Sensitive headspace gas chromatography analysis of free and conjugated 1-methoxy-2-propanol in urine

Glycol ethers still continue to be a workplace hazard due to their important use on an industrial scale. Currently, chronic occupational exposures to low levels of xenobiotics become increasingly relevant. Thus, sensitive analytical methods for detecting biomarkers of exposure are of interest in the field of occupational exposure assessment. 1-Methoxy-2-propanol (1M2P) is one of the dominant glycol ethers and the unmetabolized urinary fraction has been identified to be a good biological indicator of exposure. An existing analytical method including a solid-phase extraction and derivatization before GC/FID analysis is available but presents some disadvantages. We present here an alternative method for the determination of urinary 1M2P based on the headspace gas chromatography technique. We determined the 1M2P values by the direct headspace method for 47 samples that had previously been assayed by the solid-phase extraction and derivatization gas chromatography procedure. An inter-method comparison based on a Bland-Altman analysis showed that both techniques can be used interchangeably. The alternative method showed a tenfold lower limit of detection (0.1 mg/L) as well as good accuracy and precision which were determined by several urinary 1M2P analyses carried out on a series of urine samples obtained from a human volunteer study. The within- and between-run precisions were generally about 10%, which corresponds to the usual injection variability. We observed that the differences between the results obtained with both methods are not clinically relevant in comparison to the current biological exposure index of urinary 1M2P. Accordingly, the headspace gas chromatography technique turned out to be a more sensitive, accurate, and simple method for the determination of urinary 1M2P.[Authors]

Analysis of membrane protein genes in a Brazilian isolate of Anaplasma marginale

The sequencing of the complete genome of Anaplasma marginale has enabled the identification of several genes that encode membrane proteins, thereby increasing the chances of identifying candidate immunogens. Little is known regarding the genetic variability of genes that encode membrane proteins in A. marginale isolates. The aim of the present study was to determine the degree of conservation of the predicted amino acid sequences of OMP1, OMP4, OMP5, OMP7, OMP8, OMP10, OMP14, OMP15, SODb, OPAG1, OPAG3, VirB3, VirB9-1, PepA, EF-Tu and AM854 proteins in a Brazilian isolate of A. marginale compared to other isolates. Hence, primers were used to amplify these genes: omp1, omp4, omp5, omp7, omp8, omp10, omp14, omp15, sodb, opag1, opag3, virb3, VirB9-1, pepA, ef-tu and am854. After polimerase chain reaction amplification, the products were cloned and sequenced using the Sanger method and the predicted amino acid sequence were multi-aligned using the CLUSTALW and MEGA 4 programs, comparing the predicted sequences between the Brazilian, Saint Maries, Florida and A. marginale centrale isolates. With the exception of outer membrane protein (OMP) 7, all proteins exhibited 92-100% homology to the other A. marginale isolates. However, only OMP1, OMP5, EF-Tu, VirB3, SODb and VirB9-1 were selected as potential immunogens capable of promoting cross-protection between isolates due to the high degree of homology (over 72%) also found with A. (centrale) marginale.

Association analysis of human leukocyte antigen class II (DRB1) alleles with leprosy in individuals from São Luís, state of Maranhão, Brazil

Epidemiological studies have demonstrated that the variability of the clinical response to infection caused by Mycobacterium leprae is associated with host genetic factors. The present study investigated the frequency of human leukocyte antigen (HLA) class II (DRB1) alleles in patients with leprosy from São Luís, Maranhão, Brazil. A case-control study was performed in 85 individuals with leprosy and 85 healthy subjects. All samples were analysed via polymerase chain reaction-sequence specific oligonucleotide probes. The HLA-DRB1*16 allele showed a higher frequency in the group with leprosy [(9.41% vs. 4.12%) odds ratio (OR) = 2.41 95% confidence interval (CI) (0.96-6.08) p = 0.05], whereas the HLA-DRB1*11 allele was less frequent in the group with leprosy [(6.47% vs. 11.76%) OR = 0.51 95% CI (0.23-1.12) p = 0.09]. The frequency of HLA-DRB1* alleles between the control group and leprosy patient subgroups presenting different forms of the disease showed that the HLA-DRB1*16 (16.13% vs. 8.24%, OR = 4.10, CI = 1.27-13.27, p = 0.010) and HLA-DRB1*14 (5% vs. 3.53%, OR = 4.63, CI = 1.00-21.08, p = 0.032) alleles were significantly more frequent in patients with different clinical subtypes of leprosy. The sample size was a limitation in this study. Nevertheless, the results demonstrated the existence of a genetic susceptibility associated with the clinical forms of leprosy. The low frequency of the HLA-DRB1*11 allele should be further studied to investigate the possible protective effect of this allele.

Elemental analysis of New Zealand Nephrite Jade (pounamu) for forensic purposes

Pounamu (NZ jade), or nephrite, is a protected mineral in its natural form following thetransfer of ownership back to Ngai Tahu under the Ngai Tahu (Pounamu Vesting) Act 1997.Any theft of nephrite is prosecutable under the Crimes Act 1961. Scientific evidence isessential in cases where origin is disputed. A robust method for discrimination of thismaterial through the use of elemental analysis and compositional data analysis is required.Initial studies have characterised the variability within a given nephrite source. This hasincluded investigation of both in situ outcrops and alluvial material. Methods for thediscrimination of two geographically close nephrite sources are being developed.Key Words: forensic, jade, nephrite, laser ablation, inductively coupled plasma massspectrometry, multivariate analysis, elemental analysis, compositional data analysis

Comprehensive analysis of Arabidopsis expression level polymorphisms with simple inheritance.

In Arabidopsis thaliana, gene expression level polymorphisms (ELPs) between natural accessions that exhibit simple, single locus inheritance are promising quantitative trait locus (QTL) candidates to explain phenotypic variability. It is assumed that such ELPs overwhelmingly represent regulatory element polymorphisms. However, comprehensive genome-wide analyses linking expression level, regulatory sequence and gene structure variation are missing, preventing definite verification of this assumption. Here, we analyzed ELPs observed between the Eil-0 and Lc-0 accessions. Compared with non-variable controls, 5' regulatory sequence variation in the corresponding genes is indeed increased. However, approximately 42% of all the ELP genes also carry major transcription unit deletions in one parent as revealed by genome tiling arrays, representing a >4-fold enrichment over controls. Within the subset of ELPs with simple inheritance, this proportion is even higher and deletions are generally more severe. Similar results were obtained from analyses of the Bay-0 and Sha accessions, using alternative technical approaches. Collectively, our results suggest that drastic structural changes are a major cause for ELPs with simple inheritance, corroborating experimentally observed indel preponderance in cloned Arabidopsis QTL.

Analysis of the multi-copy gene family FAM90A as a copy number variant in different ethnic backgrounds

Copy number variants contribute extensively to inter-individual genomic differences, but little is known about their inter-population variability and diversity. In a previous study (Bosch et al., 2007; 16:2572-2582), we reported that the primate-specific gene family FAM90A, which accounts for as many as 25 members in the human reference assembly, has expanded the number of FAM90A clusters across the hominoid lineage. Here we examined the copy number variability of FAM90A genes in 260 HapMap samples of European, African, and Asian ancestry, and showed significant inter-population differences (p<0.0001). Based on the recent study of Stranger et al. (2007; 315:848-853), we also explored the correlation between copy number variability and expression levels of the FAM90A gene family. Despite the high genomic variability, we found a low correlation between FAM90A copy number and expression levels, which could be due to the action of independent trans-acting factors. Our results show that FAM90A is highly variable in copy number between individuals and between populations. However, this variability has little impact on gene expression levels, thus highlighting the importance of genomic variability for genes located in regions containing segmental duplications.

Three-dimensional morphological analysis of intracranial aneurysms: a fully automated method for aneurysm sac isolation and quantification

Morphological descriptors are practical and essential biomarkers for diagnosis andtreatment selection for intracranial aneurysm management according to the current guidelinesin use. Nevertheless, relatively little work has been dedicated to improve the three-dimensionalquanti cation of aneurysmal morphology, automate the analysis, and hence reduce the inherentintra- and inter-observer variability of manual analysis. In this paper we propose a methodologyfor the automated isolation and morphological quanti cation of saccular intracranial aneurysmsbased on a 3D representation of the vascular anatomy.

Differential Gene Expression between Fall- and Spring-Run Chinook Salmon Assessed by Long Serial Analysis of Gene Expression

Of all Pacific salmonids, Chinook salmon Oncorhynchus tshawytscha display the greatest variability in return times to freshwater. The molecular mechanisms of these differential return times have not been well described. Current methods, such as long serial analysis of gene expression (LongSAGE) and microarrays, allow gene expression to be analyzed for thousands of genes simultaneously. To investigate whether differential gene expression is observed between fall- and spring-run Chinook salmon from California's Central Valley, LongSAGE libraries were constructed. Three libraries containing between 25,512 and 29,372 sequenced tags (21 base pairs/tag) were generated using messenger RNA from the brains of adult Chinook salmon returning in fall and spring and from one ocean-caught Chinook salmon. Tags were annotated to genes using complementary DNA libraries from Atlantic salmon Salmo salar and rainbow trout O. mykiss. Differentially expressed genes, as estimated by differences in the number of sequence tags, were found in all pairwise comparisons of libraries (freshwater versus saltwater = 40 genes; fall versus spring = 11 genes: and spawning versus nonspawning = 51 genes). The gene for ependymin, an extracellular glycoprotein involved in behavioral plasticity in fish, exhibited the most differential expression among the three groupings. Reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction analysis verified the differential expression of ependymin between the fall- and spring-run samples. These LongSAGE libraries, the first reported for Chinook salmon, provide a window of the transcriptional changes during Chinook salmon return migration to freshwater and spawning and increase the amount of expressed sequence data.

In vivo analysis of efavirenz metabolism in individuals with impaired CYP2A6 function.

INTRODUCTION: The antiretroviral drug efavirenz (EFV) is extensively metabolized into three primary metabolites: 8-hydroxy-EFV, 7-hydroxy-EFV and N-glucuronide-EFV. There is a wide interindividual variability in EFV plasma exposure, explained to a great extent by cytochrome P450 2B6 (CYP2B6), the main isoenzyme responsible for EFV metabolism and involved in the major metabolic pathway (8-hydroxylation) and to a lesser extent in 7-hydroxylation. When CYP2B6 function is impaired, the relevance of CYP2A6, the main isoenzyme responsible for 7-hydroxylation may increase. We hypothesize that genetic variability in this gene may contribute to the particularly high, unexplained variability in EFV exposure in individuals with limited CYP2B6 function. METHODS: This study characterized CYP2A6 variation (14 alleles) in individuals (N=169) previously characterized for functional variants in CYP2B6 (18 alleles). Plasma concentrations of EFV and its primary metabolites (8-hydroxy-EFV, 7-hydroxy-EFV and N-glucuronide-EFV) were measured in different genetic backgrounds in vivo. RESULTS: The accessory metabolic pathway CYP2A6 has a critical role in limiting drug accumulation in individuals characterized as CYP2B6 slow metabolizers. CONCLUSION: Dual CYP2B6 and CYP2A6 slow metabolism occurs at significant frequency in various human populations, leading to extremely high EFV exposure.

Genome-wide association analysis of blood-pressure traits in African-ancestry individuals reveals common associated genes in African and non-African populations.

High blood pressure (BP) is more prevalent and contributes to more severe manifestations of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in African Americans than in any other United States ethnic group. Several small African-ancestry (AA) BP genome-wide association studies (GWASs) have been published, but their findings have failed to replicate to date. We report on a large AA BP GWAS meta-analysis that includes 29,378 individuals from 19 discovery cohorts and subsequent replication in additional samples of AA (n = 10,386), European ancestry (EA) (n = 69,395), and East Asian ancestry (n = 19,601). Five loci (EVX1-HOXA, ULK4, RSPO3, PLEKHG1, and SOX6) reached genome-wide significance (p < 1.0 × 10(-8)) for either systolic or diastolic BP in a transethnic meta-analysis after correction for multiple testing. Three of these BP loci (EVX1-HOXA, RSPO3, and PLEKHG1) lack previous associations with BP. We also identified one independent signal in a known BP locus (SOX6) and provide evidence for fine mapping in four additional validated BP loci. We also demonstrate that validated EA BP GWAS loci, considered jointly, show significant effects in AA samples. Consequently, these findings suggest that BP loci might have universal effects across studied populations, demonstrating that multiethnic samples are an essential component in identifying, fine mapping, and understanding their trait variability.

Therapeutic drug monitoring and metabolites profil analysis of antiviral drugs

The widespread use of combination antiretroviral therapy (ARVs) has considerably improved the prognosis of patients infected with HIV. Conversely, considerable advances have been recently realized for the therapy of hepatitis C infection with the recent advent of potent new anti-HCV drugs that allow an increasing rate HCV infection cure. Despite their overall efficacy, a significant number of patients do not achieve or maintain adequate clinical response, defined as an undetectable viral load for HIV, and a sustained virological response (or cure) in HCV infection. Treatment failure therefore still remains an important issue besides drugs toxicities and viral resistance which is not uncommon in a significant percentage of patients who do not reach adequate virological suppression. The reasons of variability in drug response are multifactorial and apart from viral genetics, other factors such as environmental factors, drug- drug interactions, and imperfect compliance may have profound impact on antiviral drugs' clinical response. The possibility of measuring plasma concentration of antiviral drugs enables to guide antiviral drug therapy and ensure optimal drug exposure. The overall objective of this research was to widen up the current knowledge on pharmacokinetic and pharmacogenetic factors that influence the clinical response and toxicity of current and newly approved antiretroviral and anti-HCV drugs. To that endeavour, analytical methods using liquid chromatography coupled with tandem mass spectrometry have been developed and validated for the precise and accurate measurement of new antiretroviral and anti-HCV drugs . These assays have been applied for the TDM of ARVs and anti-HCV in patients infected with either HIV or HCV respectively, and co-infected with HIV- HCV. A pharmacokinetic population model was developed to characterize inter and intra-patient variability of rilpivirine, the latest marketed Non Nucleoside Reverse transcriptase (NNRTI) Inhibitor of HIVand to identify genetic and non genetic covariates influencing rilpivirine exposure. None of the factors investigated so far showed however any influence of RPV clearance. Importantly, we have found that the standard daily dosage regimen (25 mg QD) proposed for rilpivirine results in concentrations below the proposed therapeutic target in about 40% of patients. In these conditions, virologie escape is a potential risk that remains to be further investigated, notably via the TDM approach that can be a useful tool to identify patients who are at risk for being exposed to less than optimal levels of rilpivirine in plasma. Besides the last generation NNRTI rilpivirine, we have studied efavirenz, the major NNRTI clinically used so far. Namely for efavirenz, we aimed at identifying a potential new marker of toxicity that may be incriminated for the neuropsychological sides effects and hence discontinuation of efavirenz therapy. To that endeavour, a comprehensive analysis of phase I and phase II metabolites profiles has been performed in plasma, CSF and in urine from patients under efavirenz therapy. We have found that phase II metabolites of EFV constitute the major species circulating in blood, sometimes exceeding the levels of the parent drug efavirenz. Moreover we have identified a new metabolite of efavirenz in humans, namely the 8-OH-EFV- sulfate which is present at high concentrations in all body compartments from patients under efavirenz therapy. These investigations may open the way to possible alternate phenotypic markers of efavirenz toxicity. Finally, the specific influence of P-glycoprotein on the cellular disposition of a series ARVs (NNRTIs and Pis] has been studies in in vitro cell systems using the siRNA silencing approach. -- Depuis l'introduction de la thérapie antirétrovirale (ARVs) la morbidité et la mortalité liées au VIH ont considérablement diminué. En parallèle le traitement contre le virus de l'hépatite C (VHC) a connu récemment d'énormes progrès avec l'arrivée de nouveaux médicaments puissants, ce qui a permis une augmentation considérable de la guérison de l'infection par le VHC. En dépit de l'efficacité de ces traitements antiviraux, les échecs thérapeutiques ainsi que les effets secondaires des traitements restent un problème important. Une réponse imparfaite ou la toxicité du traitement est certainement multifactorielle. Le suivi thérapeutique des médicaments [Therapeutic Drug Monitoring TDM) à travers la mesure des concentrations plasmatiques constitue une approche importante pour guider le traitement médicamenteux et de s'assurer que les patients sont exposés à des concentrations optimales des médicaments dans le sang, et puissent tirer tout le bénéfice potentiel du traitement. L'objectif global de cette thèse était d'étudier les facteurs pharmacocinétiques et pharmacogénétiques qui influencent l'exposition des médicaments antiviraux (ARVs et anti- VHC) récemment approuvés. A cet effet, des méthodes de quantification des concentrations plasmatiques des médicaments antirétroviraux, anti-VHC ainsi que pour certains métabolites ont été développées et validées en utilisant la Chromatographie liquide couplée à la spectrométrie de masse tandem. Ces méthodes ont été utilisées pour le TDM des ARVs et pour les agents anti-VHC chez les patients infectés par le VIH, et le VHC, respectivement, mais aussi chez les patients co-infectés par le VIH-VHC. Un modèle de pharmacocinétique de population a été développé pour caractériser la variabilité inter-et intra-patient du médicament rilpivirine, un inhibiteur non nucléosidique de la transcriptase de VIH et d'identifier les variables génétiques et non génétiques influençant l'exposition au médicament. Aucun des facteurs étudiés n'a montré d'influence notable sur la clairance de la rilpivirine. Toutefois, la concentration résiduelle extrapolée selon le modèle de pharmacocinétique de population qui a été développé, a montré qu'une grande proportion des patients présente des concentrations minimales inférieures à la cible thérapeutique proposée. Dans ce contexte, la relation entre les concentrations minimales et l'échappement virologique nécessite une surveillance étroite des taux sanguins des patients recevant de la rilpivirine. A cet effet, le suivi thérapeutique est un outil important pour l'identification des patients à risque soient sous-exposés à lai rilpivirine. Pour identifier de nouveaux marqueurs de la toxicité qui pourraient induire l'arrêt du traitement, le profil des métabolites de phase I et de phase II a été étudié dans différentes matrices [plasma, LCR et urine) provenant de patients recevant de l'efavirenz. Les métabolites de phase II, qui n'avaient à ce jour jamais été investigués, constituent les principales espèces présentes dans les matrices étudiées. Au cours de ces investigations, un nouveau métabolite 8- OH-EFV-sulfate a été identifié chez l'homme, et ce dernier est. présent à des concentrations importantes. L'influence de certains facteurs pharmacogénétique des patients sur le profil des métabolites a été étudiée et ouvre la voie à de possibles nouveaux marqueurs phénotypiques alternatifs qui pourraient possiblement mieux prédire la toxicité associée au traitement par l'efavirenz. Finalement, nous nous sommes intéressés à étudier dans un modèle in vitro certains facteurs, comme la P-glycoprotéine, qui influencent la disposition cellulaire de certains médicaments antirétroviraux, en utilisant l'approche par la technologie du siRNA permettant de bloquer sélectivement l'expression du gène de cette protéine d'efflux des médicaments. -- Depuis l'introduction de la thérapie antiretrovirale (ARVs] la morbidité et la mortalité liées au VIH ont considérablement diminué. En parallèle le traitement contre le virus de l'hépatite C (VHC) a connu récemment d'énormes progrès avec l'arrivée de nouveaux médicaments puissants, ce qui a permis une augmentation considérable de la guérison de l'infection par le VHC. En dépit de l'efficacité de ces traitements antiviraux, les échecs thérapeutiques ainsi que les effets secondaires des traitements restent un problème important. Il a pu être démontré que la concentration de médicament présente dans l'organisme est corrélée avec l'efficacité clinique pour la plupart des médicaments agissant contre le VIH et contre le VHC. Les médicaments antiviraux sont généralement donnés à une posologie fixe et standardisée, à tous les patients, il existe cependant une importante variabilité entre les concentrations sanguines mesurées chez les individus. Cette variabilité peut être expliquée par plusieurs facteurs démographiques, environnementaux ou génétiques. Dans ce contexte, le suivi des concentrations sanguines (ou Therapeutic Drug Monitoring, TDM) permet de contrôler que les patients soient exposés à des concentrations suffisantes (pour bloquer la réplication du virus dans l'organisme) et éviter des concentrations excessives, ce qui peut entraîner l'apparition d'intolérence au traitement. Le but de ce travail de thèse est d'améliorer la compréhension des facteurs pharmacologiques et génétiques qui peuvent influencer l'efficacité et/ou la toxicité des médicaments antiviraux, dans le but d'améliorer le suivi des patients. A cet effet, des méthodes de dosage très sensibles et ont été mises au point pour permettre de quantifier les médicaments antiviraux dans le sang et dans d'autres liquides biologiques. Ces méthodes de dosage sont maintenant utilisées d'une part dans le cadre de la prise en charge des patients en routine et d'autre part pour diverses études cliniques chez les patients infectés soit par le HIV, le HCV ou bien coinfectés par les deux virus. Une partie de ce travail a été consacrée à l'investigation des différents facteurs démographiques, génétiques et environnementaux qui pourraient l'influencer la réponse clinique à la rilpivirine, un nouveau médicament contre le VIH. Toutefois, parmi tous les facteurs étudiés à ce jour, aucun n'a permis d'expliquer la variabilité de l'exposition à la rilpivirine chez les patients. On a pu cependant observer qu'à la posologie standard recommandée, un pourcentage relativement élevé de patients pourrait présenter des concentrations inférieures à la concentration sanguine minimale actuellement proposée. Il est donc utile de surveiller étroitement les concentrations de rilpivirine chez les patients pour identifier sans délai ceux qui risquent d'être sous-exposés. Dans l'organisme, le médicament subit diverses transformations (métabolisme) par des enzymes, notamment dans le foie, il est transporté dans les cellules et tissus par des protéines qui modulent sa concentration au site de son action pharmacologique. A cet effet, différents composés (métabolites) produits dans l'organisme après l'administration d'efavirenz, un autre médicament anti-VIH, ont été étudiés. En conclusion, nous nous sommes intéressés à la fois aux facteurs pharmacologiques et génétiques des traitements antiviraux, une approche qui s'inscrit dans l'optique d'une stratégie globale de prise en charge du patient. Dans ce contexte, le suivi des concentrations sanguines de médicaments constitue une des facettes du domaine émergent de la Médecine Personnalisée qui vise à maximiser le bénéfice thérapeutique et le profil de tolérance des médicaments antiviraux

Pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic analysis of efavirenz dose reduction using an in vitro-in vivo extrapolation model.

The pharmacokinetics (PK) of efavirenz (EFV) is characterized by marked interpatient variability that correlates with its pharmacodynamics (PD). In vitro-in vivo extrapolation (IVIVE) is a "bottom-up" approach that combines drug data with system information to predict PK and PD. The aim of this study was to simulate EFV PK and PD after dose reductions. At the standard dose, the simulated probability was 80% for viral suppression and 28% for central nervous system (CNS) toxicity. After a dose reduction to 400 mg, the probabilities of viral suppression were reduced to 69, 75, and 82%, and those of CNS toxicity were 21, 24, and 29% for the 516 GG, 516 GT, and 516 TT genotypes, respectively. With reduction of the dose to 200 mg, the probabilities of viral suppression decreased to 54, 62, and 72% and those of CNS toxicity decreased to 13, 18, and 20% for the 516 GG, 516 GT, and 516 TT genotypes, respectively. These findings indicate how dose reductions might be applied in patients with favorable genetic characteristics.

Local influence for spatial analysis of soil physical properties and soybean yield using student's t-distribution

The modeling and estimation of the parameters that define the spatial dependence structure of a regionalized variable by geostatistical methods are fundamental, since these parameters, underlying the kriging of unsampled points, allow the construction of thematic maps. One or more atypical observations in the sample data can affect the estimation of these parameters. Thus, the assessment of the combined influence of these observations by the analysis of Local Influence is essential. The purpose of this paper was to propose local influence analysis methods for the regionalized variable, given that it has n-variate Student's t-distribution, and compare it with the analysis of local influence when the same regionalized variable has n-variate normal distribution. These local influence analysis methods were applied to soil physical properties and soybean yield data of an experiment carried out in a 56.68 ha commercial field in western Paraná, Brazil. Results showed that influential values are efficiently determined with n-variate Student's t-distribution.

Mating frequency of ant queens with alternative dispersal strategies, as revealed by microsatellite analysis of sperm

In social Hymenoptera (ants, bees, and wasps), the number of males that mate with the same queen affects social and genetic organization of the colony. However, the selective forces leading to single mating in certain conditions and multiple mating in others remain enigmatic. In this study, I investigated whether queens of the wood ant Formica paralugubris adopting different dispersal strategies varied in their mating frequency (the number of males with whom they mated). The frequency of multiple mating was determined by using microsatellite markers to genotype the sperm stored in the spermatheca of queens, and the validity of this method was confirmed by analysing mother-offspring combinations obtained from experimental single-queen colonies. Dispersing queens, which may found new colonies, did not mate with more males than queens that stayed within polygynous colonies, where the presence of numerous reproductive individuals ensured a high level of genetic diversity. Hence, this study provides no support to the hypotheses that multiple mating is beneficial because it increases genetic variability within colonies. Most of the F. paralugubris queens mated with a single male, whatever their dispersal strategy and life history. Moreover, multiple mating had little effect on colony genetic structure: the effective mating frequency was 1.11 when calculated from within-brood relatedness, and 1.13 when calculated from the number of mates detected in the sperm. Hence, occasional multiple mating by F. paralugubris queens may have no adaptive significance.

Advanced geostatistical and machine-learning models for spatial data analysis of radioactively contaminated regions

Radioactive soil-contamination mapping and risk assessment is a vital issue for decision makers. Traditional approaches for mapping the spatial concentration of radionuclides employ various regression-based models, which usually provide a single-value prediction realization accompanied (in some cases) by estimation error. Such approaches do not provide the capability for rigorous uncertainty quantification or probabilistic mapping. Machine learning is a recent and fast-developing approach based on learning patterns and information from data. Artificial neural networks for prediction mapping have been especially powerful in combination with spatial statistics. A data-driven approach provides the opportunity to integrate additional relevant information about spatial phenomena into a prediction model for more accurate spatial estimates and associated uncertainty. Machine-learning algorithms can also be used for a wider spectrum of problems than before: classification, probability density estimation, and so forth. Stochastic simulations are used to model spatial variability and uncertainty. Unlike regression models, they provide multiple realizations of a particular spatial pattern that allow uncertainty and risk quantification. This paper reviews the most recent methods of spatial data analysis, prediction, and risk mapping, based on machine learning and stochastic simulations in comparison with more traditional regression models. The radioactive fallout from the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant accident is used to illustrate the application of the models for prediction and classification problems. This fallout is a unique case study that provides the challenging task of analyzing huge amounts of data ('hard' direct measurements, as well as supplementary information and expert estimates) and solving particular decision-oriented problems.