Optimal Cut-Off Value for Homeostasis Model Assessment (HOMA) Index of Insulin-Resistance in a Population of Patients Admitted Electively in a Portuguese Cardiology Ward

INTRODUCTION: Insulin resistance is the pathophysiological key to explain metabolic syndrome. Although clearly useful, the Homeostasis Model Assessment index (an insulin resistance measurement) hasn't been systematically applied in clinical practice. One of the main reasons is the discrepancy in cut-off values reported in different populations. We sought to evaluate in a Portuguese population the ideal cut-off for Homeostasis Model Assessment index and assess its relationship with metabolic syndrome. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We selected a cohort of individuals admitted electively in a Cardiology ward with a BMI < 25 Kg/m2 and no abnormalities in glucose metabolism (fasting plasma glucose < 100 mg/dL and no diabetes). The 90th percentile of the Homeostasis Model Assessment index distribution was used to obtain the ideal cut-off for insulin resistance. We also selected a validation cohort of 300 individuals (no exclusion criteria applied). RESULTS: From 7 000 individuals, and after the exclusion criteria, there were left 1 784 individuals. The 90th percentile for Homeostasis Model Assessment index was 2.33. In the validation cohort, applying that cut-off, we have 49.3% of individuals with insulin resistance. However, only 69.9% of the metabolic syndrome patients had insulin resistance according to that cut-off. By ROC curve analysis, the ideal cut-off for metabolic syndrome is 2.41. Homeostasis Model Assessment index correlated with BMI (r = 0.371, p < 0.001) and is an independent predictor of the presence of metabolic syndrome (OR 19.4, 95% CI 6.6 - 57.2, p < 0.001). DISCUSSION: Our study showed that in a Portuguese population of patients admitted electively in a Cardiology ward, 2.33 is the Homeostasis Model Assessment index cut-off for insulin resistance and 2.41 for metabolic syndrome. CONCLUSION: Homeostasis Model Assessment index is directly correlated with BMI and is an independent predictor of metabolic syndrome.

Contributo para a validação da versão portuguesa da Quebec Back Pain Disability Scale : fiabilidade e poder de resposta em utentes com dor lombar crónica

RESUMO: Um dos principais resultados das intervenções de Fisioterapia dirigidas a utentes com Dor Lombar Crónica (DLC) é reduzir a incapacidade funcional. A Quebec Back Pain Disability Scale (QBPDS) é um instrumento amplamente aceite a nível internacional na medição do nível de incapacidade funcional reportada pelos indivíduos com DLC. O objetivo deste estudo é dar um contributo para a adaptação cultural da versão portuguesa da QBPDS (QBPDS-VP) e investigar o poder de resposta e interpretabilidade da escala. Metodologia: Realizou-se um estudo metodológico, multicentro, baseado num coorte prospetivo de 132 utentes com DLC. Os utentes foram recrutados a partir da lista de espera de 16 serviços de Medicina Física e de Reabilitação/Fisioterapia de várias áreas geográficas de Portugal. A QBPDS- VP foi administrada 3 vezes, em 3 momentos de recolha de dados distintos: T0 - momento inicial (utentes em lista de espera); T1 - 1 semana de intervalo (início dos tratamentos de Fisioterapia); e T2 - 6 semanas de intervalo (pós-intervenção de Fisioterapia). Os dados recolhidos em T0 foram utilizados para a análise fatorial e para o estudo da consistência interna (n=132); os dados da amostra emparelhada de T0 e T1 (n=132) para a fiabilidade teste-reteste; e os dados da amostra emparelhada de T0 e T2 (n=120) para a análise do poder de resposta e interpretabilidade. A âncora externa utilizada foi a perceção global de mudança, neste caso a PGIC- VP, que foi respondida em T1 e T2. O nível de significância para o qual os valores se consideraram satisfatórios foi de p≤ 0,05. O tratamento dos dados foi realizado no software IBM SPSS Statistics (versão 20). Resultados: A QBPDS- VP é uma escala unidimensional, que revela uma excelente consistência interna (α de Cronbach= 0,95) e uma fiabilidade teste-reteste satisfatória (CCI= 0,696; IC 95%: 0,581–0,783). Esta escala demonstrou um poder de resposta moderado, quando aplicada em utentes com DLC ( = 0,426 e AAC= 0,741; IC 95%: 0,645 – 0,837). A Diferença Mínima Detetável (DMD) estimada foi de 19 pontos e as estimativas da Diferença Mínima Clinicamente Importante (DMCI) variaram entre 7 (pelo método curva ROC) e 8 pontos (pelo método “diferença média de pontuação”). A estimativa pela curva ROC deriva do ponto ótimo de corte de 6,5 pontos, com Área Abaixo da Curva (AAC)= 0,741, sensibilidade de 72%, e especificidade de 71%. Uma análise complementar da curva ROC baseada nas diferenças de pontuações da QBPDS, expressa em percentagem, revelou um ponto ótimo de corte de - 24% (AAC= 0,737, sensibilidade de 71%, e especificidade de 71%). Para pontuações iniciais da QBPDS- VP mais altas (≥34 pontos), foi encontrado um ponto ótimo de corte de 10,5 pontos (AAC= 0,738, sensibilidade de 73%, e especificidade de 67%). Conclusão: A QBPDS-VP demonstrou bons níveis de fiabilidade e poder de resposta, recomendando-se o seu uso na medição e avaliação da incapacidade funcional de utentes com DLC. A DMD estimada, de 19 pontos, determinou uma amplitude válida da QBPDS-VP de 19 a 81 pontos. Este estudo propõe estimativas de DMCI da QBPDS- VP numa aplicação específica da escala (em utentes com DLC que são referidos para a intervenção de Fisioterapia). A pontuação inicial da QBPDS- VP deve ser considerada na interpretação de mudanças de pontuação, após a intervenção de Fisioterapia.------------ ABSTRACT: One of the main results of physiotherapy interventions for patients with Chronic Low Back Pain (CLBP) is decrease the functional disability. The Quebec Back Pain Disability Scale (QBPDS) is an instrument widely accepted internationally, in measuring the level of disability reported by individuals with CLBP. The purpose of this study is to contribute to the cultural adaptation of the Portuguese version of QBPDS (QBPDS - PV) and investigate the Responsiveness and Interpretability of QBPDS-PV. Methodology: This was a methodological and multicenter study, based on a sample of 132 subjects with CLBP. The patients were recruited from the waiting lists of 16 medicine rehabilitation service, in many Portugal districts. The Quebec Back Pain Disability Scale was administered in three different moments: T0 – baseline (patients in the waiting list); T1- one week after T0 (the beginning of treatment); and T2 – six weeks after T1 (the posttreatment). The data collected at T0 were used for factor analysis and to study the internal consistency (n = 132); paired sample data of T0 and T1 (n=132) were used for test-retest reliability, and sample data paired for T0 and T2 (n=120) used for responsiveness and interpretability analysis. The external anchor was the global perception of change, measured by the Portuguese version of Patient’s Global Impression of Change (PGIC) Scale. The minimal level of significance established was p ≤ 0,05. Data analysis was performed using the IBM SPSS Statistics software (version 20). Results: The QBPDS-PV is a unidimensional scale, demonstrates an excellent internal consistency (Cronbach's α=0.95) and satisfactory test-retest reliability (ICC= 0.696, 95% CI: 0.581–0.783). The scale revealed moderate responsiveness when applied to patients with CLBP ( = 0.426 and AUC= 0.741, 95% CI: 0.645 - 0.837). The Smallest Detectable Change (SDC) was 19 points, whereas the Minimal Clinically Important Change (MCIC) ranged between 7 (ROC curve method) and 8 points (by the "mean difference score"). The estimate was derived from the ROC curve by an optimal cutoff point of 6.5 points, with Area Under the Curve (AUC)= 0.741, sensitivity 72%, and specificity of 71%. A complementary analysis of the ROC curve based on differences in QBPDS scores from baseline, expressed in percentage, revealed an optimal cutoff point of -24% (AUC= 0.737, sensitivity of 71%, and specificity of 71%). For the highest initial scores of QBPDS-PV (≥ 34 points) was found an optimal cutoff of 10.5 points (AUC= 0.738, sensitivity of 73%, and specificity 67%). Conclusion: The QBPDS-PV demonstrated good levels of reliability and responsiveness, being recommended its use in the measurement and evaluation of disability of patients with CLBP. The SDC of 19 points determined the QBPDS‟ scale width of 19 to 81. This study proposes MCIC values for QBPDS –PV for this specific setting (in CLBP patients who are referred for physiotherapy intervention). The QBPDS –PV baseline score have to be taken into account while interpreting the score change after physiotherapy intervention.

Contribuição para a adaptação cultural do Neck Disability Index e caraterização da prática de fisioterapia em pacientes com dor crónica cervical

RESUMO: Objetivo: Este trabalho teve como objetivo contribuir para o processo de adaptação cultural do Neck Disability Index (NDI), através da análise da sua unidimensionalidade e do estudo da sua fiabilidade (consistência interna e fiabilidade teste-reteste), validade de constructo e poder de resposta. De igual forma pretendeu-se caraterizar a intervenção realizada pela fisioterapia e os resultados obtidos em pacientes com Dor Cervical Crónica (DCC). Introdução: A dor cervical é um problema cada vez mais comum nos países industrializados, constituindo uma das três condições mais frequentemente reportadas por queixas de origem músculo-esquelética. A sua incidência é um fenómeno em crescimento, com custos implicados para a sociedade. Desta forma reconhece-se a importância de um instrumento que monitorize a evolução da incapacidade funcional associada à DCC. O NDI é atualmente o instrumento de avaliação mais recomendado para avaliar a incapacidade funcional associada à dor cervical. Foi traduzido e adaptado à língua portuguesa, mas à data não foi realizada nenhuma avaliação das suas propriedades psicométricas. Por outro lado, apesar de a literatura referir que os serviços de Fisioterapia são extremamente procurados por indivíduos com DCC, em Portugal, a informação sobre a sua prática nesta condição clínica é escassa ou mesmo inexistente. Assim, e sendo a incapacidade nas atividades funcionais uma das variáveis de maior impacto da DCC e ao mesmo tempo um dos resultados principais da intervenção da Fisioterapia, importa por um lado possuir instrumentos capazes de avaliar o nível de incapacidade funcional e a sua mudança, e por outro, aferir qual a intervenção realizada pela Fisioterapia e quais os resultados obtidos. Metodologia: Realizou-se um estudo de coorte prospetivo com uma amostra de conveniência, do tipo não probabilístico, constituída por 88 pacientes com DCC de origem músculo-esquelética e causa não traumática referenciados para 6 serviços de fisioterapia / medicina física e de reabilitação de clínicas e centros de reabilitação, sendo elegíveis todos os pacientes que cumprissem os critérios de inclusão e exclusão estabelecidos. Os pacientes foram avaliados em três momentos pré-definidos: antes do início das sessões de fisioterapia ou na 1ª semana de tratamento; 4 a 7 dias após a 1ª avaliação; e 7 semanas após o início da fisioterapia. Para verificação da unidimensionalidade do NDI, procedeu-se a uma Análise Fatorial Exploratória. As propriedades psicométricas do NDI avaliadas foram a Fiabilidade (consistência interna e fiabilidade teste-reteste), a Validade de Constructo e o Poder de Resposta. Posteriormente procedeu-se à caraterização da prática da fisioterapia quanto às modalidades utilizadas, número de sessões de tratamento e duração do episódio de cuidados. Adicionalmente descreveu-se os resultados obtidos após a intervenção da fisioterapia ao nível da dor e incapacidade. Resultados: os resultados obtidos foram positivos e significativos, com a confirmação da unidimensionalidade do NDI, sendo que em todos os critérios seguidos o fator mínimo retido foi de um. Na avaliação da consistência interna o valor obtido foi acima do mínimo aceitável (α Cronbach = 0,77), enquanto o valor de fiabilidade teste-reteste foi elevado (CCI =0,95). De igual forma, os resultados foram positivos para a validade de constructo, obtendo-se uma associação positiva do NDI com a Escala Numérica da dor (END). O valores de poder de resposta reportaram uma Área Abaixo da Curva de 0,63 (IC 95%=0,51-0,75), com valor de Diferença Mínima Clinicamente importante de 5,5 pontos (sensibilidade = 69,6%; especificidade = 43,6%). Relativamente á intervenção de fisioterapia em casos de DCC verificou-se que as características da prática da fisioterapia reportadas neste relatório são de difícil comparação ou análise dada a escassez ou inexistência de trabalhos publicados sobre este assunto em pacientes com DCC. No entanto, neste estudo, encontraram-se reduções significativas na intensidade da dor e incapacidade funcional após a intervenção de fisioterapia (z= -7,16; p<0,001 e t= 10,412, p<0,05, respetivamente). Conclusão: Os resultados do presente estudo revelam que o NDI-VP possui uma boa Fiabilidade, Validade de Constructo e Poder de Resposta. Revela ainda que a intervenção da fisioterapia em casos de DCC, apesar da escassez de trabalhos publicados, proporciona uma redução significativa dos níveis de dor e incapacidade em pacientes com DCC.--------------- ABSTRACT:Objective: the aim of this study was to contribute for the process of cultural adaption of the Neck Disability Index (NDI), through the analysis of his unidimensionality and the study of his reliability (internal consistency and test-retest reliability), construct validity and responsiveness. At the same time it pretends to characterize the intervention performed by physical therapy and the results in patients with Chronic Neck Pain (CNP). Introduction: neck pain is a common problem in the industrialized countries, since is one of the three most reported conditions by complaints with musculoskeletal origin. His incidence is a growth phenomena that implicate great costs to society. Therefore the importance of an instrument that monitories the evolution of the functional disability associated to CNP is recognized. Nowadays, NDI is the instrument most recommended to evaluate functional disability associated to neck pain. It has been translated and adapted to portuguese but, till now, no evaluation of his psychometric proprieties has been completed. In the other hand, despite literature refers that physical therapy services are extremely searched by patients with neck pain, in Portugal, the information about practice in this clinical condition is very few or inexistent. Therefore, and since disability in the functional activities is one of the variables with most impact of CNP and, at the same time, one of the main results of physical therapy interventions, it’s important to have instruments capable of evaluate the level of functional disability and his change, and also calculate which intervention of physical therapy is most appropriate and his results. Methodology: it was used a prospective cohort study with a convenience sample, non-probabilistic, consisting of 88 patients with CNP of musculoskeletal origin and non-traumatic cause, referred to 6 physical therapy services of clinics and rehabilitation centers, and fulfilled the inclusion and exclusion criteria established. Patients were evaluated in three pre-defined moments: before the beginning of physical therapy or during the first week of treatment; 4 to 7 days after the first evaluation; and 7 weeks after beginning of physical therapy. To verify NDI unidimensionality, we run an Exploratory Factorial Analysis. NDI psychometric proprieties evaluated were reliability (internal consistency and test-retest reliability), construct validity and responsiveness. Subsequently, it was proceeded the characterization the practice of physical therapy regarding to the modalities used, the number of treatment sessions and duration of the episode of care. Additionally it was described the results obtained after the intervention of the physical therapy, the level of pain and the disability. Results: results were positive and significant, with the confirmation of the NDI unidimensionality, since in every followed criteria the minimal retained factor was one. In the evaluation of internal consistency the value was above the minimal accepted (α Cronbach = 0,77), and the test-retest reliability value was high (CCI =0,95). Results were positive to construct validity, with an positive association of the NDI with Numeric Rating Scale (NRS). Responsiveness values reported an Area Under Curve (AUC) of 0,63 (IC 95%=0,51-0,75) with a Minimal Important Detectable Change (MIDC) of 5,5 points (sensitivity = 69,9%; specificity = 43,6%). Regarding physical therapy interventions in CNP, it was verified that the physical therapy characteristics reported are difficult to compare or analyze since there are very few published studies about this topic. However, in this study, significant reductions were founded in pain intensity and functional disability after intervention(z= -7,16; p<0,001 and t= 10,412, p<0,05, respectively).Conclusion: present study results reveals that NDI has an good reliability, construct validity and responsiveness. It also reveals that physical therapy intervention in CNP, beside few studies published, result in a significant reduction of pain and disability levels in patients with CNP.

Caracterização da intervenção da Fisioterapia em indivíduos com dor crónica lombar, e seus resultados a nível da dor e capacidade funcional

RESUMO: Objectivo: Este trabalho teve como objectivo contribuir para o processo de adaptação cultural da Quebec Back Pain Disability Scale (QBPDS), através do estudo da sua Validade de Constructo e Poder de Resposta, e caracterizar a intervenção realizada pela fisioterapia (FT) e os resultados obtidos em utentes com dor crónica lombar (DCL). Introdução: A redução da incapacidade funcional associada à DCL é um dos principais objectivos e resultados da intervenção da FT nestes utentes. Com o intuito de proceder à sua avaliação, pode recorrer-se a um conjunto de diferentes instrumentos de medida, sendo a QBPDS uma das escalas mais utilizadas para medir a incapacidade. Embora esta tenha sido anteriormente adaptada para a população portuguesa, não foram determinadas as suas propriedades psicométricas. Por outro lado, apesar da literatura referir que os serviços de FT são bastante procurados por indivíduos com DCL, em Portugal, a informação existente sobre a prática da FT nesta condição clínica e sobre os resultados obtidos é ainda escassa. Metodologia: Recorreu-se a um estudo de coorte prospectivo com uma amostra de conveniência, constituída por 119 indivíduos com DCL, que iniciaram fisioterapia em 16 centros/ hospitais/ clínicas de Fisioterapia/ utentes no domicílio, e cumpriam os critérios de inclusão e exclusão estabelecidos. Os utentes foram avaliados no momento pré-intervenção e num segundo momento até 6 semanas depois. As propriedades psicométricas da Quebec Back Pain Disability Scale –Versão Portuguesa (QBPDS-VP) avaliadas foram a Validade de Constructo e o Poder de Resposta. Posteriormente procedeu-se à caracterizar a prática da FT quanto às modalidades utilizadas, número de sessões de tratamento e duração do episódio de cuidados. Adicionalmente descreveu-se os resultados obtidos após a intervenção da FT, ao nível da dor e incapacidade. Resultados: Os resultados revelaram um resultado positivo para a Validade de Constructo da QBPDS-VP e um elevado Poder de Resposta (área abaixo da curva ROC = 0,736; IC95%=0,639-0,833). Apresenta ainda uma diferença mínima clinicamente importante (DMCI) de 7 pontos (sensibilidade =72,4% e especificidade = 69,8%). Aquando da intervenção da FT em casos de DCL, existe uma grande diversidade de modalidades realizadas combinadas em diferentes pacotes de intervenção, e verificou-se um número médio de sessões realizadas de 14,22 visitas por utente, numa duração de episódio de cuidados maioritariamente superior a 6 semanas. Os resultados da intervenção revelaram uma redução significativa da incapacidade funcional e da intensidade da dor (z= -7,440 e z=-6,625; respectivamente, p=0,000). Conclusão: Os resultados do presente estudo revelam que a QBPDS-VP possui uma boa Validade de Constructo e Poder de Resposta. Revela ainda que a intervenção da FT em casos de DCL, apesar de apresentar grande diversidade nas modalidades utilizadas por vezes até divergentes das recomendações dadas pelas normas de orientação clínica, e uma duração do episódio de cuidados aparentemente superior aos dados fornecidos pela literatura; proporciona uma redução significativa dos níveis de dor e incapacidade em utentes com DCL.------------ ABSTRACT: Objective: The aim of this study is to contribute to the process of cultural adaptation of the Quebec Back Pain Disability Scale (QBPDS), through the study of its Construct Validity and Responsiveness, and characterize the intervention performed by physical therapy (PT) and the results in patients with chronic low back pain (CLBP). Introduction: The reduction in functional disability associated with CLBP is one of the main purpose and results of physical therapy intervention in these patients. With the intention of evaluating them, the professionals can resort to a set of different measuring instruments, and the QBPDS is one of the most commonly used scales for measuring disability. Although this has been previously adapted for the Portuguese population, it was not determined its psychometric properties. Moreover, despite the literature noted that services for PT are quite sought by individuals with CLBP, in Portugal, the existing information on the practice of PT in this clinical condition and the results obtained are still scarce. Methodology: It was used a prospective cohort study with a convenience sample consisting of 119 individuals with CLBP, who started therapy at 16 centers / hospitals / Physiotherapy clinics / household physiotherapy, and fulfiled the inclusion and exclusion criteria established . The patients were assessed at pre-intervention and a second time after 6 weeks. Psychometric properties of the Quebec Back Pain Disability Scale-Portuguese version (QBPDS-VP) were evaluated to construct validity and responsiveness. Subsequently, it was proceeded to the characterization the practice of FT regarding to the modalities used, the number of treatment sessions and duration of the episode of care. Additionally it was described the results obtained after the intervention of the PT, the level of pain and the disability. Results: The results revealed a positive result for the Construct Validity of the QBPDS- VP and a high responsiveness (area under the ROC curve = 0.736, 95% CI 0.639 to 0.833). Minimal clinically important difference (MCID) also presents a 7-point (sensitivity = 72.4% and specificity = 69.8%). In the PT intervention in cases of CLBP there is a great diversity of procedures performed combined in different packages intervention, and it was found an average number of sessions of 14.22 visits per user, with a duration of the episode of care mostly higher to 6 weeks. The results of the intervention showed a significant reduction of disability and pain intensity (z = -7.440 z = -6.625, respectively, p = 0.000).Conclusion: The results of this study show that QBPDS-VP has a good construct validity and responsiveness. It also reveals that the PT intervention in cases of CLBP, despite showing great diversity in the methods used, that sometimes are also divergent to the recommendations given by clinical guidelines, and with a duration of episode of care apparently superior to data provided by the literature, provides an significant reduction in the levels of pain and disability in patients with DCL.

Disturbed Correlation Between Arterial Resistance and Pulsatility in Glaucoma Patients

PURPOSE: (i) To investigate whether pulsatility index (PI) and mean flow velocities (MFV) are altered in glaucoma patients. (ii) To evaluate the significance of PI in retrobulbar autoregulation capacity. METHODS: Patients with primary open-angle glaucoma (POAG; n = 49), normal tension glaucoma (NTG; n = 62) and healthy controls (n = 48) underwent colour Doppler imaging measurements of the retrobulbar vasculature. Kruskal-Wallis test was used to compare variables between the three diagnostic groups. Restricted cubic splines were used to determine nonlinearities between the resistive index (RI) and PI correlations. RESULTS: Mean flow velocities (MFV) were lower in both short posterior ciliary arteries (SCPA) and central retinal arteries (CRA) from the two glaucoma groups (p < 0.04 versus healthy controls). No differences were detected in RI or PI in any arteries of the three diagnostic groups (p > 0.08). In healthy individuals, correlations between RI and PI were linear in all arteries. In both POAG and NTG patients, CRA presented a nonlinear curve with a cutpoint at RI 0.77 (p < 0.001) and 0.61 (p = 0.03), respectively, above which the slope increased nearly five- and tenfold (POAG: 1.96 to 10.06; NTG: -0.46-4.06), respectively. A nonlinear correlation in the ophthalmic artery was only observed in NTG patients, with a cutpoint at RI 0.82 (p < 0.001), above which the slope increased from 3.47 to 14.03. CONCLUSIONS: Glaucoma patients do not present the linear relationships between RI and PI observed in healthy individuals. Their nonlinear relations may be indicative of an altered autoregulation and suggest a possible threshold RI could be determined above which autoregulatory disturbances become more relevant.

American Society of Anesthesiologists Score: Still Useful After 60 Years? Results of the EuSOS Study

OBJECTIVE: The European Surgical Outcomes Study described mortality following in-patient surgery. Several factors were identified that were able to predict poor outcomes in a multivariate analysis. These included age, procedure urgency, severity and type and the American Association of Anaesthesia score. This study describes in greater detail the relationship between the American Association of Anaesthesia score and postoperative mortality. METHODS: Patients in this 7-day cohort study were enrolled in April 2011. Consecutive patients aged 16 years and older undergoing inpatient non-cardiac surgery with a recorded American Association of Anaesthesia score in 498 hospitals across 28 European nations were included and followed up for a maximum of 60 days. The primary endpoint was in-hospital mortality. Decision tree analysis with the CHAID (SPSS) system was used to delineate nodes associated with mortality. RESULTS: The study enrolled 46,539 patients. Due to missing values, 873 patients were excluded, resulting in the analysis of 45,666 patients. Increasing American Association of Anaesthesia scores were associated with increased admission rates to intensive care and higher mortality rates. Despite a progressive relationship with mortality, discrimination was poor, with an area under the ROC curve of 0.658 (95% CI 0.642 - 0.6775). Using regression trees (CHAID), we identified four discrete American Association of Anaesthesia nodes associated with mortality, with American Association of Anaesthesia 1 and American Association of Anaesthesia 2 compressed into the same node. CONCLUSION: The American Association of Anaesthesia score can be used to determine higher risk groups of surgical patients, but clinicians cannot use the score to discriminate between grades 1 and 2. Overall, the discriminatory power of the model was less than acceptable for widespread use.

Predição de Pré-Eclâmpsia no Primeiro Trimestre em Gravidezes de Baixo Risco: Determinação do Cut-Off numa Amostra da População Portuguesa

Objective:We aimed to identify the cut-off for risk of pre-eclampsia (PE) in Portuguese population by applying the first trimester prediction model from Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF) in a prospective enrolled cohort of low risk pregnant women. Population and methods: A prospective cohort of low risk singleton pregnancies underwent routine first-trimester scree - ning from 2011 through 2013. Maternal characteristics, blood pressure, uterine artery Doppler, levels of pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) and free b-human chorionic gonadotropin were evaluated. The prediction of PE in first trimester was calculated through software Astraia, the outcome obtained from medical records and the cutoff value was subse quently calculated. Results:Of the 273 enrolled patients, 7 (2.6%) developed PE. In first trimester women who developed PE presented higher uterine arteries resistance, represented by higher values of lowest and mean uterine pulsatility index, p <0.005. There was no statistical significance among the remaining maternal characteristics, body mass index, blood pressure and PAPP-A. Using the FMF first trimester PE algorithm, an ideal cut-off of 0.045 (1/22) would correctly detect 71% women who developed PE for a 12% false positive rate and a likelihood ratio of 12.98 (area under the curve: 0.69; confidence interval 95%: 0.39-0.99). By applying the reported cutoff to our cohort, we would obtain 71.4% true positives, 88.3% true negatives, 11.4% false positives and 28.6% false negatives. Conclusion: By applying a first trimester PE prediction model to low risk pregnancies derived from a Portuguese population, a significant proportion of patients would have been predicted as high risk. New larger studies are required to confirm the present findings.

Validation of Two US Risk Scores for Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in a Single-Center Portuguese Population of Patients with Acute Coronary Syndrome

INTRODUCTION: New scores have been developed and validated in the US for in-hospital mortality risk stratification in patients undergoing coronary angioplasty: the National Cardiovascular Data Registry (NCDR) risk score and the Mayo Clinic Risk Score (MCRS). We sought to validate these scores in a European population with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and to compare their predictive accuracy with that of the GRACE risk score. METHODS: In a single-center ACS registry of patients undergoing coronary angioplasty, we used the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), a graphical representation of observed vs. expected mortality, and net reclassification improvement (NRI)/integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) analysis to compare the scores. RESULTS: A total of 2148 consecutive patients were included, mean age 63 years (SD 13), 74% male and 71% with ST-segment elevation ACS. In-hospital mortality was 4.5%. The GRACE score showed the best AUC (0.94, 95% CI 0.91-0.96) compared with NCDR (0.87, 95% CI 0.83-0.91, p=0.0003) and MCRS (0.85, 95% CI 0.81-0.90, p=0.0003). In model calibration analysis, GRACE showed the best predictive power. With GRACE, patients were more often correctly classified than with MCRS (NRI 78.7, 95% CI 59.6-97.7; IDI 0.136, 95% CI 0.073-0.199) or NCDR (NRI 79.2, 95% CI 60.2-98.2; IDI 0.148, 95% CI 0.087-0.209). CONCLUSION: The NCDR and Mayo Clinic risk scores are useful for risk stratification of in-hospital mortality in a European population of patients with ACS undergoing coronary angioplasty. However, the GRACE score is still to be preferred.

Baseline Susceptibility of Primary HIV-2 to Entry Inhibitors

BACKGROUND: The baseline susceptibility of primary HIV-2 to maraviroc (MVC) and other entry inhibitors is currently unknown. METHODS: The susceptibility of 19 HIV-2 isolates obtained from asymptomatic and AIDS patients and seven HIV-1 clinical isolates to the fusion inhibitors enfuvirtide (ENF) and T-1249, and to the coreceptor antagonists AMD3100, TAK-779 and MVC, was measured using a TZM-bl cell-based assay. The 50% inhibitory concentration (IC(50)), 90% inhibitory concentration (IC(90)) and dose-response curve slopes were determined for each drug. RESULTS: ENF and T-1249 were significantly less active on HIV-2 than on HIV-1 (211- and 2-fold, respectively). AMD3100 and TAK-779 inhibited HIV-2 and HIV-1 CXCR4 tropic (X4) and CCR5 tropic (R5) variants with similar IC(50) and IC(90) values. MVC, however, inhibited the replication of R5 HIV-2 variants with significantly higher IC(90) values (42.7 versus 9.7 nM; P<0.0001) and lower slope values (0.7 versus 1.3; P<0.0001) than HIV-1. HIV-2 R5 variants derived from AIDS patients were significantly less sensitive to MVC than variants from asymptomatic patients, this being inversely correlated with the absolute number of CD4(+) T-cells. CONCLUSIONS: T-1249 is a potent inhibitor of HIV-2 replication indicating that new fusion inhibitors might be useful to treat HIV-2 infection. Coreceptor antagonists TAK-779 and AMD3100 are also potent inhibitors of HIV-2 replication. The reduced sensitivity of R5 variants to MVC, especially in severely immunodeficient patients, indicates that the treatment of HIV-2-infected patients with MVC might require higher dosages than those used in HIV-1 patients, and should be adjusted to the disease stage.

Urinary Tract Effects of HPSE2 Mutations

Urofacial syndrome (UFS) is an autosomal recessive congenital disease featuring grimacing and incomplete bladder emptying. Mutations of HPSE2, encoding heparanase 2, a heparanase 1 inhibitor, occur in UFS, but knowledge about the HPSE2 mutation spectrum is limited. Here, seven UFS kindreds with HPSE2 mutations are presented, including one with deleted asparagine 254, suggesting a role for this amino acid, which is conserved in vertebrate orthologs. HPSE2 mutations were absent in 23 non-neurogenic neurogenic bladder probands and, of 439 families with nonsyndromic vesicoureteric reflux, only one carried a putative pathogenic HPSE2 variant. Homozygous Hpse2 mutant mouse bladders contained urine more often than did wild-type organs, phenocopying human UFS. Pelvic ganglia neural cell bodies contained heparanase 1, heparanase 2, and leucine-rich repeats and immunoglobulin-like domains-2 (LRIG2), which is mutated in certain UFS families. In conclusion, heparanase 2 is an autonomic neural protein implicated in bladder emptying, but HPSE2 variants are uncommon in urinary diseases resembling UFS.

Intraday volatility

A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Finance from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics

C-reactive protein in early risk assessment in acute pancreatitis

ABSTRACT:C-reactive protein (CRP) has been widely used in the early risk assessment of patients with acute pancreatitis (AP), but unclear aspects about its prognostic accuracy in this setting persist. This project evaluated first CRP prognostic accuracy for severity, pancreatic necrosis (PNec), and in-hospital mortality (IM) in AP in terms of the best timing for CRP measurement and the optimal CRP cutoff points. Secondly it was evaluated the CRP measured at approximately 24 hours after hospital admission (CRP24) prognostic accuracy for IM in AP individually and in a combined model with a recent developed tool for the early risk assessment of patients with AP, the Bedside Index for Severity in AP (BISAP). Two single-centre retrospective cohort studies were held. The first study included 379 patients and the second study included 134 patients. Statistical methods such as the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test, the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve, the net reclassification improvement, and the integrated discrimination improvement were used. It was found that CRP measured at approximately 48 hours after hospital admission (CRP48) had a prognostic accuracy for severity, PNec, and IM in AP better than CRP measured at any other timing. It was observed that the optimal CRP48 cutoff points for severity, PNec, and IM in AP varied from 170mg/l to 190mg/l, values greater than the one most often recommended in the literature – 150mg/l. It was found that CRP24 had a good prognostic accuracy for IM in AP and that the cutoff point of 60mg/l had a negative predictive value of 100%. Finally it was observed that the prognostic accuracy of a combined model including BISAP and CRP24 for IM in AP could perform better than the BISAP alone model. These results might have a direct impact on the early risk assessment of patients with AP in the daily clinical practice.--------- RESUMO: A proteina c-reactiva (CRP) tem sido largamente usada na avaliação precoce do risco em doentes com pancreatite aguda (AP), mas aspectos duvidosos acerca do seu valor prognóstico neste contexto persistem. Este projecto avaliou primeiro o valor prognóstico da CRP para a gravidade, a necrose pancreática (PNec) e a mortalidade intra-hospitalar (IM) na AP em termos do melhor momento para efectuar a sua medição e dos seus pontos-de-corte óptimos. Em segundo lugar foi avaliado o valor prognóstico da proteína c-reactiva medida aproximadamente às 24 horas após a admissão hospitalar (CRP24) para a IM na AP isoladamente e num modelo combinado, que incluiu uma ferramenta de avaliação precoce do risco em doentes com AP recentemente desenvolvida, o Bedside Index for Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP). Dois estudos unicêntricos de coorte retrospectivo foram realizados. O primeiro estudo incluiu 379 doentes e o segundo estudo incluiu 134 doentes. Metodologias estatísticas como o teste de Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit, a area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve, o net reclassification improvement e o integrated discrimination improvement foram usadas. Verificou-se que a CRP medida às 48 horas após a admissão hospitalar (CRP48) teve um valor prognóstico para a gravidade, a PNec e a IM na AP melhor do que a CRP medida em qualquer outro momento. Observou-se que os pontos de corte óptimos da CRP48 para a gravidade, a PNec e a IM na AP variaram entre 170mg/l e 190mg/l, valores acima do valor mais frequentemente recomendado na literatura – 150mg/l. Verificou-se que a CRP medida aproximadamente às 24 horas após a admissão hospitalar (CRP24) teve um bom valor prognóstico para a IM na AP e que o ponto de corte 60mg/l teve um valor preditivo negativo de 100%. Finalmente observou-se que o valor prognóstico de um modelo combinado incluindo o BISAP e a CRP24 para a IM na AP pode ter um desempenho melhor do que o do BISAP isoladamente. Estes resultados podem ter um impacto directo na avaliação precoce do risco em doentes com AP na prática clínica diária.

Three essays on the term structure of interest rates

A PhD Dissertation, presented as part of the requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy from the NOVA - School of Business and Economics

The influence of the regional basic diet from northeast Brazil on health and nutritional conditions of mice infected with Schistosoma mansoni

Protein nutritionalstatus indicators were studied in weanling albino Swiss mice infected with S. mansoni andfed the Regional Basic Diet (RBD)from Northeast Brazil, a multideficient diet of low-protein content. Each mouse was infected percutaneously with 80 cercariae. The experiment lasted 63 days. The growth curve, food consumption, protein intake, weight gain, Protein Efficiency Ratio (PER) and Net Protein Ratio (NPR) were the parameters investigated. RBD-fed mice showed a marked weight loss, a lower food and protein intake, a slower body weight gain and lower rates of food protein utilization when compared to casein-fed animals. Differences between infected and non-infected mice were not consistent. The present results suggest that the effects of RBD-induced malnutrition on health and nutritional conditions of the mice are more severe than those of Manson's schistosomiasis, in the initial phase of the disease.

Kinetics of Trypanosoma cruzi destruction in the mouse spleen

Massive destruction of parasitized splenic macrophages was histologically observed at the height of a virulent infection caused by Trypanosoma cruzi (Y strain) in the mouse. This was coincident with a sudden drop in parasitemic curve. Most of the animals died at this point, probably due to the liberation of toxic products, such as TNF, following the massive destruction of parasitized cells. However, parasitized-cell destruction indicated the transition from susceptibility to resistance. Although it has been extensively studied in vitro, this study contributes with the morphological counterpart observed in vivo by optical and electron microscopy. When infected animals were specifically treated during early infection transition to chronic phase was immediately observed without splenic parasitism. Animals that apparently recovered from massive cell-destruction in the spleen showed evidences of a rapid restoration of splenic architecture.