Modeling the formation and aging of secondary organic aerosols during CalNex 2010

Four different literature parameterizations for the formation and evolution of urban secondary organic aerosol (SOA) frequently used in 3-D models are evaluated using a 0-D box model representing the Los Angeles metropolitan region during the California Research at the Nexus of Air Quality and Climate Change (CalNex) 2010 campaign. We constrain the model predictions with measurements from several platforms and compare predictions with particle- and gas-phase observations from the CalNex Pasadena ground site. That site provides a unique opportunity to study aerosol formation close to anthropogenic emission sources with limited recirculation. The model SOA that formed only from the oxidation of VOCs (V-SOA) is insufficient to explain the observed SOA concentrations, even when using SOA parameterizations with multi-generation oxidation that produce much higher yields than have been observed in chamber experiments, or when increasing yields to their upper limit estimates accounting for recently reported losses of vapors to chamber walls. The Community Multiscale Air Quality (WRF-CMAQ) model (version 5.0.1) provides excellent predictions of secondary inorganic particle species but underestimates the observed SOA mass by a factor of 25 when an older VOC-only parameterization is used, which is consistent with many previous model–measurement comparisons for pre-2007 anthropogenic SOA modules in urban areas. Including SOA from primary semi-volatile and intermediate-volatility organic compounds (P-S/IVOCs) following the parameterizations of Robinson et al. (2007), Grieshop et al. (2009), or Pye and Seinfeld (2010) improves model–measurement agreement for mass concentration. The results from the three parameterizations show large differences (e.g., a factor of 3 in SOA mass) and are not well constrained, underscoring the current uncertainties in this area. Our results strongly suggest that other precursors besides VOCs, such as P-S/IVOCs, are needed to explain the observed SOA concentrations in Pasadena. All the recent parameterizations overpredict urban SOA formation at long photochemical ages (3 days) compared to observations from multiple sites, which can lead to problems in regional and especially global modeling. However, reducing IVOC emissions by one-half in the model to better match recent IVOC measurements improves SOA predictions at these long photochemical ages. Among the explicitly modeled VOCs, the precursor compounds that contribute the greatest SOA mass are methylbenzenes. Measured polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (naphthalenes) contribute 0.7% of the modeled SOA mass. The amounts of SOA mass from diesel vehicles, gasoline vehicles, and cooking emissions are estimated to be 16–27, 35–61, and 19–35 %, respectively, depending on the parameterization used, which is consistent with the observed fossil fraction of urban SOA, 71(+-3) %. The relative contribution of each source is uncertain by almost a factor of 2 depending on the parameterization used. In-basin biogenic VOCs are predicted to contribute only a few percent to SOA. A regional SOA background of approximately 2.1 μgm-3 is also present due to the long-distance transport of highly aged OA, likely with a substantial contribution from regional biogenic SOA. The percentage of SOA from diesel vehicle emissions is the same, within the estimated uncertainty, as reported in previous work that analyzed the weekly cycles in OA concentrations (Bahreini et al., 2012; Hayes et al., 2013). However, the modeling work presented here suggests a strong anthropogenic source of modern carbon in SOA, due to cooking emissions, which was not accounted for in those previous studies and which is higher on weekends. Lastly, this work adapts a simple two-parameter model to predict SOA concentration and O/C from urban emissions. This model successfully predicts SOA concentration, and the optimal parameter combination is very similar to that found for Mexico City. This approach provides a computationally inexpensive method for predicting urban SOA in global and climate models. We estimate pollution SOA to account for 26 Tg yr-1 of SOA globally, or 17% of global SOA, one third of which is likely to be non-fossil.

Denoising Your Monte Carlo Renders: Recent Advances in Image Space-Adaptive Sampling and Reconstruction

With the ongoing shift in the computer graphics industry toward Monte Carlo rendering, there is a need for effective, practical noise-reduction techniques that are applicable to a wide range of rendering effects and easily integrated into existing production pipelines. This course surveys recent advances in image-space adaptive sampling and reconstruction algorithms for noise reduction, which have proven very effective at reducing the computational cost of Monte Carlo techniques in practice. These approaches leverage advanced image-filtering techniques with statistical methods for error estimation. They are attractive because they can be integrated easily into conventional Monte Carlo rendering frameworks, they are applicable to most rendering effects, and their computational overhead is modest.

Case control study identifying the maternal risk factors for congenital syphilis in Texas: 1998--2001

Background. Congenital syphilis (CS) is the oldest recognized congenital infection in the world. CS infection can affect multiple organs and can even cause neonatal death. CS is largely preventable when maternal syphilis is treated in an adequate and timely manner. During the decade of the nineties, rates of CS in Texas have often exceeded the overall US rate. Few studies, with adequate sample sizes, have been conducted to determine the risk factors associated with CS while controlling for factors associated with adult (maternal) syphilis infection. Objective. To determine the current maternal risk factors for CS infection in Texas from 1998–2001. Methods. A total of 1083 women with positive serological tests for syphilis during pregnancy or at delivery were reported to, and assessed by, health department surveillance staff. Mothers delivering infants in Texas between January 1, 1998 and June 30, 2001 comprised the study population. Mothers of infants diagnosed with confirmed or presumptive CS (N = 291) were compared to mothers of infants diagnosed as non-cases (N = 792) to determine the risk factors for vertical transmission (while controlling for risk factors of horizontal transmission). Logistic regression analyses were conducted to determine the associated odds between selected maternal variables and the outcome of CS. Results. Among 291 case infants, 5 (1.7%), 12 (4.1%), 274 (94.2%) were classified as confirmed cases, syphilitic stillbirths, and presumptive cases, respectively. Lack of maternal syphilis treatment was the strongest predictor of CS: odds ratio (OR) = 199.57 (95% CI 83.45–477.25) compared to those receiving treatment before pregnancy, while women treated during their pregnancies were also at increased risk (OR = 6.67, 95% CI 4.01–11.08). Women receiving no prenatal care were more likely (OR = 2.77, 95% CI 1.60–4.79) to have CS infants than those receiving prenatal care. Single women had higher odds (OR = 1.90, 95% CI 1.10–3.26) than ever-married women. African-Americans (OR 0.91, 95% CI 0.37–2.23) and Hispanics (OR = 1.66, 95% CI 0.68–4.05) may be more likely to have a CS infant than non-Hispanic Whites. Conclusions. The burden of CS in Texas can be alleviated through the provision of quality health care services, particularly prenatal care and treatment for sexually transmitted diseases. ^

The Time-Series Properties on Housing Prices: A Case Study of the Southern California Market

We examine the time-series relationship between housing prices in eight Southern California metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs). First, we perform cointegration tests of the housing price indexes for the MSAs, finding seven cointegrating vectors. Thus, the evidence suggests that one common trend links the housing prices in these eight MSAs, a purchasing power parity finding for the housing prices in Southern California. Second, we perform temporal Granger causality tests revealing intertwined temporal relationships. The Santa Anna MSA leads the pack in temporally causing housing prices in six of the other seven MSAs, excluding only the San Luis Obispo MSA. The Oxnard MSA experienced the largest number of temporal effects from other MSAs, six of the seven, excluding only Los Angeles. The Santa Barbara MSA proved the most isolated in that it temporally caused housing prices in only two other MSAs (Los Angels and Oxnard) and housing prices in the Santa Anna MSA temporally caused prices in Santa Barbara. Third, we calculate out-of-sample forecasts in each MSA, using various vector autoregressive (VAR) and vector error-correction (VEC) models, as well as Bayesian, spatial, and causality versions of these models with various priors. Different specifications provide superior forecasts in the different MSAs. Finally, we consider the ability of theses time-series models to provide accurate out-of-sample predictions of turning points in housing prices that occurred in 2006:Q4. Recursive forecasts, where the sample is updated each quarter, provide reasonably good forecasts of turning points.

Grief, Physical Symptoms, and Decision-Making in Mothers of Newborns Who Die

The purpose of this study was to describe predictors of level of grief and physical symptoms in mothers during the year after a newborn death. This was undertaken to fmd better ways to help these mothers during this crisis. Following appropriate approvals, volunteer subjects were contacted through hospitals, the Internet, and a health department. Of the 75 who responded, 77% were White and married, 64% were Christian. 51 % had other living children, 72% had had no prior pregnancy losses, 87% had support with decision-making about newborn care, and their mean age was 30 yrs. Once subjects had agreed to take Par4 the survey and consent form were sent to them. Study outcome variables were: Total scores on the Perinatal Grief Scale, Short Version (level of grief; T oedter, Lasker, & Alhadeff. 1988) and Sickness Impact Profile 68 (level of physical symptoms; de Bruin, Buys, de Witte, & Diederiks, 1994). Predictor variables were total scores on the Personal Resources Questionnaire 85, Part U (perceived support; Brandt & Weinert, 1981); Relationship Satisfaction Questionnaire (relationship satisfaction; Olson & McCubbin, 1983); Emotion-Focused. Problem-Focused, and Mixed Coping Subscales (emotion-focused, problem-focused, and mixed coping; Lazarus & Folkman, 1988); interval since death, ethnicity, religion, socioeconomic status, gestational age, and presence of living children. Coefficient alphas for scales were all over .75. In two stepwise-hierarchical multiple regressions, perceived support and emotion- focused coping combined to predict 43% of the variance in level of grief, and level of grief alone predicted 50% of the variance in level of physical symptoms. In written comments, mothers said they valued their role in decision-making about newborn care even with death as the result. and felt supported in that process. Findings may be used to design intervention programs to help bereaved mothers following a newborn death. Specifically, programs can help increase perceived support for bereaved mothers, and teach new ways of coping. Both strategies may result in lower levels of grief and physical symptoms in this group of bereaved mothers.

Na 1 Nachlass Max Horkheimer, 37 - Korrespondenzen u.a. mit Dorthy I. Mulgrave (p. I 18, 335-517)

1 Brief von Margot von Mendelssohn an Max Horkheimer, 20.05.1948; 6 Briefe zwsichen Charles E. Merriam und Max Horkheimer, 1940-1941; 4 Briefe zwischen Josef Messinger und Max Horkheimer, 1940; 1 Curriculum Vitae von Alfred Meusel an Max Horkheimer; 1 Brief von Max Horkheimer an Gerhard Meyer, 17.10.1938; 3 Briefe zwischen Hans A. Meyer und Max Horkheimer´09.10.1939, 1947; 2 Briefe zwischen Julie Meyer und Max Horkheimer, 12.04.1941, 15.04.1941; 43 Briefe zwischen Hermann Meyer-Lindenberg, Oscar Meyer und Max Horkheimer sowie Briefwechsel mit Hadley Cantril; 2 Briefe zwischen Hadley Cantril und Theodor W. Adorno, 22.05.1941, 28.05.1941; 1 Brief von Jerome Michael an Margot von Mendelssohn, 10.01.1941; 2 Briefe und 2 Beilagen zwischen Joseph Mire und Max Horkheimer, 16.03.1941, 28.03.1941; 6 Briefe zwischen Mitchell, Silberberg & Knupp, Los Angeles und Max Horkheimer, 1942, 1943; 1 Brief von Friedrich Pollock an Wesley C. Mitchell, 06.08.1940; 3 Briefe zwischen Hans Mohr und Max Horkheimer, 29.03.1946, 1946; 1 Brief von Herbert Moeller Morton an Max Horkheimer, 25.02.1940; 1 Brief von Max Horkheimer an den Chairman of the Committee on General Scholarships, Cambridge Massachusetts, 01.03.1940; 2 Briefe von David H. Moses an Max Horkheimer, 1939; 1 Brief von Franz Neumann an Philip Mosley, 28.04.1941; 49 Briefe zwischen Dorthy I. Mulgrave und Max Horkheimer, 1936-1940; 1 Brief von Max Horkheimer an das Municipal Court, San Francisco, 24.12.1948;

Na 1 Nachlass Max Horkheimer, 80 - Korrespondenzen u.a. mit Marjorie Fiske Lissance (p. II 11, 1-52)

4 Briefe zwischen Frederick Lilge und Max Horkheimer, 1948; 15 Briefe zwischen Marjorie Fiske Lissance und Max Horkheimer, 1947-1948; 2 Brief und Beilage von Max Horkheimer an Harvey J. Locke, 1948; 3 Briefe zwischen Walter Lichtblau-Lohner und Max Horkheimer, 1940-1944; 2 Briefe zwischen Anton Lourie und Max Horkheimer, 17.08.1945, 1.09.1945 sowie 1 Memorandum von Max Horkheimer über ein Gespräch mit Anton Lourie 26.09.1945; 1 Brief von G. L. an George A. Lundberg, 1948; 6 Briefe zwischen Zvi Lurie und Max Horkheimer, 1949; 3 Briefe zwischen Georg Lukács und Max Horkheimer, 07.07.1948, 1948-1949; 1 Brief von Helen Lynd an Max Horkheimer, 1945;

Na 1 Nachlass Max Horkheimer, 493 - Korrespondenzen mit Mitarbeitern (u.a. Gerhard Brand, Ludwig von Friedeburg und Jürgen Habermas) aus dem Institut für Sozialforschung (p. V 193, 1 - 212)

Briefe zwischen Mitarbeitern des Instituts für Sozialforschung und Max Horkheimer, 1964-1973; 13 Briefe und Beilagen zwischen dem Verwaltungsleiter IfS Siegfried Geissler und Max Horkheimer, 1968-1973; 9 Briefe zwischen Klaus Körber (Institut für Sozialforschung) und Max Horkheimer, 1971-1973; 2 Briefe zwischen dem Professor Rudolf Gunzert und Max Horkheimer, 1972; 2 Briefe zwischen Dr. Joachim Bergmann (Institut für Sozialforschung) und Max Horkheimer, 1971; 2 Briefe zwischen dem Professor Gerhard Brandt und Max Horkheimer, 1971; 6 Briefe zwischen Herbert Ludwig (Institut für Sozialforschung) und Max Horkheimer, 1966-1967; 3 Briefe von Max Horkheimer an Professor Franz Böhm, 1966; Briefe zwischen den Mitarbeitern des Instituts für Sozialforschung und Max Horkheimer, 1955-1959; 4 Briefe von Jürgen Habermas an Max Horkheimer, Frankfurt, 1957-1959; 3 Briefe zwischen Christoph Oehler und Max Horkheimer, 1959; 13 Briefe zwischen Ludwig von Friedeburg und Max Horkheimer, 1955-1959; 1 Brief von Werner Wilkening an Max Horkheimer, 1958; 1 Brief von Gerhard Brandt an Max Horkheimer, 1958; 1 Brief von Max Horkheimer an den Dekan Helmut Viebrock, 1958; 2 Briefe von Egon Becker mit Helge Pross und Ludwig Friedeburg an Max Horkheimer, Frankfurt, 1958-1959; 2 Briefe von Helge Pross mit Egon Becker und Ludwig Friedeburg an Max Horkheimer, Frankfurt, 1958-1959; 1 Brief von Dieter Arenz an Max Horkheimer, Frankfurt, 1956; Briefe vom und an das Institut für Sozialforschung (Advisory Board of the Institute of Social Research), 1940-1947; Briefe und Briefentwürfe an und von Mitgliedern des Advisory Board betreffend die Zusendung von Max Horkheimer "Eclipse of Reason" und Karl August Wittvogel/Olga Lang, "Chinese Family and Society"; vom Institut für Sozialforschung, 1946-1947; 1 Brief von Edwin Borchard vom Institut für Sozialforschung, 1947; 1 Brief von Friedrich Pollock an Alfred E. Cohn, Los Angeles, 1947; 1 Brief von Friedrich Pollock an Stephan Duggan, Los Angeles, 1947; 2 Briefe zwischen Lloyd K. Garrison und Friedrich. Pollock, 1947; 1 Brief von Friedrich Pollock an Calvin B. Hoover, Los Angeles, 1947; 1 Brief von Friedrich Pollock an Philip C. Jessup, Los Angeles, 1947; 1 Brief von Friedrich Pollock an Wesley C. Mitchell, Los Angeles, 1947; 1 Brief von Friedrich Pollock an William A. Neilson, Los Angeles, 1947; 1 Brief von Friedrich Pollock an Frederick M. Padelford, Los Angeles, 1947; 1 Brief von Friedrich Pollock an Thorsten Sellin, Los Angeles, 1947; 3 Briefe zwischen John Whyte und Friedrich Pollock, 1947; 2 Briefe zwischen Louis Wirth und Friedrich Pollock, 1947; 1 Brief von Friedrich Pollock an Howard Woolston, Los Angeles, 1947; 1 Brief von George H. Sabine an das Institut für Sozialforschung, Ithaca, New York, 1946; Briefe und Briefentwürfe an und von Mitgliedern des Advisory Board betreffend den Druck eines neuen Briefkopfs des Instituts, 1940; 1 Brief von Leo Löwenthal, Pacific Palisades an Margot von Mendelssohn, 1942; 1 Brief von Leo Löwenthal an Margot von Mendelssohn, Pacific Palisades, 1942; 1 Brief von Max Horkheimer an K. Pilser, 1942; 2 Briefe zwischen Charles A. Beard und Max Horkheimer, 1940; 2 Briefe zwischen Edwin M. Borchard und Max Horkheimer, 1940; 3 Briefe zwischen Henry Sloane Coffin und Max Horkheimer, 1940; 2 Briefe zwischen Morris R. Cohen und Max Horkheimer, 1940; 2 Briefe zwischen Alfred E. Cohn und Max Horkheimer, 1940; 2 Briefe zwischen Stephen Duggan und Max Horkheimer, 1940; 2 Briefe zwischen dem Soziologen Henry Pratt Fairchild und Max Horkheimer, 1940; 2 Briefe zwischen Sidney B. Fay und Max Horkheimer, 1940; 2 Briefe zwischen Lloyd K. Garrison und Max Horkheimer, 1940; 1 Brief von Max Horkheimer an Calvin B. Hoover, 1940; 2 Briefe zwischen Robert M. Hutchins und Max Horkheimer, 1940; 2 Briefe zwischen Philip C. Jessup und Max Horkheimer, 1940; 2 Briefe zwischen Lewis L. Lorwin und Max Horkheimer, 1940; 2 Briefe zwischen Robert S. Lynd und Max Horkheimer, 1940; 2 Briefe zwischen Robert M. MacIver und Max Horkheimer, 1940; 2 Briefe von Max Horkheimer an Charles H. McIlwain, 1940; 2 Briefe zwischen Charles E. Merriam und Max Horkheimer, 1940; 2 Briefe zwischen Wesley C. Mitchell und Max Horkheimer, 1940; 2 Briefe zwischen William A. Nielson und Max Horkheimer, 1940; 5 Briefe zwischen Howard W. Odum und Max Horkheimer, 1940; 3 Briefe zwischen Frederick M. Padelford und Max Horkheimer, 1940; 3 Briefe von Max Horkheimer an Max Radin, 1940; 2 Briefe zwischen George H. Sabine und Max Horkheimer, 1940; 2 Briefe zwischen Thorsten Sellin und Max Horkheimer, 1940; 2 Briefe zwischen James T. Shotwell und Max Horkheimer, 1940; 1 Brief von dem Soziologen Louis Wirth an Franz Neumann, Chicago, 1940; 1 Brief von Louis Wirth an Franz L. Neumann, Chicago, 1940; 3 Briefe zwischen Howard Woolston und Max Horkheimer, 1940;

Na 1 Nachlass Max Horkheimer, 504 - Korrespondenzen mit Theodor W. Adorno (p. VI 1B, 133 - 295)

Briefwechsel und Beilagen zwischen Max Horkheimer, Theodor W. Adorno und Gretel Adorno, 1942 - 1944; 1 Brief von Friedrich Pollock an Theodor W. Adorno, 1942; 1 Brief von Theodor W. Adorno an Friedrich Pollock, 1944; 1 Brief von Else Frenkel-Brunswick an Theodor W. Adorno, 1944; 1 Brief von Max Horkheimer an das American Jewish Commitee, 1944; Briefwechsel und Beilagen zwischen Gretel Adorno, Theodor W. Adorno und Frederick Wild, 1942 - 1944; 1 Brief von Gretel Adorno an Leo Löwenthal, 1944; 1 Brief von Monroe E. Deutsch an Theodor W. Adorno, 1944; Briefwechsel zwischen Theodor W. Adorno und Margot von Mendelssohn, 1942 - 1943; 1 Brief von der Bank of America in Los Angeles an Frederick Wild, 1942;

Na 1 Nachlass Max Horkheimer, 508 - Korrespondenzen mit Theodor W. Adorno (p. VI 1E, 146 - 320)

Briefwechsel zwischen Theodor W. Adorno, Gretel Adorno und Max Horkheimer, 1949-1954; Briefwechsel zwischen Alice Maier uind Max Horkheimer; Briefwechsel zwischen dem Hessischen Minister für Erziehung und Volksbildung und Theodor W. Adorno sowie Max Horkheimer; 1 Brief von Alice Maier an Leo Löwenthal; 1 Brief von Alice Maier an die Bank of America in Los Angeles, 29.10.1953; 3 Briefe zwischen Marie Jahoda und Theodor W. Adorno, 1953;

Na 1 Nachlass Max Horkheimer, 513 - Korrespondenzen mit Theodor W. Adorno (p. VI 3, 243 - 555)

Briefe zwischen Theodor W. Adorno, Gretel Adorno und Max Horkheimer; 1 Brief der Bank of America (Los Angeles) an Theodor W. Adorno, 24.12.1959; 1 Brief von Theodor W. Adorno an Herrn Ratza (Verband der Heimkehrer), 04.11.1959; 1 Brief von Max Horkheimer und Theodor W. Adorno an Herrn Becker (Rechtsanwalt), [1959]; 1 Brief von Hans-Joachim Lieber an Theodor W. Adorno, 06.05.1959; 1 Brief von Theodor W. Adorno an L. Herschel, 25.04.1959; 1 Brief von Theodor W. Adorno an Felix Weil, 25.03.1959; 1 Brief von Reinhold Baer an Max Horkheimer, 22.01.1959; 1 Brief von Theodor W. Adorno an Reinhold Baer, 06.02.1959; 1 Brief von Theodor W. Adorno an Paul Massing, 23.01.1959; 1 anoymer Propagandabrief von I. Maschner; 1 Stellungnahme zum Propagandabrief, 12.11.1960; 1 Brief von Theodor W. Adorno an I. Maschner, 01.12.1960; 1 Brief von Theodor W. Adorno an Hubert Habicht, 11.11.1960; 1 Brief von der Deutschen Forschungsgemeinschaft an die Europäische Verlangsanstalt (Frankfurt a. M.), 05.10.1960; 1 Brief an Theodor W. Adorno von der Europäischen Verlagsanstalt, 12.10.1960; 1 Brief von der Deutschen Forschungsgemeinschaft an Theodor W. Adorno, 09.02.1960; 1 Brief von H.-J. Schüring an Theodor W. Adorno, 28.08.1960; 1 Brief von Theodor W. Adorno an Adolf Allwohn, 27.07.1960; 1 Brief von der Deutschen Kriminologischen Gesellschaft (Buchschlag) an Max Horkheimer, 06.07.1960; 1 Brief von Arno Peters an Theodor W. Adorno, 10.02.1960; 1 Brief von den Literaturfreunden Barranquilla an Theodor W. Adorno, 06.02.1960; 2 Briefe von Siegfried Cohn an den AUFBAU New York, 1959/1960; 1 Brief vom AUFBAU an Werner Siegfried Cohn, [1960]; 1 Brief von Wilhelm Bernsdorf an Theodor W. Adorno, 21.01.1960; 1 Brief von Hans Achinger an Theodor W. Adorno, 11.01.1960;