Impactes do Preço da Água na Agricultura no Perímetro Irrigado do Vale de Caxito

O aumento da pressão sobre os recursos hídricos tem levado muitos países a reconsiderarem os mecanismos utilizados na indução do uso eficiente da água, especialmente na agricultura irrigada. Estabelecer o preço correto da água é um dos mecanismos de tornar mais eficiente a alocação da água. O presente trabalho tem como objetivo a análise dos impactes económicos, sociais e ambientais de políticas de preço da água. A metodologia utilizada foi a Programação Linear, aplicada ao Perímetro Irrigado do Vale de Caxito, Província do Bengo, a 45 km de Luanda, que tem como fonte o rio Dande. Foram testados três cenários relativos a políticas de tarifação de água: tarifa volumétrica simples, tarifa volumétrica variável, e tarifa fixa por superfície. As principais conclusões mostram que, do ponto de vista do uso eficiente da água na agricultura, os melhores resultados obtêm-se com a tarifa volumétrica variável; do ponto de vista social, a tarifação volumétrica simples apresenta os melhores resultados; o método de tarifa volumétrica variável foi o mais penalizador, reduzindo rapidamente a área das culturas mais consumidoras de água, sendo o melhor do ponto de vista ambiental. Qualquer um dos métodos traz aspetos negativos relativamente à redução da margem bruta total. Palavras-chaves: Recursos hídricos; Preço da água; Programação linear. Abstract: Increased pressure on water resources has led many countries to reconsider the mechanisms used in the induction of efficient water use, especially for irrigated agriculture, a major consumer of water. Establishing the correct price of water is one of the mechanisms for more efficient allocation of water. This paper aims to analyze the economic, social and essenenvironmental impacts of water price policies. The methodology used is the linear programming, applied to the Irrigated Valley Caxito, in Bengo Province, 45 kilometers from Luanda, which has the river Dande as its source. Three scenarios concerning water price policies were tested: simple volumetric rate, variable volumetric rate and flat rate per surface. The main findings show that from the point of view of the efficient use of water in agriculture, the best results are obtained with variable volumetric rate; from the social point of view, the simple volumetric rate has the best results; the volume variable rate method proved to be the most penalizing, quickly reducing the area of most water consuming cultures, being the method in which the environmental objectives would be more readily achieved. Either methods bring negative aspects in relation to the reduction of total gross margin. Key-words: Water resources; Water price; Linear programming.

Urbanizarse o migrar: ¿Cuáles opciones ante la crisis? El devenir de las comunidades cafetaleras en el centro de Veracruz, México

ResumenLa baja de precios del café desde 1989 sorprendió a los pequeños productores en un momento en que tienen que adaptarse a las nuevas reglas de producción y comercialización impuestas por las políticas de modernización del gobierno de Salinas de Gortari (1988-1994). Las migraciones son una respuesta, entre otras, a la(s) crisis, a primera vista individual pero que afecta el devenir social, político y cultural de las comunidades. En este estudio se analizan los procesos migratorios nacientes en el centro de Veracruz, y se plantea  que si bien algunas comunidades pueden lograr una cierta “reconversión” gracias a la cercanía de centros urbanos que ofrecen alternativas de trabajo, en otras se inician procesos de migración lejana y colectiva que amenazan la reproducción misma de la comunidad rural en cuanto tal.AbstractThe sharp drop in the price of coffee since 1989 took small farmers by surprise at the time when they must adapt to the new rules of productions and marketing under the modernizing polices of the Salinas de Gortari government (1988-1994). Migrations are one response to the crisis (or crises). While seemingly an individual one, they affect the social, political and cultural future of those communities. This study discusses the emerging migratory processes in central Veracruz, and suggests that while some communities may attain a degree of “retrofitting” thanks to nearby urban centers offering job opportunities, others are undergoing long-distance, collective migratory processes which threaten the very reproduction of the rural community per se.

METODO PARA CALCULAR EL PRECIO DE LA TIERRA Y LA TASA DE RENTA A PARTIR DE LAS FORMAS DE ARRENDAMIENTO

En este artículo se presenta la aplicación del método  para calcular la tasa de renta y el espacio de la tierra. Esta aplicación contempla los métodos, las técnicas, el levantamiento de la información, la construcción de una base de datos, los sistemas de clasificación y la aplicación práctica del método de ingresos con el objeto de calcular los precios de la tierra y la tasa de valorización del capital bajo la forma de arrendamiento.SUMMARYIn this article it is presented the application of the method used to calculate the income rate and the price of land.This application contemplates the methods, techniques, the information drawing up, the construction of a data base, the procedures, the data processing and the empirical application of the income method in order to calculate the price of land and the income method in order to calculate the price of land and the capital under the renting form.

Essays in Applied Insurance Economics

The papers included in this thesis deal with a few aspects of insurance economics that have seldom been dealt with in the applied literature. In the first paper I apply for the first time the tools of the economics of crime to study the determinants of frauds, using data on Italian provinces. The contributions to the literature are manifold: -The price of insuring has a positive correlation with the propensity to defraud -Social norms constraint fraudulent behavior, but their strength is curtailed in economic downturns -I apply a simple extension of the Random Coefficient model, which allows for the presence of time invariant covariates and asymmetries in the impact of the regressors. The second paper assesses how the evolution of macro prudential regulation of insurance companies has been reflected in their equity price. I employ a standard event study methodology, deriving the definition of the “control” and “treatment” groups from what is implied by the regulatory framework. The main results are: -Markets care about the evolution of the legislation. Their perception has shifted from a first positive assessment of a possible implicit “too big to fail” subsidy to a more negative one related to its cost in terms of stricter capital requirement -The size of this phenomenon is positively related to leverage, size and on the geographical location of the insurance companies The third paper introduces a novel methodology to forecast non-life insurance premiums and profitability as function of macroeconomic variables, using the simultaneous equation framework traditionally employed macroeconometric models and a simple theoretical model of insurance pricing to derive a long term relationship between premiums, claims expenses and short term rates. The model is shown to provide a better forecast of premiums and profitability compared with the single equation specifications commonly used in applied analysis.

Automotive Radars:towards smarter vehicles

Radars are expected to become the main sensors in various civilian applications, especially for autonomous driving. Their success is mainly due to the availability of low cost integrated devices, equipped with compact antenna arrays, and computationally efficient signal processing techniques. This thesis focuses on the study and the development of different deterministic and learning based techniques for colocated multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) radars. In particular, after providing an overview on the architecture of these devices, the problem of detecting and estimating multiple targets in stepped frequency continuous wave (SFCW) MIMO radar systems is investigated and different deterministic techniques solving it are illustrated. Moreover, novel solutions, based on an approximate maximum likelihood approach, are developed. The accuracy achieved by all the considered algorithms is assessed on the basis of the raw data acquired from low power wideband radar devices. The results demonstrate that the developed algorithms achieve reasonable accuracies, but at the price of different computational efforts. Another important technical problem investigated in this thesis concerns the exploitation of machine learning and deep learning techniques in the field of colocated MIMO radars. In this thesis, after providing a comprehensive overview of the machine learning and deep learning techniques currently being considered for use in MIMO radar systems, their performance in two different applications is assessed on the basis of synthetically generated and experimental datasets acquired through a commercial frequency modulated continuous wave (FMCW) MIMO radar. Finally, the application of colocated MIMO radars to autonomous driving in smart agriculture is illustrated.

Stayability in Italian Simmental dual-purpose cows: phenotypic and genetic associations

In recent years, dairy farmers have observed a substantial decrease in cows’ survival, with a direct negative consequence on the profitability. Shorter lifespan raises questions about animal welfare and farming conditions at which cows are exposed to. However, the length of productive life depends also on voluntary culling due to low productivity and, in dual-purpose breed, to low price of carcasses (meat). The general aim of the thesis was to investigate the genetic and phenotypic relationship of functional longevity with morphological features like muscularity and body condition score (BCS) and productive traits within Italian Simmental dual-purpose dairy cattle raised in Emilia-Romagna herds.

Portfolio optimization in the energy market

Let’s put ourselves in the shoes of an energy company. Our fleet of electricity production plants mainly includes gas, hydroelectric and waste-to-energy plants. We also sold contracts for the supply of gas and electricity. For each year we have to plan the trading of the volumes needed by the plants and customers: better to fix the price of these volumes in advance with the so-called forward contracts, instead of waiting for the delivery months, exposing ourselves to price uncertainty. Here’s the thing: trying to keep uncertainty under control in a market that has never shown such extreme scenarios as in recent years: a pandemic, a worsening climate crisis and a war that is affecting economies around the world have made the energy market more volatile than ever. How to make decisions in such uncertain contexts? There is an optimization problem: given a year, we need to choose the optimal planning of volume trading times, to meet the needs of our portfolio at the best prices, taking into account the liquidity constraints given by the market and the risk constraints imposed by the company. Algorithms are needed for the generation of market scenarios over a finite time horizon, that is, a probabilistic distribution that allows a view of all the dates between now and the end of the year of interest. Algorithms are needed to solve the optimization problem: we have proposed more than one and compared them; a very simple one, which avoids considering part of the complexity, moving on to a scenario approach and finally a reinforcement learning approach.

Accommodating cabins as a new way of building houses

The current economic crisis has meant, particularly in Spain, the almost cessation of new buildings construction. This deep crisis will mean in future an irreversible change in the Spanish construction model, based to date almost exclusively on the brick. The project “Accommodating cabins as a new way of building houses” is part of a larger research within the line “Modular Architecture” developed by the Research Group “Design and Industrial Production”, belonging to the Technical University of Madrid, which aims to respond to the need for decent housing at an affordable price, by offering through Internet the plans, resources and other technical details required to build a house oneself. The proposed houses are built from the combination of industrially made modules (accommodation cabins, which are prefabricated modules usually used as provisional constructions in conventional building works), prefabricated subsystems and other catalogue components available on the market, all they set together by dry joints.

Role of price and enforcement in water allocation: Insights from Game Theory

As many countries are moving toward water sector reforms, practical issues of how water management institutions can better effect allocation, regulation, and enforcement of water rights have emerged. The problem of nonavailability of water to tailenders on an irrigation system in developing countries, due to unlicensed upstream diversions is well documented. The reliability of access or equivalently the uncertainty associated with water availability at their diversion point becomes a parameter that is likely to influence the application by users for water licenses, as well as their willingness to pay for licensed use. The ability of a water agency to reduce this uncertainty through effective water rights enforcement is related to the fiscal ability of the agency to monitor and enforce licensed use. In this paper, this interplay across the users and the agency is explored, considering the hydraulic structure or sequence of water use and parameters that define the users and the agency`s economics. The potential for free rider behavior by the users, as well as their proposals for licensed use are derived conditional on this setting. The analyses presented are developed in the framework of the theory of ""Law and Economics,`` with user interactions modeled as a game theoretic enterprise. The state of Ceara, Brazil, is used loosely as an example setting, with parameter values for the experiments indexed to be approximately those relevant for current decisions. The potential for using the ideas in participatory decision making is discussed. This paper is an initial attempt to develop a conceptual framework for analyzing such situations but with a focus on the reservoir-canal system water rights enforcement.

Phenolic composition of South American red wines classified according to their antioxidant activity, retail price and sensory quality

In this study, 73 South American red wines (Vitis vinifera) from 5 varietals were classified based on sensory quality, retail price and antioxidant activity and characterised in relation to their phenolic composition. ORAC and DPPH assays were assessed to determine the antioxidant activity, and sensory analysis was conducted by seven professional tasters using the Wine Spirits Education Trust`s structured scales. The use of multivariate statistical techniques allowed the identification of wines with the best combination of sensory characteristics, price and antioxidant activity. The most favourable varieties were Malbec, Cabernet Sauvignon, and Syrah produced in Chile and Argentina. Conversely, Pinot Noir wines displayed the lowest sensory characteristics and antioxidant activity. These results suggest that the volatile compounds may be the main substances responsible for differentiating red wines on the basis of sensory evaluation. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

What are the economic prospects of developing aquaculture in Queensland to supply the low price white fillet market? Lessons from the US channel catfish industry

The farming of channel catfish (Ictalurus punctatus) is the largest (by volume and value) and most successful (in terms of market impact) aquaculture industry in the United States of America. Farmed channel catfish is the most consumed (in terms of volume per capita) fish fillet in the U.S. market. Within Australia, it has long been suggested by researchers and industry that silver perch (Bidyanus bidyanus) and possibly other endemic teraponid species possess similar biological attributes for aquaculture as channel catfish and may have the potential to generate a similar industry. The current teraponid industry in Australia, however, shows very little resemblance to the catfish industry, either in production style or market philosophy. A well established budget framework from the literature on U.S. channel catfish farming has been adapted for cost and climate conditions of the Burdekin region, Queensland, Australia. Breakeven prices for the hypothetical teraponid farms were found to be up to 50% higher than those published for catfish farms however were much lower than those reported for silver perch production in Australia using current, endemic styles of production. The breakeven prices for the hypothetical teraponid farms were most sensitive (in order of significance) to feed prices, production rates, interest rates, fingerling prices and electricity prices. At equivalent feed costs the costs of production between the hypothetical catfish farms in the Mississippi, U.S. and the hypothetical teraponid farms in the Burdekin, Australia were remarkably similar. The cost of feeds suitable for teraponid production in Australia are currently around double that of catfish feeds in the U.S. Issues currently hindering the development of a large scale teraponid industry in Australia are discussed.

Asset Price Instability and Policy Responses: The Legacy of Liberalisation

The debate about the dynamics and potential policy responses to asset inflation has intensified in recent years. Some analysts, notably Borio and Lowe, have called for 'subtle' changes to existing monetary targeting frameworks to try to deal with the problems of asset inflation and have attempted to developed indicators of financial vulnerability to aid this process. In contrast, this paper argues that the uncertainties involved in understanding financial market developments and their potential impact on the real economy are likely to remain too high to embolden policy makers. The political and institutional risks associated with policy errors are also significant. The fundamental premise that a liberalised financial system is based on 'efficient' market allocation cannot be overlooked. The corollary is that any serious attempt to stabilize financial market outcomes must involve at least a partial reversal of deregulation.

Response to price and production risk: The case of Australian wheat

A model of Australian wheat grower supply response was specified under the constraints of price and yield uncertainty, risk aversion, partial adjustment, and quadratic costs. The model was solved to obtain area planted. The results of estimation indicate that risk arising from prices and climate have had a significant influence on producer decision making. The coefficient of relative risk aversion and short-run and long-run elasticities of supply with respect to price were calculated. Wheat growers' risk premium, expected at the start of the season for exposed price and yield risk, was 2.8 percent of revenue or 10.4 percent of profit as measured by producer surplus. (C) 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Aluminum Concentrations in Water of Elderly People`s Houses and Retirement Homes and Its Relation with Elderly Health

The purpose of this study was to determine the concentrations of aluminum (Al) and other metals in water samples from elderly people`s houses and retirement homes. Forty-six duplicate water samples from kitchen taps were collected in Ribeiro Preto/SP, Brazil. Metal levels were measured by atomic absorption spectrophotometer. Aluminum concentration exceeded the maximum allowed values in 26% of samples according to the Decree 518/2004 of the Brazilian Health Ministry. It was noted that 11% of elderly living at monitored houses, as well as 19% living at retirement homes presented Alzheimer disease diagnostic. These results suggest taking into account Al risks among vulnerable elderly population groups.