State of Iowa Juvenile Delinquency Annual Statistical Report, 2006

The Iowa Juvenile Court Services Offices are issuing their fourth annual statewide report. The the Iowa Division of Criminal and Juvenile Justice Planning (CJJP). This report would not be possible without the dedication of, and assistance from, all of the above-mentioned people. The eight Chief Juvenile Court Officers would like to take this opportunity to thank their staff for their dedication and their ability to enter accurate information on every youth referred to Juvenile Court Services; the staff at the Iowa Court Information System, without whom this report would not be possible; and CJJP for their maintenance of the Iowa Justice Data Warehouse and their support in preparing this document.

State of Iowa Juvenile Delinquency Annual Statistical Report, 2007

The Iowa Juvenile Court Services Offices are issuing their fourth annual statewide report. The the Iowa Division of Criminal and Juvenile Justice Planning (CJJP). This report would not be possible without the dedication of, and assistance from, all of the above-mentioned people. The eight Chief Juvenile Court Officers would like to take this opportunity to thank their staff for their dedication and their ability to enter accurate information on every youth referred to Juvenile Court Services; the staff at the Iowa Court Information System, without whom this report would not be possible; and CJJP for their maintenance of the Iowa Justice Data Warehouse and their support in preparing this document.

A-1 - Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program, August 2013

A-1 - Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program

A-1 - Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program, September 2013

A-1 - Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program

A-1 - Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program, October 2013

A-1 - Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program

The Beck Cognitive Insight Scale in outpatients with psychotic disorders: further evidence from a French-speaking sample.

OBJECTIVE: The Beck Cognitive Insight Scale (BCIS) evaluates patients' self-report of their ability to detect and correct misinterpretation. Our study aims to confirm the factor structure and the convergent validity of the original scale in a French-speaking environment. METHOD: Outpatients (n = 158) suffering from schizophrenia or schizoaffective disorders fulfilled the BCIS. The 51 patients in Montpellier were equally assessed with the Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale (PANSS) by a psychiatrist who was blind of the BCIS scores. RESULTS: The fit indices of the confirmatory factor analysis validated the 2-factor solution reported by the developers of the scale with inpatients, and in another study with middle-aged and older outpatients. The BCIS composite index was significantly negatively correlated with the clinical insight item of the PANSS. CONCLUSIONS: The French translation of the BCIS appears to have acceptable psychometric properties and gives additional support to the scale, as well as cross-cultural validity for its use with outpatients suffering from schizophrenia or schizoaffective disorders. The correlation between clinical and composite index of cognitive insight underlines the multidimensional nature of clinical insight. Cognitive insight does not recover clinical insight but is a potential target for developing psychological treatments that will improve clinical insight.

Advanced geostatistical and machine-learning models for spatial data analysis of radioactively contaminated regions

Radioactive soil-contamination mapping and risk assessment is a vital issue for decision makers. Traditional approaches for mapping the spatial concentration of radionuclides employ various regression-based models, which usually provide a single-value prediction realization accompanied (in some cases) by estimation error. Such approaches do not provide the capability for rigorous uncertainty quantification or probabilistic mapping. Machine learning is a recent and fast-developing approach based on learning patterns and information from data. Artificial neural networks for prediction mapping have been especially powerful in combination with spatial statistics. A data-driven approach provides the opportunity to integrate additional relevant information about spatial phenomena into a prediction model for more accurate spatial estimates and associated uncertainty. Machine-learning algorithms can also be used for a wider spectrum of problems than before: classification, probability density estimation, and so forth. Stochastic simulations are used to model spatial variability and uncertainty. Unlike regression models, they provide multiple realizations of a particular spatial pattern that allow uncertainty and risk quantification. This paper reviews the most recent methods of spatial data analysis, prediction, and risk mapping, based on machine learning and stochastic simulations in comparison with more traditional regression models. The radioactive fallout from the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant accident is used to illustrate the application of the models for prediction and classification problems. This fallout is a unique case study that provides the challenging task of analyzing huge amounts of data ('hard' direct measurements, as well as supplementary information and expert estimates) and solving particular decision-oriented problems.

A-1 - Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program, November 2013

A-1 - Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program

Applying machine learning methods to avalanche forecasting

Avalanche forecasting is a complex process involving the assimilation of multiple data sources to make predictions over varying spatial and temporal resolutions. Numerically assisted forecasting often uses nearest neighbour methods (NN), which are known to have limitations when dealing with high dimensional data. We apply Support Vector Machines to a dataset from Lochaber, Scotland to assess their applicability in avalanche forecasting. Support Vector Machines (SVMs) belong to a family of theoretically based techniques from machine learning and are designed to deal with high dimensional data. Initial experiments showed that SVMs gave results which were comparable with NN for categorical and probabilistic forecasts. Experiments utilising the ability of SVMs to deal with high dimensionality in producing a spatial forecast show promise, but require further work.

A-1 - Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program, December 2013

A-1 - Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program

The statistical accuracy of surveys on business and economic perspectives: a case study

In this paper, we develop a new decision making model and apply it in political Surveys of economic climate collect opinions of managers about the short-term future evolution of their business. Interviews are carried out on a regular basis and responses measure optimistic, neutral or pessimistic views about the economic perspectives. We propose a method to evaluate the sampling error of the average opinion derived from a particular type of survey data. Our variance estimate is useful to interpret historical trends and to decide whether changes in the index from one period to another are due to a structural change or whether ups and downs can be attributed to sampling randomness. An illustration using real data from a survey of business managers opinions is discussed.