Modeling red sea urchin (Strongylocentrotus franciscanus) growth using six growth functions

The growth of red sea urchins (Strongylocentrotus franciscanus) was modeled by using tag-recapture data from northern California. Red sea urchins (n=211) ranging in test diameter from 7 to 131 mm were examined for changes in size over one year. We used the function Jt+1 = Jt + f(Jt) to model growth, in which Jt is the jaw size (mm) at tagging, and Jt+1 is the jaw size one year later. The function f(Jt), represents one of six deterministic models: logistic dose response, Gaussian, Tanaka, Ricker, Richards, and von Bertalanffy with 3, 3, 3, 2, 3, and 2 minimization parameters, respectively. We found that three measures of goodness of fi t ranked the models similarly, in the order given. The results from these six models indicate that red sea urchins are slow growing animals (mean of 7.2 ±1.3 years to enter the fishery). We show that poor model selection or data from a limited range of urchin sizes (or both) produces erroneous growth parameter estimates and years-to-fishery estimates. Individual variation in growth dominated spatial variation at shallow and deep sites (F=0.246, n=199, P=0.62). We summarize the six models using a composite growth curve of jaw size, J, as a function of time, t: J = A(B – e–Ct) + Dt, in which each model is distinguished by the constants A, B, C, and D. We suggest that this composite model has the flexibility of the other six models and could be broadly applied. Given the robustness of our results regarding the number of years to enter the fishery, this information could be incorporated into future fishery management plans for red sea urchins in northern California.

Reproductive biology of the blue swimmer crab (Portunus pelagicus, Decapoda: Portunidae) in five bodies of water on the west coast of Australia

Portunus pelagicus was collected at regular intervals from two marine embayments and two estuaries on the lower west coast of Australia and from a large embayment located approximately 800 km farther north. The samples were used to obtain data on the reproductive biology of this species in three very different environments. Unlike females, the males show a loosening of the attachment of the abdominal flap to the cephalothorax at a prepubertal rather than a pubertal molt. Males become gonadally mature (spermatophores and seminal fluid present in the medial region of the vas deferentia) at a very similar carapace width (CW) to that at which they achieve morphometric maturity, as reflected by a change in the relative size of the largest cheliped. Logistic curves, derived from the prevalence of mature male P. pelagicus, generally had wider confidence limits with morphometric than with gonadal data. This presumably reflects the fact that the morphometric (allometric) method of classifying a male P. pelagicus as mature employs probabilities and is thus indirect, whereas gonadal structure allows a mature male to be readily identified. However, the very close correspondence between the CW50’s derived for P. pelagicus by the two methods implies that either method can be used for management purposes. Portunus pelagicus attained maturity at a significantly greater size in the large embayment than in the four more southern bodies of water, where water temperatures were lower and the densities of crabs and fishing pressure were greater. As a result of the emigration of mature female P. pelagicus from estuaries, the CW50’s derived by using the prevalence of mature females in estuaries represent overestimates for those populations as a whole. Estimates of the number of egg batches produced in a spawning season ranged from one in small crabs to three in large crabs. These data, together with the batch fecundities of different size crabs, indicate that the estimated number of eggs produced by P. pelagicus during the spawning season ranges from about 78,000 in small crabs (CW=80 mm) to about 1,000,000 in large crabs (CW=180 mm).

Sediment flux at selected coastal sites: proposed time series measurment by particle traps

Particle flux in the ocean reflects ongoing biological and geological processes operating under the influence of the local environment. Estimation of this particle flux through sediment trap deployment is constrained by sampler accuracy, particle preservation, and swimmer distortion. Interpretation of specific particle flux is further constrained by indeterminate particle dispersion and the absence of a clear understanding of the sedimentary consequences of ecosystem activity. Nevertheless, the continuous and integrative properties of the particle trap measure, along with the logistic advantage of a long-term moored sampler, provide a set of strategic advantages that appear analogous to those underlying conventional oceanographic survey programs. Emboldened by this perception, several stations along the coast of Southern California and Mexico have been targeted as coastal ocean flux sites (COFS).

珙桐种群生态学研究

本文是中国科学院“八五”重大项目：“生物多样性保护与持续利用的生物学基础”中的子课题“中国濒危特有动、植物保护生物学及种群生存力分析”的一部分。本文研究了我国一级保护植物珙桐(Davidia involucrata Baill．)在种群生态学、群落生态学各方面的特征，主要包括其天然分布，群落类型，种群空间分布格局，植株生长规律，种群生物量结构及变化规律，元素化学成份，种群年龄结构，数量统计及生存力分析等。 研究结果表明：珙桐分布区是连续的，其变种光叶珙桐（Davidia involucrata var. vilmoriniana (Dode) wanger)的分布区存在间断;珙桐群落可依优势种不同分为多种类型，但都属于亚热带中山落叶——常绿阔叶混交林类型;群落区系成份复杂，地理成份以北温带及东亚成分占绝对优势：种群空间分布格局无论在不同群落中还是在不同发育阶段中均属集群分布：植株胸径、树高及材积生长符合Logistic方程：种群生物量随群落类型不同而有较大差异，种群增长规律符合Logistic增长;种群年龄结构稳定，但实生苗的匮乏对种群更新不利：种群存活曲线属Deevy I型。对影响种群生存力的因素分析表明，主要的因素有系统压力和环境因素。

植物群落复杂性与群落结构组建的描述与分析

时间、空间格局的保持和发展及其对种群、群落和生态系统动态的影响是生态学中两个相互关联的基本课题。围绕这个中心议题作者在植物个体、种群、群落各个层次上开展了研究。 1)研究了克隆植物构型及其对资源异质性的响应，给出了描述该连续体的一个指数v：In1/ln刀．（士Logistic方程表述每个斑块内的局部种群动态，用扩散系数e表示斑块间的扩散，建立了描述Meta-种群动态的耦合映象格子模型。并单峰映象Xn+l =1-ax2给出了耦合映象格子的时空行为，对这些模式的深入研究，将无疑会帮助我们理解Mcta种群时空复杂行为的本质。 3)在更广的意义上考虑群落复杂性的概念，将群落总复杂性分为基于无序的复杂性和结构复杂性。并用描述群落的最小剩余码的平均码长L(S)测度群落总复杂性，用Shannon-Wiener熵H(S)和Renyi熵H12 (S)测度基于无序的复杂性，并将总复杂性和基于无序的复杂性之差△(S)=L(S)一H(S)和 A，：=/(S) - H12 (S)作为组织复杂性或群落结构复杂性的测度。研究了中国东北样带(NECT)典型植物群落的结构复杂性和多样性。以群落结构组建的理论为基础提出了一个描述群落内种间相互作用强度的指标，利用约束典型排序和偏典型排序技术：典型对应分析CCA和剩余分析RA为基础，发展一种包括环境，空间格局和物种相互作用三方面因素的植物群落数量分析方法，并在种多度数据的变化中分离出这几个方面的变化。 4)以适宜度理论和草原类型理论为基础，利用草原湿润度指标k作为生境综合生态因子的一个测度，构造出草原生物的适宜度模型;给出了草原生境对草原生物适宜度的评价指标：提出了草原生境指数，生境适宜度，生境适宜度过程等新的概念。(公式从略)

东灵山地区辽东栎群中植物种群的时空格局研究

在北京东灵山地区以辽东栎（Quercus liaotungensis Koidz.）林群落为主要对象，研究了辽东栎种群和主要伴生种的空间格局、种间联结以及辽东栎种子雨的时间格局，井对空间格局的表达方法进行尝试性的探讨。 对辽东栎林群落中主要乔木树种辽东栎、大叶白蜡（Fraxinus thynchophylla）和五角枫（Acer mono）种群空间格局与动态的考察结果显示：各种群大多表现出聚集分布的趋势;辽东栎种群在各个龄级层均显示出较强优势，但种群内竞争激烈，龄级结构相对稳定;人叶白蜡的幼苗对环境适应能力较强，在成熟林中呈现出较五角枫种群更明显的增长型趋势：幼林中3个种群均呈衰退型趋势。 种间联结性的测定结果较好地反映了植物对环境的适应性，用关联分析法作出的树状图利用临界种将样方划分为若干组，体现出小生境之间的差异，反映了植物对其生境亦具有一定指示作用。 辽东栎种子雨的时间格局研究结果表明：种群种子雨密度随时间的变化呈正态分布趋势，种群水平利个体水平的种子雨累积随时间变化均符台Logistic曲线，具有很高的相关性。 空间格局表达方法的探讨显示：可以用集合论的方法对数学模型进行形象表达。

资源异质性环境中植物克隆生长的描述与模拟

植物克隆生长型主要由遗传结构决定，不同的克隆植物具有不同的克隆生长型，同时植物的克隆生长型又依具体生境和个体发育阶段不同而变化。Harper认为植物构件的结构由分枝角度、节间长度和芽的成活率决定。大量的研究表明克隆植物生长型主要由3个形态参数决定：节间长度、分枝角度和分枝强度。 植物的生境条件无论在时间还是空间上都是异质性的，即使在很小的尺度上这种异质性也是存在的。在这种具有异质性的生境条件下几乎所有植物都有表型可塑性。植物的表型可塑性是指植物在不同的环境因子条件下，在形态、生物量、生理等方面产生的一系列不同。表现型可塑性是植物种群克服环境异质性的重要途径，也是克隆植物实现觅养行为的途径。克隆植物的觅养行为是通过根茎或匍匐茎的长度和分枝强度的变化以及生物量的分配来实现其迁移和对生境的选择，从而将分株安置在各种微环境中。 克隆植物构型的可塑性可使它在土壤水分斑块性分布的环境中通过克隆生长，调整对不同斑块的土壤水分获取对策。在一田间实验中，匍匐茎草本蛇莓（Duchesnea indica Focke）经历了不同土壤水分水平（土壤最大含水量的40%、60%、80%、100%等）处理，以研究土壤水分对蛇莓克隆构型的影响。结果表明：间隔子长度、分株密度、分枝角度和分枝强度呈二次曲线变化，土壤含水为最大含水量的80%为最适生境。 克隆植物构型的可塑性可使它在养分斑块性分布的环境中通过克隆生长调整相应于对不同斑块的养分获取对策。在一田间实验中，蛇莓经历了不同土壤养分水平（高、中、低和对照）处理，以研究土壤养分对蛇莓克隆构型的影响。结果表明：随着土壤养分水平的增加，间隔子的长度、分枝角度均逐渐降低，分枝强度和分株密度增加。 克隆植物构型的可塑性可使它在不同光强的环境中通过克隆生长，调整其对不同光强的资源获取对策。在控制性光资源异质性生境（模拟浓密林荫、稀疏林荫、农田间套作、裸地等）下，研究和模拟了光资源的时空异质性和蛇莓的克隆可塑性变化。结果表明：随着光照强度的增加，间隔子长度的长度逐渐降低，分枝角度、分株强度呈二次曲线变化。 克隆植物构型的可塑性可使它在不同海拔的环境中通过克隆生长，调整其对不同海拔的资源获取对策。在一海拔高度实验中，匍匐茎草本蛇莓经历了不同海拔(400 m、800 m、1200 m和1600 m)处理，以研究不同海拔对蛇莓克隆构型的影响。结果表明：随着海拔的增加，间隔子长度、分株密度、分枝角度和分枝强度呈二次曲线变化。 从克隆植物生长环境（小气候）定量分析了克隆植物生长必需资源如水分、养分、光强、海拔等的变化特性。具体描述和分析了异质环境尺度的大小和等级数。在前人研究成果的基础上，验证了克隆植物生长必需资源分布异质性的数学模型并建立相应的运算模块。在不同水分、养分、光强和海拔等异质性生境中，蛇莓克隆构型相关特征的可塑性变化可用动态Logistic模型进行模拟和预测，拟合效果较好。结合植物对环境异质性的利用对策，对所揭示的蛇莓克隆构型可塑性进行了讨论。 用分形技术描述了蛇莓在资源斑块性分布的生境中，通过克隆生长调整相应于对不同斑块的资源获取对策。植物克隆构型的形态特征在一定尺度范围内具有自相似特征。蛇莓克隆构型的分形维数直接反映了在异质性生境中蛇莓克隆生长的差异。蛇莓克隆生长越发达分形维数越高。相对小的分形维数，反映出蛇莓克隆生长相对较弱。基于计算机图像技术和分形理论，建立了植物克隆生长分形度量的计算机模型，实现了对植物克隆生长过程的计算机模拟。模拟的蛇莓克隆生长形态与实际生长不仅具有相近的分形维数，而且形态也非常相似。利用克隆生长模型的预测能力克服实验生态学难以逾越的某些研究盲点，其研究成果将对克隆植物利用资源异质性的生态对策研究具有重要的指导意义。

Distribution of CCR2-64I and SDF1-3 ' A alleles and HIV status in 7 ethnic populations of Cameroon

Limited information is available on the prevalence among rural Africans of host genetic polymorphisms conferring resistance to HIV-1 infection or slowing HIV disease progression.We report the allelic frequencies of the AIDS-related polymorphisms CCR2-64I, SDF1-3#A, and CCR5-D32 in 321 volunteers from 7 ethnic groups in Cameroon. Allelic frequencies differed among the 7 ethnic groups, ranging from 10.8% to 31.3% for CCR2-64I and 0.0% to 7.1% for SDF1-3#A. No CCR5-D32 alleles were found. HIV seroprevalence was 6.9% in the total population and peaked at younger ages in girls and women than in boys and men. Among 15- to 54-year-olds, HIV seroprevalence varied from 2.0% to 11.1% among the village populations. Conditional logistic regression analysis using data from boys and men aged 15 to 54 years showed the number of CCR2-64I alleles to be a significant risk factor for HIV seropositivity (odds ratio per allele adjusted for age and matched on ethnic group = 6.3, 95% confidence interval: 1.3–30.3); this association was not found in women. The findings are consistent with the hypothesis that CCR2-64I alleles may delay HIV disease progression without affecting susceptibility to infection among men. We did not observe this relation among women, and other factors, such as multiple pregnancies or maternal stressors (eg, breastfeeding), may have masked any protective effect of CCR2-64I alleles. Further study of this issue among women is warranted. SDF1-3#A did not differ between HIV-seropositive and HIV-seronegative individuals but wasassociated with increasing age among HIV-seronegative women, suggesting a protective effect against HIV-1 infection.

Moderate mutation rate in the SARS coronavirus genome and its implications

Background: The outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) caused a severe global epidemic in 2003 which led to hundreds of deaths and many thousands of hospitalizations. The virus causing SARS was identified as a novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV) an

Issues of HIV/AIDS/ health among the fisher communities of Lake Albert and Kyoga

The fisheries resources of Lakes Albert and Kyoga present a high potential for economic growth, food, employment and foreign earnings. However, livelihoods appear to be compromised with the emergence and rapid spread of HIV/AIDS in the fisher communities of L. Albert and Kyoga. HIV/AIDS is considered a silent epidemic that is unique, posing a great challenge to the fisheries managers, health service providers, development planners and the resource users themselves. Fishers have high HIV prevalence, as well as AIDS-related illnesses and mortality rates. The high HIV prevalence rates among the fishing communities in Uganda is between 10-40% compared to the national rates which lie between 6% and 7%. This indicates that the national programmes have not adequately addressed the plight of the fishing communities of Lakes Albert, and Kyoga and the consequences have been devastating. Men and women living in fishing villages across the world have been found to be between five and ten times more vulnerable to the disease than other communities (Tarzan et al 2005, FAO, 2007). The present prevalence rates among the fishing communities stands at 10 to 40 % (LVFO, 2008). Meanwhile the same fishing communities are the essential labour for the Lakes’ fishery industry which is thriving nationally and internationally. That resource potentially can alleviate poverty and the HIV/AIDS threat. Fishing communities are the hidden victims of the disease, mixing patterns with the general population could act as a reservoir of infection that could spill over into the general population to drive the epidemic. On L. Albert, a quarter of the fisher folk were HIV-positive by 1992 compared to 4% in a nearby Agricultural village. Since then, there have been no targeted studies to address or monitor the prevalence rates eight years later, yet the multiplicity factor is high. HIV/AIDS can be linked to unsustainable fisheries, as the labour force available would not go to deep waters to fish, instead would fish in the shallow waters as a coping mechanism. A further effect is the loss to National and local economies and reduced nutritional security for the wider population. HIV/AIDS remains a significant challenge that has created a mosaic of complexity in the fishery sector. This needs to be addressed. It is, therefore, paramount that a comprehensive study was under taken to address this pandemic and the phenomenon of HIV/AIDS based on the study objectives. 1. To determine the trend in HIV/AIDS infection among fishing communities and the factors affecting it 2. To assess the impacts of HIV/AIDS on fish production and the implications for fisheries management.

On-going generation of multiple forms of HIV-1 intersubtype recombinants in the Yunnan Province of China

Objectives: To investigate the molecular epidemiology of HIV in China's Yunnan Province, where the initial HIV-1 outbreak among injecting drug users (IDU) occurred in 1989, and to analyse the genesis and interrelationship of the epidemic with that in surrounding areas. Design: A molecular epidemiological investigation was conducted among IDU in three prefectures in Yunnan Province, including Wenshan (east), Honghe (southeast) and Dehong (west). Methods: Thirty-nine specimens were collected from consenting IDU in 2000-2001. The nucleotide sequences of 2.6 kb gag-RT and 340 base pair (bp) env (C2/V3) regions were determined. Phylogenetic tree and recombination breakpoint analyses were performed. Results: The circulating recombinant form (CRF), CRF08_BC, predominated in east Yunnan near Guangxi Province (89% in Wenshan and 81% in Honghe), whereas it was not detected in Dehong(0/14) in the west. In contrast, 71% (10/14) of the Dehong isolates were unique recombinant forms (URF), mostly between subtypes B' (Thailand variant of subtype B) and C, with distinct profiles of recombination breakpoints. The subtype B' accounts for the remaining 29% (4/14) of Dehong isolates. Interestingly, two Honghe isolates (2/16) shared some of the precise B'/C recombination breakpoints with CRF07_BC. Conclusion: New recombinant strains are arising continually in west Yunnan near the Myanmar border. Some appeared to be secondary recombinants derived from CRF07_BC that had further recombined with other strains. The uneven distribution of subtypes, CRF and URF, suggests the presence of independent transmission networks and clusters among IDU in Yunnan. (C) 2002 Lippincott Williams Wilkins.

High prevalence of HIV-1 and hepatitis C virus coinfection among injection drug users in the southeastern region of Yunnan, China

The southeastern region of Yunnan province is a key site for drug trafficking and HIV-1 infection spread from the west of Yunnan and Laos to southeastern China. To investigate the prevalence of HIV-1 infection and hepatitis C virus (HCV) coinfection among injection drug users (IDUs) in southeastern Yunnan, three cohorts of 285 addicts, including 242 IDUs and 43 oral drug users, living in the cities of Gejiu and Kaiyuan and the county of Yanshan were studied. HIV-1 and HCV infections were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and/or polymerase chain reaction. Data on the age, sex, risk behavior, drug use history, employment, ethnic background, and marriage status were obtained by interview. The overall prevalence of HIV-1 infection was 71.9%. The rate of HCV coinfection among 138 HIV-1-infected IDUs was 99.3%. Most HIV-infected IDUs were 20 to 35 years old (86.7%) and were ethnic Han (75.9%), suggesting that the epidemic in Yunnan is no longer confined to non-Han ethnic minorities, HIV prevalence in female IDUs (81.2%) was significantly higher than in male IDUs (68.2%) (p <.05). The prevalence of HIV infection reached 68.4% after 1 year of injection drug use. Needle/syringe sharing is the major high risk factor for the spread of HIV-1 and HCV infections. Large-scale educational campaigns are urgently needed to reduce the spread of HIV and HCV infection in these regions.

N-best error simulation for training spoken dialogue systems

A recent trend in spoken dialogue research is the use of reinforcement learning to train dialogue systems in a simulated environment. Past researchers have shown that the types of errors that are simulated can have a significant effect on simulated dialogue performance. Since modern systems typically receive an N-best list of possible user utterances, it is important to be able to simulate a full N-best list of hypotheses. This paper presents a new method for simulating such errors based on logistic regression, as well as a new method for simulating the structure of N-best lists of semantics and their probabilities, based on the Dirichlet distribution. Off-line evaluations show that the new Dirichlet model results in a much closer match to the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) of the live data. Experiments also show that the logistic model gives confusions that are closer to the type of confusions observed in live situations. The hope is that these new error models will be able to improve the resulting performance of trained dialogue systems. © 2012 IEEE.

蓖齿眼子菜对栅藻和微囊藻的他感作用及其参数

主要报道篦齿眼子菜 (俗称红线草 )的种植水抽滤液对栅藻、微囊藻生长的他感作用试验。应用修正的逻辑斯谛 (Logistic)方程和Lotka Volterra种群竞争模型来计算篦齿眼子菜对藻类的他感作用参数。纯培养试验结果表明 :种植水抽滤液对栅藻生物量和生长率都有一定的促进作用。当浓度大于等于 5 0 %时 ,对栅藻生长的影响则是有抑制效应 ,他感作用效应与种植水的浓度没有明显的相关性 ,他感作用参数平均为 - 0 0 2 6。所有浓度设对照。微囊藻的生长都有明显的抑制作用 ,他感作用参数平均为 - 0

萼花臂尾轮虫有性生殖、种群增长和休眠卵产量间的关系

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