Innovaciones tecnológicas productivas agrarias en el partido de San Cayetano: implicancias en la sostenibilidad del suelo

La modernización e incorporación de nuevas técnicas, está atada a la renovación de los objetos técnicos y las acciones que con los mismos se realizan, y en función de esto como se dinamiza, cambia y transforma el territorio. El presente trabajo se centra en el análisis y estudio de la realidad rural presente en Argentina, más aún en la región pampeana y dentro de ella en el sudeste bonaerense, partido de San Cayetano, haciendo especial hincapié en la producción agrícola y la sostenibilidad ambiental en los sistemas productivos rurales. Seguido de este primer objetivo se pretende analizar la escala de incorporación de dichas tecnologías, para considerar las estrategias adaptativas de los productores y como su puesta en práctica modifican el uso del territorio. En el universo de análisis propuesto (partido de San Cayetano) se toman como muestra un conjunto de unidades de producción agrícola, y actúan como unidades de observación los productores agropecuarios responsables de dichas unidades. A los efectos de abordar la problemática planteada se utiliza una metodología en la cual se combinan técnicas cualitativas y cuantitativas. El análisis cualitativo, se efectúa en base a información recabada mediante entrevistas semiestructuradas realizadas a informantes calificados y agentes productivos directamente vinculados a las unidades de análisis. Respecto al análisis cuantitativo, se consideraron datos aportados por la Sociedad Rural de San Cayetano y la Chacra Experimental Barrow, el censo agropecuario 1988, la Encuesta Nacional Agropecuaria 1999 del INDEC, cartas temáticas y mapas del partido.

Los desafíos del uso combinado de un cuestionario estructurado y un calendario de historia de vida para el estudio de trayectorias laborales

El presente artículo se enmarca en un proyecto de investigación más amplio, realizado en la localidad de Ministro Rivadavia en el Partido de Alte. Brown. La investigación tiene como objetivo evaluar los procesos de movilidad, estancamiento y marginalización social en el período 1994-2008, para una población con elevados índices de pobreza e inserciones laborales precarias e informales. En este estudio nos proponemos reflexionar sobre los desafíos que implicó la articulación entre un cuestionario estructurado y un calendario de historia de vida para el análisis de trayectorias laborales. El trabajo presenta las características de la metodología empleada, discute sus antecedentes teórico-metodológicos y especifica dónde se inscribe la articulación metodológica propuesta en el mapa posible de estrategias de investigación sociológica. A lo largo del artículo, retomamos los debates y propuestas en torno al manejo de la dimensión temporal y presentamos distintos esquemas de análisis centrados en la consideración del tiempo en sus múltiples manifestaciones micro y macrosociales. El artículo contribuye al debate sobre la integración de estrategias de investigación cualitativas y cuantitativas, y evidencia las potencialidades del instrumento propuesto para captar la temporalidad en su carácter plural y multidimensional

Innovaciones tecnológicas productivas agrarias en el partido de San Cayetano: implicancias en la sostenibilidad del suelo

La modernización e incorporación de nuevas técnicas, está atada a la renovación de los objetos técnicos y las acciones que con los mismos se realizan, y en función de esto como se dinamiza, cambia y transforma el territorio. El presente trabajo se centra en el análisis y estudio de la realidad rural presente en Argentina, más aún en la región pampeana y dentro de ella en el sudeste bonaerense, partido de San Cayetano, haciendo especial hincapié en la producción agrícola y la sostenibilidad ambiental en los sistemas productivos rurales. Seguido de este primer objetivo se pretende analizar la escala de incorporación de dichas tecnologías, para considerar las estrategias adaptativas de los productores y como su puesta en práctica modifican el uso del territorio. En el universo de análisis propuesto (partido de San Cayetano) se toman como muestra un conjunto de unidades de producción agrícola, y actúan como unidades de observación los productores agropecuarios responsables de dichas unidades. A los efectos de abordar la problemática planteada se utiliza una metodología en la cual se combinan técnicas cualitativas y cuantitativas. El análisis cualitativo, se efectúa en base a información recabada mediante entrevistas semiestructuradas realizadas a informantes calificados y agentes productivos directamente vinculados a las unidades de análisis. Respecto al análisis cuantitativo, se consideraron datos aportados por la Sociedad Rural de San Cayetano y la Chacra Experimental Barrow, el censo agropecuario 1988, la Encuesta Nacional Agropecuaria 1999 del INDEC, cartas temáticas y mapas del partido.

Los desafíos del uso combinado de un cuestionario estructurado y un calendario de historia de vida para el estudio de trayectorias laborales

El presente artículo se enmarca en un proyecto de investigación más amplio, realizado en la localidad de Ministro Rivadavia en el Partido de Alte. Brown. La investigación tiene como objetivo evaluar los procesos de movilidad, estancamiento y marginalización social en el período 1994-2008, para una población con elevados índices de pobreza e inserciones laborales precarias e informales. En este estudio nos proponemos reflexionar sobre los desafíos que implicó la articulación entre un cuestionario estructurado y un calendario de historia de vida para el análisis de trayectorias laborales. El trabajo presenta las características de la metodología empleada, discute sus antecedentes teórico-metodológicos y especifica dónde se inscribe la articulación metodológica propuesta en el mapa posible de estrategias de investigación sociológica. A lo largo del artículo, retomamos los debates y propuestas en torno al manejo de la dimensión temporal y presentamos distintos esquemas de análisis centrados en la consideración del tiempo en sus múltiples manifestaciones micro y macrosociales. El artículo contribuye al debate sobre la integración de estrategias de investigación cualitativas y cuantitativas, y evidencia las potencialidades del instrumento propuesto para captar la temporalidad en su carácter plural y multidimensional

Innovaciones tecnológicas productivas agrarias en el partido de San Cayetano: implicancias en la sostenibilidad del suelo

La modernización e incorporación de nuevas técnicas, está atada a la renovación de los objetos técnicos y las acciones que con los mismos se realizan, y en función de esto como se dinamiza, cambia y transforma el territorio. El presente trabajo se centra en el análisis y estudio de la realidad rural presente en Argentina, más aún en la región pampeana y dentro de ella en el sudeste bonaerense, partido de San Cayetano, haciendo especial hincapié en la producción agrícola y la sostenibilidad ambiental en los sistemas productivos rurales. Seguido de este primer objetivo se pretende analizar la escala de incorporación de dichas tecnologías, para considerar las estrategias adaptativas de los productores y como su puesta en práctica modifican el uso del territorio. En el universo de análisis propuesto (partido de San Cayetano) se toman como muestra un conjunto de unidades de producción agrícola, y actúan como unidades de observación los productores agropecuarios responsables de dichas unidades. A los efectos de abordar la problemática planteada se utiliza una metodología en la cual se combinan técnicas cualitativas y cuantitativas. El análisis cualitativo, se efectúa en base a información recabada mediante entrevistas semiestructuradas realizadas a informantes calificados y agentes productivos directamente vinculados a las unidades de análisis. Respecto al análisis cuantitativo, se consideraron datos aportados por la Sociedad Rural de San Cayetano y la Chacra Experimental Barrow, el censo agropecuario 1988, la Encuesta Nacional Agropecuaria 1999 del INDEC, cartas temáticas y mapas del partido.

An environmental magnetic study, sedimentological and numerical methods around Tauranga Harbour, New Zealand

Magnetic iron minerals are widespread and indicative sediment constituents in estuarine, coastal and shelf systems. We combine environmental magnetic, sedimentological and numerical methods to identify magnetite-enriched placer-like zones in a complex coastal system and delineate their formation mechanisms. Magnetic susceptibility and remanence measurements on 245 surficial sediment samples collected in and around Tauranga Harbour, the largest barrier-enclosed tidal estuary of New Zealand, reveal several discrete enrichment zones controlled by local hydrodynamic conditions. Active magnetite enrichment takes place in tidal channels, which feed into two coast-parallel nearshore magnetite-enriched belts centered at water depths of 6-10 m and 10-20 m. A close correlation between magnetite content and magnetic grain size was found, where higher susceptibility values are associated within coarser magnetic crystal sizes. Two key mechanisms for magnetite enrichment are identified. First, tide-induced residual currents primarily enable magnetite enrichment within the estuarine channel network. A coast-parallel, fine sand magnetite enrichment belt in water depths of less than 10 m along the barrier island has a strong decrease in magnetite content away from the southern tidal inlet and is apparently related to active coast-parallel transport combined with mobilizing surf zone processes. A second, less pronounced, but more uniform magnetite enrichment belt at 10-20 m water depth is composed of non-mobile, medium-coarse-grained relict sands, which have been reworked during post-glacial sea level transgression. We demonstrate the potential of magnetic methods to reveal and differentiate coastal magnetite enrichment patterns and investigate their formative mechanisms.

Sublittoral and bathyal Harpacticoida (Crustacea: Copepoda) of the Magellan region

Two expeditions, undertaken in 1994 and 1996, provided quantitatively sampled material of sublittoral and bathyal meiobenthos from the Paso Ancho of the Straits of Magellan, the Beagle Channel, and the Patagonian continental slope (Chile). To investigate whether these distinct geographic areas might also be characterised by different harpacticoid assemblages, qualitative and quantitative analyses of Copepoda Harpacticoida were carried out. At supraspecific level 25 harpacticoid families were found, as well as several species that could not yet be assigned to any major harpacticoid taxon. Due to the high amount of collected Harpacticoida, detailed investigations at species level had to be restricted to six taxa, namely the Ancorabolidae, Argestidae, Cletodidae, Diosaccinae, Paramesochridae, and Paranannopinae. The corresponding specimens were assigned to 122 species in 52 genera. More than 80% of them are new to science. Qualitative comparisons of both species composition and species distribution allow the three areas to be distinguished in terms of species richness. However, statistical analyses confirm these results only partly. Similarity analyses applying non-metrical multidimensional scaling, as well as diversity analyses using the rarefaction method, suggest that the observed differences in distribution and diversity patterns are due to small-scale, local conditions, which may overlay possible large-scale ones.

Terrestrial organic matter in marine sediments of the Central Equatorial Atlantic

Terrestrial organic matter (OM) in pelagic sediments is discussed with regard to depositional processes and land-sea interactions in the modern and past glacial/interglacial Equatorial Atlantic. Special emphasis is placed on a critical evaluation of different analytical approaches (C/N, Rock-Eval Pyrolysis, stable carbon isotopes, palynology, organic petrology, and selected biomarkers) which are currently used for the qualitative and quantitative assessment of terrigenous organic carbon. If binary mixing equations are used to calculate terrestrial and marine proportions of organic carbon, we consider the definition of endmember values to be most critical since these values may be biased by a great number of independent controls. A combination of geochemical methods including optical studies (organic petrology and palynology) is therefore suggested to evaluate each individual proxy. Organic geochemical analyses performed on sediments from the modern and Late Quaternary Equatorial Atlantic evidence fluctuations in eolian supply of terrigenous OM related to changes in intensity of the trade winds. Quantification of this organic fraction leads to differing proportions depending on the approach applied, i.e. the organic carbon isotopic composition or maceral analyses. Modern distribution of terrigenous OM reveals a decrease in supply towards the basin contributing less than a fifth of the total OM in pelagic areas. Organic geochemical data indicate that sedimentation in the modern northeastern Brasil Basin is affected by lateral advection of reworked OM probably from southern source areas. Glacial/interglacial deposits from the pelagic Equatorial Atlantic (ODP Site 663), covering isotopic stages 12 and 11, reveal that deposition of terrigenous OM was higher under past glacial conditions, in correspondence to generally enhanced dust fluxes. Proportions of terrigenous OM, however, never exceed 50% of the total OM according to maceral analyses. Other estimates, recently proposed by Verardo and Ruddiman (1996), are considered to be too high probably for analytical reasons. Palynological records in the Equatorial Atlantic parallel dust records. Increased portions of grass pollen suggest the admixture of C4-plant material under modern and past glacial conditions. It is therefore assumed, as one possible interpetation, that C4-plant debris has an effect on sedimentary d13Corg and might explain differences between isotopic and microscopic quantitative estimates. Using the difference between these two records, we calculate that maximum supply of C4-material remains below 20% of the total OM for the deep modern and past glacial/interglacial Equatorial Atlantic.

Geochemistry, lithology and maceral analysis at DSDP Hole 71-511

The quantity, type, and maturity of the organic matter in Recent through Upper Jurassic sediments from the Falkland Plateau, DSDP Site 511, have been determined. Sediments were investigated for their hydrocarbon potential by organic carbon and Rock-Eval pyrolysis. Kerogen concentrates were prepared and analyzed in reflected and transmitted light to determine vitrinite reflectance and maceral content. Total extractable organic compounds were analyzed for their elemental composition, and the fraction of the nonaromatic hydrocarbons was determined by capillary column gas chromatography and combined gas chromatography/mass spectrometry. Three main classes of organic matter can be determined at DSDP Site 511 by a qualitative and quantitative evaluation of microscopic and geochemical results. The Upper Jurassic to lower Albian black shales contain high amounts of organic matter of dominantly marine origin. The content of terrigenous organic matter increases at the base of the black shales, whereas the shallowest black shales near the Aptian/Albian boundary are transitional in composition, with increasing amounts of inert, partly oxidized organic matter which is the dominant component in all Albian through Tertiary sediments investigated. The organic matter in the black shales has a low level of maturity and has not yet reached the onset of thermal hydrocarbon generation. This is demonstrated by the low amounts of total extractable organic compounds, low percentages of hydrocarbons, and the pattern and composition of nonaromatic hydrocarbons. The observed reflectance of huminite and vitrinite particles (between 0.4% and 0.5% Ro at bottom-hole depth of 632 m) is consistent with this interpretation. Several geochemical parameters indicate, however, a rapid increase in the maturation of organic matter with depth of burial. This appears to result from the relatively high heat flow observed at Site 511. If we relate the level of maturation of the black shales at the bottom of Hole 511 to their present shallow depth of burial, they appear rather mature. On the basis of comparisons with other sedimentary basins of a known geothermal history, a somewhat higher paleotemperature gradient and/or additional overburden are required to give the observed maturity at shallow depth. A comparison with contemporaneous sediments of DSDP Site 361, Cape Basin, which was the basin adjacent and to the north of the Falkland Plateau during the early stages of the South Atlantic Ocean, demonstrates differences in sedimentological features and in the nature of sedimentary organic matter. We interpret these differences to be the result of the different geological settings for Sites 361 and 511.

Mobilities, Entanglements, Transformations. Outline of a Research Project on Pottery Practices in Neolithic Wetland Sites of the Swiss Plateau

A large number of later Neolithic sites (3900–3500BC) in Switzerland, Southern Germany and Eastern France offer outstandingly well preserved archaeological materials from cultural layers. Due to the wide use of dendrochronology, settlement remains and artefact assemblages can now be placed into a precise and fixed chronological framework, thus presenting a unique case within prehistoric archaeology. In earlier research, chronological and regional units were constructed on the basis of pottery. These spacial and temporal units of typical pottery sets were understood as Neolithic cultures, as culturally more or less homogenous entities connected with (ethnic) identities. Today, with a larger data corpus of excavated settlements at hand, we can begin to understand that this period of the past was in fact characterised by a multitude of cultural entanglements and transformations. This is indicated by the occurrence of local and non-local pottery styles in one and the same settlement: for example typically local Cortaillod pottery is found together with NMB-styled pottery in settlements at Lake Neuchâtel or Michelsberg pottery is regularly occurring in settlements at Lake Constance where Pfyn pottery style is the typical local one. These and many more examples show that there must have been complex entanglements of social ties expanding between Eastern France, Southern Germany and the Swiss Plateau. Given these circumstances the former notions of Neolithic culture should be critically revised. Therefore, in late 2014, the Prehistoric Archaeology Department at the Archaeological Institute of University of Berne started a four-year research project funded by Swiss National Science Foundation in late 2014: ‘Mobilities, Entanglements and Transformations in Neolithic Societies of the Swiss Plateau (3900-3500 BC)’. It’s objective is to address the topic sketched above by adopting a mixed methods research (MMR)-design combining qualitative and quantitative approaches from archaeology and archaeometry. The approach is theoretically based on Pierre Bourdieu’s reflexive sociology and his concept of habitus but includes further concepts of practice theories. By shifting the focus to the movement of people, ideas and things – to pottery production practices in contexts of mobility – a deeper understanding of the transformative capacities of encounters can be achieved. This opens the path for new insights of Neolithic societies including social, cultural and economic dynamics that were underestimated in former research.

Metodología de evaluación de la seguridad vial en intersecciones basada en el análisis cuantitativo de conflictos entre vehículos

El modo tradicional de estimar el nivel de seguridad vial es el registro de accidentes de tráfico, sin embargo son altamente variables, aleatorios y necesitan un periodo de registro de al menos 3 años. Existen metodologías preventivas en las cuales no es necesario que ocurra un accidente para determinar el nivel de seguridad de una intersección, como lo es la técnica de los conflictos de tráfico, que introduce las mediciones alternativas de seguridad como cuantificadoras del riesgo de accidente. El objetivo general de la tesis es establecer una metodología que permita clasificar el riesgo en intersecciones interurbanas, en función del análisis de conflictos entre vehículos, realizado mediante las variables alternativas o indirectas de seguridad vial. La metodología para el análisis y evaluación temprana de la seguridad en una intersección, estará basada en dos medidas alternativas de seguridad: el tiempo hasta la colisión y el tiempo posterior a la invasión de la trayectoria. El desarrollo experimental se realizó mediante estudios de campo, para la parte exploratoria de la investigación, se seleccionaron 3 intersecciones interurbanas en forma de T donde se obtuvieron las variables que caracterizan los conflictos entre vehículos; luego mediante técnicas de análisis multivariante, se obtuvo los modelos de clasificación del riesgo cualitativo y cuantitativo. Para la homologación y el estudio final de concordancia entre el índice propuesto y el modelo de clasificación, se desarrollaron nuevos estudios de campo en 6 intersecciones interurbanas en forma de T. El índice de riesgo obtenido resulta una herramienta muy útil para realizar evaluaciones rápidas conducentes a estimar la peligrosidad de una intersección en T, debido a lo simple y económico que resulta obtener los registros de datos en campo, por medio de una rápida capacitación a operarios; la elaboración del informe de resultados debe ser por un especialista. Los índices de riesgo obtenidos muestran que las variables originales más influyentes son las mediciones de tiempo. Se pudo determinar que los valores más altos del índice de riesgo están relacionados a un mayor riesgo de que un conflicto termine en accidente. Dentro de este índice, la única variable cuyo aporte es proporcionalmente directo es la velocidad de aproximación, lo que concuerda con lo que sucede en un conflicto, pues una velocidad excesiva se manifiesta como un claro factor de riesgo ya que potencia todos los fallos humanos en la conducción. Una de las principales aportaciones de esta tesis doctoral a la ingeniería de carreteras, es la posibilidad de aplicación de la metodología por parte de administraciones de carreteras locales, las cuales muchas veces cuentan con recursos de inversión limitados para efectuar estudios preventivos, sobretodo en países en vías de desarrollo. La evaluación del riesgo de una intersección luego de una mejora en cuanto a infraestructura y/o dispositivos de control de tráfico, al igual que un análisis antes – después, pero sin realizar una comparación mediante la ocurrencia de accidentes, sino que por medio de la técnica de conflictos de tráfico, se puede convertir en una aplicación directa y económica. Además, se pudo comprobar que el análisis de componentes principales utilizado en la creación del índice de riesgo de la intersección, es una herramienta útil para resumir todo el conjunto de mediciones que son posibles de obtener con la técnica de conflictos de tráfico y que permiten el diagnóstico del riesgo de accidentalidad en una intersección. En cuanto a la metodología para la homologación de los modelos, se pudo establecer la validez y confiabilidad al conjunto de respuestas entregadas por los observadores en el registro de datos en campo, ya que los resultados de la validación establecen que la medición de concordancia de las respuestas entregadas por los modelos y lo observado, son significativas y sugieren una alta coincidencia entre ellos. ABSTRACT The traditional way of estimating road safety level is the record of occurrence of traffic accidents; however, they are highly variable, random, and require a recording period of at least three years. There are preventive methods which do not need an accident to determine the road safety level of an intersection, such as traffic conflict technique, which introduces surrogate safety measures as parameters for the evaluation of accident risks. The general objective of the thesis is to establish a methodology that will allow the classification of risk at interurban intersections as a function of the analysis of conflicts between vehicles performed by means of surrogate road safety variables. The proposal of a methodology for the analysis and early evaluation of safety at an intersection will be based on two surrogate safety measures: the time to collision and the post encroachment time. On the other hand, the experimental development has taken place by means of field studies in which the exploratory part of the investigation selected three interurban T-intersections where the application of the traffic conflict technique gave variables that characterize the conflicts between vehicles; then, using multivariate analysis techniques, the models for the classification of qualitative and quantitative risk were obtained. With the models new field studies were carried out at six interurban Tintersections with the purpose of developing the homologation and the final study of the agreement between the proposed index and the classification model. The risk index obtained is a very useful tool for making rapid evaluations to estimate the hazard of a T-intersection, as well as for getting simply and economically the field data records after a fast training of the workers and then preparing the report of results by a specialist. The risk indices obtained show that the most influential original variables are the measurements of time. It was determined that the highest risk index values are related with greater risk of a conflict resulting in an accident. Within this index, the only variable whose contribution is proportionally direct is the approach speed, in agreement with what happens in a conflict, because excessive speed appears as a clear risk factor at an intersection because it intensifies all the human driving faults. One of the main contributions of this doctoral thesis to road engineering is the possibility of applying the methodology by local road administrations, which very often have limited investment resources to carry out these kinds of preventive studies, particularly in developing countries. The evaluation of the risk at an intersection after an improvement in terms of infrastructure and/or traffic control devices, the same as a before/after analysis, without comparison of accident occurrence but by means of the traffic conflict technique, can become a direct and economical application. It is also shown that main components analysis used for producing the risk index of the intersection is a useful tool for summarizing the whole set of measurements that can be obtained with the traffic conflict technique and allow diagnosing accident risk at an intersection. As to the methodology for the homologation of the models, the validity and reliability of the set of responses delivered by the observers recording the field data could be established, because the results of the validation show that agreement between the observations and the responses delivered by the models is significant and highly coincident.

The CDG, UDG, and MEL methods for automatic compile-time parallelization of logic programs for independent and-parallelism

There has been significant interest in parallel execution models for logic programs which exploit Independent And-Parallelism (IAP). In these models, it is necessary to determine which goals are independent and therefore eligible for parallel execution and which goals have to wait for which others during execution. Although this can be done at run-time, it can imply a very heavy overhead. In this paper, we present three algorithms for automatic compiletime parallelization of logic programs using IAP. This is done by converting a clause into a graph-based computational form and then transforming this graph into linear expressions based on &-Prolog, a language for IAP. We also present an algorithm which, given a clause, determines if there is any loss of parallelism due to linearization, for the case in which only unconditional parallelism is desired. Finally, the performance of these annotation algorithms is discussed for some benchmark programs.

Complete and efficient methods for supporting side effects in independent/restricted and-parallelism

It has been shown that it is possible to exploit Independent/Restricted And-parallelism in logic programs while retaining the conventional "don't know" semantics of such programs. In particular, it is possible to parallelize pure Prolog programs while maintaining the semantics of the language. However, when builtin side-effects (such as write or assert) appear in the program, if an identical observable behaviour to that of sequential Prolog implementations is to be preserved, such side-effects have to be properly sequenced. Previously proposed solutions to this problem are either incomplete (lacking, for example, backtracking semantics) or they force sequentialization of significant portions of the execution graph which could otherwise run in parallel. In this paper a series of side-effect synchronization methods are proposed which incur lower overhead and allow more parallelism than those previously proposed. Most importantly, and unlike previous proposals, they have well-defined backward execution behaviour and require only a small modification to a given (And-parallel) Prolog implementation.

The application of inverse-dispersion and gradient methods to estimate ammonia emissions from a penguin colony.

Penguin colonies represent some of the most concentrated sources of ammonia emissions to the atmosphere in the world. The ammonia emitted into the atmosphere can have a large influence on the nitrogen cycling of ecosystems near the colonies. However, despite the ecological importance of the emissions, no measurements of ammonia emissions from penguin colonies have been made. The objective of this work was to determine the ammonia emission rate of a penguin colony using inverse-dispersion modelling and gradient methods. We measured meteorological variables and mean atmospheric concentrations of ammonia at seven locations near a colony of Adélie penguins in Antarctica to provide input data for inverse-dispersion modelling. Three different atmospheric dispersion models (ADMS, LADD and a Lagrangian stochastic model) were used to provide a robust emission estimate. The Lagrangian stochastic model was applied both in ‘forwards’ and ‘backwards’ mode to compare the difference between the two approaches. In addition, the aerodynamic gradient method was applied using vertical profiles of mean ammonia concentrations measured near the centre of the colony. The emission estimates derived from the simulations of the three dispersion models and the aerodynamic gradient method agreed quite well, giving a mean emission of 1.1 g ammonia per breeding pair per day (95% confidence interval: 0.4–2.5 g ammonia per breeding pair per day). This emission rate represents a volatilisation of 1.9% of the estimated nitrogen excretion of the penguins, which agrees well with that estimated from a temperature-dependent bioenergetics model. We found that, in this study, the Lagrangian stochastic model seemed to give more reliable emission estimates in ‘forwards’ mode than in ‘backwards’ mode due to the assumptions made.