segment shift <0.1 mV (r(2) = 0.189, p <0.0001) were high CFI (p <0.0001), intracoronary occlusive RR interval (p = 0.0467), right coronary artery as the ischemic region (p <0.0001), and absence of arterial hypertension (p = 0.0132). "High" CFI according to receiver operating characteristics analysis was ≥0.217 (area under receiver operating characteristics curve 0.647, p <0.0001). In conclusion, absence of ECG ST-segment shift during brief coronary occlusion in patients with chronic coronary artery disease conveys a decreased mortality and is directly influenced by a well-developed collateral supply to the right versus left coronary ischemic region and by the absence of systemic hypertension in a patient's history.