The role of economics in ecosystem based management: The case of the EU Marine Strategy Framework Directive, First lessons learnt and way forward

The EU Marine Strategy Framework Directive (MSFD) sets out a plan of action relating to marine environmental policy and in particular to achieving ‘good environmental status’ (GES) in European marine waters by 2020. Article 8.1 (c) of the Directive calls for ‘an economic and social analysis of the use of those waters and of the cost of degradation of the marine environment’. The MSFD is ‘informed’ by the Ecosystem Approach to management, with GES interpreted in terms of ecosystem functioning and services provision. Implementation of the Ecosystem Approach is expected to be by adaptive management policy and practice. The initial socio-economic assessment was made by maritime EU Member States between 2011 and 2012, with future updates to be made on a regular basis. For the majority of Member States, this assessment has led to an exercise combining an analysis of maritime activities both at national and coastal zone scales, and an analysis of the non-market value of marine waters. In this paper we examine the approaches taken in more detail, outline the main challenges facing the Member States in assessing the economic value of achieving GES as outlined in the Directive and make recommendations for the theoretically sound and practically useful completion of the required follow-up economic assessments specified in the MSFD.

Biomass-derived Oxymethylene Ethers as Diesel Additives: A Thermodynamic Analysis

Conversion of biomass for production of liquid fuels can help in reducing the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions which are predominantly generated by combustion of fossil fuels. Adding oxymethylene ethers (OMEs) in conventional diesel fuel has the potential to reduce soot formation during the combustion in a diesel engine. OMEs are downstream products of syngas, which can be generated by the gasification of biomass. In this research, a thermodynamic analysis has been conducted through development of data intensive process models of all the unit operations involved in production of OMEs from biomass. Based on the developed model, the key process parameters affecting the OMEs production including equivalence ratio, H2/CO ratio, and extra water flow rate were identified. This was followed by development of an optimal process design for high OMEs production. It was found that for a fluidized bed gasifier with heat capacity of 28 MW, the conditions for highest OMEs production are at an air amount of 317 tonne/day, at H2/CO ratio of 2.1, and without extra water injection. At this level, the total OMEs production is 55 tonne/day (13 tonne/day OME3 and 9 tonne/day OME4). This model would further be used in a techno-economic assessment study of the whole biomass conversion chain to determine the most attractive pathways.

An optimized process design for oxymethylene ether production from woody-biomass-derived syngas

The conversion of biomass for the production of liquid fuels can help reduce the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions that are predominantly generated by the combustion of fossil fuels. Oxymethylene ethers (OMEs) are a series of liquid fuel additives that can be obtained from syngas, which is produced from the gasification of biomass. The blending of OMEs in conventional diesel fuel can reduce soot formation during combustion in a diesel engine. In this research, a process for the production of OMEs from woody biomass has been simulated. The process consists of several unit operations including biomass gasifi- cation, syngas cleanup, methanol production, and conversion of methanol to OMEs. The methodology involved the development of process models, the identification of the key process parameters affecting OME production based on the process model, and the development of an optimal process design for high OME yields. It was found that up to 9.02 tonnes day1 of OME3, OME4, and OME5 (which are suitable as diesel additives) can be produced from 277.3 tonnes day1 of wet woody biomass. Furthermore, an optimal combination of the parameters, which was generated from the developed model, can greatly enhance OME production and thermodynamic efficiency. This model can further be used in a techno- economic assessment of the whole biomass conversion chain to produce OMEs. The results of this study can be helpful for petroleum-based fuel producers and policy makers in determining the most attractive pathways of converting bio-resources into liquid fuels.

Metodologia de avaliação da sustentabilidade económica de edifícios com base no ciclo de vida

O Comité Técnico CEN/TC 350 “Sustainability of construction works” elaborou um conjunto de normas que propõem um sistema de avaliação do contributo da construção para o desenvolvimento sustentável, nomeadamente através da avaliação dos seus desempenhos ambiental, social e económico, baseado numa abordagem de ciclo de vida. Os sistemas de avaliação da sustentabilidade de edifícios têm um papel importante em todas as fases do ciclo de vida (anterior à utilização, utilização e fim de vida) de um edifício que se pretenda sustentável, pois agilizam a integração entre os aspetos ambientais, sociais e económicos com outros critérios de decisão. Esta dissertação tem como objetivo apresentar uma metodologia inovadora de avaliação sistemática do desempenho económico de edifícios dentro do conceito sustentabilidade, com base na análise do ciclo de vida, conforme estabelecido na EN 16627:2015, que descreve o processo de tomada de decisão e documentação da avaliação do desempenho económico de edifícios dentro do conceito da avaliação da sustentabilidade, com base na análise de ciclo de vida (ACV). A metodologia, intitulada “Methodology of Assessment of Economic Performance - Residential Buildings – MAEP-RB”, permite a avaliação do desempenho e da sustentabilidade económica de edifícios na fase anterior à utilização do ciclo de vida. A metodologia segue o princípio de modularidade, onde os aspetos e impactes que influenciam o desempenho económico do edifício durante as fases do seu ciclo de vida, são atribuídos aos indicadores de cada módulo do ciclo de vida em que eles ocorrem dentro da respectiva etapa. Faz parte integrante desta metodologia uma base de dados contendo um modelo de custos na construção baseado na subdivisão do edifício em sistemas, subsistemas, elementos, componentes e subcomponentes, em que este último se encontra ao nível dos recursos. Os resultados da avaliação do desempenho económico e da sustentabilidade económica são desagregados em vários níveis, ou seja, ao nível da fase anterior à utilização do ciclo de vida do edifício, de cada etapa, de cada módulo e de cada indicador económico. A MAEP-RB avalia simultaneamente o desempenho económico e a sustentabilidade económica de edifícios sendo o resultado do desempenho económico expresso em unidade monetária e o da sustentabilidade comunicado por um Índice de Sustentabilidade Económica (A+, A, B, C, D, E).

Sistema de fundações para postes de catenária com betão com pré-colocação de agregados (PAC)

Trabalho de Projecto de natureza científica para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Engenharia Civil

Caracterização do potencial eólico urbano: o caso de Lisboa

Trabalho Final de Mestrado para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Engenharia Civil na Área de Especialização em Edificações

Aproveitamento da energia das correntes marítimas

Dissertação para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Engenharia Electrotécnica

Melhoria da eficiência energética nos ascensores: a recuperação de energia

A presente tese descreve diferentes soluções que permitem a reutilização da energia recuperada em ascensores eléctricos de roda de aderência dotados de conversores electrónicos de frequência e dessa forma contribuir para a melhoria da eficiência energética nos ascensores. Nos ascensores, a energia potencial é constantemente transferida enquanto a cabina está em movimento. Se a cabina se estiver a movimentar em sentido descendente com plena carga, ou em sentido ascendente, mas vazia, o motor estará em modo gerador. Quando a cabina se movimenta em sentido descendente, e o peso na cabina é superior ao peso do contrapeso, então o binário do motor encontra-se em sentido contrário à velocidade, isto é, o motor está a travar, havendo lugar à recuperação de energia. Igualmente, se a cabina subir vazia, também se poderá recuperar energia eléctrica. A energia acumulada em forma de energia potencial nas pessoas e no contrapeso pode ser recuperada, dado que o motor estará a funcionar como um gerador. De modo a estudar a viabilidade técnica e económica das diferentes soluções foram realizadas medições a uma amostra representativa de ascensores eléctricos de roda de aderência. Esta amostra é constituída por 39 ascensores que estão instalados em diferentes tipos de edifícios e que pertencem a diferentes categorias de utilização, de acordo com a norma VDI 4707:2009. Para cada ascensor foi medida a energia consumida e a energia gerada para uma manobra completa – a descida e a subida da cabina sem carga. A partir das medições, e com base na norma VDI 4707:2009 foram calculados os valores anualizados de energia eléctrica consumidos e produzidos por cada ascensor. A partir das 5 hipóteses identificadas para a utilização da energia recuperada (carregamento de bateria para alimentação dos circuitos em stand-by; carregamento de supercondensador para alimentação dos circuitos em stand-by; carregamento de supercondensador para alimentar o barramento DC; reinjecção da energia no barramento DC de um conjunto de ascensores em grupo; reinjecção da energia na rede eléctrica do edifício onde o ascensor está instalado) foi realizada a avaliação técnica e a avaliação económico-financeira para cada um dos ascensores. Por último, foi desenvolvido um simulador que permite definir a solução de recuperação de energia que seja técnica e economicamente mais viável, para um dado ascensor eléctrico de roda de aderência instalado, mediante a introdução dos parâmetros técnicos do ascensor em avaliação.

Análise Económica da Produção de Óleo a Partir de Microalgas

Os biocombustíveis apresentam um interessante potencial de redução da dependência energética relativamente aos combustíveis fósseis. A produção de microalgas apresenta vários benefícios ambientais como sejam a utilização mais efetiva de terrenos, a captura de dióxido de carbono, a purificação de águas quando associada a um processo de tratamento de águas residuais e não provoca a disputa entre a produção de matéria-prima para alimentação e combustíveis. A cultura de microalgas para a produção de biodiesel tem recebido uma grande atenção nos últimos anos devido ao seu potencial. Neste trabalho pretende-se criar as etapas de processamento das microalgas em biodiesel onde são implementadas medidas de eficiência energética e aproveitamento de fontes poluidoras como o CO2. Para isso, formulou-se um modelo no programa Aspen Plus para simulação do processo desde a produção, colheita até à extração de óleo das microalgas e posterior avaliação económica do mesmo. Concluiu-se que para o projeto fosse pago no tempo de vida útil seria preciso vender o óleo a 13 $/kg. Aos preços atuais do óleo o projeto não é economicamente viável.

Horizontal nutrient fluxes and production efficiencies in urban and peri-urban crop and livestock husbandry of Niamey, Niger

Urban and peri-urban agriculture (UPA) increasingly supplies food and non-food values to the rapidly growing West African cities. However, little is known about the resource use efficiencies in West African small-scale UPA crop and livestock production systems, and about the benefits that urban producers and retailers obtain from the cultivation and sale of UPA products. To contribute to filling this gap of knowledge, the studies comprising this doctoral thesis determined nutrient use efficiencies in representative urban crop and livestock production system in Niamey, Niger, and investigated potential health risks for consumers. Also assessed was the economic efficiency of urban farming activities. The field study, which was conducted during November 2005 to January 2008, quantified management-related horizontal nutrient flows in 10 vegetable gardens, 9 millet fields and 13 cattle and small ruminant production units. These farms, selected on the basis of a preceding study, represented the diversity of UPA crop and livestock production systems in Niamey. Based on the management intensity, the market orientation and especially the nutrient input to individual gardens and fields, these were categorized as high or low input systems. In the livestock study, high and low input cattle and small ruminant units were differentiated based on the amounts of total feed dry matter offered daily to the animals at the homestead. Additionally, economic returns to gardeners and market retailers cultivating and selling amaranth, lettuce, cabbage and tomato - four highly appreciated vegetables in Niamey were determined during a 6-months survey in forty gardens and five markets. For vegetable gardens and millet fields, significant differences in partial horizontal nutrient balances were determined for both management intensities. Per hectare, average annual partial balances for carbon (C), nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P) and potassium (K) amounted to 9936 kg C, 1133 kg N, 223 kg P and 312 kg K in high input vegetable gardens as opposed to 9580 kg C, 290 kg N, 125 kg P and 351 kg K in low input gardens. These surpluses were mainly explained by heavy use of mineral fertilizers and animal manure to which irrigation with nutrient rich wastewater added. In high input millet fields, annual surpluses of 259 kg C ha-1, 126 kg N ha-1, 20 kg P ha-1 and 0.4 kg K ha-1 were determined. Surpluses of 12 kg C ha-1, 17 kg N ha-1, and deficits of -3 kg P ha-1 and -3 kg K ha-1 were determined for low input millet fields. Here, carbon and nutrient inputs predominantly originated from livestock manure application through corralling of sheep, goats and cattle. In the livestock enterprises, N, P and K supplied by forages offered at the farm exceeded the animals’ requirements for maintenance and growth in high and low input sheep/goat as well as cattle units. The highest average growth rate determined in high input sheep/goat units was 104 g d-1 during the cool dry season, while a maximum average gain of 70 g d-1 was determined for low input sheep/goat units during the hot dry season. In low as well as in high input cattle units, animals lost weight during the hot dry season, and gained weight during the cool dry season. In all livestock units, conversion efficiencies for feeds offered at the homestead were rather poor, ranging from 13 to 42 kg dry matter (DM) per kg live weight gain (LWG) in cattle and from 16 to 43 kg DM kg-1 LWG in sheep/goats, pointing to a substantial waste of feeds and nutrients. The economic assessment of the production of four high value vegetables pointed to a low efficiency of N and P use in amaranth and lettuce production, causing low economic returns for these crops compared to tomato and cabbage to which inexpensive animal manure was applied. The net profit of market retailers depended on the type of vegetable marketed. In addition it depended on marketplace for amaranth and lettuce, and on season and marketplace for cabbage and tomato. Analysis of faecal pathogens in lettuce irrigated with river water and fertilized with animal manure indicated a substantial contamination by Salmonella spp. with 7.2 x 104 colony forming units (CFU) per 25 g of produce fresh matter, while counts of Escherichia coli averaged 3.9 x 104 CFU g-1. In lettuce irrigated with wastewater, Salmonella counts averaged 9.8 x 104 CFU 25 g-1 and E. coli counts were 0.6 x 104 CFU g-1; these values exceeded the tolerable contamination levels in vegetables of 10 CFU g-1 for E. coli and of 0 CFU 25 g-1 for Salmonella. Taken together, the results of this study indicate that Niamey’s UPA enterprises put environmental safety at risk since excess inputs of N, P and K to crop and livestock production units favour N volatilisation and groundwater pollution by nutrient leaching. However, more detailed studies are needed to corroborate these indications. Farmers’ revenues could be significantly increased if nutrient use efficiency in the different production (sub)systems was improved by better matching nutrient supply through fertilizers and feeds with the actual nutrient demands of plants and animals.

Economics of Hybrid Photovoltaic Power Plants

The global power supply stability is faced to several severe and fundamental threats, in particular steadily increasing power demand, diminishing and degrading fossil and nuclear energy resources, very harmful greenhouse gas emissions, significant energy injustice and a structurally misbalanced ecological footprint. Photovoltaic (PV) power systems are analysed in various aspects focusing on economic and technical considerations of supplemental and substitutional power supply to the constraint conventional power system. To infer the most relevant system approach for PV power plants several solar resources available for PV systems are compared. By combining the different solar resources and respective economics, two major PV systems are identified to be very competitive in almost all regions in the world. The experience curve concept is used as a key technique for the development of scenario assumptions on economic projections for the decade of the 2010s. Main drivers for cost reductions in PV systems are learning and production growth rate, thus several relevant aspects are discussed such as research and development investments, technical PV market potential, different PV technologies and the energetic sustainability of PV. Three major market segments for PV systems are identified: off-grid PV solutions, decentralised small scale on-grid PV systems (several kWp) and large scale PV power plants (tens of MWp). Mainly by application of ‘grid-parity’ and ‘fuel-parity’ concepts per country, local market and conventional power plant basis, the global economic market potential for all major PV system segments is derived. PV power plant hybridization potential of all relevant power technologies and the global power plant structure are analyzed regarding technical, economical and geographical feasibility. Key success criteria for hybrid PV power plants are discussed and comprehensively analysed for all adequate power plant technologies, i.e. oil, gas and coal fired power plants, wind power, solar thermal power (STEG) and hydro power plants. For the 2010s, detailed global demand curves are derived for hybrid PV-Fossil power plants on a per power plant, per country and per fuel type basis. The fundamental technical and economic potentials for hybrid PV-STEG, hybrid PV-Wind and hybrid PV-Hydro power plants are considered. The global resource availability for PV and wind power plants is excellent, thus knowing the competitive or complementary characteristic of hybrid PV-Wind power plants on a local basis is identified as being of utmost relevance. The complementarity of hybrid PV-Wind power plants is confirmed. As a result of that almost no reduction of the global economic PV market potential need to be expected and more complex power system designs on basis of hybrid PV-Wind power plants are feasible. The final target of implementing renewable power technologies into the global power system is a nearly 100% renewable power supply. Besides balancing facilities, storage options are needed, in particular for seasonal power storage. Renewable power methane (RPM) offers respective options. A comprehensive global and local analysis is performed for analysing a hybrid PV-Wind-RPM combined cycle gas turbine power system. Such a power system design might be competitive and could offer solutions for nearly all current energy system constraints including the heating and transportation sector and even the chemical industry. Summing up, hybrid PV power plants become very attractive and PV power systems will very likely evolve together with wind power to the major and final source of energy for mankind.

Diseño de una vía clínica para la vigilancia de hepatocarcinoma y evaluación económica

El carcinoma Hepatocelular (HCC) representa la sexta causa más frecuente de cáncer, y la tercera causa de muerte relacionada con cáncer en el mundo con aproximadamente 600.000 muertes anuales. En el 70 % de los casos, este se desarrolla en presencia de una enfermedad crónica del hígado como la cirrosis u otras enfermedades inflamatorias, por lo que practicar métodos de tamizaje para su diagnóstico precoz, pudieran establecer un mejor pronóstico. El objetivo de este trabajo es diseñar una vía clínica capaz de homogenizar el proceso de tamizaje de HCC, soportando su realización con la realización de una evaluación económica de esta intervención. Se realiza una búsqueda sistemática de literatura y se propone una vía clínica para la vigilancia de HCC en Colombia. A esta propuesta se aplica una evaluación económica tipo costo-efectividad mediante un modelo de Markov de la intervención propuesta, comparando la aplicación de la vía clínica propuesta frente al manejo actual en 100 pacientes considerados con riesgo (cirrosis, portadores de HBV y/o portadores de HCV) con un horizonte de tiempo de 30 años analizando como desenlace los años de vida salvados (LYS) desde la perspectiva del tercero pagador para Colombia a precios de 2009. El análisis determina una disminución de la mortalidad en un 40%, y un valor ICER de US$ 1,438 por LYS, por lo cual se concluye que resulta costo efectivo la aplicación de esta propuesta de tamizaje. Es necesario realizar una prueba para la aplicación de la vía clínica.

Market access in the western hemisphere: implications for the Andean Community

Este estudio busca contribuir a la evaluación del impacto económico que una mayor liberalización comercial en el Hemisferio Occidental, puede tener sobre los países miembros de la Comunidad Andina. Los escenarios de liberalización comercial más significativos se identifican y simulan, mediante el uso del modelo GTAP en su versión estándar de rendimientos constantes a escala. Los resultados básicos indican una muy baja coincidencia en la dirección de los cambios de bienestar esperables para los países andinos, bajo los cuatro escenarios analizados. De una forma muy simplificada, puede decirse que una mayor liberalización comercial implica pérdidas de bienestar para Colombia, Perú y Ecuador-Bolivia, en tanto que para Venezuela se encuentran ganancias bajo los escenarios que implementan el Área de Libre Comercio de las Américas y pérdidas bajo el que implementa el Acuerdo de Libre Comercio entre sus socios andinos y Estados Unidos. Los términos de intercambio juegan un papel determinante en estos resultados. En general se mueven en contra de estas economías, con la notoria excepción de Venezuela. Al parecer, los países andinos se han beneficiado en el pasado de la desviación de comercio que otras regiones han sufrido, como consecuencia de los acuerdos preferenciales de comercio en los cuales los primeros han participado. Con la erosión del acceso preferencial a otros mercados, implícita en los escenarios simulados, el aumento en la competencia tanto por el lado de las exportaciones como por el de las importaciones, tiende a ajustar la posición internacional de estos países, trayendo con ello nuevos retos para el manejo de sus economías.

The 'direct costs' of livestock disease: The development of a system of models for the analysis of 30 endemic livestock diseases in Great Britain

The 'direct costs' attributable to 30 different endemic diseases of farm animals in Great Britain are estimated using a standardised method to construct a simple model for each disease that includes consideration of disease prevention and treatment costs. The models so far developed provide a basis for further analyses including cost-benefit analyses for the economic assessment of disease control options. The approach used reflects the inherent livestock disease information constraints, which limit the application of other economic analytical methods. It is a practical and transparent approach that is relatively easily communicated to veterinary scientists and policy makers. The next step is to develop the approach by incorporating wider economic considerations into the analyses in a way that will demonstrate to policy makers and others the importance of an economic perspective to livestock disease issues.

Uptake pathways: the potential of Bayesian belief networks to assist the management, monitoring and evaluation of development-orientated research

The effectiveness of development assistance has come under renewed scrutiny in recent years. In an era of growing economic liberalisation, research organisations are increasingly being asked to account for the use of public funds by demonstrating achievements. However, in the natural resources (NR) research field, conventional economic assessment techniques have focused on quantifying the impact achieved rather understanding the process that delivered it. As a result, they provide limited guidance for planners and researchers charged with selecting and implementing future research. In response, “pathways” or logic models have attracted increased interest in recent years as a remedy to this shortcoming. However, as commonly applied these suffer from two key limitations in their ability to incorporate risk and assess variance from plan. The paper reports the results of a case study that used a Bayesian belief network approach to address these limitations and outlines its potential value as a tool to assist the planning, monitoring and evaluation of development-orientated research.