967 resultados para INTERVAL ESTIMATION
Resumo:
Nearshore fisheries in the tropical Pacific play an important role, both culturally and as a reliable source of food security, but often remain under-reported in statistics, leading to undervaluation of their importance to communities. We re-estimated nonpelagic catches for Guam and the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands (CNMI), and summarize previous work for American Samoa for 1950−2002. For all islands combined, catches declined by 77%, contrasting with increasing trends indicated by reported data. For individual island entities, re-estima-tion suggested declines of 86%, 54%, and 79% for Guam, CNMI, and American Samoa, respectively. Except for Guam, reported data primarily represented commercial catches, and hence under-represented contributions by subsistence and recreational fisheries. Guam’s consistent use of creel surveys for data collection resulted in the most reliable reported catches for any of the islands considered. Our re-estimation makes the scale of under-reporting of total catches evident, and provides valuable baselines of likely historic patterns in fisheries catches.
Resumo:
The need to estimate percentages and/or numbers occurs frequently during practical research work; accurate but rapid estimates can be useful when planning research programmes. Charts are provided that may be used as a visual aid to estimating numbers of animals/plants in a specific situation, for example, the number of fish fry in a subsample from a hatchery tank, or the percentage composition of a sample such as the percentage algal cover in a pond.
Resumo:
Empirical relationships were established linking estimates of the instantaneous rate of natural mortality (M), the von Bertalanffy growth parameters, L sub( infinity ) (or W sub( infinity )) and K, and annual mean water temperature in 56 stocks of Mediterranean teleosts fish. It is suggested that these relationships generate for these fish more reliable estimates of M than the widely-used model of Pauly (1980, J. Cons. CIEM 33(3):175-192), which was based on 175 fish stocks, but included only five stocks from the Mediterranean.
Resumo:
A Organização Mundial de Saúde (OMS) estima para 2030, 27 milhões de casos incidentes de câncer. No Brasil, segundo o Instituto Nacional do Câncer, foram estimados 518.510 casos novos de câncer para os anos de 2012 e 2013. Dessa estimativa, 52.680 correspondem ao câncer de mama (CM), com um risco estimado de 52 novos casos a cada 100.000 mulheres. O câncer de mama é um dos tipos de câncer mais comuns no mundo todo. Hoje se sabe que o tratamento para o CM pode levar ao surgimento de diferentes efeitos adversos tardios, entre eles a osteoporose. Uma das principais causas de surgimento da osteoporose é a menopausa precoce, que ocorre através da diminuição da concentração de estrogênio sérico. Este trabalho teve como objetivo avaliar os efeitos na matriz óssea induzidos pela quimioterapia, simulando um tratamento para o CM, em ratas Wistar.Ratas Wistar, com aproximadamente 3 meses de idade, foram divididas em: grupo controle e grupo que recebeu quimioterapia com poliquimioterápico docetaxel + ciclofosfamida (TC). A quimioterapia foi administrada em 4 ciclos, com intervalo de 1 semana entre eles. Os ratos foram submetidos à eutanásia 5 meses após o término do tratamento, para que os efeitos tardios pudessem ser avaliados. Vários estudos foram conduzidos: dosagem sorológica de estradiol, ensaios histológicos através de imunohistoquímica, micro-fluorescência de Raios-X, micro-tomografia computadorizada. Além de microscopia eletrônica de transmissão e varredura.Analisando os resultados obtidos em conjunto, sugere-se que a etapa inicial para o desenvolvimento da osteoporose, causada pelo poliquimioterápico TC, seja a diminuição da função ovariana. Este evento leva à diminuição da concentração de estrogênio sérico, o que causa a atrofia uterina. Concomitante a estes fatos, o TC causa redução na concentração de zinco no tecido ósseo. Estes resultados associados causam um desequilíbrio na relação osteoblastos/osteoclastos no osso. A redução do estrogênio leva à diminuição da apoptose de osteoclastos, enquanto que a redução do zinco inibe a função dos osteoblastos. Este desequilíbrio interfere no turnover do osso, de forma a aumentar a reabsorção óssea. Deste modo, o percentual de osso fica reduzido, as trabéculas tornam-se mais finas e espaçadas. O endpoint deste processo é a osteoporose.A administração dos poliquimioterápicos docetaxel e ciclofosfamida em conjunto leva a diminuição da massa óssea, a adelgaçamento das trabéculas e o aumento do espaço entre elas. Estas observações sugerem que realmente as ratas tratadas com TC apresentam osteoporose. Concluímos que tanto o estrogênio quanto o zinco têm papel fundamental no desenvolvimento desta patologia após quimioterapia com TC.
Resumo:
The data from two years' monitoring of the Tongan seamount fishery were analyzed the two main export species are Pristipomoides filamentosus and Etelis coruscans. K.R. Allen's model was used to obtain estimates of catchability and recruitment and of a surplus production of 737 kg per nautical mile (nm) of 200 m contour. This compared reasonably well to total landings. Using this estimate, the annual surplus production for Tonga's 294 nm of 200 m contour is 217 t. The level of fishing mortality was found to be 0.3/year.
Resumo:
Based upon a global comparison of over 400 fisheries, the Principal Components Analysis (PCA) methodology was used to identify factors affecting the choice of growth estimation methods. Of the six factors examined, the growth rate (K) and asymptotic length (L8) explained most of the variations. Financial resources, i.e., Gross National Product (GNP), and latitude were also important factors.
Resumo:
Otoliths of larval and juvenile fish provide a record of age, size, growth, and development (Campana and Neilson, 1985; Thorrold and Hare, 2002). However, determining the time of first increment formation in otoliths (Campana, 2001) and assessing the accuracy (deviation from real age) and precision (repeatability of increment counts from the same otolith) of increment counts are prerequisites for using otoliths to study the life history of fish (Campana and Moksness, 1991). For most fish species, first increment deposition occurs either at hatching, a day after hatching, or after first feeding and yolksac absorption (Jones, 1986; Thorrold and Hare, 2002). Increment deposition before hatching also occurs (Barkmann and Beck, 1976; Radtke and Dean, 1982). If first increment deposition does not occur at hatching, the standard procedure is to add a predetermined number to increment counts to estimate fish age (Campana and Neilson, 1985).
Resumo:
We consider estimation of mortality rates and growth parameters from length-frequency data of a fish stock and derive the underlying length distribution of the population and the catch when there is individual variability in the von Bertalanffy growth parameter L∞. The model is flexible enough to accommodate 1) any recruitment pattern as a function of both time and length, 2) length-specific selectivity, and 3) varying fishing effort over time. The maximum likelihood method gives consistent estimates, provided the underlying distribution for individual variation in growth is correctly specified. Simulation results indicate that our method is reasonably robust to violations in the assumptions. The method is applied to tiger prawn data (Penaeus semisulcatus) to obtain estimates of natural and fishing mortality.
Resumo:
The recent development of the pop-up satellite archival tag (PSAT) has allowed the collection of information on a tagged animal, such as geolocation, pressure (depth), and ambient water temperature. The success of early studies, where PSATs were used on pelagic fishes, has spurred increasing interest in the use of these tags on a large variety of species and age groups. However, some species and age groups may not be suitable candidates for carrying a PSAT because of the relatively large size of the tag and the consequent energy cost to the study animal. We examined potential energetic costs to carrying a tag for the cownose ray (Rhinoptera bonasus). Two forces act on an animal tagged with a PSAT: lift from the PSATs buoyancy and drag as the tag is moved through the water column. In a freshwater flume, a spring scale measured the total force exerted by a PSAT at flume velocities from 0.00 to 0.60 m/s. By measuring the angle of deflection of the PSAT at each velocity, we separated total force into its constituent forces — lift and drag. The power required to carry a PSAT horizontally through the water was then calculated from the drag force and velocity. Using published metabolic rates, we calculated the power for a ray of a given size to swim at a specified velocity (i.e., its swimming power). For each velocity, the power required to carry a PSAT was compared to the swimming power expressed as a percentage, %TAX (Tag Altered eXertion). A %TAX greater than 5% was felt to be energetically significant. Our analysis indicated that a ray larger than 14.8 kg can carry a PSAT without exceeding this criterion. This method of estimating swimming power can be applied to other species and would allow a researcher to decide the suitability of a given study animal for tagging with a PSAT.