Future storm surge impacts on insurable losses for the North Sea region

The influence of climate change on storm surges including increased mean sea level change and the associated insurable losses are assessed for the North Sea basin. In doing so, the newly developed approach couples a dynamical storm surge model with a loss model. The key element of the approach is the generation of a probabilistic storm surge event set. Together with parametrizations of the inland propagation and the coastal protection failure probability this enables the estimation of annual expected losses. The sensitivity to the parametrizations is rather weak except when the assumption of high level of increased mean sea level change is made. Applying this approach to future scenarios shows a substantial increase of insurable losses with respect to the present day. Superimposing different mean sea level changes shows a nonlinear behavior at the country level, as the future storm surge changes are higher for Germany and Denmark. Thus, the study exhibits the necessity to assess the socio-economic impacts of coastal floods by combining the expected sea level rise with storm surge projections.

[Fetal programming of cardiovascular disease: new causes and underlying mechanisms]

There exists an association between pathologic events occurring during early life and the development of cardiovascular disease in adulthood. For example, transient perinatal hypoxemia predisposes to exaggerated hypoxic pulmonary hypertension and preeclampsia predisposes the offspring to pulmonary and systemic endothelial dysfunction later in life. The latter finding offers a scientific basis for observations demonstrating an increased risk for premature cardiovascular morbidity in this population. Very recently, we showed that offspring of assisted reproductive technologies also display generalized vascular dysfunction and early arteriosclerosis. Studies in animal models have provided evidence that oxidative stress and/or epigenetic alterations play an important pathophysiological role in the fetal programming of cardiovascular disease.

[Pulmonary hypertension and lung edema at high altitude. Role of endothelial dysfunction and fetal programming]

High altitude constitutes an exciting natural laboratory for medical research. While initially, the aim of high-altitude research was to understand the adaptation of the organism to hypoxia and find treatments for altitude-related diseases, over the past decade or so, the scope of this research has broadened considerably. Two important observations led to the foundation for the broadening of the scientific scope of high-altitude research. First, high-altitude pulmonary edema (HAPE) represents a unique model which allows studying fundamental mechanisms of pulmonary hypertension and lung edema in humans. Secondly, the ambient hypoxia associated with high-altitude exposure facilitates the detection of pulmonary and systemic vascular dysfunction at an early stage. Here, we review studies that, by capitalizing on these observations, have led to the description of novel mechanisms underpinning lung edema and pulmonary hypertension and to the first direct demonstration of fetal programming of vascular dysfunction in humans.

Maternal and fetal cord blood lipids in intrauterine growth restriction

Small for gestational age neonates (SGA) could be subdivided into two groups according to the underlying causes leading to low birth weight. Intrauterine growth restriction (IUGR) is a pathologic condition with diminished growth velocity and fetal compromised well-being, while non-growth restricted SGA neonates are constitutionally (genetically determined) small. Antenatal sonographic measurements are used to differentiate these two subgroups. Maternal metabolic changes contribute to the pathogenesis of IUGR. A disturbed lipid metabolism and cholesterol supply might affect the fetus, with consequences for fetal programming of cardiovascular diseases. We evaluated fetal serum lipids and hypothesized a more atherogenic lipoprotein profile in IUGR fetuses.

Relative contributions of connexins 40 and 43 to atrial impulse propagation in synthetic strands of neonatal and fetal murine cardiomyocytes

Atrial tissue expresses both connexin 40 (Cx40) and 43 (Cx43) proteins. To assess the relative roles of Cx40 and Cx43 in atrial electrical propagation, we synthesized cultured strands of atrial myocytes derived from mice with genetic deficiency in Cx40 or Cx43 expression and measured propagation velocity (PV) by high-resolution optical mapping of voltage-sensitive dye fluorescence. The amount of Cx40 and/or Cx43 in gap junctions was measured by immunohistochemistry and total or sarcolemmal Cx43 or Cx40 protein by immunoblotting. Progressive genetic reduction in Cx43 expression decreased PV from 34+/-6 cm/sec in Cx43(+/+) to 30+/-8 cm/sec in Cx43(+/-) and 19+/-11 cm/sec in Cx43(-/-) cultures. Concomitantly, the cell area occupied by Cx40 immunosignal in gap junctions decreased from 2.0+/-1.6% in Cx43(+/+) to 1.7+/-0.5% in Cx43(+/-) and 1.0+/-0.2% in Cx43(-/-) strands. In contrast, progressive genetic reduction in Cx40 expression increased PV from 30+/-2 cm/sec in Cx40(+/+) to 40+/-7 cm/sec in Cx40(+/-) and 45+/-10 cm/sec in Cx40(-/-) cultures. Concomitantly, the cell area occupied by Cx43 immunosignal in gap junctions increased from 1.2+/-0.9% in Cx40(+/+) to 2.8+/-1.4% in Cx40(+/-) and 3.1+/-0.6% in Cx40(-/-) cultures. In accordance with the immunostaining results, immunoblots of the Triton X-100-insoluble fraction revealed an increase of Cx43 in gap junctions in extracts from Cx40-ablated atria, whereas total cellular Cx43 remained unchanged. Our results suggest that the relative abundance of Cx43 and Cx40 is an important determinant of atrial impulse propagation in neonatal hearts, whereby dominance of Cx40 decreases and dominance of Cx43 increases local propagation velocity.

Creatine promotes the GABAergic phenotype in human fetal spinal cord cultures

In the present study, we investigated the expression pattern of cytosolic brain specific-BB-CK and ubiquitous mitochondrial-creatine kinases (uMt-CK) in developing human spinal cord. Consequently, we studied the effects of creatine treatment on cultured fetal human spinal cord tissue. We found that both CK isoforms were expressed in fetal spinal cord at all time points investigated (5 to 11.5 weeks post conception) and correspondingly specific CK activity was detected. Chronic creatine exposure resulted in significantly higher densities of GABA-immunoreactive neurons in the cultures, while total neuronal cell density was not altered, suggesting a differentiation inducing mechanism of creatine supplementation. Taken together, our observations favour the view that the creatine phosphocreatine system plays an important role in the developing CNS.

Prospective study of fetal DNA in serum and disease activity during pregnancy in women with inflammatory arthritis

OBJECTIVE: Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) usually improves during pregnancy and recurs postpartum. Fetal cells and cell-free DNA reach the maternal circulation during normal pregnancy. The present study investigated dynamic changes in levels of fetal DNA in serum from women with RA and inflammatory arthritis during and after pregnancy to test the hypothesis that the levels of circulating fetal DNA correlate with arthritis improvement. METHODS: Twenty-five pregnant patients were prospectively studied. A real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction panel targeting unshared, paternally transmitted HLA sequences, a Y chromosome-specific sequence, or an insertion sequence within the glutathione S-transferase M1 gene was used to measure cell-free fetal DNA. Results were expressed as fetal genomic equivalents per milliliter (gE/ml) of maternal serum. Physical examinations were conducted during and after pregnancy. RESULTS: Levels of fetal DNA in women with improvement in or remission of arthritis were higher than those in women with active disease, especially in the third trimester. Overall, an inverse relationship between serum fetal DNA levels and disease activity was observed (P < 0.001). Serum fetal DNA increased with advancing gestation, reaching median levels of 24 gE/ml (range 0-334), 61 gE/ml (range 0-689), and 199 gE/ml (range 0-2,576) in the first, second, and third trimesters, respectively, with fetal DNA clearance observed postpartum. Arthritis improvement was initially noted in the first trimester for most patients, increased further or was sustained with advancing gestation, and was active postpartum. CONCLUSION: Changes in serum fetal DNA levels correlated with arthritis improvement during pregnancy and recurrence postpartum. Immunologic mechanisms by which pregnancy might modulate RA activity are described.