Risk-benefit assessment of Bacillus Calmette-Guérin vaccination, anti-phenolic glycolipid I serology, and Mitsuda test response: 10-year follow-up of household contacts of leprosy patients

Abstract: INTRODUCTION: Despite multidrug therapy, leprosy remains a public health issue. The intradermal Bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) vaccine, Mitsuda test (lepromin skin test), and anti-phenolic glycolipid I (PGL-I) serology are widely used in leprosy studies and have shown great epidemiological value. METHODS: This longitudinal study evaluated the relative risks and benefits of these three tools by comparing results observed in household contacts (HHCs) of leprosy patients who developed leprosy with those of HHCs who did not in a population of 2,992 individuals monitored during a 10-year period. RESULTS : Seventy-five (2.5%) new leprosy cases were diagnosed, including 28 (0.9%) co-prevalent cases. Therefore, for the risk-benefit assessment, 47 (1.6%) HHCs were considered as truly diagnosed during follow-up. The comparison between healthy and affected contacts demonstrated that not only did BCG vaccination increase protection, but boosters also increased to 95% relative risk (RR) reduction when results for having two or more scars were compared with having no scars [RR, 0.0459; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.006-0.338]. Similarly, Mitsuda reactions >7mm in induration presented 7-fold greater protection against disease development compared to reactions of 0-3mm (RR, 0.1446; 95% CI, 0.0566-0.3696). In contrast, anti-PGL-I ELISA seropositivity indicated a 5-fold RR increase for disease outcome (RR, 5.688; 95% CI, 3.2412-9.9824). The combined effect of no BCG scars, Mitsuda reaction of <7mm, and seropositivity to anti-PGL-I increased the risk for leprosy onset 8-fold (RR, 8.109; 95% CI, 5.1167-12.8511). CONCLUSIONS: The adoption of these combined assays may impose measures for leprosy control strategies.

Perfil imunológico de grávidas atópicas versus grávidas saudáveis

RESUMO: A prevalência das doenças atópicas tem vindo a aumentar, em especial ao nível dos países ocidentalizados. Vários fatores têm sido apontados para justificar este aumento de prevalência,destacando-se o reduzido tamanho das famílias, o elevado uso de antibióticos, a melhoria das condições sanitárias, bem como a diminuição quer das infeções de helmintas, quer da contaminação orofecal. Alguns estudos têm também avaliado a influência do ambiente pré-natal no desenvolvimento de atopia e asma. Da análise da literatura, parece inegável a importância deste período para o desenvolvimento do sistema imunitário. Neste âmbito, a transmissão de atopia à descendência em mulheres atópicas, e concretamente com asma alérgica, poderá ser moldada desde este período. A possibilidade de identificar marcadores de risco precoces para o desenvolvimento de atopia poderá ser o primeiro passo para o desenvolvimento de estratégias de prevenção para os indivíduos em risco. Este trabalho pretendeu abordar o sistema imunitário materno de forma a enriquecer a sua caraterização desde o terceiro trimestre da gravidez até ao fim do puerpério. Para além da exploração de perfis celulares e citocínicos maternos (nos quais se incluiu sobretudo a avaliação de diferentes populações de células T e B, com funções efetoras e reguladoras), foi também considerada a sua eventual relação com o desenvolvimento de atopia nas crianças. Foram recrutadas 135 mulheres com critérios para serem incluídas num dos 4 grupos do estudo: grávidas atópicas – GA (n=24), não grávidas atópicas – NGA (n=32), grávidas saudáveis – GS (n=44) e não grávidas saudáveis – NGS (n=35). Foram caraterizadas por Citometria de Fluxo populações de leucócitos e linfócitos, com particular interesse nos perfis maturativos de linfócitos T e B, bem como nas subpopulações de células T e B reguladoras. Foi ainda efetuada uma análise funcional, para avaliar a capacidade de produção de citocinas pelos linfócitos T e B. Foram igualmente avaliadas as concentrações de citocinas séricas por ensaios imunoenzimáticos. Estes parâmetros imunológicos maternos foram acompanhados desde o terceiro trimestre de gestação, até depois do puerpério (primeiras 6 semanas pós parto), e aos seis meses de idade, foi efetuada uma avaliação clínica das crianças. As mulheres não grávidas atópicas apresentaram contagens celulares mais elevadas para a generalidade das populações leucocitárias e linfocitárias (em relação a mulheres não grávidas saudáveis). Destaca-se ainda uma maior presença de eosinófilos nas mulheres NGA (p=0,0009; teste de Mann-Whitney U), que tinham igualmente os seus compartimentos linfocitários T e B mais ricos em células de memória, em relação às mulheres NGS. Para os perfis de regulação, verificou-se que as células T reguladoras se encontravam percentualmente aumentadas (p≤0,003; teste de Mann-Whitney U), tal omo as células T produtoras de IL10 após estimulação (p≤0,03; teste de Mann-Whitney U) em mulheres NGA. Também se observou uma maior expressão de Foxp3 (p=0,0002; teste de Mann-Whitney U), e ainda a diminuição dos níveis séricos de IFN-γ nas mulheres NGA (p=0,0019; teste de Mann-Whitney U), em relação a mulheres NGS. De um modo geral, as alterações verificadas nos parâmetros imunológicos de mulheres grávidas atópicas no terceiro trimestre da gravidez foram semelhantes às observadas em mulheres grávidas saudáveis. Comparadas com mulheres NGA, nas mulheres grávidas atópicas ocorreu uma alteração substancial da fórmula leucocitária, com um importante incremento de neutrófilos (p<0,0001; teste de Mann-Whitney U) e diminuição dos valores das restantes populações leucocitárias. A diminuição nas contagens de linfócitos totais estendeu-se a grande parte das subpopulações linfocitárias caraterizadas. Nos compartimentos linfocitários T e B foi possível observar uma diminuição das subpopulações de células de memória. Verificou-se igualmente na gravidez uma menor expressão de Foxp3 em mulheres GA (p<0,0001; teste de Mann-Whitney U) e ainda menos células B CD24HiCD38Hi circulantes (p=0,0012; teste de Mann-Whitney U). Ocrreu ainda uma diminuição relativa das células T CD4 produtoras de IFN-γ em mulheres GA (p≤0,024; teste de Mann-Whitney U), e uma maior presença de células T CD8 produtoras de IL17 (p=0,0172; teste de Mann-Whitney U), em relação ao observado em mulheres NGA. Depois do puerpério, no compartimento T de mulheres do grupo GA, verificou-se um aumento das populações de células de memória. Em comparação com a gravidez, após o puerpério o compartimento B, apresentou nas mulheres GA um aumento significativo da subpopulação de células B de transição (p<0,0001; teste de Wilcoxon). Verificou-se, igualmente em mulheres GA após o puerpério, uma maior expressão de Foxp3 nas células T reguladoras (p<0,0001; teste de Wilcoxon) e o aumento das populações de células T circulantes produtoras de IFN-γ (p≤0,0234; teste de Wilcoxon). As modulações das populações T e B desde a gravidez até depois do puerpério ocorreram de forma semelhante nas mulheres dos grupos GA e GS. Apesar de as mulheres GA manterem um perfil imunológico próximo do das mulheres GS depois do puerpério, aconteceu também neste período um processo de reaproximação ao perfil observado nas mulheres NGA. As mulheres GA com manifestações de risco para atopia na descendência (comparadas com mulheres GA sem manifestações de risco para atopia na descendência até aos 6 meses de vida) apresentaram uma maior proporção de células T e menor proporção de células B, percentagens mais elevadas de células T CD8 de memória efetoras, de células B de transição e de células B CD24HiCD38Hi, e contagens mais baixas de células B de memória. Na avaliação destes parâmetros como marcadores de risco para o desenvolvimento de atopia verificou-se que o parâmetro com melhor desempenho foi a percentagem de células B de transição, com uma Odds-Ratio de 54,0 [IC 95%: 4,2-692,9; (p=0,0005)], sensibilidade de 90,0% [IC 95%: 55,5 – 99,8] e especificidade de 85,7% [IC 95%: 57,2 – 98,2]. Este estudo foi pioneiro em Portugal, e no mundo, no que se refere ao acompanhamento do compartimento linfocitário B circulante, abordando o seu perfil de maturação, e em particular as células B com funções reguladoras, desde a gravidez até ao fim do puerpério, em mulheres atópicas e não atópicas. A este nível, encontram-se estudos na literatura a documentar a alteração do compartimento B durante a gravidez. O presente trabalho reporta agora que alterações, como a diminuição do número de células B em circulação, são impostas também na mulher atópica. Em suma, demonstrou-se a existência de um perfil imunológico caraterístico em mulheres atópicas, que sofre alterações significativas durante a gravidez, tendendo os parâmetros imunológicos a normalizar após o puerpério. O compartimento T, para o qual a literatura é mais rica em estudos e abordagens, demonstrou também neste trabalho oscilações caraterísticas entre o período pré e pós-natal. Verificaram-se sobretudo variações nos compartimentos de células T de memória, sem grandes alterações ao nível das células Treg no que se refere à sua presença em circulação. Apenas a registar a menor expressão de Foxp3 nas células Treg durante a gestação observada em mulheres atópicas, tal como em mulheres saudáveis (como também já foi relatado em estudos anteriores). Apesar de muitos dos dados se encontrarem em concordância com a literatura, quer no que se refere às subpopulações de células de memória, quer no que se refere às células Treg, também se encontram resultados discordantes, por exemplo documentando variações numéricas nas células Treg em circulação em mulheres atópicas e mulheres atópicas grávidas. A importância de harmonizar protocolos e fenótipos, parece crucial na abordagem de estudos futuros. Ao nível do risco para a atopia na descendência de mulheres atópicas, acrescentou-se ainda a possibilidade de definir marcadores não invasivos para a criança, em particular as células B de transição. Estas células, cuja maior presença em circulação no recém-nascido foi recentemente associada com manifestações alérgicas subsequentes, são agora apontadas já na mulher atópica, grávida do terceiro trimestre, como um elemento de risco para o desenvolvimento de atopia. Os marcadores de risco descritos, para além de facilmente poderem vir a ser englobados no âmbito dos normais rastreios maternos durante a gravidez, apresentam ainda a vantagem da precocidade do diagnóstico, permitindo não só a possibilidade de prevenção pós-natal, mas estendendo esta possibilidade ao período gestacional.----------------------------ABSTRACT: The prevalence of atopic diseases has been increasing, especially in Westernized countries. Several factors have been suggested to justify this increase in prevalence, as the small size of families, the high use of antibiotics, the improvement in sanitation conditions, as well as the reduction of both helminth infections, and orofecal contamination. A few studies have adressed the influence of prenatal environment on the development of atopy and asthma. From literature, it seems undeniable the importance of the prenatal period for the development of the immune system. In this context, the transmission of atopy to the progeny in atopic women, and specifically in women with allergic asthma, can be modulated from this period on. The ability to detect early risk markers for the development of atopic diseases may be the first step in the development of prevention strategies for individuals at risk. This study aimed to approach the maternal immune system in order to enrich its characterization from the third trimester of pregnancy until the end of the puerperium period. In addition to the evaluation of the maternal cellular profiles (in which, mostly, diferente populations of T and B cells with effector and regulatory functions were included) and citokines, the relation between these profiles and the development of atopy in the progeny was also assessed. 135 women were recruited for this study, and fullfiled the inclusion criteria necessary to be included in one of the four groups preset: atopic pregnant women - GA (n = 24), atopic nonpregnant women - NGA (n = 32), healthy pregnant women - GS (n = 44) and healthy nonpregnant women - NGS (n = 35). Populations of leukocytes and lymphocytes, and particularty maturation profiles of T and B lymphocytes, as well as subpopulations of T and B cells with regulatory functions, were characterized by flow cytometry. Functional assays were also performed, to assess the ability of cytokine production by T and B lymphocytes. Serum cytokine concentrations were assessed as well by enzymatic immunoassays. These maternal imune parameters were monitored since the third trimester of pregnancy until the end of the puerperium period (first six weeks after delivery). A clinical evaluation of all the newborn children was performed at the age of six months. Non-atopic pregnant women presented higher cell counts for most leukocyte and lymphocyte populations (compared to healthy non-pregnant women). We should also highlight the increased presence of eosinophils in NGA women (p = 0,0009; Mann-Whitney U test). Again compared to NGS women, NGA women showed increased memory cells within the circulating T and B lymphocyte compartments. Considering the regulatory profiles, NGA women presented higher percentages of regulatory T cells (p≤0,003; Mann-Whitney U test) and IL10 producing T cells after stimulation (p≤0,03; Mann Whitney U), as well as increased expression of Foxp3 (p = 0,0002; Mann-Whitney U test), and also decreased serum levels of IFN-γ (p = 0,0019; test Mann-Whitney U test) compared to NGS women. In general, the changes observed in immune parameters of atopic pregnant women in the third trimester of gestation were similar to those observed in healthy pregnant women. Comparing pregnant and non-pregnant atopic women, an important change in leukocyte subsets was observed, with a significant increase of neutrophils (p <0,0001; Mann-Whitney U test) and the consequent diminution of the remaining leukocyte populations in the GA group. The decrease in total lymphocyte counts was extended to most of the lymphocyte subsets characterized. It was possible to detect a decrease in memory cell subsets within the T and B lymphocyte compartments, also. During pregnancy, a lower expression of Foxp3 was reported in GA women (p <0,0001; Mann-Whitney U test) and, besides, lesser CD24HiCD38Hi B cells were present in circulation in these women, compared to NGA women (p = 0,0012; Mann-Whitney U test). There was still a decrease in the percentages of IFN-γ-producing CD4 T cells in GA women (p≤0,024; Mann-Whitney U test) and a greater presence of IL17-producing CD8 T cells (p = 0,0172; Mann-Whitney U test), compared to the levels observed in NGA women. At the end of the puerperium, there was an increase in memory cell subpopulations within the T cell compartment of GA women. Compared with the pregnancy evaluation, after puerperium, the B cell compartment showed a significant increase in the transitional subpopulation (p<0,0001; Wilcoxon test), in GA women. Moreover, after puerperium, GA women exhibited a greater expression of Foxp3 in Treg cells (p <0,0001; Wilcoxon test) and there was an increase in circulating IFN-γ-producing T cells (p≤0,0234; Test Wilcoxon). The modulations of T and B cell subpopulations from pregnancy until the end of puerperium were similar in women of GA and GS groups. Although at the end of puerperium, GA women still kept an immune profile close the one observed in GS women, at this time point, there were also signs of rapprochement between the immune profiles observed in women of GA and NGA groups. GA women with atopic manifestations in the offspring (compared to GA women without atopic manifestations in the offspring at the age of 6 months) presented higher proportions of T cells and lower proportions of B cells, higher percentages of effector memory CD8 T cells, transitional B cells and CD24HiCD38Hi B cells, and, finally, lower absolute counts of memory B cells. In the evaluation of these parameters as risk markers for the development of atopy, the parameter which presented the best performance was the percentage of transitional B cells, with an Oddsratio of 54,0 [95% CI: 4,2 to 692,9; (p = 0,0005)], sensitivity of 90,0% [95% CI: 55,5 to 99,8] and a specificity of 85,7% [95% CI: 57,2 to 98,2]. This study was a pioneer in Portugal, and in the world, in what concerns the monitoring of the circulating B cell compartment, addressing not only the maturation profile, but, in particular, B cells with regulatory functions, from pregnancy untill after puerperium, in atopic and non-atopic women. Literature presents evidence of a typical change in circulating B cells during pregnancy. This study now reports that changes, such as the decrease in the number of circulating B cells,/ are also imposed by pregnancy in atopic woman. In brief, it demonstrated the existence of a characteristic immune profile in atopic women, which undergoes significant alterations during pregnancy, tending to normalize after the puerperium. As for the T cell compartment, for which the literature is richer in studies and approaches, this study also showed characteristic fluctuations between the pre- and postnatal periods. There were variations mostly in the memory subsets within the T cell compartment, without major changes in regulatory T cells regarding their presence in circulation. Only the expression of Foxp3 in Treg cells presented lower levels during pregnancy, in both atopic and healthy women (as previously reported in other studies). Although much of the data now reported are in agreement with literature, regarding either memory cell subsets or regulatory T cells, there are also conflicting results, for example documenting changes in the numbers of regulatory T cells circulating in atopic pregnant and atopic non-pregnant women. The importance of harmonizing protocols and phenotypes seems crucial for the establishement of future studies. Considering the risk for atopy in the offspring of atopic women, this study added the possibility to define non-invasive markers for the child, in particular transitional B cells. These cells, whose greater presence in circulation in newborns has recently been associated with subsequent allergy development, are here identified in atopic pregnant women in the third trimester of gestation as a risk factor in the development of atopy in their progeny. The risk factors described, besides having the capacity to easily become integrated within the normal maternal screening protocols during pregnancy, also have the advantage of an early diagnosis, allowing not only the possibility of postnatal prevention but extending this possibility to the prenatal period.

Risk factors for Toxoplasma gondii infection among pregnant women from the State of Tocantins, Northern Brazil

ABSTRACT INTRODUCTION: The prevalence of infection by Toxoplasma gondii and associated risk factors in pregnant women in Tocantins, Northern Brazil were assessed. METHODS: Serological analysis was performed in 338 serum samples and an oral questionnaire was utilized to identify potential risk factors. RESULTS: Anti-IgG antibodies against T. gondii were detected in 71% (240/338) of the pregnant women. Prior contact with cats and meat handling were found to be associated with T. gondii infection. CONCLUSIONS: A considerable percentage (29%) of women living in the Tocantins area remain susceptible to infection by the T. gondii protozoon, representing a serious public health risk.

Prevalence of intestinal parasites and risk factors forspecific and multiple helminth infections in a remote city of the Brazilian Amazon

Abstract: INTRODUCTION: Few studies have described the risk factors of intestinal parasitic infections in the Amazon. METHODS: A cross-sectional survey was performed in a City of the State of Amazonas (Brazil) to estimate the prevalence of intestinal parasites and determine the risk factors for helminth infections. RESULTS: Ascaris lumbricoides was the most prevalent parasite. The main risk factors determined were: not having a latrine for A. lumbricoides infection; being male and having earth or wood floors for hookworm infection; and being male for multiple helminth infections. CONCLUSIONS: We reported a high prevalence of intestinal parasites and determined some poverty-related risk factors.

Dose de radiação e risco para a saúde em doentes com Linfoma não-Hodgkin submetidos a estudos de TC

RESUMO - A exposição a radiações ionizantes em tomografia computorizada (TC) pode constituir-se como um risco para a saúde dos utentes. A TC é utilizada no diagnóstico e follow-up de doentes com Linfoma não-Hodgkin, subtipo Linfoma Difuso das Grandes Células B (LDGCB). O objetivo deste estudo foi determinar a dose efetiva acumulada e o risco de segundas neoplasias nestes doentes, diagnosticados em 2011 no IPOLFG e seguidos na consulta de hematologia até 2013. Foram avaliados retrospetivamente 70 doentes com base nos registos de dose do “Patient Protocol” das TC efetuadas. Em média cada doente fez 12 TC e a dose efetiva acumulada foi de 64,76 mSv (percentil 75). Três doentes foram expostos a doses de radiação superiores 90 mSv e um atingiu 111,72 mSv. Os resultados demonstram ser necessário rever os parâmetros e protocolos de exames de TC: (i) TC crânio (DLP= 777 mGycm) e TC abdominal-pélvico (DLP= 628 mGycm). O aumento do número de exames de TC efetuados e a consequente dose parece corresponder a um aumento do risco de segundas neoplasias e risco de morte por doenças neoplásicas durante a vida destes doentes. Os resultados são aparentemente mais significativos para as mulheres, que apresentam o dobro do risco de cancro do pulmão e risco de mortalidade superior em 14% para todas as doenças neoplásicas. O elevado número de exames de TC realizados por cada doente contribui para o aumento da probabilidade de efeitos deletérios e também para o aumento dos níveis de dose efetiva coletiva na população em geral.

Intraventricular hemorrhage in very low birth weight infants: associated risk factors and outcome in the neonatal period

Intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) is a severe complication in very low birth weight (VLBW) newborns (NB). With the purpose of studying the incidence of IVH, the associated risk factors, and the outcomes for these neonates, we studied all the VLBW infants born in our neonatal unit. Birth weight, gestational age, presence of perinatal asphyxia, mechanical ventilation, length of hospitalization, apnea crisis, hydrocephalus, and periventricular leukomalacia were analyzed. The diagnosis of IVH was based on ultrasound scan studies (Papile's classification) performed until the tenth day of life and repeated weekly in the presence of abnormalities. Sixty-seven/101 neonates were studied. The mortality rate was 30.6% (31/101) and the incidence of IVH was 29.8% (20/67) : 70% grade I, 20% grade III and 10% grade IV. The incidence of IVH in NB <1,000 g was 53.8% (p = 0.035) and for gestational age <30 weeks was 47.3% (p = 0.04), both considered risk factors for IVH. The length of hospitalization (p = 0.00015) and mechanical ventilation (p = 0.038) were longer in IHV NB. The IVH NB had a relative risk of 2.3 of developing apnea (p = 0.02), 3.7 of hydrocephalus (p = 0.0007), and 7.7 of periventricular leukomalacia (p < 0.00001). The authors emphasize the importance of knowing the risk factors related to IVH so as to introduce prevention schemes to reduce IVH and to improve outcomes of affected newborns.

Urinary tract infection in full-term newborn infants: risk factor analysis

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the correlation of risk factors to the occurrence of urinary tract infection in full-term newborn infants. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Retrospective study (1997) including full-term infants having a positive urine culture by bag specimen. Urine collection was based on: fever, weight loss > 10% of birth weight, nonspecific symptoms (feeding intolerance, failure to thrive, hypoactivity, debilitate suction, irritability), or renal and urinary tract malformations. In these cases, another urine culture by suprapubic bladder aspiration was collected to confirm the diagnosis. To compare and validate the risk factors in each group, the selected cases were divided into two groups: Group I - positive urine culture by bag specimen collection and negative urine culture by suprapubic aspiration, and Group II - positive urine culture by bag specimen collection and positive urine culture by suprapubic aspiration . RESULTS: Sixty one infants were studied, Group I, n = 42 (68.9%) and Group II, n = 19 (31.1%). The selected risk factors (associated infectious diseases, use of broad-spectrum antibiotics, renal and urinary tract malformations, mechanical ventilation, parenteral nutrition and intravascular catheter) were more frequent in Group II (p<0.05). Through relative risk analysis, risk factors were, in decreasing importance: parenteral nutrition, intravascular catheter, associated infectious diseases, use of broad-spectrum antibiotics, mechanical ventilation, and renal and urinary tract malformations. CONCLUSION: The results showed that parenteral nutrition, intravascular catheter, and associated infectious diseases contributed to increase the frequency of neonatal urinary tract infection, and in the presence of more than one risk factor, the occurrence of urinary tract infection rose up to 11 times.

Efeito de um resultado falso positivo da leitura da mamografia na não participação no rastreio do cancro da mama : estudo de coorte histórico de um rastreio de base populacional da região de saúde do centro em Portugal

RESUMO - Introdução: O cancro da mama é uma das principais causas de mortalidade por doença oncológica. O rastreio contribui para o aumento da sobrevivência, mas apresenta riscos como a obtenção de um resultado falso positivo com efeitos controversos sobre a participação subsequente. Métodos: Realizou-se um estudo de coorte histórico (2006-2012) de 170.835 mulheres com 45-67 anos, elegíveis para o programa de rastreio do cancro da mama da ARSC,IP. Calcularam-se as medidas de efeito de um falso positivo da leitura na não participação na volta consecutiva de rastreio do cancro da mama, e a associação entre o evento em estudo e factores sociodemográficos, relacionados com o rastreio e com a anamnese, através de análise de regressão de Poisson. Resultados: A incidência de não participação foi 12,13%. A exposição a falso positivo da leitura aumentou 8,01% o risco absoluto de não participação. O falso positivo da leitura da mamografia revelou-se um factor de risco para a não participação (RRa=1,17; IC 1,10-1,25). O efeito protector da existência de participações anteriores foi superior ao efeito dos factores de risco identificados. Identificaram-se outros factores de risco e de protecção. Discussão: De acordo com os factores de risco e de protecção identificados recomendaram-se alterações à operacionalização do programa de rastreio, a manutenção das estatégias adequadas e a realização de estudos futuros para avaliar o efeito de outros factores não incluídos neste estudo. A comunicação do risco associado a um resultado anormal da mamografia é importante para diminuir a ansiedade consequente ao rastreio, devendo ser oferecidas intervenções que promovam a participação no rastreio.

Risk of employing an evolvable production system

Nowadays manufacturing companies are facing a more challenging environment due to the unpredictability of the markets in order to survive. Enterprises need to keep innovating and deliver products with new internal or external characteristics. There are strategies and solutions, to different organisational level from strategic to operational, when technology is growing faster in operational level, more specifically in manufacturing system. This means that companies have to deal with the changes of the emergent manufacturing systems while it can be expensive and not easy to be implement. An agile manufacturing system can help to cope with the markets changeability. Evolvable Production Systems (EPS) is an emergent paradigm which aims to bring new solutions to deal with changeability. The proposed paradigm is characterised by modularity and intends to introduce high flexibility and dynamism at shop floor level through the use of the evolution of new computational devices and technology. This new approach brings to enterprises the ability to plug and unplug new devices and allowing fast reformulation of the production line without reprogramming. There is no doubt about the advantages and benefits of this emerging technology but the feasibility and applicability is still under questioned. Most researches in this area are focused on technical side, explaining the advantages of those systems while there are no sufficient works discussing the implementation risks from different perspective, including business owner. The main objective of this work is to propose a methodology and model to identify, classify and measure potential risk associated with an implementation of this emergent paradigm. To quantify the proposed comprehensive risk model, an Intelligent Decision system is developed employing Fuzzy Inference System to deal with the knowledge of experts, as there are no historical data and sufficient research on this area. The result can be the vulnerability assessment of implementing EPS technology in manufacturing companies when the focus is more on SMEs. The present dissertation used the experts’ knowledge and experiences, who were involved in FP7 project IDEAS, which is one of the leading projects in this area.

Hormone replacement therapy and the risk of breast cancer: assessment of therapy acceptance in a cohort of previously treated breast cancer patients

INTRODUCTION: In the postmenopausal period, an average of 25% of women will present symptomatic ovarian failure requiring hormonal replacement therapy. Estrogen can relieve vasomotor symptoms. Hormonal replacement therapy is generally not recommended for breast cancer patients due to the potential risk of tumor recurrence. To answer the questions about the safety of hormonal replacement therapy in this subgroup of women, it is necessary to establish the acceptance of treatment. METHODS: Between September 1998 and February 2001, a cohort of 216 breast cancer patients were asked to complete a questionnaire. All patients had completed their treatment and were informed about survival rates after breast cancer and hormonal replacement therapy. RESULTS: Among the 216 patients, 134 (62%) would refuse hormonal replacement therapy. A hundred patients were afraid of relapse (74.6%). Adjuvant tamoxifen therapy was the only statistically significant variable (70.3% versus 29.7% p=0.003). Understanding clinical stage (p= 0.045) and type of medical assistance (private versus public , p=0.033) also seemed to influence the decision. Early stage disease (p= 0.22), type of surgical procedure (radical versus conservative, p=0.67), adjuvant chemotherapy (p=0.082) or marital status (p=0.98 ) were not statistically significant in decision making. Several patients submitted to adjuvant chemotherapy (41.6%) would accept hormonal replacement therapy under medical supervision, as did most of advanced clinical stage patients (58.3%; p=0.022). CONCLUSION: There is a high level of rejection for hormonal replacement therapy among breast cancer patients when current data on tumor cure rates, and potential risks of estrogen use is available. Adverse effects of tamoxifen in the adjuvant setting may be the reason for refusal of hormonal replacement therapy .

Introducing spin-off stocks into the NSP’s risk parity strategy

Field lab: Nova Student Portfolio

Introducing risk parity on momentum and carry portfolios

The momentum and carry anomalies have been extensively documented in the literature. However, there are still many issues relating to the risks associated to them that are left unexplained. One is the fact that an investor holds for too long the most volatile assets, both under momentum and carry strategies. Therefore, they present a level of risk and a probability of extreme events to happen inconsistent. This work project hypothesizes and proves the introduction of risk parity rules on the weights of the portfolios do increase risk rewarding of carry strategies. However, it fails under momentum strategies.

Development and validation of gold nanoprobes for human SNP detection towards commercial application

Conventional molecular techniques for detection and characterization of relevant nucleic acid (i.e. DNA) sequences are, nowadays, cumbersome, expensive and with reduced portability. The main objective of this dissertation consisted in the optimization and validation of a fast and low-cost colorimetric nanodiagnostic methodology for the detection of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). This was done considering SNPs associated to obesity of commercial interest for STAB VIDA, and subsequent evaluation of other clinically relevant targets. Also, integration of this methodology into a microfluidic platform envisaging portability and application on points-of-care (POC) was achieved. To warrant success in pursuing these objectives, the experimental work was divided in four sections: i) genetic association of SNPs to obesity in the Portuguese population; ii) optimization and validation of the non-cross-linking approach for complete genotype characterization of these SNPs; iii) incorporation into a microfluidic platform; and iv) translation to other relevant commercial targets. FTO dbSNP rs#:9939609 carriers had higher body mass index (BMI), total body fat mass, waist perimeter and 2.5 times higher risk to obesity. AuNPs functionalized with thiolated oligonucleotides (Au-nanoprobes) were used via the non-cross-linking to validate a diagnostics approach against the gold standard technique - Sanger Sequencing - with high levels of sensitivity (87.50%) and specificity (91.67%). A proof-of-concept POC microfluidic device was assembled towards incorporation of the molecular detection strategy. In conclusion a successful framework was developed and validated for the detection of SNPs with commercial interest for STAB VIDA, towards future translation into a POC device.

CTT, the mail going public

The main purpose of this case-study is to analyse CTT’s privatisation process, a previously Government-owned firm, which went public in 2013, under the terms of the adjustment program agreed between Portugal, the European institutions (ECB and European Commission) and the IMF. The emphasis will be placed on the IPO process, but also on the company itself (its history, current situation and prospects for its new phase, as a publicly listed company). This piece of work aims to evaluate the different alternatives for the privatisation of the company along with the respective implications, as well as the outcome of the actual decision taken by the Portuguese Government. One key aspect of the case is also to understand the importance that the privatisation of the Royal Mail, which can be seen as a peer of the Portuguese company, in the unfolding of the process and in the choice of the privatisation model. The case intends to show how the British process influenced the subsequent option of the Portuguese entities to sell CTT through an IPO, instead of a trade sale. All in all, the overall objective of this case-study is to analyse CTT’s successful sale process, which created the first Portuguese company with 100% free-float. 3 On the last days of November 2013, Steven Bernstein was staring at the window of his office overlooking downtown Manhattan, not even noticing the intense rain that was pouring down. As senior manager at ABC Fund, a pension fund responsible for managing more than 800 million dollars, his thoughts were focused on a very important decision that ABC Fund would have to make in just a matter of days. The American pension fund was considering whether or not to invest in the upcoming Initial Public Offering of CTT- Correios de Portugal, the Government-owned Portuguese mail company. Is this investment opportunity in accordance with the risk profile of a pension fund? Is it a wise decision to acquire shares in a Portuguese company when the country is at the centre of the European Sovereign debt crisis, going through a very demanding economic adjustment program imposed by its bail-out creditors? Would the creation of Portugal's Postal Bank make CTT a sure bet today when its price does not fully reflect the future benefits from entering financial services? Those were some of the questions that were constantly in Mr. Bernstein’s mind over the last couple of days and he was struggling to find the answers…