Associative Issue Ownership as a Determinant of Voters' Campaign Attention

Campaigns raise public interest in politics and allow parties to convey their messages to voters. However, voters' exposure and attention during campaigns are biased towards parties and candidates they like. This hinders parties' ability to reach new voters. This paper theorises and empirically tests a simple way in which parties can break partisan selective attention: owning an issue. When parties own issues that are important for a voter, that voter is more likely to notice them. Using survey data collected prior to the 2009 Belgian regional elections it is shown that this effect exists independent of partisan preferences and while controlling for the absolute visibility of a party in the media. This indicates that issue ownership has an independent impact on voters' attention to campaigns. This finding shows that owning salient issues yields (potential) advantages for parties, since getting noticed is a prerequisite for conveying electoral messages and increasing electoral success.

'Steal me if you can!' The impact of campaign messages on associative issue ownership

Whereas extant work on issue ownership treats voters' issue ownership perceptions as independent variables to explain electoral choice or party behaviour, this article examines whether parties can, by communicating on an issue, turn voters' perceptions of issue ownership to their advantage. In contrast to most previous studies that have focused on competence ownership - measured as a party's capacity to handle an issue - this article analyses the short-term and long-term impact of campaign messages on voters' perceptions of associative ownership, which refers to the voters' spontaneous party-issue association, regardless of whether or not voters consider the party as the most competent at dealing with the issue at hand. Based on an online experimental design in Belgium, we show that parties are unable to steal issues that are associated with another party. However, by communicating on their own issues, parties can reinforce their reputation as an associative owner - but only in the short run and only if their previous ownership reputation is not overly strong.

Ocho dudas razonables sobre la necesidad del voto electrónico

En un momento en que se generaliza el uso de las diferentes soluciones de voto electrónico, parece razonable hacer balance sobre cuáles son los principales obstáculos que esta «última revolución electoral» debe superar. Antes, sin embargo, consideramos necesario discutir los principales malentendidos que se han creado en torno al voto electrónico, así como intentar aclarar cuáles son los motivos que se aducen para su implementación. A partir de aquí, se presentan ocho grandes dudas a las que todavía no se ha dado una respuesta satisfactoria en su conjunto, si bien una buena parte de estos aspectos han sido objeto de especial atención en algunas experiencias de voto electrónico.

Morfoestructura y evolución del ramal N160 de la dorsal de la Cuenca Nor-Fidjiana (Pacífico sudoeste)

La campaña oceanográfica franco-japonesa Yokosuka 90, llevada a cabo del 10 de Enero al 6 de Febrero de 1991, tuvo por objeto el estudio geológico y geofísico del segmento de segundo orden o ramal de dirección N160 de la dorsal de la Cuenca Nor-Fidjiana (Pacífico sudoeste). Este ramal es especialmente interesante, no sólo por estar situado en una cuenca de tras-arco, sino también en el marco de las hipótesis que intentan establecer las relaciones entre tasas de expansión y morfoestructura en las dorsales oceánicas. Así, en el ramal estudiado coinciden una tasa de expansión intermedia (5 cm/a) y una morfología típica de dorsal lenta. Dicho ramal, segmentado y constituido por una sucesión de crestas y de grabens desplazados lateralmente, se sitúa entre dos puntos mples, uno de tipo dorsal-dorsal-zona de fractura (RRF), al sur, y otro, de tipo dorsal-dorsal-dorsal (RRR), al norte. El ramal N160 de la Cuenca Nor-Fidjiana es, por otra parte, extremadamente joven ya que de acuerdo con las anomalías magnéticas se habna formado durante un episodio volcano-tectónico iniciado hace menos de 1 Ma.

Incumbency (dis)advantage when citizens can propose

This paper analyses the problem that an incumbent faces during the legislature when deciding how to react to citizen proposals such as the outcome of referenda or popular initiatives. We argue that these proposals constitute a potential source of electoral disadvantage when citizens factor in their evaluation of the incumbent his reaction to these proposals. This is because an incumbent politician may jeopardize his re-election by implementing policies close to his preferred ones but unpopular among the electorate. We characterize conditions under which this potential disadvantage becomes in fact an electoral advantage for the incumbent. We find that the choices of the incumbent during the legislature will be closest to citizens policy proposals when the intensity of electoral competition is neither too soft nor too tough. Finally, we use our results to discuss some implications of the use of mechanisms such as referenda and popular assemblies on electoral competition and on the incumbency advantage phenomenon.

Caracterización geológica de la región de enlace entre la Cuenca de Bransfield y la Dorsal Sur de Scotia (Antártida)

La Dorsal Sur de Scotia (DSS) constituye une frontera de placas transformante con sentido senestral, que limita las placas de Scotia, al norte, y Antártica, al sur. Durante la campaña de geología y geofísica marinas 'Scotia 92', realizada en Febrero de 1992 a bordo del BIO Hespérides, se ha estudiado su extremo occidental y sectores próximos a la Cuenca de Bransfield, entre el margen nor-occidental de la Península Antártica y las islas Shetland del Sur, Elefante y Orcadas del Sur. Al norte y sur de la DSS se desarrollan las cuencas de Scotia y de Powell, respectivamente. Los datos de sísmica de multicanal, magnetismo y gravimetna obtenidos muestran caracteristicas diferenciales entre ambas cuencas. La morfoestructura de la DSS, formada por dos crestas paralelas separadas por una profunda depresión axial, ha sido recubierta mediante perfilaje de multihaz con el sistema SIMRAD EM-12 en una área de 50 x 100 km. La batimetría resultante ha permitido reconocer en detalle las caracteristicas de una depresión de más de 5.300 m de profundidad y de 10 a 30 km de anchura, bautizada como Fosa Hespérides. En ella se aprecia la existencia de dos famílias de lineaciones, la primera de dirección E-W y paralela al límite de placas, y la segunda de dirección NW-SE. La primera acomodaría el movimiento cizallante regional mientras que la segunda estaría asociada con una componente extensional probablemente relacionada con la dirección de la Cuenca de Bransfield. La forma romboédrica de la fosa está determinada por la interacción de ambas famílias de lineaciones. Teniendo en cuenta que el límite de placas transcurre entre las dos crestas, interpretamos la Fosa Hespérides como una cuenca de pull-apart desarrollada como consecuencia del movimiento de cizalla a lo largo de la DSS.

Estudio geoeléctrico de la depresión de la Selva (Girona)

Mediante la interpretación de una campaña de sondeos eléctricos se caracterizan las resistividades del Neogeno de la depresión de La Selva así como su potencia. En general estas resistividades están comprendidas entre 10 y 30 0hm.m característicos, en general, de formaciones predominantemente arcillosas. La presencia de materiales arcósicos y de basaltos en el Plioceno se caracteriza por resistividades superiores. El mapa de isobatas del basamento resistivo paleozoico muestra la irregularidad del fondo de la cubeta, destacando zonas deprimidas con potencias de sedimentos neógenos de más de 300 m separadas por umbrales en 1os que el basamento está a muy poca profundidad.

How Party Linkages Shape Austerity Politics: Clientelism and Fiscal Adjustment in Greece and Portugal during the Eurozone Crisis

Drawing on an analysis of austerity reforms in Greece and Portugal during the sovereign debt crisis from 2009 onwards, we show how the nature of the linkages between parties and citizens shapes party strategies of fiscal retrenchment. We argue that parties which rely to a greater extent on the selective distribution of state resources to mobilize electoral support (clientelistic linkages) are more reluctant to agree to fiscal retrenchment because their own electoral survival depends on their ability to control state budgets to reward clients. In Greece, where parties relied extensively on these clientelistic linkages, austerity reforms have been characterized by recurring conflicts and disagreements between the main parties, as well as a fundamental transformation of the party system. By contrast, in Portugal, where parties relied less on clientelistic strategies, austerity reforms have been more consensual because fiscal retrenchment challenged to a lesser extent the electoral base of the mainstream parties.

Proportionality and Party Success in Europe

This thesis consists of four articles and an introductory section. The main research questions in all the articles are about proportionality and party success in Europe, at European, national or district levels. Proportionality in this thesis denotes the proximity of seat shares parties receive compared to their respective vote shares, after the electoral system’s allocation process. This proportionality can be measured through numerous indices that illustrate either the overall proportionality of an electoral system or a particular election. The correspondence of a single party’s seat shares to its vote shares can also be measured. The overall proportionality is essential in three of the articles (1, 2 and 4), where the system’s performance is studied by means of plots. In article 3, minority party success is measured by advantage-ratios that reveal single party’s winnings or losses in the votes to seat allocation process. The first article asks how proportional are the European parliamentary (EP) electoral systems, how do they compare with results gained from earlier studies and how do the EP electoral systems treat different sized parties. The reasons for different outcomes are looked for in explanations given by traditional electoral studies i.e. electoral system variables. The countries studied (EU15) apply electoral systems that vary in many important aspects, even though a certain amount of uniformity has been aspired to for decades. Since the electoral systems of the EP elections closely resemble the national elections, the same kinds of profiles emerge as in the national elections. The electoral systems indeed treat the parties differentially and six different profile types can be found. The counting method seems to somewhat determine the profile group, but the strongest variables determining the shape of a countries’ profile appears to be the average district magnitude and number of seats allocated to each country. The second article also focuses on overall proportionality performance of an electoral system, but here the focus is on the impact of electoral system changes. I have developed a new method of visualizing some previously used indices and some new indices for this purpose. The aim is to draw a comparable picture of these electoral systems’ changes and their effects. The cases, which illustrate this method, are four elections systems, where a change has occurred in one of the system variables, while the rest remained unchanged. The studied cases include the French, Greek and British European parliamentary systems and the Swedish national parliamentary system. The changed variables are electoral type (plurality changed to PR in the UK), magnitude (France splitting the nationwide district into eight smaller districts), legal threshold (Greece introducing a three percent threshold) and counting method (d’Hondt was changed to modified Sainte-Laguë in Sweden). The radar plots from elections after and before the changes are drawn for all country cases. When quantifying the change, the change in the plots area that is created has also been calculated. Using these radar plots we can observe that the change in electoral system type, magnitude, and also to some extent legal threshold had an effect on overall proportionality and accessibility for small parties, while the change between the two highest averages counting method had none. The third article studies the success minority parties have had in nine electoral systems in European heterogeneous countries. This article aims to add more motivation as to why we should care how different sized parties are treated by the electoral systems. Since many of the parties that aspire to represent minorities in European countries are small, the possibilities for small parties are highlighted. The theory of consociational (or power-sharing) democracy suggests that, in heterogeneous societies, a proportional electoral system will provide the fairest treatment of minority parties. The OSCE Lund Recommendations propose a number of electoral system features, which would improve minority representation. In this article some party variables, namely the unity of the minority parties and the geographical concentration of the minorities were included among possible explanations. The conclusions are that the central points affecting minority success were indeed these non-electoral system variables rather than the electoral system itself. Moreover, the size of the party was a major factor governing success in all the systems investigated; large parties benefited in all the studied electoral systems. In the fourth article the proportionality profiles are again applied, but this time to district level results in Finnish parliamentary elections. The level of proportionality distortion is also studied by way of indices. The average magnitudes during the studied periodrange from 7.5 to 26.2 in the Finnish electoral districts and this opens up unequal opportunities for parties in different districts and affects the shape of the profiles. The intra-country case allows the focus to be placed on the effect of district magnitude, since all other electoral systems are kept constant in an intra-country study. The time span in the study is from 1962 to 2007, i.e. the time that the districts have largely been the same geographically. The plots and indices tell the same story, district magnitude and electoral alliances matter. The district magnitude is connected to the overall proportionality of the electoral districts according to both indices, and the profiles are, as expected, also closer to perfect proportionality in large districts. Alliances have helped some small parties to gain a much higher seat share than their respective vote share and these successes affect some of the profiles. The profiles also show a consistent pattern of benefits for the small parties who ally with the larger parties.

“Of Spitzenkandidaten and European Leaders”: Is the new 2014 "politicized” Presidency of the Commission going to be a real step forward in the EU legitimization process?

Thanks to ART.17.7 of the Lisbon Treaty, the European Council now has to “take into account” the results of EP Elections when selecting a candidate for the role of Commission President. The European Parliament has grabbed the opportunity to launch the first electoral race for spitzenkandidaten to the Presidency. Is this the start of a new democratizing (and thus, politicizing) process for the European Union? This dissertation will try to give a possible answer to the dilemma by constructing a comprehensive framework around EP Elections 2014 that will involve both the Commission and the Parliament and an analysis of the debate beyond legal provisions and the possibility of a politicized presidency of the Commission.

La política de las coaliciones en Cataluña

En este trabajo se analizan las diferentes características de los gobiernos autonómicos de Cataluña, todos ellos de coalición. La atención se centra, especialmente, en analizar los efectos que tienen los gobiernos de coalición sobre tres grandes ámbitos: el rendimiento electoral, la distribución intracoalicional del poder y el rendimiento intergubernamental.

Voting advice applications : impact on voting decisions in the 2011 Swiss national elections

In most democracies voting Advice Applications (VAAs) advising citizens which candidate or party they should vote for become more and more popular. It is therefore crucial to know more about the functioning and the effects of such tools. After some general remarks about the spread of these tools and their possible effects gathered so far in various studies, this paper presents the latest results from a research conducted in the course of the 2011 Swiss national elections. They confirm that VAAs can lead to better informed voters and are likely to have a positive impact on electoral turnout. Additionally it can be shown that the Swiss VAA smartvote made voters change their voting intention and that they voted for a different party. This was particularly advantageous for the Green Liberal Party. At the moment, only a minority of voters rely on the voting recommendation by smartvote. This might change dramatically with the introduction of e-voting. Once people can vote electronically, there are hardly any possibilities to prevent voters from transferring their selection of candidates based on the recommendation given by a VAA into the official electronic ballot paper. If this is possible, e-voting will become more popular than postal voting.

El funcionament de la coalició entre Iniciativa per Catalunya Verds i Esquerra Unida i Alternativa (2002-2012)

Aquest estudi té per objectiu descriure el funcionament de la coalició entre Iniciativa per Catalunya Verds i Esquerra Unida i Alternativa, centrant l’atenció en el disseny de l’aliança a partir dels acords electorals firmats i el repartiment de càrrecs electes. Té la voluntat de constatar si els resultats obtinguts per cada formació són equilibrats en funció dels resultats obtinguts per cada una d’elles en el cicle electoral 1999-2000. L’objecte d’estudi és la coalició ICV-EUiA que ha funcionat en l’arena electoral, parlamentària i de govern. Es prenen Iniciativa per Catalunya Verds i Esquerra Unida i Alternativa com actors principals, i es té en compte el pes important que té Izquierda Unida com a referent i suport d’EUiA, com a company de grup parlamentari al Congrés dels Diputats i com a soci de coalició a les eleccions europees. Trobem altres actors, com són el Partit dels Comunistes de Catalunya, el PSUC Viu o el Partido Comunista de España, que acaben influint dins d’EUiA i d’IU. Pel seu costat, hi ha d’altres actors que influeixen a ICV, com són el Partit Verd Europeu i els seu aliats a nivell d’Espanya com Equo o els membres d’Espacio Plural.

From breaking the rule to making the rules : the adoption, entrenchment and diffusion of gender quotas in France

Once a country allergic to any type of preferential treatment or quota measure for women, France has become a country that applies gender quotas to regulate women's presence and representation in politics, the business sector, public bodies, public administration, and even some civil society organizations. While research has concentrated on the adoption of electoral gender quotas in many countries and their international diffusion, few studies focus on explaining the successful diffusion of gender quotas from politics to other domains in the same country. This paper proposes to fill this gap by studying the particularly puzzling case of a country that at one point strongly opposed the adoption of gender quotas in politics, but, in less than a decade, transformed into one of the few countries applying gender quotas across several policy domains. This paper argues that the legal entrenchment of the parity principle, the institutionalization of parity in several successive women's policy agencies, and key players in these newly created agencies are mainly responsible for this unexpected development. The diffusion of gender quotas in France thus offers an illuminating example of under which conditions women's policy agencies can act autonomously to diffuse and impose a new tool for gender equality

An Explanatory Approach to the Political Uses of ICT Initiatives for Participation : Institutions, Context, and Characteristics of the Actors

Political actors use ICTs in a different manner and in different degrees when it comes to achieving a closer relationship between the public and politicians. Usually, political parties develop ICT strategies only for electoral campaigning and therefore restrain ICT usages to providing information and establishing a few channels of communication. By contrast, local governments make much more use of ICT tools for participatory and deliberative purposes. These differences in usages have not been well explained in the literature because of a lack of a comprehensive explanatory model. This chapter seeks to build the basis for this model, that is, to establish which factors affect and condition different political uses of ICTs and which principles underlie that behaviour. We consider that political actors are intentional and their behaviour is mediated by the political institutions and the socioeconomic context of the country. Also, though, the actor¿s own characteristics, such as the type and size of the organization or the model of e-democracy that the actor upholds, can have an influence in launching ICT initiatives for approaching the public.