995 resultados para 7140-242


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Background: Underweight and severe and morbid obesity are associated with highly elevated risks of adverse health outcomes. We estimated trends in mean body-mass index (BMI), which characterises its population distribution, and in the prevalences of a complete set of BMI categories for adults in all countries.

Methods: We analysed, with use of a consistent protocol, population-based studies that had measured height and weight in adults aged 18 years and older. We applied a Bayesian hierarchical model to these data to estimate trends from 1975 to 2014 in mean BMI and in the prevalences of BMI categories (<18·5 kg/m2 [underweight], 18·5 kg/m2 to <20 kg/m2, 20 kg/m2 to <25 kg/m2, 25 kg/m2 to <30 kg/m2, 30 kg/m2 to <35 kg/m2, 35 kg/m2 to <40 kg/m2, ≥40 kg/m2 [morbid obesity]), by sex in 200 countries and territories, organised in 21 regions. We calculated the posterior probability of meeting the target of halting by 2025 the rise in obesity at its 2010 levels, if post-2000 trends continue.
Findings: We used 1698 population-based data sources, with more than 19·2 million adult participants (9·9 million men and 9·3 million women) in 186 of 200 countries for which estimates were made. Global age-standardised mean BMI increased from 21·7 kg/m2 (95% credible interval 21·3–22·1) in 1975 to 24·2 kg/m2 (24·0–24·4) in 2014 in men, and from 22·1 kg/m2 (21·7–22·5) in 1975 to 24·4 kg/m2 (24·2–24·6) in 2014 in women. Regional mean BMIs in 2014 for men ranged from 21·4 kg/m2 in central Africa and south Asia to 29·2 kg/m2 (28·6–29·8) in Polynesia and Micronesia; for women the range was from 21·8 kg/m2 (21·4–22·3) in south Asia to 32·2 kg/m2 (31·5–32·8) in Polynesia and Micronesia. Over these four decades, age-standardised global prevalence of underweight decreased from 13·8% (10·5–17·4) to 8·8% (7·4–10·3) in men and from 14·6% (11·6–17·9) to 9·7% (8·3–11·1) in women. South Asia had the highest prevalence of underweight in 2014, 23·4% (17·8–29·2) in men and 24·0% (18·9–29·3) in women. Age-standardised prevalence of obesity increased from 3·2% (2·4–4·1) in 1975 to 10·8% (9·7–12·0) in 2014 in men, and from 6·4% (5·1–7·8) to 14·9% (13·6–16·1) in women. 2·3% (2·0–2·7) of the world's men and 5·0% (4·4–5·6) of women were severely obese (ie, have BMI ≥35 kg/m2). Globally, prevalence of morbid obesity was 0·64% (0·46–0·86) in men and 1·6% (1·3–1·9) in women.

Interpretation: If post-2000 trends continue, the probability of meeting the global obesity target is virtually zero. Rather, if these trends continue, by 2025, global obesity prevalence will reach 18% in men and surpass 21% in women; severe obesity will surpass 6% in men and 9% in women. Nonetheless, underweight remains prevalent in the world's poorest regions, especially in south Asia.

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O presente trabalho é uma interpretação em consort de flautas de um corpo de obras seleccionadas dos manuscritos P-BRd 964 e P-CUG mm 242. Essa interpretação assenta no conceito de que a prática deve ser uma componente fundamental do estudo filológico e que apenas através da prática se pode produzir determinada forma de conhecimento que não é passível de verbalização. A tese divide-se em 6 partes: 1. estudo e transcrição do reportório seleccionado e sua contextualização histórica, social e estilística; 2. estudo sobre a flauta de bisel no Renascimento, com ênfase na tratadística e na análise dos instrumentos originais sobreviventes; 3. resumo da teoria musical do Renascimento que diz respeito à melodia e às categorizações modais e tonais; 4. estudo da prática interpretativa que regula a execução de polifonia em consort de flautas. A quinta parte deste trabalho explica as consequências práticas da aplicação do estudo filológico e a sexta é a interpretação propriamente dita, expressa no formato de um registo discográfico.

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In the cold war, the United Kingdom government devised a number of public education campaigns to inform citizens about the precautions that they should undertake in the event of a nuclear attack. One such campaign, Protect and Survive, was released to the general public and media in May 1980. The negative publicity this publication received is considered to be a reason why a successor publication was never released despite the increased risk of nuclear attack. Using recently released records from the UK National Archives the paper considers that, aside from this explanation, interlocking institutional objectives, rather than simply inertia, provides an explanation for this hiatus.

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Sociology has come late to the field of Human Animal Studies (HAS), and such scholarship remains peripheral to the discipline. Early sociological interventions in the field were often informed by a critical perspective, in particular feminism but also Marxism and critical race studies. There have also been less critical routes taken, often using approaches such as actor-network theory and symbolic interactionism. These varied initiatives have made important contributions to the project of animalizing sociology and problematizing its legacies of human-exclusivity. As HAS expands and matures however, different kinds of study and different normative orientations have come increasingly into relations of tension in this eclectic field. This is particularly so when it comes to the ideological and ethical debates on appropriate human relations with other species, and on questions of whether and how scholarship might intervene to alter such relations. However, despite questioning contemporary social forms of human-animal relations and suggesting a need for change, the link between analysis and political strategy is uncertain. This paper maps the field of sociological animal studies through some examples of critical and mainstream approaches and considers their relation to advocacy. While those working in critical sociological traditions may appear to have a more certain political agenda, this article suggests that an analysis of 'how things are' does not always lead to a coherent position on 'what is to be done' in terms of social movement agendas or policy intervention. In addition, concepts deployed in advocacy such as rights, liberation and welfare are problematic when applied beyond the human. Even conceptions less entrenched in the liberal humanist tradition such as embodiment, care and vulnerability are difficult to operationalize. Despite complex and contested claims however, this paper suggests that there might also be possibilities for solidarity.

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In this paper we compared the seismic hazard of Algarve obtained with two different models: a point-source model (proposed by McGuire) and a fault-rupture model (proposed by Der Kiureghian and Ang).

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Dissesrtação de Mestrado, Biologia Marinha, Especialização em Pescas e Aquacultura, Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia, Universidade do Algarve, 2009

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Esta comunicação procura compreender a forma como uma professora do 1.º ciclo conduz os alunos na realização de uma tarefa de organização e tratamento de dados e a reflexão que realiza. Trata-se de um trabalho no âmbito de um estudo que segue uma metodologia de investigação interpretativa e qualitativa na modalidade de estudo de caso. Os resultados mostram que, na exploração da tarefa, a prática de ensino da professora contempla de modo diferenciado as diversas fases do ciclo investigativo estatístico. A professora revela particular atenção à participação dos alunos nas tomadas de decisão sobre os procedimentos a seguir. Na sua reflexão, identifica os principais momentos da aula, valoriza as decisões tomadas e destaca a fase de recolha de dados como o momento mais significativo. In this paper, we analyze how a primary school teacher leads students in doing a task involving data handling, as well as the reflection. The paper is carried in the framework of a larger study that follows an interpretative and qualitative research methodology with a case study design. The results indicate that, in the exploration of the task, the practice of this teacher includes in different ways the phases of a statistical investigation. The teacher showed particular concern with the participation of the students in making decisions about the procedures to follow. During her reflection, she identifies the main moments of the lesson, values the decisions made and highlights the phase of data collection as the most meaningful moment.

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Der Druck nimmt zu. Je weiter unten in der gesellschaftlichen Hierarchie Menschen nach Alternativen suchen, um ihrem scheinbar vorgezeichneten Leben eine andere Wendung zu geben, desto weniger werden diese Versuche honoriert. Das Scheitern ist die Regel, der Erfolg ist die Ausnahme. Daran wird diese kleine Schrift nichts Grundlegendes ändern, einigen wird es ein Wegweiser sein. Studentinnen und Studenten der Sozialen Arbeit an der Evangelischen Fachhochschule Hannover haben mit uns diesen Leitfaden erstellt.

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A 30-day ahead forecast method has been developed for grass pollen at north London. The total period of the grass pollen season is covered by eight multiple regression models, each covering a 10-day period running consecutively from 21st May to 8th August. This means that three models were used for each 30-day forecast. The forecast models were produced using grass pollen and environmental data from 1961-1999 and tested on data from 2000 and 2002. Model accuracy was judged in two ways: the number of times the forecast model was able to successfully predict the severity (relative to the 1961-1999 dataset as a whole) of grass pollen counts in each of the eight forecast periods on a scale of one to four; and the number of times the forecast model was able to predict whether grass pollen counts were higher or lower than the mean. The models achieved 62.5% accuracy in both assessment years when predicting the relative severity of grass pollen counts on a scale of one to four, which equates to six of the eight 10-day periods being forecast correctly. The models attained 87.5% and 100% accuracy in 2000 and 2002 respectively when predicting whether grass pollen counts would be higher or lower than the mean. Attempting to predict pollen counts during distinct 10-day periods throughout the grass pollen season is a novel approach. The models also employed original methodology in the use of winter averages of the North Atlantic Oscillation to forecast 10-day means of allergenic pollen counts.

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A monoclonal antibody that recognises components of the wall of sporangia of Peronospora destructor was raised. Tests using spores of higher fungi and other species of mildew demonstrated the specificity of the monoclonal. The antibody was used to develop lateral flow devices for sporangia of P. destructor. A competitive lateral flow format was developed which could detect onion downy mildew sporangia. Five-microliter gold anti-mouse IgM solution pre-mixed with 10 μl of P. destructor monoclonal antibody (EMA 242) proved the optimal concentration for detection of sporangia of P. destructor when applied to sample pads of lateral flow devices. Limits of approximately 500 sporangia of P. destructor could be detected by the absence of a test line on the lateral flow device within test samples. Using a scanning densitometer improved the sensitivity of detection. Further development and validation of the test is required if it is to be used for risk assessments of onion downy mildew in the field.

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This study seeks to expand our understanding of how the media increase the level of political information, by focusing on an understudied yet important learning outcome: knowledge of the political past. The article explores the factors underlying variation in the recognition of the leading actors in the transitional process in Portugal. The results show that television news and newspaper exposure foster recognition of these actors, but that media use interacts with personal experience of the transition (stronger effects among younger cohorts) and party identification (stronger impact on those who do not feel close to a political party).

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In this paper we study a model for HIV and TB coinfection. We consider the integer order and the fractional order versions of the model. Let α∈[0.78,1.0] be the order of the fractional derivative, then the integer order model is obtained for α=1.0. The model includes vertical transmission for HIV and treatment for both diseases. We compute the reproduction number of the integer order model and HIV and TB submodels, and the stability of the disease free equilibrium. We sketch the bifurcation diagrams of the integer order model, for variation of the average number of sexual partners per person and per unit time, and the tuberculosis transmission rate. We analyze numerical results of the fractional order model for different values of α, including α=1. The results show distinct types of transients, for variation of α. Moreover, we speculate, from observation of the numerical results, that the order of the fractional derivative may behave as a bifurcation parameter for the model. We conclude that the dynamics of the integer and the fractional order versions of the model are very rich and that together these versions may provide a better understanding of the dynamics of HIV and TB coinfection.

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O objetivo desta comunicação consiste em identificar os tipos de resultados nas cooperativas, compreender o tratamento contabilístico dos mesmos e aferir se o normativo contabilístico em vigor permite evidenciar as especificidades daqueles. Deste modo, utilizando uma metodologia qualitativa, com recurso à análise de conteúdo e a uma análise empírica, procede-se a uma reflexão sobre o regime jurídico e contabilístico dos resultados das cooperativas em Portugal. A informação obtida mostra que o tratamento contabilístico dos resultados não está devidamente adequado à realidade das cooperativas, por duas razões: em primeiro lugar não são claramente identificáveis na lei os diferentes tipos de resultados; em segundo lugar, contata-se que os resultados nas cooperativas têm o mesmo tratamento contabilístico dos resultados nas sociedades comerciais, apesar das diferenças substanciais entre as formas jurídicas. De facto, o objetivo das cooperativas não se traduz na obtenção de um lucro, mas corresponde a um escopo mutualístico, uma vez que estas entidades visam, a título principal a satisfação das necessidades económicas e sociais dos seus membros. Por sua vez, as sociedades comerciais visam, a título principal, a obtenção do lucro. Em conformidade, defendemos a alteração do enquadramento contabilístico aplicável às cooperativas, para que dessa forma se evidencie o real objeto destas, designadamente o seu escopo mutualístico, e deste modo se diferencie nos documentos contabilísticos os diferentes tipos de resultados. Impõe-se designadamente uma contabilização separada dos resultados cooperativos e dos resultados extracooperativos e extraordinários. Esta contabilização separada é essencial desde logo por razões fiscais, uma vez que o regime fiscal aplicável a cada um dos tipos de resultados é diferenciado. A nível contabilístico, as demonstrações financeiras deveriam evidenciar os diferentes tipos de resultados, por forma a refletir a imagem verdadeira e apropriada do desempenho da cooperativa.