Regional-scale debris-flow risk assessment for an alpine valley

In this paper, we perform a societal and economic risk assessment for debris flows at the regional scale, for lower Valtellina, Northern Italy. We apply a simple empirical debris-flow model, FLOW-R, which couples a probabilistic flow routing algorithm with an energy line approach, providing the relative probability of transit, and the maximum kinetic energy, for each cell. By assessing a vulnerability to people and to other exposed elements (buildings, public facilities, crops, woods, communication lines), and their economic value, we calculated the expected annual losses both in terms of lives (societal risk) and goods (direct economic risk). For societal risk assessment, we distinguish for the day and night scenarios. The distribution of people at different moments of the day was considered, accounting for the occupational and recreational activities, to provide a more realistic assessment of risk. Market studies were performed in order to assess a realistic economic value to goods, structures, and lifelines. As terrain unit, a 20 m x 20 m cell was used, in accordance with data availability and the spatial resolution requested for a risk assessment at this scale. Societal risk the whole area amounts to 1.98 and 4.22 deaths/year for the day and the night scenarios, respectively, with a maximum of 0.013 deaths/year/cell. Economic risk for goods amounts to 1,760,291 ?/year, with a maximum of 13,814 ?/year/cell.

Indicadores de desempeño educativo regional: metodología y resultados para los cursos 2005-06 a 2008-09

En este trabajo se construyen algunos indicadores de desempeño para los sistemas educativos no universitarios de las regiones españolas durante los cursos 2005-06 a 2008-09 a partir de información suministrada por diversas publicaciones del Ministerio de Educación. Estos indicadores permiten ofrecer respuestas a la pregunta de qué comunidades autónomas obtienen los mejores resultados educativos de acuerdo con una serie de criterios de desempeño definidos con claridad que recogen tanto aspectos de proceso (acceso a, éxito en y duración de los distintos ciclos educativos) como de resultados medidos en términos de la adquisición de conocimientos. Con el fin de poder hacer comparaciones válidas entre sistemas educativos que se enfrentan a circunstancias muy diversas, hemos construido también indicadores de valor añadido depurando los índices brutos de desempeño de los efectos de dos variables externas que tienen un fuerte impacto sobre los mismos: la disponibilidad de recursos económicos y el nivel educativo de las familias, aproximado por el número medio de años de escolarización de la población adulta.

¿Qué reformas necesita el sistema de financiación regional?

This paper argues that the current Spanish system of regional financing does not adequately respect the principles of equality, autonomy, responsibility and transparency that should guide its design. It also advances a series of recommendations for the reform of the system that can be classified into two broad headings: guaranteeing the effective application of the constitucional principle of equality and reinforcing the fiscal responsibility and the accountability of regional governments.

El Sistema de financiación regional: la liquidación de 2010 y algunas reflexiones sobre la reciente reforma

El pasado mes de julio el Ministerio de Hacienda y Administraciones Públicas hizo pública la liquidación del sistema de financiación de las comunidades autónomas de régimen común correspondiente a 2010, que marca la madurez del nuevo modelo acordado en 2009. En el presente trabajo se describe la distribución de recursos que se fija en este documento, se analizan las fuentes próximas de los cambios observados en la financiación de las distintas comunidades autónomas entre 2009 y 2010 y se realiza una valoración de los efectos de la reciente reforma sobre la equidad del reparto territorial de los recursos del sistema.

U-Pb isotopic dating of fluid infiltration and metasomatism during Dalradian regional metamorphism in Connemara, western Ireland

A metasomatic diopside rock occurs at the top of the dolomitic Connemara Marble Formation of western Ireland and contains titanite and K-feldspar in addition to around 90% diopside (X(Mg) = 0.90-0.97). U-Pb isotopic measurements on this mineral assemblage show that the titanite is both unusually uranium-rich and isotopically concordant, with the result that a precise U-Pb age of 478 +/- 2.5 Ma can be determined. The age is identical within error to a less precise Rb-Sr age of diopside-K-feldspar of 483 +/- 6 Ma. Petrological evidence indicates that the assemblage crystallized at c. 620-degrees-C close to or below the closure temperature of titanite. The age thus provides a precise estimate of the time of metamorphism; this age is 11 +/- 3 Ma younger than the 490 Ma age for nearby gabbroic plutons which has previously been used to constrain the peak metamorphic age. This difference accords well with geological evidence that the gabbros were emplaced prior to the metamorphic peak. Analysis of minerals with high closure temperature from assemblages whose crystallization is unambiguously associated with a specific episode of fluid infiltration at the peak of metamorphism provides the basis for a new approach to dating metamorphism. The success of this approach is demonstrated by the results from Connemara.

Identificació i caracterització funcional dels complexes proteics dels receptors BRL1 i BRL3 en el teixit vascular d’Arabidopsis Thaliana

Els esteroids juguen papers clau en el creixement I el desenvolupament d’eucariotes multicel•lulars. En plantes, aquestes hormones, anomenades Brassinosteroides (BRs), estan involucrades en una gran varietat de processos biològics essencials per a les plantes. S’han descrit anteriorment dos receptors de BRs del tipus Leucine Rich Repeat Receptor Like Kinase LRR-RLK, BRASSINOSTEROID RECEPTOR LIKE 1 i 3 (BRL1 i BRL3 respectivalemt) que són homòlegs al receptor principal BRI1 i són necessaris pel desenvolupament vascular. Tot i que els principals components de la senyal ja han estat identificats pel seu homòleg més pròxim, el receptor BRI1, els complexes de BRL1 i BRL3 juntament amb els candidats co-receptors així com els components de la ruta de senyalització encara no han sigut identificats. Per tal d’entendre millor la funció molecular d’aquests receptors de BRs en la planta aquesta tesis doctoral planteja dues aproximacions: com a primera aproximació, vaig realitzar un estudi fenotípic del desenvolupament del teixit vascular a la planta model Arabidopsis thaliana (Arabidopsis). Disposant d'una amplia bateria de mutants de síntesis de la hormona i senyalització del receptor BRI1, vam analitzar quantitativament el seu patró vascular a la tija d'Arabidopsis. Vam establir els paràmetres en les plantes silvestres [Col-0 wild type, (WT)] i els vam analitzar a tots i cadascun dels mutants. Això conjuntament amb una col•laboració amb la Dr. Marta Ibañes, física de la Universitat de Barcelona que va construir un model matemàtic per simular la formació del patró vascular ens va permetre el•laborar una hipòtesis que vam demostrar experimentalment i va ser publicada a la revista PNAS. Posteriorment vam observar que les plantes knock-out d'aquests dos receptors BRL1 y BRL3 a diferència de BRI1, no tenien cap fenotip obvi en el teixit vascular de la planta adulta. Així, a continuació, per entendre quina necessitat té la planta de disposar de tres receptors tant altament homòlegs que poden percebre la mateixa hormona, vam utilitzar una aproximació bioquímica en col•laboració amb el Prof. de Vries de la Universitat de Wageningen (Holanda) per tal de purificar els complexes dels receptors in vivo i els seus interactors. Això ens ha permès entendre millor el paper funcional d'aquests receptors en la planta. Els resultats d’aquests experiments estan resumits en un article en preparació que aviat estarà en revisió.

Feuilletages par variétés complexes et problèmes d'uniformisation

Ce texte est une introduction aux feuilletages par variétés complexes et aux problèmes d'uniformisation de tels feuilletages. Nous donnons en introduction une liste fondamentale de questions naturelles sur ces objets ainsi qu'un aperçcu des résultats connus.

Regional abundance of on-premise outlets and drinking patterns among Swiss young men: District level analyses and geographic adjustments.

INTRODUCTION AND AIMS: This study investigated the associations of alcohol outlet density with specific alcohol outcomes (consumption and consequences) among young men in Switzerland and assessed the possible geographically related variations. DESIGN AND METHODS: Alcohol consumption and drinking consequences were measured in a 2010-2011 study assessing substance use risk factors (Cohort Study on Substance Use Risk Factors) among 5519 young Swiss men. Outlet density was based on the number of on- and off-premise outlets in the district of residence. Linear regression models were run separately for drinking level, heavy episodic drinking (HED) and drinking consequences. Geographically weighted regression models were estimated when variations were recorded at the district level. RESULTS: No consistent association was found between outlet density and drinking consequences. A positive association between drinking level and HED with on-premise outlet density was found. Geographically weighted regressions were run for drinking level and HED. The predicted values for HED were higher in the southwest part of Switzerland (French-speaking part). DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS: Among Swiss young men, the density of outlets and, in particular, the abundance of bars, clubs and other on-premise outlets was associated with drinking level and HED, even when drinking consequences were not significantly affected. These findings support the idea that outlet density needs to be considered when developing and implementing regional-based prevention initiatives. [Astudillo M, Kuendig H, Centeno-Gil A, Wicki M, Gmel G. Regional abundance of on-premise outlets and drinking patterns among Swiss young men: District level analyses and geographic adjustments. Drug Alcohol Rev 2014;33:526-33].

Debris flow susceptibility mapping at a regional scale along the National Road N7, Argentina

A first assessment of debris flow susceptibility at a large scale was performed along the National Road N7, Argentina. Numerous catchments are prone to debris flows and likely to endanger the road-users. A 1:50,000 susceptibility map was created. The use of a DEM (grid 30 m) associated to three complementary criteria (slope, contributing area, curvature) allowed the identification of potential source areas. The debris flow spreading was estimated using a process- and GISbased model (Flow-R) based on basic probabilistic and energy calculations. The best-fit values for the coefficient of friction and the mass-to-drag ratio of the PCM model were found to be ? = 0.02 and M/D = 180 and the resulting propagation on one of the calibration site was validated using the Coulomb friction model. The results are realistic and will be useful to determine which areas need to be prioritized for detailed studies.

The Farm, the city, and the emergence of social security

We study the social, demographic and economic origins of social security. The data for the U.S. and for a cross section of countries suggest that urbanization and industrialization are associated with the rise of social insurance. We describe an OLG model in which demographics, technology, and social security are linked together in a political economy equilibrium. In the model economy, there are two locations (sectors), the farm (agricultural) and the city (industrial) and the decision to migrate from rural to urban locations is endogenous and linked to productivity differences between the two locations and survival probabilities. Farmers rely on land inheritance for their old age and do not support a pay-as-you-go social security system. With structural change, people migrate to the city, the land loses its importance and support for social security arises. We show that a calibrated version of this economy, where social security taxes are determined by majority voting, is consistent with the historical transformation in the United States.

Regional fat mobilization and training type on sedentary, premenopausal overweight and obese women.

OBJECTIVE: Little is known about the influence of different training types on relative fat mobilization with exercise. The purpose of this study was to analyze the changes induced by aerobic training (AT), resistance (RT) or a combination of both (AT+RT) on total fat mass (TFM) and regional fat mass (RFM). Further, the relative contribution of different regions, upper limbs (UL), lower limbs (LL), and trunk (Tr), were compared. DESIGN AND METHODS: Forty-five overweight and premenopausal women were randomized in either AT, RT or AT+RT. All training groups exercised for the same duration (60 min), 3 times per week for 5 months. Body composition was estimated using dual energy X-ray absorptiometry. RESULTS: TFM decreased significantly in all groups (-4.6 ± 1.9 kg; -3.8 ± 2.6 kg, and -4.7 ± 3.0 kg in AT, RT, and AT+RT groups respectively; P < 0.001). The relative contribution of FM into each segment changed significantly: TrFM represented 46.6% ± 5.8% of TFM at baseline and reduced to 43.1% ± 5.5% (P < 0.001); LLFM was 39.7% ± 5.8% vs. 41.6% ± 5.7% (P < 0.01); ULFM was 11.3% ± 1.3% vs. 12.2% ± 1.4% (P < 0.01). CONCLUSION: Training type did not influence changes of TFM and RFM. Fat mobilization came predominantly from Tr in all training protocols. These findings suggest that overweight and obese women can reduce TFM and RFM, independently of training type.

Photoactive sawhorse-type diruthenium tetracarbonyl complexes

Sawhorse-type diruthenium tetracarbonyl complexes incorporating carboxyphenyl porphyrin bridges and pyridine axial ligands have been prepared, characterized and evaluated as potential photosensitizing and chemotherapeutic agents in several human cancer cells (A2780, A549, Me300, HeLa). The mono carboxyphenyl porphyrin derivatives, 5-(4-carboxyphenyl)-10,15,20-triphenyl-21,23H-porphyrin (HOOCR1-H2) and 5-(4-carboxyphenyl)-10,15,20-triphenylporphyrin-Zn (HOOCR1-Zn), after reaction with Ru-3(CO)(12) and pyridine, give the dinuclear complexes [Ru-2(CO)(4)(OOCR1-H2)(2)(NC5H5)(2)] (1) and [Ru-2(CO)(4)-(OOCR1-Zn)(2)(NC5H5)(2)] (2), respectively. Under the same reaction conditions, the di-carboxyphenyl porphyrin derivatives, 5,10-di(4-carboxyphenyl)-15,20-diphenyl-21,23H-porphyrin (HOOCR2-H2COOH) and 5,10-di(4-carboxyphenyl)-15,20-diphenylporphyrin-Zn (HOOCR2-ZnCOOH), give rise to the tetranuclear complexes, [{Ru-2(CO)(4)(NC5H5)(2)}(2)(OOCR2-H2COO)(2)] (3) and [{Ru-2(CO)(4)(NC5H5)(2! )}(2)(OOCR2-ZnCOO)(2)] (4), in which two sawhorse diruthenium tetracarbonyl units are linked by the di-carboxyphenyl porphyrin ligands. When tested in human cancer cell lines, both Zn(II) metallo-porphyrin derivatives 2 and 4 and the tetranuclear derivative 3 show some degree of cytotoxicity in the dark, but seem to present no phototoxicity upon irradiation at 652 nm. These results demonstrate the effect of the Zn(II) ion insertion into the porphyrin core, resulting in increased cytotoxicity and decreased phototoxicity. On the other hand, complex 1, the less cytotoxic derivative with IC50 > 170 mu M in HeLa cervix and A2780 ovarian cancer cell lines, shows an excellent phototoxicity toward these cancer cell lines with LD50 comprised between 4.5 and 7.5 J/cm(2) (irradiance 30 mW/cm(2)) at 5 mu M concentration (incubation time: 24 h). Overall, an excellent ratio between photo-and cytotoxicity has been found for the metal-free porphyrin derivative [Ru-2(CO)(4)(OOCR1-H2)(2)(! NC5H5)(2)] (1).