Eleições, partidos e política orçamentária no Brasil: explorando os efeitos das eleições locais na política nacional

Esta tese investiga as relações partidárias entre prefeitos brasileiros e políticos nacionais e estaduais e seus efeitos sobre a performance eleitoral dos partidos e de suas decisões no Congresso. Em particular, o objetivo da pesquisa tese é testar se o fato do partido governar um município afeta o desempenho de seus candidatos nas eleições nacionais e estaduais seguintes, as decisões de seus deputados federais no processo orçamentário e a capacidade do partido em obter apoios políticos e financeiros para suas campanhas futuras. Os efeitos do partido governar um município são estimados utilizando um desenho de regressão descontínua. A pesquisa cobre o período de 1996 a 2012.

Demanda por veículos novos no Brasil: uma análise robusta a quebras estruturais

O setor automotivo é bastante representativo na economia nacional, o que motivou a realização deste estudo sobre a demanda por veículos novos no Brasil. No presente trabalho, é abordado um modelo econométrico que permite calcular as elasticidades do preço, da renda e do crédito em relação à demanda por veículos, sob a luz da teoria da cointegração. Analisando-se o período de junho de 2000 a janeiro de 2014, verifica-se a ocorrência de três quebras estruturais. Estas quebras dividem o intervalo de tempo analisado em quatro subperíodos, cada um com uma dinâmica própria. A constatação deste fato, muitas vezes negligenciado na literatura científica prévia, é um dos principais resultados deste trabalho: afinal, conclusões bastante distintas seriam obtidas ao se considerar o período todo sem quebras. Vale também destacar que o crédito se mostrou relevante para a demanda em todos os subperíodos: acredita-se, portanto, ser efetiva a implementação de uma política de estímulo ao setor, por meio do incentivo ao crédito. Por último, comenta-se que, no passado recente, a cada 1% de redução no preço do automóvel, a demanda aumentou numa proporção 30% maior. Este resultado corrobora com a percepção de que a redução de impostos pode alavancar a venda de veículos.

Impactos da imigração no mercado de trabalho brasileiro

Diante da importância que o tema da imigração adquiriu no país nos últimos anos, gerou-se uma necessidade de melhor entendimento dos efeitos econômicos causados por influxos populacionais dessa natureza. Todavia, sob o conhecimento dos autores, inexistem estudos para história recente brasileira acerca dos impactos dos imigrantes no mercado de trabalho, em especial, sobre o salário e o nível de emprego dos nativos. Com esse panorama em mente, os estudos realizados nesta tese visam dar os primeiros passos na investigação desse tema. O presente trabalho é composto por quatro capítulos, os quais examinam diferentes questões associadas aos efeitos da imigração no mercado de trabalho brasileiro. O primeiro capítulo motiva o tema da imigração no Brasil e, através de uma metodologia estrutural baseada no arcabouço da função CES multi-nível, simula o efeito na estrutura salarial em resposta a influxos imigratórios estipulados para o ano de 2010, data do último Censo Demográfico. Em particular, calcula-se que o impacto salarial médio decorrente de um influxo estipulado de 549 mil imigrantes, mesma magnitude do observado entre dezembro de 2010 e dezembro de 2011, estaria situado em torno de -0.25%. O segundo capítulo estima o grau de substituição entre imigrantes e nativos do mesmo grupo de habilidade e testa a hipótese de substituição perfeita suportada empiricamente por Borjas et al. (2012, 2008) e adotada no capítulo anterior. A metodologia empregada fundamenta-se no arcabouço estrutural desenvolvido em Manacorda et al. (2012) e Ottaviano & Peri (2012), o qual acrescenta um nível extra na função de produção CES multi-nível de Borjas (2003). As elasticidades de substituição estimadas sob diversas especificações variam entre 9 e 23, resultados que fortalecem a tese de substituição imperfeita preconizada por Card (2012). O terceiro capítulo estima dois tipos de elasticidades relacionadas ao impacto dos imigrantes sobre o rendimento do trabalho nativo através de uma metodologia alternativa baseada numa função de produção mais flexível e que não está sujeita a restrições tão austeras quanto a CES. As estimativas computadas para as elasticidades de substituição de Hicks subjacentes se situam entre 1.3 e 4.9, o que reforça as evidências de substituição imperfeita obtidas no Capítulo 2. Adicionalmente, os valores estimados para as elasticidades brutas dos salários dos nativos em relação às quantidades de imigrantes na produção são da ordem máxima de +-0.01. O quarto e último capítulo, por meio de uma metodologia fundamentada no arcabouço da função de custo Translog, examina como o nível de emprego dos nativos reage a alterações no custo do trabalho imigrante, uma questão que até o momento recebeu pouca atenção da literatura, conquanto apresente relevância para formulação de políticas imigratórias. Para todas as especificações de modelo e grupos de educação considerados, nossos resultados apontam que uma variação exógena no salário do imigrante produz apenas diminutos efeitos sobre o nível de emprego dos trabalhadores nativos brasileiros. Na maioria dos casos, não se pode rejeitar a hipótese de que nativo e imigrante não são nem p-complementares nem p-substitutos líquidos.

Prevalence of helicobacter pylori infection in advanced gastric carcinoma

There is substantial evidence that infection with Helicobacter pylori plays a role in the development of gastric cancer and that it is rarely found in gastric biopsy of atrophic gastritis and gastric cancer. On advanced gastric tumors, the bacteria can be lost from the stomach. Aims - To analyze the hypothesis that the prevalence of H.pylori in operated advanced gastric carcinomas and adjacent non-tumor tissues is high, comparing intestinal and diffuse tumors according to Lauren’s classifi cation. Methods - A prospective controlled study enrolled 56 patients from “Hospital Universitário”, Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, Natal, RN, Brazil, with advanced gastric cancer, treated from February 2000 to March 2003. Immediately after partial gastrectomy, the resected stomach was opened and several mucosal biopsy samples were taken from the gastric tumor and from the adjacent mucosa within 4 cm distance from the tumor margin. Tissue sections were stained with hematoxylin and eosin. Lauren‘s classifi cation for gastric cancer was used, to analyse the prevalence of H. pylori in intestinal or diffuse carcinomas assessed by the urease rapid test, IgG by ELISA and Giemsa staining. H. pylori infected patients were treated with omeprazole, clarithromycin and amoxicillin for 7 days. Follow-up endoscopy and serology were performed 6 months after treatment to determine successful eradication of H. pylori in non-tumor tissue. Thereafter, follow-up endoscopies were scheduled annually. Chi-square and MacNemar tests with 0.05 signifi cance were used. Results - Thirty-four tumors (60.7%) were intestinal-type and 22 (39.3%) diffuse type carcinomas. In adjacent non-tumor gastric mucosa, chronic gastritis were found in 53 cases (94.6%) and atrophic mucosa in 36 patients (64.3%). All the patients with atrophic mucosa were H. pylori positive. When examined by Giemsa and urease test, H. pylori positive rate in tumor tissue of intestinal type carcinomas was higher than that in diffuse carcinomas. In tumor tissues, 34 (60.7%) H. pylori-positive in gastric carcinomas were detected by Giemsa method. H. pylori was observed in 30 of 56 cases (53.5%) in tissues 4 cm adjacent to tumors. This difference was not signifi cant. Eradication of H. pylori in non-tumor tissue of gastric remnant led to a complete negativity on the 12th postoperative month. Conclusions - The data confi rmed the hypothesis of a high prevalence of H. pylori in tumor tissue of gastric advanced carcinomas and in adjacent non-tumor mucosa of operated stomachs. The presence of H. pylori was predominant in the intestinal-type carcinoma

Prevention of bacterial translocation using β-(1-3)-D-glucan in small bowel ischemia and reperfusion in rats

To investigate the role of β-(1-3)-D-glucan on 99mTc labelled Escherichia coli translocation and cytokines secretion in rats submitted to small bowel ischemia/reperfusion injury. Methods: Five groups (n=10 each) of Wistar rats were subjected to control(C), sham(S), group IR subjected to 45 min of bowel ischemia/60 min of reperfusion(I/R), and group I/R+glucan subjected to 45 min of bowel ischemia/60 min of reperfusion(I/R) and injected with 2mg/Kg intramuscular. Translocation of labelled bacteria to mesenteric lymph nodes, liver, spleen, lung and serum was determined using radioactivity/count and colony forming units/g(CFU/g). Serum TNFα, IL-1β, IL-6, IL-10 were measured by ELISA. Results: CFU/g and radioactivity/count were higher in I/R than in I/R+glucan rats. In C, S and S+glucan groups, bacteria and radioactivity/count were rarely detected. The I/R+glucan rats had enhancement of IL-10 and suppressed production of serum TNFα, IL-1β and, IL-6, compared to I/R untreated animals. Conclusion: The β-(1-3)-D-glucan modulated the production of pro-inflammatory and anti-inflammatory cytokines during bowel ischemia/reperfusion, and attenuated translocation of labelled bacteria

Surgical Site Infection in a University Hospital in Northeast Brazil

We examined prevention of surgical site infection (SSI) in a tertiary teaching hospital in northeast Brazil, from January 1994 to December 2003. The survey included 5,742 patients subjected to thoracic, urologic, vascular and general surgery. The criteria for diagnosing SSI were those of the Centers for Disease Control, USA, and the variables of the National Nosocomial Infection Surveillance risk index were used. Data analysis revealed that anesthetic risk scores, wound class and duration of surgery were significantly associated with SSI. A total of 296 SSIs were detected among the 5,742 patients (5.1%). The overall incidence of SSI was 8.8% in 1994; it decreased to 3.3% in 2003. In conclusion, the use of educational strategies, based on guidelines for SSI prevention reduced SSI incidence. Appropriate management of preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative incision care, and a surveillance system based on international criteria, were useful in reducing SSI rates in our hospital

Total gastrectomy with substitution of stomach by jejunal pouch with and without duodenal passage. Study in rats

A comparison was done between the F. Paulino jejunal pouch (FP) and a jejunal pouch (JP) as esophagusduodenum interpositional graft, for replacing the stomach after total gastrectomy. It was investigated the effect of the two procedures on esophagus histology, nutritional state and serum gastrin in rats. Methods: Male Wistar rats weighing 282±17g were randomly submitted to sham operation (S), FP and JP after total gastrectomy. After eight weeks the rats were killed with overdose of anesthetic and tissue was taken from the distal esophagus for histology. Serum levels of total proteins, albumin, iron, transferring, folate, cobalamine, calcium, as well as serum gastrin were determined. Survival was considered. Results: Fourty six rats were operated and thirty survived for eight weeks. Five (33.3%) died after FP and 11 (52.3%) after JP (p<0.05). Postoperative esophagitis occurred in 6 JP rats. At 8th week, no difference was observed on body weight when compared FP and JP rats (p>0.05). The JP rats had a significant decrease in serum albumin, glucose, transferrin, iron, folate and calcium, compared to sham (p<0.05). Serum gastrin, iron and calcium were significantly higher in JP rats than in FP rats (p<0.05). In FP rats, transferrin and cobalamine showed significant decrease comparing the preoperative with 8th week levels (p<0.05). Conclusion: F. Paulino pouch in rats had lower mortality than JP, and esophagitis was not detected in it. JP rats had serum gastrin, iron and calcium unaffected, possibly because of preservation of duodenal passage

Prevention of bacterial translocation using β-(1-3)-D-glucan in small bowel ischemia and reperfusion in rats

To investigate the role of β-(1-3)-D-glucan on 99mTc labelled Escherichia coli translocation and cytokines secretion in rats submitted to small bowel ischemia/reperfusion injury. Methods: Five groups (n=10 each) of Wistar rats were subjected to control(C), sham(S), group IR subjected to 45 min of bowel ischemia/60 min of reperfusion(I/R), and group I/R+glucan subjected to 45 min of bowel ischemia/60 min of reperfusion(I/R) and injected with 2mg/Kg intramuscular. Translocation of labelled bacteria to mesenteric lymph nodes, liver, spleen, lung and serum was determined using radioactivity/count and colony forming units/g(CFU/g). Serum TNFα, IL-1β, IL-6, IL-10 were measured by ELISA. Results: CFU/g and radioactivity/count were higher in I/R than in I/R+glucan rats. In C, S and S+glucan groups, bacteria and radioactivity/count were rarely detected. The I/R+glucan rats had enhancement of IL-10 and suppressed production of serum TNFα, IL-1β and, IL-6, compared to I/R untreated animals. Conclusion: The β-(1-3)-D-glucan modulated the production of pro-inflammatory and anti-inflammatory cytokines during bowel ischemia/reperfusion, and attenuated translocation of labelled bacteria

Sistema inteligente para estimar a porosidade em sedimentos a partir da análise de sinais GPR

This Thesis presents the elaboration of a methodological propose for the development of an intelligent system, able to automatically achieve the effective porosity, in sedimentary layers, from a data bank built with information from the Ground Penetrating Radar GPR. The intelligent system was built to model the relation between the porosity (response variable) and the electromagnetic attribute from the GPR (explicative variables). Using it, the porosity was estimated using the artificial neural network (Multilayer Perceptron MLP) and the multiple linear regression. The data from the response variable and from the explicative variables were achieved in laboratory and in GPR surveys outlined in controlled sites, on site and in laboratory. The proposed intelligent system has the capacity of estimating the porosity from any available data bank, which has the same variables used in this Thesis. The architecture of the neural network used can be modified according to the existing necessity, adapting to the available data bank. The use of the multiple linear regression model allowed the identification and quantification of the influence (level of effect) from each explicative variable in the estimation of the porosity. The proposed methodology can revolutionize the use of the GPR, not only for the imaging of the sedimentary geometry and faces, but mainly for the automatically achievement of the porosity one of the most important parameters for the characterization of reservoir rocks (from petroleum or water)

Fatores determinantes da decisão sobre a prática da cesariana em Natal-RN

O objetivo deste estudo é analisar os fatores que contribuíram para as diferentes decisões para o parto cesáreo e a ligadura de trompas entre as mulheres de 18 a 45 anos de idade no Município de Natal, no Nordeste do Brasil, no ano de 2000. Tratou-se de um estudo longitudinal, originado da base de dados de um Estudo Multicêntrico, envolvendo outras localidades do Brasil, composta de mulheres em idade fértil que procuraram o serviço público ou privado. Foram realizadas três entrevistas: no início da gestação, no mês anterior à data provável do parto e até um mês após o parto, perfazendo um total de 433 entrevistas, sendo finalizada com uma amostra de 269 mulheres. O estudo satisfez a um critério de elegibilidade, abrangendo uma amostra das mulheres de 18 a 40 anos de idade, que residiam em Natal e que estavam grávidas no máximo, na 22a semana de gestação, e procuraram o serviço público ou privado para a realização do pré-natal. Não entraram no estudo, aquelas mulheres que faziam um acompanhamento em ambulatórios especiais (hipertensão ou diabetes gestacional, HIV/AIDS). A análise consistiu, primeiramente, num estudo descritivo, seguido de uma discussão sobre a trajetória do desejo à realização do parto e testou-se a significância estatística dos partos com variáveis socioeconômicas. Sequencialmente adotou-se uma análise bivariada centrada nos testes de associação, onde foi considerada a variável tipo de parto como sendo a variável resposta e as demais variáveis, relacionadas à condição sóciodemográfica e a saúde reprodutiva da mulher, como sendo as variáveis de risco ou independentes. Para o cálculo da razão de chance (OR), foi utilizado o modelo de regressão logística múltipla. Das 269 mulheres entrevistadas, 56,0% foram submetidas ao parto normal. Este tipo de parto foi desejado independente da categoria, por 71% das entrevistadas. Os resultados mostraram como fatores determinantes para cesárea, o serviço ser privado (OR = 5,6), a mulher ter idade acima de 20 anos (OR=2,87), ser primípara (OR=4,56) e a realização de ligadura de trompas (OR=12,94). Independente da parturição, 84% das mulheres do serviço público foram submetidas a um parto normal, enquanto que, 74% das primíparas do serviço privado, fizeram uma cesárea. Os resultados sinalizam um distanciamento efetivo entre o desejo por um tipo de parto e a sua realização, quando os fatores considerados, não foram somente técnicos, podendo, também, refletir a falta de prática do parto normal, pelo obstetra e a necessidade de uma maior consciência ética nos procedimentos obstétricos, de modo a favorecer uma maior abertura na participação da gestante na escolha pelo tipo de parto

A educação da mulher norte-riograndense segundo Júlia Medeiros (1920-1930)

This present work has the aim of reconstruct the biographical profile and the practices of the professor and journalist Julia Medeiros in the county of Caico, State of Rio Grande do Norte, in the 1920 s and 1930 s, justified by the visibility of this professor during the construction of the lettered society from the mentioned State and the participation in potiguar press. How were the women and educator s representations in the 1920 s and 1930 s ? With the aim to get answers, I use as sources, the Public Archive of Rio Grande do Norte and the Geographical and Historical Institute of Rio Grande do Norte, the newspaper of that time, as the available issues of Jornal das Moças (1923-1932), magazines, letters, pictures, and interviews with relatives, ex-students and friends of this intellectual woman. It was noticed that she stood out as a professor at School Group of Senador Guerra and as a journalist, sending opinions about everyday life. With this analysis, it configures, in part, her time and the history of education in Rio Grande do Norte, with the participation of teachers. Despite of her importance during the construction of education and citizenship of women, Julia Medeiros lived the two sides of the same coin: visibilty and anonymity

O Curso Normal de 1º Ciclo em Assu/RN (1951-1971)

The aim of this research is the analysis of the history of the Normal Course in the 1st period in Assu, Rio Grande do Norte, since its foundation by the state law no. 621, de 06 December 1951 until its demise, with the implementation of the Course of the Magisterium, by Federal Law 5692 from August 11, 1971. The goal is to answer how it was constituted the operation and the educational practices of this institution, teacher trainers, throughout its existence. For this, we analyze the institution's documents in focus interviews, legislation, of the education, newspapers and books of the season, guiding itself by the studies of Chartier (1991), Elias (2001), Certeau (2001), Frago (1995), Magalhães (2005) and Julia (2001). When dealing with an educational institution, the central category of analysis is the school culture, in which supported the cutting of specific categories of study: the entrance into the Normal Course, the conferring of a degree, the "Normalista Week‖ in Assu and formative elements. The Normal Course from 1st cycle formed teachers in a basic level, differing themselves from schools of teacher education of 2nd Cycle. It was founded in Assu as Regional Training Course and called Ginásio Normal in 1961.In the temporal cut studied, 279 women and 07 men were graduated as Regents of Elementary School, demonstrating a school attended virtually by women. In the narrative, it is restored to the inclusion of female students in the Normal Course, focusing on the processes of registration and the admission exams, graduation events, imbued with discourses on the social role of the teacher and the Party Normalista Week, which valued the sense of belonging with of students to the profession. Through theater plays in the school, of practices forming behaviors and stages of female students in elementary school, training elements are reassembled, demonstrating the discourse of modern education intermingled with the Christian Catholic values of the culture for female education. The reconstruction of the historical identity of this institution sometimes close, sometimes unique, when confronted with other schools of teacher training brings a contribution to the setting of the history of schooling in the state of Rio Grande do Norte

Laparoscopy hepatic biopsy through cauterization

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

A Formação docente no fazer e refazer da prática pedagógica

This work dealt with formative actions that were developed by Educational Practice in Movement (GEPEM) at Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN). This group aims to transform the way education is carried out. This is done either through intervention or in research considering that school has an explicit objective, to change action, and this presupposes an educator formation process. The methodology used is a reflection on educational practice, aiming to built knowledge that can be generalized to other realities. The analysis of the group s prior work was done considering what has been used as a parameter for decision making, the regularity in the process itself, all of which allowed the identification of their principles, once these were always mentioned in the documents that were analyzed. Some principles for formative actions of the GEPEM were identified: the subject as a social historical being is part of a given community; knowledge is built through social relations and local reality is a content generator; dialogically, collective construction and awareness process. The research also pointed out four characterized organizers, parameters and action criteria that make articulation with practice possible. Thus, these are used in order to analyze two initial formation proposals (secondary and higher education) of rural settlement educators