Collective Marketing Arrangements for Geographically Differentiated Agricultural Products: Welfare Impacts and Policy Implications, May 2006

This paper examines the incentive of atomistic agricultural producers within a specific geographical region to differentiate and collectively market products. We develop a model that allows us to analyze the market and welfare effects of the main types of real-world producer organizations, using it to derive economic insights regarding the circumstances under which these organizations will evolve, and describing implications of the results obtained in the context of an ongoing debate between the European Union and United States. As the anticipated fixed costs of development and marketing increase and the anticipated size of the market falls, it becomes essential to increase the ability of the producer organization to control supply in order to ensure the coverage of fixed costs. Whenever a collective organization allows a market (with a new product) to exist that otherwise would not have existed there is an increase in societal welfare. Counterintuitively, stronger property right protection for producer organizations may be welfare enhancing even after a differentiated product has been developed. The reason for this somewhat paradoxical result is that legislation aimed at curtailing the market power of producer organizations may induce large technological distortions.

Policy Making in Divided Government. A Pivotal Actors Model with Party Discipline.

This article presents a formal model of policy decision-making in an institutional framework of separation of powers in which the main actors are pivotal political parties with voting discipline. The basic model previously developed from pivotal politics theory for the analysis of the United States lawmaking is here modified to account for policy outcomes and institutional performances in other presidential regimes, especially in Latin America. Legislators' party indiscipline at voting and multi-partism appear as favorable conditions to reduce the size of the equilibrium set containing collectively inefficient outcomes, while a two-party system with strong party discipline is most prone to produce 'gridlock', that is, stability of socially inefficient policies. The article provides a framework for analysis which can induce significant revisions of empirical data, especially regarding the effects of situations of (newly defined) unified and divided government, different decision rules, the number of parties and their discipline. These implications should be testable and may inspire future analytical and empirical work.

Structural changes in the US economy: Bad Luck or Bad Policy?

This paper investigates the relationship between time variations in output and inflation dynamics and monetary policy in the US. There are changes in the structural coefficients and in the variance of the structural shocks. The policy rules in the 1970s and 1990s are similar as is the transmission of policy disturbances. Inflation persistence is only partly a monetary phenomena. Variations in the systematic component of policy have limited effects on the dynamics of output and inflation. Results are robust to alterations in the auxiliary assumptions.

Pharmaceutical Generics, Vertical Product Differentiation, and Public Policy

This paper studies oligopolistic competition in off-patent pharmaceutical markets using a vertical product differentiation model. This model can explain the observation that countries with stronger regulations have smaller generic market shares. It can also explain the differences in observed regulatory regimes. Stronger regulation may be due to a higher proportion of production that is done by foreign firms. Finally, a closely related model can account for the observed increase in prices by patent owners after entry of generic producers.

Economic Booms, Trade Deficits, and Economic Policy

Many economic booms have been accompanied by real exchange rate appreciations, large trade defcits -which have sometimes persisted after the return to the initial exchange rate parity- and a deteriorating traded sector. Those circumstances have typically raised the question of the de-sirability of some stabilization policy. We show that the dynamics induced by an expected productivity shock in an economy where the capital stock is non-mobile across sectors, match those circumstances. Furthermore, we obtain that credit market imperfections tend to exacerbate trade deficits, and to cause an inefficient capacity reduction in the traded sector. Some stabilization policies are explored.

Tools & Trends, September 2006

Community Development News from the Iowa Department of Economic Development

Tools & Trends, March 2006

Community Development News from the Iowa Department of Economic Development

Policy and the Evolution of the US Economy: 1948-2002

This paper investigates the relationship between monetary policy and the changes experienced by the US economy using a small scale New-Keynesian model. The model is estimated with Bayesian techniques and the stability of policy parameter estimates and of the transmission of policy shocks examined. The model fits well the data and produces forecasts comparable or superior to those of alternative specifications. The parameters of the policy rule, the variance and the transmission of policy shocks have been remarkably stable. The parameters of the Phillips curve and of the Euler equations are varying.

Asymmetric information and trade policy

Economists understand protectionism as a costly mechanism to redistribute from the average citizen to special-interest groups; yet political platforms that deviate from free trade have surprising popular appeal. I present an explanation based on heterogeneous information across citizens whose voting decision has an intensive margin. For each politician and each sector, the optimal trade-policy choice caters to the preferences of those voters who are more likely to be informed of that proposal. An overall protectionist bias emerges because in every industry producers are better informed than consumers. This asymmetry emerges in equilibrium because co-workers share industry-specific knwoledge, and because producers have greater incentives to engage in costly learning about their sector. My model implies that more widespread information about trade policy for an industry is associated with lower protection. Cross-sectoral evidence on U.S. non-tariff barriers and newspaper coverage is consistent with this prediction.

Fiat Money, Intrinsic Properties, and Government Transaction Policy

Why do people coordinate on the use of valueless pieces of paper as generally accepted money? A possible answer is that these objects have intrinsic properties that make them better candidates to be used as media of exchange. Another answer stresses the fact that unconvertible fiat money will not easily appear unless there is a centralized institution that favors its use. The main objective of the paper is to analyze these questions. In order to do this, we take a model of commodity money in which fiat money does not play any significant role and modify it to examine under which circumstances fiat money might come to circulate as medium of exchange. Some of the results obtained from the model differ in a rather substantial way from previous related literature.

Gestão dos recursos hídricos no processo de desenvolvimento sustentável de Cabo Verde: uma proposta

A água é vital para a sobrevivência, saúde e dignidade do ser humano e uma fonte fundamental para o seu desenvolvimento. As reservas de água potável no mundo estão sob pressão constante embora muitos ainda não tenham acesso a esse precioso líquido para atender ás necessidades básicas. A água é um recurso natural com valor económico, estratégico e social. A percepção da escassez tem levado governos, a reorganizar o ambiente institucional e definir novos direitos de propriedade por meio de um sistema de gestão participativo e descentralizado que estimule a utilização do recurso de forma racional. A investigação está direccionada à gestão e à implementação da Lei n.º 41/II/84 de 18 de Junho, que Aprova o Código de Águas que estabelece as bases gerais do regime jurídico de propriedade, protecção, conservação, desenvolvimento, administração e uso dos recursos. O enfoque da pesquisa é as Instituições Governamentais que lidam com a água e as Associações de Bacias hidrográficas que, com os seus olhares e saberes, contribuem com informações para que se construa uma Proposta de Modelo de Gestão numa perspectiva de sustentabilidade. A proposta de modelo pretende contribuir para uma gestão sustentada. A pesquisa é do tipo qualitativa e usa como metodologia o Estudo de Caso. Foi constatada a complexidade da gestão das águas em Cabo Verde, na qual existem ainda muitos entraves e desafios. A Bacia Hidrográfica é a unidade básica de gestão, onde as Associações, as Câmaras Municipais, os Serviços Autónomos de Água e Saneamento, o Instituto Nacional de Gestão dos recursos Hidricos desempenham o papel de gerí-la e preservá-la. Foram identificados como dificuldades: a posse da água não está bem clara, o que dificulta a gestão da Bacia; os conflitos sociais são frequentes quanto ao uso da água no que tange à poluição; a população rural não está devidamente contemplada na gestão dos recursos hídricos. Por fim, constatou-se que Cabo Verde possui as ferramentas para a evolução da Gestão dos Recursos Hídricos, que é o Código de Água. Water is vital for the survival, health and dignity of the human being and a basic source for development. The drinking waters reserves in the world are under constant pressure. The water can be considered a natural resource with economic, strategically and social values. The perception of the scarcity has taken governments, to reorganize the institutional environment and to define new rights of property by means of participation and decentralized system of management that stimulates the use of the resource in rational form. This investigation addressed the Administration of Water Resources in Cabo Verde and the implementation of Law n.º 41/II/84 of 18 of June, which established the National Policy of Water Resources and the National System of Management. The approach of the research is the Governmental Institutions that deal with the water and the Associations that, at a glance, contribute with information that builds the proposal of water resources management in a sustainability perspective. The proposal has as objective to provide subsidies to advance more and more the research regarding sustainability in the administration of waters. The research was qualitative and it used as methodology the Study Case. We identified as difficulties: the ownership of the water is not well clear; the social conflicts are frequent concerning how to use the water. Finally, it was evidenced that Cape Verde has the tools for the evolution of water resources management, which is the Water Code.