A cost-benefit analysis of culling badgers to control bovine tuberculosis

Bovine tuberculosis (TB) is an important economic problem. The incidence of TB in cattle herds has steadily risen in the UK, and badgers are strongly implicated in spreading disease. Since the mid-1970s the UK government has adopted a number of badger culling strategies to attempt to reduce infection in cattle. In this report, an established model has been used to simulate TB in badgers, transmission to cattle, and control by badger culling. Costs were supplied by the UK Government's Department for Environment Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) for badger trapping and gassing. Regardless of culling intensity or area simulated, an overall reduction in the herd breakdown rate was seen. With a high culling efficacy and no social perturbation, the mean Net Present Value of a few simulated culling strategies in an "ideal world" was positive, meaning the economic benefits outweighed the costs. Further work is required before these results could be considered definitive, as it is necessary to evaluate uncertainties and simulate less than perfect conditions. (c) 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Cost-benefit analysis model of badger (Meles meles) culling to reduce cattle herd tuberculosis breakdowns in Britain, with particular reference to badger perturbation

Bovine tuberculosis (TB)is an important economic disease. Badgers (Meles meles) are the wildlife source implicated in many cattle outbreaks of TB in Britain, and extensive badger control is a controversial option to reduce the disease. A badger and cattle population model was developed, simulating TB epidemiology; badger ecology, including postcull social perturbation; and TB-related farm management. An economic cost-benefit module was integrated into the model to assess whether badger control offers economic benefits. Model results strongly indicate that although, if perturbation were restricted, extensive badger culling could reduce rates in cattle, overall an economic loss would be more likely than a benefit. Perturbation of the badger population was a key factor determining success or failure of control. The model highlighted some important knowledge gaps regarding both the spatial and temporal characteristics of perturbation that warrant further research.

Radon in homes and risk of lung cancer: collaborative analysis of individual data from 13 European case-control studies

Objective: To determine the risk of lung cancer associated with exposure at home to the radioactive disintegration products of naturally Occurring radon gas. Design: Collaborative analysis of individual data from 13 case-control studies of residential radon and lung cancer. Setting Nine European countries. Subjects 7148 cases Of lung cancer and 14 208 controls. Main outcome measures: Relative risks of lung cancer and radon gas concentrations in homes inhabited during the previous 5-34 years measured in becquerels (radon disintegrations per second) per cubic incite (Bq/m(3)) Of household air. Results: The mean measured radon concentration in homes of people in tire control group was 97 Bq/m(3), with 11% measuring > 200 and 4% measuring > 400 Bq/m(3). For cases of lung cancer the mean concentration was 104 Bq/m(3). The risk of lung cancer increased by 8.4% (95% confidence interval 3.0% to 15.8%) per 100 Bq/m(3) increase in measured radon (P = 0.0007). This corresponds to an increase of 16% (5% to 31%) per 100 Bq/m(3) increase in usual radon-that is, after correction for the dilution caused by random uncertainties in measuring radon concentrations. The dose-response relation seemed to be linear with no threshold and remained significant (P=0.04) in analyses limited to individuals from homes with measured radon < 200 Bq/m(3). The proportionate excess risk did not differ significantly with study, age, sex, or smoking. In the absence of other causes of death, the absolute risks of lung cancer by age 75 years at usual radon concentrations of 0, 100, and 400 Bq/m(3) would be about 0.4%, 0.5%, and 0.7%, respectively, for lifelong non-smokers, and about 25 times greater (10%, 12%, and 16%) for cigarette smokers. Conclusions: Collectively, though not separately, these studies show appreciable hazards from residential radon, particularly for smokers and recent ex-smokers, and indicate that it is responsible for about 2% of all deaths from cancer in Europe.

Deposition of charged inhaled aerosols with transient airflow in sequential lung airway model

Transport and deposition of charged inhaled aerosols in double planar bifurcation representing generation three to five of human respiratory system has been studied under a light activity breathing condition. Both steady and oscillatory laminar inhalation airflow is considered. Particle trajectories are calculated using a Lagrangian reference frame, which is dominated by the fluid force driven by airflow, gravity force and electrostatic forces (both of space and image charge forces). The particle-mesh method is selected to calculate the space charge force. This numerical study investigates the deposition efficiency in the three-dimensional model under various particle sizes, charge values, and inlet particle distribution. Numerical results indicate that particles carrying an adequate level of charge can improve deposition efficiency in the airway model.

Avaliação de duas técnicas de reação em cadeia da polimerase na detecção do Mycobacterium tuberculosis em diferentes amostras biológicas

A tuberculose (TB) é uma doença infecto-contagiosa causada pelo bacilo Mycobacterium tuberculosis e que permanece como um importante problema de saúde pública mundial, sendo a TB pulmonar a forma mais comum de apresentação da doença. O diagnóstico precoce e tratamento adequado são essenciais para a eficácia dos programas públicos de controle da TB. Novos metodologias mais rápidas, sensíveis e específicas, como a reação em cadeia da polimerase (PCR), vem sendo propostas no diagnóstico da doença. O objetivo desse estudo foi avaliar o desempenho de duas PCR, a PCR em tempo real (qPCR) e a Nested PCR em único tubo (STNPCR), em diferentes amostras biológicas, no diagnóstico da tuberculose pulmonar, além de compará-las com as metodologias convencionais (baciloscopia e cultura) e entre si. Para isso foram analisados 125 pacientes que tiveram amostras de sangue (125 amostras de plasma e 116 amostras de PBMC), urina (n=125) e escarro (n=125) coletadas, totalizando a análise de 491 amostras biológicas. Amostras de escarro e urina foram descontaminadas pelo método de Petroff NAOH 4 por cento modificado e semeadas em meio de cultura Lõwenstein-Jensen (LJ), enquanto as amostras de sangue eram separadas em plasma e PBMC. Após processamento, deu-se a extração de DNA através do kit comercial da Qiagen seguida de amplificação pelas duas metodologias de PCR. Para análise estatística calculou-se a sensibilidade, especificidade, valores preditivos positivo e negativo e índice kappa das técnicas. A STNPCR apresentou, em amostras de sangue, sensibilidade de 26,3 por cento e especificidade de 97,7 por cento. Em amostras de urina observou-se uma S = 7,9 por cento e E = 98,9 por cento e em escarro S = 21,1 por cento e E = 98,9 por cento. Quando analisadas as asmotras em paralelo, a sensibilidade da STNPCR foi igual a 44,7 por cento enquanto sua especificidade foi 97,7 por cento. Já a qPCR, em amostras de sangue, obteve sensibilidade igual a 26,3 por cento e especificidade de 95,4 por cento. Em amostras de urina a sensibilidade obtida foi 47,4 por cento e a especificidade 79,3 por cento e, em escarro, S = 36,8 por cento e E = 95,4 por cento. Quando analisada em paralelo, a sensibilidade da qPCR foi 65,8 por cento e a especificidade foi 79,3 por cento. A baciloscopia de escarro apresentou sensibilidade de 41,7 por cento e especificidade de 100 por cento, enquanto as culturas em urina e escarro apresentaram sensibilidade e especificidade, respectivamente, de 10,5 por cento e 100 por cento e 60,5 por cento e 96,6 por cento. Pode-se concluir que a qPCR apresentou melhor desempenho quando comparada à STNPCR e também bom desempenho quando comparada às metodologias convencionais, e que quando analisa-se mais de um tipo de amostras biológica, a eficácia das técnicas é aumentada. Espera-se que com a utilização dessa técnica molecular, seja possível a melhor elucidação dos casos de TB pulmonar, promovendo maior taxa de tratamento dos pacientes e menor risco de transmissão da doença

Farmers’ willingness to pay for a tuberculosis cattle vaccine

We use contingent valuation (CV) and choice experiment (CE) methods to assess cattle farmers’ attitudes to and willingness to pay (WTP) for a bovine tuberculosis (bTB) cattle vaccine, to help inform vaccine development and policy. A survey questionnaire was administered by means of telephone interviews to a stratified sample of 300 cattle farmers in annually bTB-tested areas in England and Wales. Farmers felt that bTB was a major risk for the cattle industry and that there was a high risk of their cattle getting the disease. The CE estimate produced a mean WTP of £35 per animal per single dose for a vaccine that is 90% effective at reducing the risk of a bTB breakdown and an estimated £55 for such a vaccine backed by 100% insurance of loss if a breakdown should occur. The CV estimate produced a mean WTP of nearly £17 per dose/per animal/per year for a vaccine (including 100% insurance) which, given the average lifespan of cattle, is comparable to the CE estimate. These WTP estimates are substantially higher than the expected cost of a vaccine which suggests that farmers in high risk bTB ‘hotspot’ areas perceive a substantial net benefit from buying the vaccine.

Long-term cultivation-independent microbial diversity analysis demonstrates that bacterial communities infecting the adult cystic fibrosis lung show stability and resilience.

Whilst not true in all cases, the microbial communities that chronically infect the airways of patients with CF can vary little over a year despite antibiotic perturbation. The species present tended to vary more between than within subjects, suggesting that each CF airway infection is unique, with relatively stable and resilient bacterial communities. The inverse relationship between community richness and disease severity is similar to findings reported in other mucosal infections.

Drug permeability in 16HBE14o- airway cell layers correlates with absorption from the isolated perfused rat lung

The permeability of the lung is critical in determining the disposition of inhaled drugs and the respiratory epithelium provides the main physical barrier to drug absorption. The 16HBE14o- human bronchial epithelial cell line has been developed recently as a model of the airway epithelium. In this study, the transport of 10 low molecular weight compounds was measured in the 16HBE14o- cell layers, with apical to basolateral (absorptive) apparent permeability coefficients (P(app)) ranging from 0.4 x 10(-6)cms(-1) for Tyr-D-Arg-Phe-Phe-NH(2) to 25.2x10(-6)cms(-1) for metoprolol. Permeability in 16HBE14o- cells was found to correlate with previously reported P(app) in Caco-2 cells and absorption rates in the isolated perfused rat lung (k(a,lung)) and the rat lung in vivo (k(a,in vivo)). Log linear relationships were established between P(app) in 16HBE14o- cells and P(app) in Caco-2 cells (r(2)=0.82), k(a,lung) (r(2)=0.78) and k(a,in vivo) (r(2)=0.68). The findings suggest that permeability in 16HBE14o- cells may be useful to predict the permeability of compounds in the lung, although no advantage of using the organ-specific cell line 16HBE14o- compared to Caco-2 cells was found in this study.

Variation in the use of chemotherapy in lung cancer

Factors influencing the use of chemotherapy for the initial (6 months) treatment of lung cancer in South East England were investigated. The variables explored as possibly influencing the use of chemotherapy were sex, age, the year of diagnosis, the type of lung cancer, the stage, the index of multiple deprivation and the cancer network of residence. Chi2 analysis and multivariate logistic regression models were used to examine the effect of each of the variables on the use of chemotherapy. The results showed a highly significant trend in use of chemotherapy over time; the adjusted proportion of patients receiving chemotherapy increasing from 13.6% in 1994 to 29.3% in 2003. However, age, cancer network and type of lung cancer had the strongest influence on the use of chemotherapy. This finding is important when we consider that the NHS Cancer Plan aims at improving inequalities in cancer care in the UK.