999 resultados para Statistique Bayésienne
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Incluye Bibliografía
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Incluye Bibliografía
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Inclut la bibliographie
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Inclut la bibliographie
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Incluye Bibliografía
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Inclut Annexe statistique
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Incluye Bibliografía
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Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)
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What is the role of qualitative data? How should mixed approaches be considered? Is it necessary to complement the quantitative approach by the qualitative approach (Maziére et al., 2010) or the opposite? How can these two approaches be combined in a Language Acquisition research? What are the possibilities of generalization that these approaches provide? Besides those necessary theoretical discussions, our starting point is a qualitative research on the acquisition of the plural morpheme in Brazilian Portuguese (BP) in children between 1 year 11 months old and 2 years 7 months old (Hilário, 2012), whose linguistic production is intrinsically connected to their dialogic aspect (Bakhtin & Vološinov, 1973) and to the interaction among interlocutors (Bruner, 2004; Vygotsky, 1986). In this research through the usage of a computational tool (CLAN) it is expected to have more visibility of the quantitative results even if they are in a qualitative approach. Although, it should be taken into account the fact that each approach can achieve valid and relevant results (Valsiner 2000), i.e., with any given method it is possible to reach a kind of generalization (statistical or analytical).
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Da ormai sette anni la stazione permanente GPS di Baia Terranova acquisisce dati giornalieri che opportunamente elaborati consentono di contribuire alla comprensione della dinamica antartica e a verificare se modelli globali di natura geofisica siano aderenti all’area di interesse della stazione GPS permanente. Da ricerche bibliografiche condotte si è dedotto che una serie GPS presenta molteplici possibili perturbazioni principalmente dovute a errori nella modellizzazione di alcuni dati ancillari necessari al processamento. Non solo, da alcune analisi svolte, è emerso come tali serie temporali ricavate da rilievi geodetici, siano afflitte da differenti tipologie di rumore che possono alterare, se non opportunamente considerate, i parametri di interesse per le interpretazioni geofisiche del dato. Il lavoro di tesi consiste nel comprendere in che misura tali errori, possano incidere sui parametri dinamici che caratterizzano il moto della stazione permanente, facendo particolare riferimento alla velocità del punto sul quale la stazione è installata e sugli eventuali segnali periodici che possono essere individuati.
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Au Piémont quatre minorités linguistiques historiques sont protégées par la loi: occitane, française, provençale et walser. Les municipalités francophones du Piémont sont vingt-huit, dont la plupart se trouve sur un territoire appelé « vallées vaudoises ». Le français est parlé comme un dialecte régional et il peut être considéré comme une variété de la langue, car il diffère du français de France pour son vocabulaire et sa prononciation. Le but de cette étude est celui d’examiner le degré de diffusion du français dans les vallées vaudoises, vérifier la présence d’initiatives de protection et l’engagement de la population. La présente étude est composée par sept parties. Le Chapitre 1 et 2 présentent l’état des recherches et définissent la méthode et le but de l’étude. Le Chapitre 3 présente un aperçu de l’histoire linguistique de la région, examine la situation linguistique actuelle notamment des minorités linguistiques historiques et du dialecte régional et analyse les lois qui protègent les minorités. Le Chapitre 4 décrit le territoire habité par la minorité française et présente un aperçu sur les événements historiques qui ont fait de ce territoire une communauté multilingue. Le Chapitre 5 analyse les compétences de la population, le degré de diffusion et les traits sociolinguistiques de la minorité. Le Chapitre 6 décrit les raisons de l’importance de la préservation du français dans les vallées vaudoises et présente un aperçu des initiatives de protection. La Conclusion présente les résultats et les possibles évolutions futures de l’étude. Afin d’atteindre l’objectif de l’étude, un sondage en ligne et plusieurs interviews ont été effectués ; ceux-ci ont permis d’obtenir des données ensuite analysées d’un point de vue statistique. En général, ce patrimoine est aujourd’hui très fragile ; cependant, un procès de revitalisation a commencé.
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Cyprien Ayer (1825–1888), figure marquante de la vie intellectuelle en Suisse au XIXe siècle, est l'auteur d’une vaste œuvre scientifique, journalistique et littéraire. Parmi ses travaux linguistiques les plus importants il faut mentionner sa Grammaire comparée de la langue française (1876; nombreuses rééditions), sa Phonologie de la langue française (1875), et son Introduction à l’étude des dialectes du pays (1878). Ce dernier texte, ouvrage pionnier dans le domaine des études francoprovençales, est réimprimé ici, précédé d'une introduction. Le présent recueil regroupe des contributions qui concernent l’œuvre linguistique et littéraire d’Ayer et ses rapports avec une autre figure-clef de la vie littéraire et intellectuelle en Suisse, Henri-Frédéric Amiel. Le recueil s’ouvre par une étude de la carrière d’Ayer et par une bibliographie de ses travaux scientifiques (grammaire, dialectologie, pédagogie, économie, géographie, statistique, politique, ethnographie).
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Les relations sociales font partie des déterminants clés du bien-être et de la santé de chacune et de chacun, indépendamment de l’âge, du genre ou de la culture. Il est démontré que les personnes qui disposent d’un réseau social solide et vivent dans le cadre d’une relation stable sont en meilleure santé physique et mentale. Elles sont mieux intégrées que les personnes qui vivent seules et qui n’ont pas de proches de confiance autour d’elles. Or, au fil des dernières décennies, vivre seul est devenu l’un des modes d’existence les plus répandus dans notre société. Les dernières tendances mises en lumière par l’Office fédéral de la statistique démontrent que plus de la moitié de la population suisse est célibataire, divorcée, en situation de veuvage ou sans relation fixe. Les ménages composés d’une seule personne sont ainsi les plus nombreux en Suisse.
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How do sportspeople succeed in a non-collaborative game? An illustration of a perverse side effect of altruism Are team sports specialists predisposed to collaboration? The scientific literature on this topic is divided. The present article attempts to end this debate by applying experimental game theory. We constituted three groups of volunteers (all students aged around 20): 25 team sports specialists; 23 individual sports specialists (gymnasts, track & field athletes and swimmers) and a control group of 24 non-sportspeople. Each subgroup was divided into 3 teams that played against each other in turn (and not against teams from other subgroups). The teams played a game based on the well-known Prisoner's Dilemma (Tucker, 1950) - the paradoxical "Bluegill Sunbass Game" (Binmore, 1999) with three Nash equilibria (two suboptimal equilibria with a pure strategy and an optimal equilibrium with a mixed, egotistical strategy (p= 1/2)). This game also features a Harsanyi equilibrium (based on constant compliance with a moral code and altruism by empathy: "do not unto others that which you would not have them do unto you"). How, then, was the game played? Two teams of 8 competed on a handball court. Each team wore a distinctive jersey. The game lasted 15 minutes and the players were allowed to touch the handball ball with their feet or hands. After each goal, each team had to return to its own half of the court. Players were allowed to score in either goal and thus cooperate with their teammates or not, as they saw fit. A goal against the nominally opposing team (a "guardian" strategy, by analogy with the Bluegill Sunbass Game) earned a point for everyone in the team. For an own goal (a "sneaker" strategy), only the scorer earned a point - hence the paradox. If all the members of a team work together to score a goal, everyone is happy (the Harsanyi solution). However, the situation was not balanced in the Nashian sense: each player had a reason to be disloyal to his/her team at the merest opportunity. But if everyone adopts a "sneaker" strategy, the game becomes a free-for-all and the chances of scoring become much slimmer. In a context in which doubt reigns as to the honesty of team members and "legal betrayals", what type of sportsperson will score the most goals? By analogy with the Bluegill Sunbass Game, we recorded direct motor interactions (passes and shots) based on either a "guardian" tactic (i.e. collaboration within the team) or a "sneaker" tactic (shots and passes against the player's designated team). So, was the group of team sports specialist more collaborative than the other two groups? The answer was no. A statistical analysis (difference from chance in a logistic regression) enabled us to draw three conclusions: ?For the team sports specialists, the Nash equilibrium (1950) was stronger than the Harsanyi equilibrium (1977). ?The sporting principles of equilibrium and exclusivity are not appropriate in the Bluegill Sunbass Game and are quickly abandoned by the team sports specialists. The latter are opportunists who focus solely on winning and do well out of it. ?The most altruistic players are the main losers in the Bluegill Sunbass Game: they keep the game alive but contribute to their own defeat. In our experiment, the most altruistic players tended to be the females and the individual sports specialists
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How do sportspeople succeed in a non-collaborative game? An illustration of a perverse side effect of altruism Are team sports specialists predisposed to collaboration? The scientific literature on this topic is divided. The present article attempts to end this debate by applying experimental game theory. We constituted three groups of volunteers (all students aged around 20): 25 team sports specialists; 23 individual sports specialists (gymnasts, track & field athletes and swimmers) and a control group of 24 non-sportspeople. Each subgroup was divided into 3 teams that played against each other in turn (and not against teams from other subgroups). The teams played a game based on the well-known Prisoner's Dilemma (Tucker, 1950) - the paradoxical "Bluegill Sunbass Game" (Binmore, 1999) with three Nash equilibria (two suboptimal equilibria with a pure strategy and an optimal equilibrium with a mixed, egotistical strategy (p= 1/2)). This game also features a Harsanyi equilibrium (based on constant compliance with a moral code and altruism by empathy: "do not unto others that which you would not have them do unto you"). How, then, was the game played? Two teams of 8 competed on a handball court. Each team wore a distinctive jersey. The game lasted 15 minutes and the players were allowed to touch the handball ball with their feet or hands. After each goal, each team had to return to its own half of the court. Players were allowed to score in either goal and thus cooperate with their teammates or not, as they saw fit. A goal against the nominally opposing team (a "guardian" strategy, by analogy with the Bluegill Sunbass Game) earned a point for everyone in the team. For an own goal (a "sneaker" strategy), only the scorer earned a point - hence the paradox. If all the members of a team work together to score a goal, everyone is happy (the Harsanyi solution). However, the situation was not balanced in the Nashian sense: each player had a reason to be disloyal to his/her team at the merest opportunity. But if everyone adopts a "sneaker" strategy, the game becomes a free-for-all and the chances of scoring become much slimmer. In a context in which doubt reigns as to the honesty of team members and "legal betrayals", what type of sportsperson will score the most goals? By analogy with the Bluegill Sunbass Game, we recorded direct motor interactions (passes and shots) based on either a "guardian" tactic (i.e. collaboration within the team) or a "sneaker" tactic (shots and passes against the player's designated team). So, was the group of team sports specialist more collaborative than the other two groups? The answer was no. A statistical analysis (difference from chance in a logistic regression) enabled us to draw three conclusions: ?For the team sports specialists, the Nash equilibrium (1950) was stronger than the Harsanyi equilibrium (1977). ?The sporting principles of equilibrium and exclusivity are not appropriate in the Bluegill Sunbass Game and are quickly abandoned by the team sports specialists. The latter are opportunists who focus solely on winning and do well out of it. ?The most altruistic players are the main losers in the Bluegill Sunbass Game: they keep the game alive but contribute to their own defeat. In our experiment, the most altruistic players tended to be the females and the individual sports specialists
