Heated fiber optic distributed temperature sensing for measuring soil volumetric heat capacity and water content: A dual probe heat-pulse approach

The first feasibility study of using dual-probe heated fiber optics with distributed temperature sensing to measure soil volumetric heat capacity and soil water content is presented. Although results using different combinations of cables demonstrate feasibility, further work is needed to gain accuracy, including a model to account for the finite dimension and the thermal influence of the probes. Implementation of the dual-probe heat-pulse (DPHP) approach for measurement of volumetric heat capacity (C) and water content (θ) with distributed temperature sensing heated fiber optic (FO) systems presents an unprecedented opportunity for environmental monitoring (e.g., simultaneous measurement at thousands of points). We applied uniform heat pulses along a FO cable and monitored the thermal response at adjacent cables. We tested the DPHP method in the laboratory using multiple FO cables at a range of spacings. The amplitude and phase shift in the heat signal with distance was found to be a function of the soil volumetric heat capacity. Estimations of C at a range of moisture contents (θ = 0.09– 0.34 m3 m−3) suggest the feasibility of measurement via responsiveness to the changes in θ, although we observed error with decreasing soil water contents (up to 26% at θ = 0.09 m3 m−3). Optimization will require further models to account for the finite radius and thermal influence of the FO cables. Although the results indicate that the method shows great promise, further study is needed to quantify the effects of soil type, cable spacing, and jacket configurations on accuracy.

Thermal control of SUNRISE, a balloon-borne solar telescope

SUNRISE is a balloon-borne solar telescope flown with a long-duration balloon by NASA's Columbia Scientific Balloon Facility team from Esrange (Swedish Space Corporation), on 8 June 2009. SUNRISE has been a challenging mission from the thermal point of view because of its size and power dissipation. Thus, a dedicated thermal analysis has been carried out to find a solution that allows all the devices to be kept within their appropriate temperature ranges, without exceeding the allowable temperature gradients, critical for optical devices. In this article, the thermal design of SUNRISE is described. A geometrical mathematical model and a thermal mathematical model of the whole system have been set up for the different load cases in order to obtain the temperature distribution and gradients in the system. Some trade-offs have been necessary to fulfil all the thermal requirements. The thermal hardware used to achieve it is described. Finally, the temperatures obtained with the models have been compared with flight data.

Thermal control of SUNRISE, a balloon-borne solar telescope

SUNRISE is a balloon-borne solar telescope flown with a long-duration balloon by NASA's Columbia Scientific Balloon Facility team from Esrange (Swedish Space Corporation), on 8 June 2009. SUNRISE has been a challenging mission from the thermal point of view because of its size and power dissipation. Thus, a dedicated thermal analysis has been carried out to find a solution that allows all the devices to be kept within their appropriate temperature ranges, without exceeding the allowable temperature gradients, critical for optical devices. In this article, the thermal design of SUNRISE is described. A geometrical mathematical model and a thermal mathematical model of the whole system have been set up for the different load cases in order to obtain the temperature distribution and gradients in the system. Some trade-offs have been necessary to fulfil all the thermal requirements. The thermal hardware used to achieve it is described. Finally, the temperatures obtained with the models have been compared with flight data.

Hidrodinamica de planeadores submarinos y su impacto en la funcionalidad de sensores CTD

Los recientes desarrollos tecnológicos permiten la transición de la oceanografía observacional desde un concepto basado en buques a uno basado en sistemas autónomos en red. Este último, propone que la forma más eficiente y efectiva de observar el océano es con una red de plataformas autónomas distribuidas espacialmente y complementadas con sistemas de medición remota. Debido a su maniobrabilidad y autonomía, los planeadores submarinos están jugando un papel relevante en este concepto de observaciones en red. Los planeadores submarinos fueron específicamente diseñados para muestrear vastas zonas del océano. Estos son robots con forma de torpedo que hacen uso de su forma hidrodinámica, alas y cambios de flotabilidad para generar movimientos horizontales y verticales en la columna de agua. Un sensor que mide conductividad, temperatura y profundidad (CTD) constituye un equipamiento estándar en la plataforma. Esto se debe a que ciertas variables dinámicas del Océano se pueden derivar de la temperatura, profundidad y salinidad. Esta última se puede estimar a partir de las medidas de temperatura y conductividad. La integración de sensores CTD en planeadores submarinos no esta exenta de desafíos. Uno de ellos está relacionado con la precisión de los valores de salinidad derivados de las muestras de temperatura y conductividad. Específicamente, las estimaciones de salinidad están significativamente degradadas por el retardo térmico existente, entre la temperatura medida y la temperatura real dentro de la celda de conductividad del sensor. Esta deficiencia depende de las particularidades del flujo de entrada al sensor, su geometría y, también se ha postulado, del calor acumulado en las capas de aislamiento externo del sensor. Los efectos del retardo térmico se suelen mitigar mediante el control del flujo de entrada al sensor. Esto se obtiene generalmente mediante el bombeo de agua a través del sensor o manteniendo constante y conocida su velocidad. Aunque recientemente se han incorporado sistemas de bombeo en los CTDs a bordo de los planeadores submarinos, todavía existen plataformas equipadas con CTDs sin dichos sistemas. En estos casos, la estimación de la salinidad supone condiciones de flujo de entrada al sensor, razonablemente controladas e imperturbadas. Esta Tesis investiga el impacto, si existe, que la hidrodinámica de los planeadores submarinos pudiera tener en la eficiencia de los sensores CTD. Específicamente, se investiga primero la localización del sensor CTD (externo al fuselaje) relativa a la capa límite desarrollada a lo largo del cuerpo del planeador. Esto se lleva a cabo mediante la utilización de un modelo acoplado de fluido no viscoso con un modelo de capa límite implementado por el autor, así como mediante un programa comercial de dinámica de fluidos computacional (CFD). Los resultados indican, en ambos casos, que el sensor CTD se encuentra fuera de la capa límite, siendo las condiciones del flujo de entrada las mismas que las del flujo sin perturbar. Todavía, la velocidad del flujo de entrada al sensor CTD es la velocidad de la plataforma, la cual depende de su hidrodinámica. Por tal motivo, la investigación se ha extendido para averiguar el efecto que la velocidad de la plataforma tiene en la eficiencia del sensor CTD. Con este propósito, se ha desarrollado un modelo en elementos finitos del comportamiento hidrodinámico y térmico del flujo dentro del CTD. Los resultados numéricos indican que el retardo térmico, atribuidos originalmente a la acumulación de calor en la estructura del sensor, se debe fundamentalmente a la interacción del flujo que atraviesa la celda de conductividad con la geometría interna de la misma. Esta interacción es distinta a distintas velocidades del planeador submarino. Específicamente, a velocidades bajas del planeador (0.2 m/s), la mezcla del flujo entrante con las masas de agua remanentes en el interior de la celda, se ralentiza debido a la generación de remolinos. Se obtienen entonces desviaciones significantes entre la salinidad real y aquella estimada. En cambio, a velocidades más altas del planeador (0.4 m/s) los procesos de mezcla se incrementan debido a la turbulencia e inestabilidades. En consecuencia, la respuesta del sensor CTD es mas rápida y las estimaciones de la salinidad mas precisas que en el caso anterior. Para completar el trabajo, los resultados numéricos se han validado con pruebas experimentales. Específicamente, se ha construido un modelo a escala del sensor CTD para obtener la confirmación experimental de los modelos numéricos. Haciendo uso del principio de similaridad de la dinámica que gobierna los fluidos incompresibles, los experimentos se han realizado con flujos de aire. Esto simplifica significativamente la puesta experimental y facilita su realización en condiciones con medios limitados. Las pruebas experimentales han confirmado cualitativamente los resultados numéricos. Más aun, se sugiere en esta Tesis que la respuesta del sensor CTD mejoraría significativamente añadiendo un generador de turbulencia en localizaciones adecuadas al interno de la celda de conductividad. ABSTRACT Recent technological developments allow the transition of observational oceanography from a ship-based to a networking concept. The latter suggests that the most efficient and effective way to observe the Ocean is through a fleet of spatially distributed autonomous platforms complemented by remote sensing. Due to their maneuverability, autonomy and endurance at sea, underwater gliders are already playing a significant role in this networking observational approach. Underwater gliders were specifically designed to sample vast areas of the Ocean. These are robots with a torpedo shape that make use of their hydrodynamic shape, wings and buoyancy changes to induce horizontal and vertical motions through the water column. A sensor to measure the conductivity, temperature and depth (CTD) is a standard payload of this platform. This is because certain ocean dynamic variables can be derived from temperature, depth and salinity. The latter can be inferred from measurements of temperature and conductivity. Integrating CTD sensors in glider platforms is not exempted of challenges. One of them, concerns to the accuracy of the salinity values derived from the sampled conductivity and temperature. Specifically, salinity estimates are significantly degraded by the thermal lag response existing between the measured temperature and the real temperature inside the conductivity cell of the sensor. This deficiency depends on the particularities of the inflow to the sensor, its geometry and, it has also been hypothesized, on the heat accumulated by the sensor coating layers. The effects of thermal lag are usually mitigated by controlling the inflow conditions through the sensor. Controlling inflow conditions is usually achieved by pumping the water through the sensor or by keeping constant and known its diving speed. Although pumping systems have been recently implemented in CTD sensors on board gliders, there are still platforms with unpumped CTDs. In the latter case, salinity estimates rely on assuming reasonable controlled and unperturbed flow conditions at the CTD sensor. This Thesis investigates the impact, if any, that glider hydrodynamics may have on the performance of onboard CTDs. Specifically, the location of the CTD sensor (external to the hull) relative to the boundary layer developed along the glider fuselage, is first investigated. This is done, initially, by applying a coupled inviscid-boundary layer model developed by the author, and later by using a commercial software for computational fluid dynamics (CFD). Results indicate, in both cases, that the CTD sensor is out of the boundary layer, being its inflow conditions those of the free stream. Still, the inflow speed to the CTD sensor is the speed of the platform, which largely depends on its hydrodynamic setup. For this reason, the research has been further extended to investigate the effect of the platform speed on the performance of the CTD sensor. A finite element model of the hydrodynamic and thermal behavior of the flow inside the CTD sensor, is developed for this purpose. Numerical results suggest that the thermal lag effect is mostly due to the interaction of the flow through the conductivity cell and its geometry. This interaction is different at different speeds of the glider. Specifically, at low glider speeds (0.2 m/s), the mixing of recent and old waters inside the conductivity cell is slowed down by the generation of coherent eddy structures. Significant departures between real and estimated values of the salinity are found. Instead, mixing is enhanced by turbulence and instabilities for high glider speeds (0.4 m/s). As a result, the thermal response of the CTD sensor is faster and the salinity estimates more accurate than for the low speed case. For completeness, numerical results have been validated against model tests. Specifically, a scaled model of the CTD sensor was built to obtain experimental confirmation of the numerical results. Making use of the similarity principle of the dynamics governing incompressible fluids, experiments are carried out with air flows. This significantly simplifies the experimental setup and facilitates its realization in a limited resource condition. Model tests qualitatively confirm the numerical findings. Moreover, it is suggested in this Thesis that the response of the CTD sensor would be significantly improved by adding small turbulators at adequate locations inside the conductivity cell.

Maps (pdf) and raster images (tif) of predicted rural land cover suitability under current (2010) conditions and future climate scenarios

This study projects land cover probabilities under climate change for corn (maize), soybeans, spring and winter wheat, winter wheat-soybean double cropping, cotton, grassland and forest across 16 central U.S. states at a high spatial resolution, while also taking into account the influence of soil characteristics and topography. The scenarios span three oceanic-atmospheric global circulation models, three Representative Concentration Pathways, and three time periods (2040, 2070, 2100). As climate change intensifies, the suitable area for all six crops display large northward shifts. Total suitable area for spring wheat, followed by corn and soybeans, diminish. Suitable area for winter wheat and for winter wheat-soybean double-cropping expand northward, while cotton suitability migrates to new, more northerly, locations. Suitability for forest intensifies in the south while yielding to crops in the north; grassland intensifies in the western Great Plains as crop suitability diminishes. To maintain current broad geographic patterns of land use, large changes in the thermal response of crops such as corn would be required. A transition from corn-soybean to winter wheat-soybean doubling cropping is an alternative adaptation.

The geometric correction and registration of airborne line-scanned imagery for temporal thermal studies

This thesis begins by providing a review of techniques for interpreting the thermal response at the earth's surface acquired using remote sensing technology. Historic limitations in the precision with which imagery acquired from airborne platforms can be geometrically corrected and co-registered has meant that relatively little work has been carried out examining the diurnal variation of surface temperature over wide regions. Although emerging remote sensing systems provide the potential to register temporal image data within satisfactory levels of accuracy, this technology is still not widely available and does not address the issue of historic data sets which cannot be rectified using conventional parametric approaches. In overcoming these problems, the second part of this thesis describes the development of an alternative approach for rectifying airborne line-scanned imagery. The underlying assumption that scan lines within the imagery are straight greatly reduces the number of ground control points required to describe the image geometry. Furthermore, the use of pattern matching procedures to identify geometric disparities between raw line-scanned imagery and corresponding aerial photography enables the correction procedure to be almost fully automated. By reconstructing the raw image data on a truly line-by-line basis, it is possible to register the airborne line-scanned imagery to the aerial photography with an average accuracy of better than one pixel. Providing corresponding aerial photography is available, this approach can be applied in the absence of platform altitude information allowing multi-temporal data sets to be corrected and registered.

Parametric study of the behaviour of reinforced concrete columns in fire

The research is concerned with the application of the computer simulation technique to study the performance of reinforced concrete columns in a fire environment. The effect of three different concrete constitutive models incorporated in the computer simulation on the structural response of reinforced concrete columns exposed to fire is investigated. The material models differed mainly in respect to the formulation of the mechanical properties of concrete. The results from the simulation have clearly illustrated that a more realistic response of a reinforced concrete column exposed to fire is given by a constitutive model with transient creep or appropriate strain effect The assessment of the relative effect of the three concrete material models is considered from the analysis by adopting the approach of a parametric study, carried out using the results from a series of analyses on columns heated on three sides which produce substantial thermal gradients. Three different loading conditions were used on the column; axial loading and eccentric loading both to induce moments in the same sense and opposite sense to those induced by the thermal gradient. An axially loaded column heated on four sides was also considered. The computer modelling technique adopted separated the thermal and structural responses into two distinct computer programs. A finite element heat transfer analysis was used to determine the thermal response of the reinforced concrete columns when exposed to the ISO 834 furnace environment. The temperature distribution histories obtained were then used in conjunction with a structural response program. The effect of the occurrence of spalling on the structural behaviour of reinforced concrete column is also investigated. There is general recognition of the potential problems of spalling but no real investigation into what effect spalling has on the fire resistance of reinforced concrete members. In an attempt to address the situation, a method has been developed to model concrete columns exposed to fire which incorporates the effect of spalling. A total of 224 computer simulations were undertaken by varying the amounts of concrete lost during a specified period of exposure to fire. An array of six percentages of spalling were chosen for one range of simulation while a two stage progressive spalling regime was used for a second range. The quantification of the reduction in fire resistance of the columns against the amount of spalling, heating and loading patterns, and the time at which the concrete spalls appears to indicate that it is the amount of spalling which is the most significant variable in the reduction of fire resistance.

Last Interglacial synthesis of high-latitude temperature: temperature anomalies and associated errors for 4 time slices

The Last Interglacial (LIG, 129-116 thousand of years BP, ka) represents a test bed for climate model feedbacks in warmer-than-present high latitude regions. However, mainly because aligning different palaeoclimatic archives and from different parts of the world is not trivial, a spatio-temporal picture of LIG temperature changes is difficult to obtain. Here, we have selected 47 polar ice core and sub-polar marine sediment records and developed a strategy to align them onto the recent AICC2012 ice core chronology. We provide the first compilation of high-latitude temperature changes across the LIG associated with a coherent temporal framework built between ice core and marine sediment records. Our new data synthesis highlights non-synchronous maximum temperature changes between the two hemispheres with the Southern Ocean and Antarctica records showing an early warming compared to North Atlantic records. We also observe warmer than present-day conditions that occur for a longer time period in southern high latitudes than in northern high latitudes. Finally, the amplitude of temperature changes at high northern latitudes is larger compared to high southern latitude temperature changes recorded at the onset and the demise of the LIG. We have also compiled four data-based time slices with temperature anomalies (compared to present-day conditions) at 115 ka, 120 ka, 125 ka and 130 ka and quantitatively estimated temperature uncertainties that include relative dating errors. This provides an improved benchmark for performing more robust model-data comparison. The surface temperature simulated by two General Circulation Models (CCSM3 and HadCM3) for 130 ka and 125 ka is compared to the corresponding time slice data synthesis. This comparison shows that the models predict warmer than present conditions earlier than documented in the North Atlantic, while neither model is able to produce the reconstructed early Southern Ocean and Antarctic warming. Our results highlight the importance of producing a sequence of time slices rather than one single time slice averaging the LIG climate conditions.

Proposta de modelagem de qualidade ambiental em áreas metropolitanas, por meio de dados de sensoriamento remoto

Tese (doutorado)—Universidade de Brasília, Instituto de Geociências, Pós-Graduação em Geociências Aplicadas, 2016.

On feasibility of regional frequency-based emergency control plans

Decentralized and regional load-frequency control of power systems operating in normal and near-normal conditions has been well studied; and several analysis/synthesis approaches have been developed during the last few decades. However in contingency and off-normal conditions, the existing emergency control plans, such as under-frequency load shedding, are usually applied in a centralized structure using a different analysis model. This paper discusses the feasibility of using frequency-based emergency control schemes based on tie-line measurements and local information available within a control area. The conventional load-frequency control model is generalized by considering the dynamics of emergency control/protection schemes and an analytic approach to analyze the regional frequency response under normal and emergency conditions is presented.

The contribution of maize cropping in the Midwest USA to global warming: A regional estimate

Agricultural soils emit about 50% of the global flux of N2O attributable to human influence, mostly in response to nitrogen fertilizer use. Recent evidence that the relationship between N2O fluxes and N-fertilizer additions to cereal maize are non-linear provides an opportunity to estimate regional N2O fluxes based on estimates of N application rates rather than as a simple percentage of N inputs as used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). We combined a simple empirical model of N2O production with the SOCRATES soil carbon dynamics model to estimate N2O and other sources of Global Warming Potential (GWP) from cereal maize across 19,000 cropland polygons in the North Central Region (NCR) of the US over the period 1964–2005. Results indicate that the loading of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere from cereal maize production in the NCR was 1.7 Gt CO2e, with an average 268 t CO2e produced per tonne of grain. From 1970 until 2005, GHG emissions per unit product declined on average by 2.8 t CO2e ha−1 annum−1, coinciding with a stabilisation in N application rate and consistent increases in grain yield from the mid-1970’s. Nitrous oxide production from N fertilizer inputs represented 59% of these emissions, soil C decline (0–30 cm) represented 11% of total emissions, with the remaining 30% (517 Mt) from the combustion of fuel associated with farm operations. Of the 126 Mt of N fertilizer applied to cereal maize from 1964 to 2005, we estimate that 2.2 Mt N was emitted as N2O when using a non-linear response model, equivalent to 1.75% of the applied N.

A sequential Monte Carlo approach to the sequential design for discriminating between rival continuous data models

Here we present a sequential Monte Carlo approach to Bayesian sequential design for the incorporation of model uncertainty. The methodology is demonstrated through the development and implementation of two model discrimination utilities; mutual information and total separation, but it can also be applied more generally if one has different experimental aims. A sequential Monte Carlo algorithm is run for each rival model (in parallel), and provides a convenient estimate of the marginal likelihood (of each model) given the data, which can be used for model comparison and in the evaluation of utility functions. A major benefit of this approach is that it requires very little problem specific tuning and is also computationally efficient when compared to full Markov chain Monte Carlo approaches. This research is motivated by applications in drug development and chemical engineering.

A new approach for evaluating the benefits of smart grid development

In this paper, the inherent mechanism of benefits associated with smart grid development is examined based on the Pressure-State-Response (PSR) model from resource economics. The emerging types of technology brought up by smart grid development are taken as pressures. The improvements of the performance and efficiency of power system operation are taken as states. The effects of smart grid development on society are taken as responses. Then, a novel method for evaluating social benefits in energy saving and CO2 emission reduction from smart grid development is presented. Finally, the benefits in a province in northwest China is carried out by employing the developed evaluation system, and reasonable evaluation results are attained.

Functional neuroanatomy of auditory mismatch processing : an event-related fMRI study of duration-deviant oddballs

This study was designed to identify the neural networks underlying automatic auditory deviance detection in 10 healthy subjects using functional magnetic resonance imaging. We measured blood oxygenation level-dependent contrasts derived from the comparison of blocks of stimuli presented as a series of standard tones (50 ms duration) alone versus blocks that contained rare duration-deviant tones (100 ms) that were interspersed among a series of frequent standard tones while subjects were watching a silent movie. Possible effects of scanner noise were assessed by a “no tone” condition. In line with previous positron emission tomography and EEG source modeling studies, we found temporal lobe and prefrontal cortical activation that was associated with auditory duration mismatch processing. Data were also analyzed employing an event-related hemodynamic response model, which confirmed activation in response to duration-deviant tones bilaterally in the superior temporal gyrus and prefrontally in the right inferior and middle frontal gyri. In line with previous electrophysiological reports, mismatch activation of these brain regions was significantly correlated with age. These findings suggest a close relationship of the event-related hemodynamic response pattern with the corresponding electrophysiological activity underlying the event-related “mismatch negativity” potential, a putative measure of auditory sensory memory.

Functional brain maps of Tower of London performance : a positron emission tomography and functional magnetic resonance imaging study

Regional cerebral blood flow (rCBF) and blood oxygenation level-dependent (BOLD) contrasts represent different physiological measures of brain activation. The present study aimed to compare two functional brain imaging techniques (functional magnetic resonance imaging versus [15O] positron emission tomography) when using Tower of London (TOL) problems as the activation task. A categorical analysis (task versus baseline) revealed a significant BOLD increase bilaterally for the dorsolateral prefrontal and inferior parietal cortex and for the cerebellum. A parametric haemodynamic response model (or regression analysis) confirmed a task-difficulty-dependent increase of BOLD and rCBF for the cerebellum and the left dorsolateral prefrontal cortex. In line with previous studies, a task-difficulty-dependent increase of left-hemispheric rCBF was also detected for the premotor cortex, cingulate, precuneus, and globus pallidus. These results imply consistency across the two neuroimaging modalities, particularly for the assessment of prefrontal brain function when using a parametric TOL adaptation.