Inter-annual rainfall variations and suicide in New South Wales, Australia, 1964-2001

The suicide rate in New South Wales is shown to be related to annual precipitation, supporting a widespread and long-held assumption that drought in Australia increases the likelihood of suicide. The relationship, although statistically significant, is not especially strong and is confounded by strong, long-term variations in the suicide rate not related to precipitation variations. A decrease in precipitation of about 300 mm would lead to an increase in the suicide rate of approximately 8% of the long-term mean suicide rate.

Characterization of apolipoprotein E genetic variations in Taiwanese: assocation with coronary heart disease and plasma lipid levels

Apolipoprotein E (apoE, protein; APOE, gene) is important in lipoprotein metabolism. Three isoforms, apoE2 (Cys112 Cys158), apoE3 (Cys112 Arg158), and apoE4 (Arg112 Arg158), are present in the general population. This report investigates the frequency distribution of apoE isoforms and the association of APOE genotypes with plasma lipid profile and coronary heart disease (CHD) in a population of Taiwan. ApoE isoforms were determined genetically by polymerase chain reaction and HhaI restriction enzyme digestion in control and coronary heart disease (CHD) patients. Plasma lipid and lipoprotein concentrations were also determined. The control group exhibited frequencies of 84.6% APOE3, 7.9% APOE4, 7.5% APOE2, 70.6% APOE3E3, 14.4% APOE3E4, 13.6% APOE2E3, and 1.4% APOE2E4. Comparable frequencies were observed in the CHD group. In both APOE2 carrier and APOE3E3 groups, the CHD patients expressed abnormal lipid profiles while the control group expressed normal lipid profiles. The APOE4 carriers, however, expressed abnormal lipid profiles in both normal control and CHD groups. Extremely high apoE levels in the hypertriglyceridemic group (TG > 400 mg/dL) seemed to be undesirable and were often observed in CHD patients

The conceptualisation of operational risk management models

Operational risk is evolving as a specialist field of risk management that must be practiced within all organisations, but currently has a particular relevance to banks. The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision has circulated a consultative paper which, if adopted by nation-state bank supervisors, will impose an operational risk capital charge on banks as part of a new Capital Accord. The definition of operational risk is wide-ranging and creates some unique issues related to the development of appropriate risk management models. This paper conceptualises two distinct operational risk management models; being a predictive model that will result in a known outcome upon its implementation, and a pre-emptive operational risk management model which prepares an organisation in the event that a future risk occurrence results in a disruption to critical business operations.

Modelling regular and estimable inverse demand systems : a distance function approach

To be useful for policy simulation in the current climate of rapid structural change, inverse demand systems must remain regular over substanstial variations in quantities. The distance function is a convenient vehicle for generating such systems. It also allows convenient imposition of prior ideas about the structure of preferences required for realistic policy work. While the distance function directly yields Hicksian inverse demand functions via the Shepard-Hanoch lemma, they are usually explicit in the unobservable level of utility (u), but lack a closed-form representation in terms of the observable variables. Note however that the unobservability of u need not hinder estimation. A simple one-dimensional numerical inversion allows the estimation of the distance function via the parameters of the implied Marshallian inverse demand functions. This paper develops the formal theory for using distance functions in this context, and reports on initial trials on the operational feasibility of the method.

Closing the loop on student evaluations

It is generally agreed that good teaching is dependent on the nature of the learning goals and the quality of the environment in which learning takes place1,2. If this is the case, then planned as opposed to unplanned variations in learning experiences are the hallmark of good teaching. This raises a complex set of relations between assuring and improving teaching within an institution. The essential question for a University is: how do we assure that learning is maximised in all given contexts?

Benchmarking the use of student feedback was identified as a priority project at the ATN annual conference in February 2002. This paper presents a number of issues arising from a study of practices across the ATN in relation to collecting, analysing and using student feedback. The project involved working with those responsible for teaching and learning improvements at the operational level to identify strategies for a systematic approach to the use of student feedback for improving communication of actions arising from results.

The framework for the inquiry involved an exploration of student feedback systems as they operate for different cohorts of students, differing measures (or constructs), and at different levels within institutional structures. The framework also explored the various tracking and reporting systems by which results generated from student feedback systems at each level were utilised to develop strategies for improving teaching and learning. Findings from the study were used to inform recommendations in relation to internal practices within each University, as well as initiatives for benchmarking student evaluation results across universities within the ATN network.

An operational approach to validate the path of BGP

BGP (Border Gateway Protocol) is a fundamental component of the current Internet infrastructure. However, BGP is vulnerable to a variety of attacks, since it cannot ensure the authenticity of the path attributes announced by BGP routers. Despite several solutions have been proposed to address this vulnerability, none of them is operational in real-world due to their immense impact on original BGP. In this paper, we propose a Deployable Path Validation Authentication scheme, which can effectively validate the path of BGP. Through analysis and simulation we show that this scheme has little impact on the performance and memory usage for the original BGP, and can be adopted in practice as an operational approach.

Socioeconomic variations in women's diets : what is the role of perceptions of the local food environment

Objectives : To test the contribution of perceived environmental factors (food availability, accessibility and affordability) to mediating socioeconomic variations in women’s fruit, vegetable and fast food consumption.

Methods : A community sample of 1580 women from 45 neighbourhoods provided survey data on their socioeconomic position (SEP) (education and income); diet (fruit, vegetable and fast food consumption); and the perceived availability of, access to and cost of healthy food in their local area.

Results : Once perceived environmental variables were considered, the associations between SEP and diet were weak and non-significant, suggesting that socioeconomic differences in diet were almost wholly explained by perceptions of food availability, accessibility and affordability.

Conclusions : Strategies to decrease socioeconomic inequalities in diet could involve promoting inexpensive ways to increase fruit and vegetable consumption, and ensuring that people of low SEP are aware that many healthy foods are available at relatively low cost. Future research should also confirm if perceptions match objective measures of food availability, accessibility and affordability, in order to address the real and/or perceived lack of healthy options in low SEP neighbourhoods.

Housing service officers : agents of the state or customer service officers?

Staff employed in the Victorian Office of Housing are invariably required to exercise discretion in their day-to-day work managing housing assets and providing services to public housing tenants. Policies specify processes but they never cover all situations and do not provide guidance on competing objectives. For example, preparing a property for reletting is a process with protocols and budget constraints. However, staff can make procedural variations that compy with policy. These variations, generally learnt from peers on the job, often result in budget over runs, but do result in improved properties for new tenants. Discretion is being exercised in balancing housing asset, budget control and tenant service objectives. A housing officer sums up the enduring tension in balancing objectives in the question and statement:’ Am I an agent of the state or a customer service officer? Because I can’t be both’. Organisationally these tensions are spoken about as ‘management issues’, ‘policy reengineering’ and ‘unrealistic understandings’. Using data from an ethnographic study in the Victorian Office of Housing, the paper addresses the question: ‘What do we know about the way in which front line housing officers manage competing objectives in their daily work and how might this knowledge be usefully used in the development of operational policy?’ The paper will explore the way in which complex administrative rules are used as a device to align staff to the Office of Housing objectives and limit the exercise of discretion by frontline staff. Against the background of this analysis the paper will consider the limitations of rule making and the extent to which other organisational strategies might be important for improvements in service provision in a context of constrained resources and limited resources.

A study on energy performance of hotel buildings in Singapore

This paper presents a study on energy performance of Singapore's hotel buildings. Energy consumption data and other pertinent information were collected from 29 quality hotels through a national survey. Building features and operational characteristics contributing to the variations in hotel energy performance were discussed. The annual average total energy use intensity (EUI) in these hotels is 427 kWh/m2. Electricity and gas are used in all sampled hotels, and some hotels also use diesel to power standby generator or hot water boiler. We also investigated relationships between electricity consumption and number of occupied rooms in individual hotels; the weak correlations found indicate it is necessary to improve energy management when occupancy rate is low. Besides, Pearson correlations between hotel energy use intensity and possible explanatory indicators revealed that three-star hotels differ from high class establishments in energy use. Worker density and years after the last major energy retrofit were also found to be highly correlated to hotel building energy use intensity. Also discussed in this paper is the effect of weather conditions on electricity consumption of the hotels.

Police stress : the role of psychological contract and perceptions of fairness

Purpose – The overall purpose of this paper is to examine the extent to which breaches in psychological contracts and perceptions of organizational fairness account for variations in job stress experienced by operational police officers (as measured by psychological distress and employee performance), after controlling for the variance associated with more established job stressors (i.e. job demands, job control and social support).

Design/methodology/approach – This study is based on data collected through a self-report survey involving operational members of a large Australian police force (n=582).

Findings – Results of hierarchical multiple regression analyses indicate that vast majority of explained variance in psychological distress and extra-role performance is attributed to the additive effects of demand, control, and support. Furthermore, only one of the social exchange dimensions (interpersonal fairness) is predictive of either target variable.

Research limitations/implications – The limitations that need to be taken into account are the cross-sectional nature of the study design and the focus on a single police service.

Practical implications – Despite the generally weak support for the social exchange variables, there are signs that dimensions of justice (particularly interpersonal justice) should be included in future police-stress investigations. The results also suggest that job characteristics such as job demand, job control and social support should be taken into account when developing strategies to prevent and/or reduce chronic job stress in policing services.

Originality/value – This is one of the first studies to examine the relationships between psychological contract breach, perceptions of fairness and police stress.

Variations in vascular access flows in haemodialysis can depend on needle orientation

Introduction: While using the Transonic Qc[TM] machine to assess access flow in arteriovenous fistulae (AVF), we observed that when compared to antegrade arterial needle insertion, retrograde arterial needle insertion could regularly produce lower access flow measurements. This study sought to explore this phenomenon.

Method: 23 patients entered and 20 finished the study. Patient selection criteria included: functioning AVF and an adequate AVF length for either retrograde or antegrade arterial needle insertion. After ensuring stable and similar blood pressures, 3 flow measurements were taken during the first 2 hours on the same dialysis day of 3 consecutive weeks using antegrade needle insertion then were repeated on 3 further consecutive weeks using retrograde insertion.

Results: Overall, access flows measured with retrograde insertion were significantly lower by a mean difference of 107.15 ml/min (57-484 ml/min) than the flows measured with antegrade needle placement. In 5/20, 3 recorded minimal difference and 2 had a higher access flows during retrograde insertion. No recirculation was observed during either antegrade or retrograde needle insertion. The paired t-test showed that there was significant difference between the antegrade versus retrograde mean measurements (p = 0.005).

Conclusion: Although the sample size is small and the number of measurements limited, we conclude that access flows may be greater with an antegrade arterial orientation compared to flows recorded with a retrograde orientation. The phenomenon behind this conclusion is yet to be investigated. We suggest that when using the Transonic Qc[TM] access measurement device the arterial needle should always be in the same direction for each measurement for each individual patient.

Can social cognitive theory constructs explain socio-economic variations in adolescent eating behaviours? A mediation analysis

Adolescents of low socio-economic position (SEP) are less likely than those of higher SEP to consume diets in line with current dietary recommendations. The reasons for these SEP variations remain poorly understood. We investigated the mechanisms underlying socio-economic variations in adolescents’ eating behaviours using a theoretically derived explanatory model. Data were obtained from a community-based sample of 2529 adolescents aged 12–15 years, from 37 secondary schools in Victoria, Australia. Adolescents completed a web-based survey assessing their eating behaviours, self-efficacy for healthy eating, perceived importance of nutrition and health, social modelling and support and the availability of foods in the home. Parents provided details of maternal education level, which was used as an indicator of SEP. All social cognitive constructs assessed mediated socio-economic variations in at least one indicator of adolescents’ diet. Cognitive factors were the strongest mediator of socio-economic variations in fruit intakes, while for energy-dense snack foods and fast foods, availability of energy-dense snacks at home tended to be strong mediators. Social cognitive theory provides a useful framework for understanding socio-economic variations in adolescent's diet and might guide public health programmes and policies focusing on improving adolescent nutrition among those experiencing socio-economic disadvantage.