927 resultados para return autocorrelation


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RESUMO - Introdução: Com este trabalho, pretendeu-se averiguar em que medida a satisfação no processo de dádiva de sangue afeta o regresso dos dadores que doam pela primeira vez na vida, ou que se apresentaram pela primeira vez no Serviço de sangue do HESE. Material e métodos: Estudo observacional transversal descritivo. Dos dadores com uma única inscrição no período de 2011 a 2012 inclusive, (531+541 dadores) foram retirados os que entretanto completaram 66 anos (idade limite para a dádiva); os que não tinham contacto telefónico válido; e os que tinham morada fora do Distrito de Évora. Os dadores restantes (327 + 330 dadores), foram então inquiridos através de um questionário efetuado telefonicamente para determinar as causas de não regresso. Resultados: Obtiveram-se 360 respostas válidas ao questionário, correspondentes a 50% da amostra com um IC de 95%. Apesar de estar amplamente demonstrado que a satisfação na dádiva contribui decisivamente para o retorno à dádiva seguinte, apenas 12% da amostra referiu não regressar por algum motivo de insatisfação decorrente do processo de dádiva. Evidentemente, o mérito destes resultados é devido à equipa do Serviço de Imunohemoterapia do HESE. Porém uma outra realidade fica aqui patente, os dadores de primeira vez estão a decrescer há vários anos, e destes, os que regressam são cada vez menos. A manter-se esta tendência, a taxa de renovação da bolsa de dadores poderá tornar-se insuficiente para a manutenção da atual bolsa de dadores. Se o HESE conseguisse recuperar para a dádiva metade da amostra de dadores de primeira vez que não regressam, a sua autonomia em termos de consumo de sangue sairia reforçada, com o incremento de proveitos financeiros consequente. Conclusão: Este trabalho concretiza os objetivos a que se propôs, nomeadamente o de produzir conhecimento útil e de suporte à decisão no âmbito da administração hospitalar. O HESE tem agora ao seu dispor, a caraterização dos dadores de primeira vez e a descrição de como se está a processar a renovação da sua bolsa de dadores.

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RESUMO: Objectivo: Este estudo teve por objectivo descrever a prática clínica e os resultados da intervenção da fisioterapia, às 6, 12 e 24 semanas, em indivíduos após ligamentoplastia do LCA. Introdução: O sucesso da ligamentoplastia do LCA está directamente relacionado com a reabilitação após a realização da mesma, permitindo ao utente o retorno a um estilo de vida activo. Apesar de se saber que um programa de reabilitação estruturado e baseado na evidência tem um papel fulcral nos resultados após cirurgia, e de existir consenso sobre a efectividade destes programas após a cirurgia, o mesmo não se pode afirmar acerca de quais os melhores componentes que devem fazer parte desse programa. Tendo em conta a heterogeneidade encontrada na literatura, no que diz respeito à nomenclatura utilizada, às diferenças de duração dos protocolos e às variações significativas nas recomendações dos cuidados de reabilitação, torna-se primordial a realização duma caracterização da prática clínica da fisioterapia em indivíduos submetidos a ligamentoplastia em Portugal, e consequentemente, descrever quais os resultados obtidos ao nível da incapacidade funcional, intensidade de dor e percepção global de melhoria. Metodologia: Realizou-se um estudo de série de casos, com uma amostra de conveniência, do tipo não probabilístico, constituída por 14 utentes referidos para 4 clínicas de fisioterapia e para 3 hospitais, e que cumpriam os critérios de inclusão e exclusão estabelecidos. Os utentes foram avaliados em 4 momentos pré-definidos: na 1ª sessão de fisioterapia e às 6, 12 e 24 semanas após cirurgia. Os resultados obtidos após intervenção da fisioterapia foram descritos ao nível da incapacidade funcional, da intensidade da dor e da percepção global de melhoria. Paralelamente realizou-se uma caracterização da prática clínica relativamente às modalidades utilizadas, número de sessões de tratamento e duração do episódio de cuidados. Resultados: Observou-se uma tendência de melhoria ao longo das 24 semanas em todas as dimensões da Knee injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS) e na Escala Numérica da Dor (END), assim como na percepção de melhoria pelo utente, medida através da Patient Global Impression of Change Scale (PGIC). Às 6 semanas, as melhorias nas variáveis de resultados foram superiores às encontradas às 12 e 24 semanas, ao nível da incapacidade funcional (à excepção das dimensões KOOS – actividades desportivas e de lazer e KOOS - qualidade de vida) e dor. Relativamente à intervenção da fisioterapia observou-se uma grande heterogeneidade nas modalidades e procedimentos utilizados. Em média realizaram-se 58,14 (±14,15) sessões, sendo que 71 foi o número de sessões mais utilizado. Conclusão: Os resultados deste estudo sugerem que apesar da heterogeneidade da prática clínica, a intervenção da fisioterapia proporciona melhorias ao nível da capacidade funcional e da dor, em indivíduos submetidos a ligamentoplastia do LCA e que essas melhorias são percepcionadas pelos participantes como clinicamente importantes. ---------ABSTRACT: Objective: The aim of this study was to describe the clinical practice and the results of physical therapy intervention, at 6, 12 and 24 weeks, in subjects after ACL reconstruction. Introduction: The success of ACL reconstruction is directly related with the rehabilitation after the surgery, allowing the patient to an active lifestyle return. Despite knowing that a rehabilitation program based on evidence and well designed has a key role in the results after surgery, the same cannot be said about what the best components that should make part of this program. Taking into account the heterogeneity found in the literature, whether at the level of the nomenclature used, whether at level of the differences in duration of the protocols, as well as the existence of recommendations of rehabilitative care that present significant variations at the international level, it becomes paramount to achieving a characterization of the clinical practice of physical therapy in subjects after ACL reconstruction in Portugal, and consequently describe the results obtained regarding to functional disability and pain intensity. Methodology: A case series design with a convenience sample of 14 patients referred to 7 different outpatients physical therapy settings, that fulfilled the pre- established inclusion and exclusion criteria. Patients were evaluated in four pre-defined moments: in the first session of physiotherapy and at 6, 12 and 24 weeks after surgery. The results obtained after physiotherapy intervention were described at the level of functional disability, pain and global perception of change. Subsequently, it was proceeded the characterization the practice of physical therapy regarding to the modalities used, the number of treatment sessions and duration of the episode of care. Results: It was found that there was a trend of improvement, clinically important, over the 24 weeks in all dimensions of Knee injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS) and in the Numerical Pain Rating Scale (NPRS). At 6 weeks, improvements were superior to those found at 12 and 24 weeks, at the level of functional disability (with the exception of the KOOS-sports and recreation function and KOOS-knee related quality of life dimensions) and pain. As regards the intervention of physical therapy found that the heterogeneity encountered both at the level of clinical practice as evidence,are difficult to compare. On average 58,14 (±14,15) sessions were held, with 71 was the most commonly used sessions numbers. Conclusion: The results of this study suggest that in spite of the heterogeneity of clinical practice, physical therapy intervention provides improvements in terms of functional disability and pain in subjects after ACL reconstruction.

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INTRODUCTION: Bacterial meningitis has great social relevance due to its ability to produce sequelae and cause death. It is most frequently found in developing countries, especially among children. Meningococcal meningitis occurs at a high frequency in populations with poor living conditions. This study describes the temporal evolution of bacterial meningitis in Salvador, Brazil, 1995-2009, and verifies the association between its spatial variation and the living conditions of the population. METHODS: This was an ecological study in which the areas of information were classified by an index of living conditions. It examined fluctuations using a trend curve, and the relationship between this index and the spatial distribution of meningitis was verified using simple linear regression. RESULTS: From 1995-2009, there were 3,456 confirmed cases of bacterial meningitis in Salvador. We observed a downward trend during this period, with a yearly incidence of 9.1 cases/100,000 population and fatality of 16.7%. Children aged <5 years old and male were more affected. There was no significant spatial autocorrelation or pattern in the spatial distribution of the disease. The areas with the worst living conditions had higher fatality from meningococcal disease (β = 0.0078117, p < 0.005). CONCLUSIONS: Bacterial meningitis reaches all social strata; however, areas with poor living conditions have a greater proportion of cases that progress to death. This finding reflects the difficulties for ready access and poor quality of medical care faced by these populations.

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This paper studies the effects of monetary policy on mutual fund risk taking using a sample of Portuguese fixed-income mutual funds in the 2000-2012 period. Firstly I estimate time-varying measures of risk exposure (betas) for the individual funds, for the benchmark portfolio, as well as for a representative equally-weighted portfolio, through 24-month rolling regressions of a two-factor model with two systematic risk factors: interest rate risk (TERM) and default risk (DEF). Next, in the second phase, using the estimated betas, I try to understand what portion of the risk exposure is in excess of the benchmark (active risk) and how it relates to monetary policy proxies (one-month rate, Taylor residual, real rate and first principal component of a cross-section of government yields and rates). Using this methodology, I provide empirical evidence that Portuguese fixed-income mutual funds respond to accommodative monetary policy by significantly increasing exposure, in excess of their benchmarks, to default risk rate and slightly to interest risk rate as well. I also find that the increase in funds’ risk exposure to gain a boost in return (search-for-yield) is more pronounced following the 2007-2009 global financial crisis, indicating that the current historic low interest rates may incentivize excessive risk taking. My results suggest that monetary policy affects the risk appetite of non-bank financial intermediaries.

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This study focuses on the implementation of several pair trading strategies across three emerging markets, with the objective of comparing the results obtained from the different strategies and assessing if pair trading benefits from a more volatile environment. The results show that, indeed, there are higher potential profits arising from emerging markets. However, the higher excess return will be partially offset by higher transaction costs, which will be a determinant factor to the profitability of pair trading strategies. Also, a new clustering approach based on the Principal Component Analysis was tested as an alternative to the more standard clustering by Industry Groups. The new clustering approach delivers promising results, consistently reducing volatility to a greater extent than the Industry Group approach, with no significant harm to the excess returns.

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The objective of this master thesis is to evaluate the impact of CSR measures in the financial performance of the European pharmaceutical industry. By definition, CSR measures is quantified as corporate social disclosure considering the published CSR keywords on the annual reports of the selected companies, over four fiscal years (2010-2013). The financial performance of the companies were measured as return on assets (ROA) and Tobin’s Q. In order to defend the hypothesis developed, a multivariate regression is performed. The results obtained show no significant impact on the financial performance of a company nor in the short-time, nor in the long-time. Moreover, by comparison with other studies, it was possible to conclude that the financial performance is differently affected when considering different industries.

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This paper is mainly concerned with the tracking accuracy of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) listed on the London Stock Exchange (LSE) but also evaluates their performance and pricing efficiency. The findings show that ETFs offer virtually the same return but exhibit higher volatility than their benchmark. It seems that the pricing efficiency, which should come from the creation and redemption process, does not fully hold as equity ETFs show consistent price premiums. The tracking error of the funds is generally small and is decreasing over time. The risk of the ETF, daily price volatility and the total expense ratio explain a large part of the tracking error. Trading volume, fund size, bid-ask spread and average price premium or discount did not have an impact on the tracking error. Finally, it is concluded that market volatility and the tracking error are positively correlated.

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This thesis provides a complete analysis of the Standard Capital Requirements given by Solvency II for a real insurance portfolio. We analyze the investment portfolio of BPI Vida e Pensões, an insurance company affiliated with a Portuguese bank BPI, both at security, sub-portfolio and asset class levels. By using the Standard Formula from EIOPA, Total SCR amounts to 239M€. This value is mostly explained by Market and Default Risk whereas the former is driven by Spread and Concentration Risks. Following the methodology of Leblanc (2011), we examine the Marginal Contribution of an asset to the SCR which allows for the evaluation of the risks of each security given its characteristics and interactions in the portfolio. The top contributors to the SCR are Corporate Bonds and Term Deposits. By exploring further the composition of the portfolio, our results show that slight changes in allocation of Term and Cash Deposits have severe impacts on the total Concentration and Default Risks, respectively. Also, diversification effects are very relevant by representing savings of 122M€. Finally, Solvency II represents an opportunity for the portfolio optimization. By constructing efficient frontiers, we find that as the target expected return increases, a shift from Term Deposits/ Commercial Papers to Eurozone/Peripheral and finally Equities occurs.

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Introduction This study evaluated the efficacy of retreatment of pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) with regard to treatment outcomes and antimicrobial susceptibility testing (ST) profiles. Methods This retrospective cohort study analyzed 144 patients treated at a referral hospital in Brazil. All of them had undergone prior treatment, were smear-positive for TB and received a standardized retreatment regimen. Fisher's 2-tailed exact test and the χ2 test were used; RRs and 95% CIs were calculated using univariate and multivariate binary logistic regression. Results The patients were cured in 84 (58.3%) cases. Failure was associated with relapsed treatment and abandonment (n=34). Culture tests were obtained for 103 (71.5%) cases; 70 (48.6%) had positive results. ST results were available for 67 (46.5%) cases; the prevalence of acquired resistance was 53.7%. There were no significant differences between those who achieved or not therapeutic success (p=0.988), despite being sensitive or resistant to 1 or more drugs. Rifampicin resistance was independently associated with therapeutic failure (OR: 4.4, 95% CI:1.12-17.37, p=0.034). For those cases in which cultures were unavailable, a 2nd model without this information was built. In this, return after abandonment was significantly associated with retreatment failure (OR: 3.59, 95% CI:1.17-11.06, p=0.026). Conclusions In this cohort, the general resistance profile appeared to have no influence on treatment outcome, except in cases of rifampicin resistance. The form of reentry was another independent predictor of failure. The use of bacterial culture identification and ST in TB management must be re-evaluated. The recommendations for different susceptibility profiles must also be improved.

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Dissertação de Mestrado apresentada no Instituto Superior de Psicologia Aplicada para obtenção do grau de Mestre na especialidade de Psicologia Clínica.

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INTRODUCTION : The tuberculin test is a diagnostic method for detecting latent tuberculosis (TB) infection, especially among disease contact cases. The objective of this study was to analyze the prevalence and evolution of Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection among TB contact cases. METHODS : A retrospective cohort study was performed in a reference center for TB. The study population consisted of 2,425 patients who underwent a tuberculin test from 2003 to 2010 and whose results indicated contact with individuals with TB. The data were collected from the registry book of the tuberculin tests, patient files and the Information System Records of Notification Grievance. To verify the evolution of TB, case records through September 2014 were consulted. Data were analyzed using the Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS). In all hypothesis tests, a significance level of 0.05 was used. RESULTS : From the studied sample, 435 (17.9%) contacts did not return for reading. Among the 1,990 contacts that completed the test, the prevalence of latent TB infection was 35.4%. Of these positive cases, 50.6% were referred to treatment; the dropout rate was 42.5%. Among all of the contacts, the TB prevalence was 1.8%, from which 13.2% abandoned treatment. CONCLUSIONS : The collected data indicate the need for more effective public policies to improve TB control, including administering tests that do not require a return visit for reading, enhancing contact tracing and encouraging actions that reinforce full treatment adherence.

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Cities develop according to different patterns, undergoing population growth during some periods and decline (shrinkage) during others. Theories attempting to understand these behaviours include: 1) shrinkage is a natural process in the life cycle of a city, alternating with periods of growth, or 2) shrinkage is an extreme event that places cities into a continuous decline process with no return to population growth. We use retrospective data over a period of 130 years to study 25 Portuguese cities currently facing population decline, and show that both theories coexist in time and space. Five types of shrinking city are revealed: “Persistent Early Shrinkage” due to exodus fromthe rural periphery, “Metropolitan Shrinkage” due to the challenges of urban sprawl, “Recent Shrinkage” in de-industrialisation hotspots, “Cyclic Shrinkage” occurring in political transformation cores, and “Mild Shrinkage” due to life-style disamenity. As diversity of city population trajectories appears to be the norm in both Portugal and other Western European countries, the incorporation of this range into the management of urban transitions is recommended in order to reinforce city resilience.

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Abstract: INTRODUCTION: The treatment of individuals with active tuberculosis (TB) and the identification and treatment of latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) contacts are the two most important strategies for the control of TB. The objective of this study was compare the performance of tuberculin skin testing (TST) with QuantiFERON-TB Gold In TUBE(r) in the diagnosis of LTBI in contacts of patients with active TB. METHODS: Cross-sectional analytical study with 60 contacts of patients with active pulmonary TB. A blood sample of each contact was taken for interferon-gamma release assay (IGRA) and subsequently performed the TST. A receiver operating characteristic curve was generated to assess the cutoff points and the sensitivity, predictive values, and accuracy were calculated. The agreement between IGRA and TST results was evaluated by Kappa coefficient. RESULTS: Here, 67.9% sensitivity, 84.4% specificity, 79.1% PPV, 75% NPV, and 76.7% accuracy were observed for the 5mm cutoff point. The prevalence of LTBI determined by TST and IGRA was 40% and 46.7%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Both QuantiFERON-TB Gold In TUBE(r) and TST showed good performance in LTBI diagnosis. The creation of specific diagnostic methods is necessary for the diagnosis of LTBI with higher sensitivity and specificity, preferably with low cost and not require a return visit for reading because with early treatment of latent forms can prevent active TB.

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A Encomendação das Almas é um ritual do culto dos mortos praticado no tempo da Quaresma, realizado por grupos de pessoas, em geral mulheres, que se reúnem, à noite, para cantar e rezar pelas/às almas dos mortos no Purgatório e pelas/dos que, ainda vivos, já se encontram em agonias de morte. No ritual, as encomendadoras apelam aos que as escutam para se recordarem das almas dos que já não são vivos. Na atualidade, a Encomendação das Almas tem sido revitalizada em várias localidades da Beira Baixa, um trabalho protagonizado por migrantes de ‘regresso-­‐à-­‐terra’. Este projeto questiona o modo como o ritual tem contribuído para a re-­‐agregação e o reforço dos laços de sociabilidade entre elementos da comunidade, mas é também usado como um bem patrimonial imaterial de valoração de identidades locais. Questiona-­‐se, também, sobre as sensações, percepções e concepções ontológicas que poderão ser restauradas na performance da Encomendação das Almas, para quem a corporaliza e para os que a ouvem.

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RESUMO: O Royal College of Psychiatrists tem um programa de voluntariado internacional desde 2005. O interesse no Reino Unido tem crescido nos últimos 15 anos com muitos projetos novos. Os benefícios para vários países têm sido reconhecidos. O que está menos claro são os benefícios da experiência para o Reino Unido e do programa de voluntariado do Royal College of Psychiatrists. O objectivo desta dissertação é explorar os benefícios do voluntariado para o Sistema Nacional de Saúde focando principalmente, mas não exclusivamente, o programa de voluntariado do Royal College of Psychiatrists. Nesta dissertação abordamos primeiro o contexto antes de discutirmos dois grandes estudos de psiquiatras e hospitais do Sistema Nacional de Saúde no Reino Unido. Incluimos no estudo todos os psiquiatras registados como Voluntários no Royal College of Psychiatrists e o Grupo de Interesse Especial associado. Foi ainda possível incluir os Diretores Médicos de todos os hospitais do Reino Unido. Os estudos foram desenhados para analisar as opiniões dos Voluntários do Reino Unido sobre os benefícios para os países recetores de baixo e médio rendimento e para o Reino Unido. Todos os 60 hospitais do Sistema Nacional de Saúde foram incluí dos para analisar a opinião sobre Voluntariado. As limitações dos estudos foram a baixa taxa de resposta, mas esta foi comparável a outros estudos do College. É provável haver um enviezamento de resposta e favorecimento dos que estão envolvidos no Voluntariado. Os resultados mostraram um interesse forte no voluntariado e benefícios no Sistema Nacional de Saúde, nas. áreas de liderança, transculturalismo, gestão e recursos e capacidades pessoais. Os hospitais do Sistema Nacional de Saúde valorizaram o voluntariado e, em contrapartida, o valor acrescido para competências profissionais. Os obstáculos contra o Voluntariado a nível individual e dos hospitais foram maioritariamente de natureza prática, tais como obter dispensa do trabalho, substituição no trabalho e custos. As implicações destes estudos são que o programa de voluntariado do College precisa de ser fortalecido. Para assegurar que este trabalho continua é necessário existir uma sensibilização nacional e maior responsabilização sobre os benefícios para o Reino Unido e a nível global. -------------------------- ABSTRACT: The Royal College of Psychiatrists has had an international volunteering programme since 2005. The interest in UK has grown over the past 15 years with many new projects. The benefits in various countries has been acknowledged. What has been less clear are the benefits of the experience back in the UK and of the Royal College of Psychiatrists Volunteer Scheme. The aim of this dissertation is to explore the benefit of volunteering to the NHS focusing mainly, but not exclusively on the Royal College of Psychiatrists Volunteering scheme. In this dissertation we first look at background information before discussing two large surveys of Psychiatrists and NHS Trusts in UK. We surveyed all those registered as Volunteers at the Royal College of Psychiatrists and the associated Special Interest Group. We also were able to survey the Medical Directors of all UK Trusts. The Surveys were designed to assess views of UK Volunteers of benefits to hosts in LMIC and back in UK. All 60 NHS Trusts were surveyed to assess the view of Volunteering. Limitation of the surveys were the low response rate but this was comparable to other College surveys. There is likely to be a bias in response and favour those who are engaged in the Volunteering agenda. Results showed a strong interest in volunteering and perceived benefits in NHS. These areas included leadership, transcultural, resource management and personal skills. NHS trusts valued volunteering and added value to professional competencies on return. Obstacles to Volunteering at individual and Trust level were mainly practical issues such as getting time off, cover and costs. Implications of these surveys are that the College volunteering scheme needs strengthening. There needs to be a National advocacy to ensure that this work continues and greater accountability as to benefits in UK and globally.