852 resultados para environmental risk perceptions
Resumo:
Background: As obesity increases among U.S. workers, employers are implementing programs to increase physical activity and improve diets. Although programs to address individual determinants of obesity have been evaluated, less is known about the effects of workplace programs that change environmental factors, because most reviews have not isolated environmental programs; the one that did was published in 2005. ^ Objective: To update the 2005 review to determine the effectiveness of workplace environmental interventions. ^ Methods: The Medline database was searched for published English language reports (2003-2011) of randomized controlled (RCTs) or quasi-experimental trials (NRCTs) that evaluated strategies to modify physical activity opportunities or food services, targeting employees at least 18 years, not including retirees and that provided data for at least one physical activity, dietary, or health risk indicator. Three coders independently extracted study characteristics and scored the quality of study methods. Program effectiveness was determined using the 2005 review's best evidence approach. ^ Results: Seven studies represented in nine reports met eligibility criteria; three focused on diet and the remainder targeted diet and physical activity interventions. All but one study received a high quality score for internal validity. The evidence for the effectiveness of workplace environmental interventions was at best, inconclusive for diet and physical activity and limited for health risk indicators. The outcome constructs were inconsistent across the studies. ^ Conclusions: Limitations in the methods of the 2005 review made it challenging to draw conclusions about findings for this review that include: variation in outcome measures, reliance on distal measures without proximal behavior change measures, no distinction between changes at the workplace versus outside the workplace, and inappropriate analyses of cluster designs that biased findings toward statistical significance. The best evidence approach relied on vote-counting, using statistical significance alone rather than effect size and confidence intervals. Future research should address these limitations and use more rigorous methods; systematic reviews should use methods of meta-analysis to summarize study findings. These recommendations will help employers to better understand how environmental modifications in the workplace can support their efforts to combat the effects of obesity among employees.^
Resumo:
Complex diseases, such as cancer, are caused by various genetic and environmental factors, and their interactions. Joint analysis of these factors and their interactions would increase the power to detect risk factors but is statistically. Bayesian generalized linear models using student-t prior distributions on coefficients, is a novel method to simultaneously analyze genetic factors, environmental factors, and interactions. I performed simulation studies using three different disease models and demonstrated that the variable selection performance of Bayesian generalized linear models is comparable to that of Bayesian stochastic search variable selection, an improved method for variable selection when compared to standard methods. I further evaluated the variable selection performance of Bayesian generalized linear models using different numbers of candidate covariates and different sample sizes, and provided a guideline for required sample size to achieve a high power of variable selection using Bayesian generalize linear models, considering different scales of number of candidate covariates. ^ Polymorphisms in folate metabolism genes and nutritional factors have been previously associated with lung cancer risk. In this study, I simultaneously analyzed 115 tag SNPs in folate metabolism genes, 14 nutritional factors, and all possible genetic-nutritional interactions from 1239 lung cancer cases and 1692 controls using Bayesian generalized linear models stratified by never, former, and current smoking status. SNPs in MTRR were significantly associated with lung cancer risk across never, former, and current smokers. In never smokers, three SNPs in TYMS and three gene-nutrient interactions, including an interaction between SHMT1 and vitamin B12, an interaction between MTRR and total fat intake, and an interaction between MTR and alcohol use, were also identified as associated with lung cancer risk. These lung cancer risk factors are worthy of further investigation.^
Resumo:
The passage of the Adoptions and Safe Families Act of 1997, with its focus on child safety and concurrent planning, has presented family preservation workers with new challenges and new opportunities. Twenty volunteers from a large comprehensive social service agency were interviewed to determine their experiences with two models of family preservation—Multisystemic Therapy (MST) and Traditional Family Preservation Service (TFPS) or practice as usual. Workers from both programs were able to articulate values consistent with family preservation as important strengths of the programs— keeping families together and empowering families for example. Information from referring agencies was described as variable and not especially useful when working with seriously troubled families, especially as it related to risk and child safety. Both groups indicated that the jargon of family preservation had permeated their agencies, and that working with other agencies was at times a challenge, though for different reasons. Finally, despite some reservations about the effectiveness of short-term treatment with families that face serious challenges, both groups of workers were generally satisfied with family preservation as an approach to practice.
Resumo:
Staphylococcus aureus is a common microorganism in humans, typically colonizing the nasopharynx, skin and other mucosal surfaces. It is among the most frequent causes of clinically-significant bacterial infections accounting for increased morbidity and mortality among individuals with HIV/AIDS. Evidence of higher colonization rates among high-risk HIV populations have been observed however, prevalence estimates have varied. Additionally, behavioral, biological, and/or environmental factors that may account for these high colonization rates are not understood. Previous literature on clinic-based surveys were subject to considerable biases. Additionally, representative samples of high-risk HIV populations were difficult to obtain due in part to an underrepresentation of individuals who may not regularly obtain health care. ^ The main objective of this project is to determine the prevalence of methicillin-sensitive S. aureus (MSSA) and methicillin-resistant (MRSA) nasal colonization in two populations: 1) men who have sex with men (MSM) and 2) injection drug users (IDU). Both of these populations are included in the third round of the National HIV Behavioral Surveillance System (NHBS) in Houston, Texas. ^ In the NHBS-MSM3 study, logistic regression was used to report odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CI). For the NHBS-IDU3 study, to account for the lack of independence between samples, the method of generalized estimating equations was utilized to report adjusted odds ratios and 95% CI. The NHBS-MSM3 study enrolled 202 participants with a MSSA colonization rate of 26.7% and MRSA rate of 3%. In the NHBS-IDU3 study, 18.4% were nasally colonized with MSSA and 5.7% were nasally colonized with MRSA. Among the NHBS-MSM3 population, high-risk sexual practices were associated with colonization. For the NHBS-IDU3 population, age, marital status, employment status, and the presence of scabs, were associated with colonization status when controlling for size of recruitment network. In multivariate GEE analyses, the use of antiretroviral medications and age remained significantly associated with S. aureus nasal colonization when controlling for size of recruitment network and gender. In both studies, a significantly higher than expected S. aureus and MRSA colonization rate was observed as compared to colonization rates described for the general population. However, these estimates were moderate in comparison to reported clinic-based MSM and IDU S. aureus colonization findings. This study validates substantial prevalence differences and biases that may exist with data collected from clinic-based MSM and IDU. The prevalence of MSSA and MRSA nasal colonization did not differ significantly with respect to HIV status among NHBS-MSM3/NHBS-IDU3 participants. Continued examination on the effects of S. aureus colonization and infection should be examined longitudinally to confirm additional community-based determinants in populations that are disproportionately affected.^
Resumo:
Las sociedades en su afán de aprovechar los recursos naturales que la tierra le provee, han ido transformando permanentemente el medio que habitamos, generando una crisis ambiental que es tema de preocupación y permanente discusión en organismos, foros y conferencias relacionados con el cuidado y protección del medio ambiente. En las regiones áridas y semiáridas uno de los problemas ambientales más comunes es la degradación de tierras por efecto del sobrepastoreo. La tercera parte de la superficie terrestre del planeta es árida y semiárida y en ella los procesos de desertización se han intensificado en los últimos decenios. Según la Convención de las Naciones Unidas de lucha contra la Desertificación (CNULD), este problema amenaza al 40 por ciento aproximadamente, de la masa terrestre de nuestro planeta. Más de 1000 millones de personas en alrededor de 100 países están afectadas directamente por la desertificación o corren peligro de estarlo (CNULD, 2003), estimándose que "la pérdida de ingresos en las áreas afectadas alcanza a unos 42.000 millones de dólares". Argentina en general y la Patagonia en particular, no son ajenas a esta situación. La Secretaría de Recursos Naturales y Medio Ambiente Humano (1996), calcula que aproximadamente el 75 por ciento de nuestro territorio nacional se encuentra afectado por crecientes condiciones de aridez y en la Patagonia, el 90 por ciento de la superficie (unos 780.000 km2) presenta signos de degradación. De esta superficie, un 30 por ciento, está bajo procesos erosivos eólicos e hídricos severos o graves con tendencia a agravarse. Teniendo en cuenta esta situación, esta tesis tiene como propósito aplicar las concepciones metodológicas de la geoecología de los paisajes en el Departamento Minas (Provincia de Neuquén), con vistas a estudiar la estructura y funcionamiento de los paisajes, herramienta fundamental para comprender el fenómeno de la degradación de la tierra. El objetivo central de este trabajo consiste en estudiar la degradación de los paisajes de este lugar a partir de los preceptos de la geoecología, con apoyo de los Sistemas de Información Geográfica y la teledetección, estableciendo índices diagnósticos que reflejen la interacción e interdependencia entre los componentes naturales y sociales del paisaje. El estudio de los paisajes brinda la posibilidad de integrar transdisciplinariamente los conocimientos y percepciones de la diversidad geoecológica y socioeconómica desde una perspectiva dinámica. Mediante este análisis se puede arribar al conocimiento de las formas de ocupación y conservación de los recursos naturales procurando la protección de la oferta ecológica a largo plazo. El paisaje geográfico o geosistema se concibe como "un sistema espacio-temporal, complejo y abierto, que se origina y evoluciona justamente en la interfase naturaleza-sociedad, en un constante estado de intercambio de energía, materia e información, donde su estructura, funcionamiento, dinámica y evolución reflejan la interacción entre los componentes naturales (abióticos y bióticos), técnico-económicos y socio-culturales (Mateo, J. 1991; Salinas. E. 1991y 1997). Se trata de una formación socio-natural que constituye una categoría científica y como tal, será adoptada en este trabajo.
Resumo:
Las sociedades en su afán de aprovechar los recursos naturales que la tierra le provee, han ido transformando permanentemente el medio que habitamos, generando una crisis ambiental que es tema de preocupación y permanente discusión en organismos, foros y conferencias relacionados con el cuidado y protección del medio ambiente. En las regiones áridas y semiáridas uno de los problemas ambientales más comunes es la degradación de tierras por efecto del sobrepastoreo. La tercera parte de la superficie terrestre del planeta es árida y semiárida y en ella los procesos de desertización se han intensificado en los últimos decenios. Según la Convención de las Naciones Unidas de lucha contra la Desertificación (CNULD), este problema amenaza al 40 por ciento aproximadamente, de la masa terrestre de nuestro planeta. Más de 1000 millones de personas en alrededor de 100 países están afectadas directamente por la desertificación o corren peligro de estarlo (CNULD, 2003), estimándose que "la pérdida de ingresos en las áreas afectadas alcanza a unos 42.000 millones de dólares". Argentina en general y la Patagonia en particular, no son ajenas a esta situación. La Secretaría de Recursos Naturales y Medio Ambiente Humano (1996), calcula que aproximadamente el 75 por ciento de nuestro territorio nacional se encuentra afectado por crecientes condiciones de aridez y en la Patagonia, el 90 por ciento de la superficie (unos 780.000 km2) presenta signos de degradación. De esta superficie, un 30 por ciento, está bajo procesos erosivos eólicos e hídricos severos o graves con tendencia a agravarse. Teniendo en cuenta esta situación, esta tesis tiene como propósito aplicar las concepciones metodológicas de la geoecología de los paisajes en el Departamento Minas (Provincia de Neuquén), con vistas a estudiar la estructura y funcionamiento de los paisajes, herramienta fundamental para comprender el fenómeno de la degradación de la tierra. El objetivo central de este trabajo consiste en estudiar la degradación de los paisajes de este lugar a partir de los preceptos de la geoecología, con apoyo de los Sistemas de Información Geográfica y la teledetección, estableciendo índices diagnósticos que reflejen la interacción e interdependencia entre los componentes naturales y sociales del paisaje. El estudio de los paisajes brinda la posibilidad de integrar transdisciplinariamente los conocimientos y percepciones de la diversidad geoecológica y socioeconómica desde una perspectiva dinámica. Mediante este análisis se puede arribar al conocimiento de las formas de ocupación y conservación de los recursos naturales procurando la protección de la oferta ecológica a largo plazo. El paisaje geográfico o geosistema se concibe como "un sistema espacio-temporal, complejo y abierto, que se origina y evoluciona justamente en la interfase naturaleza-sociedad, en un constante estado de intercambio de energía, materia e información, donde su estructura, funcionamiento, dinámica y evolución reflejan la interacción entre los componentes naturales (abióticos y bióticos), técnico-económicos y socio-culturales (Mateo, J. 1991; Salinas. E. 1991y 1997). Se trata de una formación socio-natural que constituye una categoría científica y como tal, será adoptada en este trabajo.
Resumo:
Las sociedades en su afán de aprovechar los recursos naturales que la tierra le provee, han ido transformando permanentemente el medio que habitamos, generando una crisis ambiental que es tema de preocupación y permanente discusión en organismos, foros y conferencias relacionados con el cuidado y protección del medio ambiente. En las regiones áridas y semiáridas uno de los problemas ambientales más comunes es la degradación de tierras por efecto del sobrepastoreo. La tercera parte de la superficie terrestre del planeta es árida y semiárida y en ella los procesos de desertización se han intensificado en los últimos decenios. Según la Convención de las Naciones Unidas de lucha contra la Desertificación (CNULD), este problema amenaza al 40 por ciento aproximadamente, de la masa terrestre de nuestro planeta. Más de 1000 millones de personas en alrededor de 100 países están afectadas directamente por la desertificación o corren peligro de estarlo (CNULD, 2003), estimándose que "la pérdida de ingresos en las áreas afectadas alcanza a unos 42.000 millones de dólares". Argentina en general y la Patagonia en particular, no son ajenas a esta situación. La Secretaría de Recursos Naturales y Medio Ambiente Humano (1996), calcula que aproximadamente el 75 por ciento de nuestro territorio nacional se encuentra afectado por crecientes condiciones de aridez y en la Patagonia, el 90 por ciento de la superficie (unos 780.000 km2) presenta signos de degradación. De esta superficie, un 30 por ciento, está bajo procesos erosivos eólicos e hídricos severos o graves con tendencia a agravarse. Teniendo en cuenta esta situación, esta tesis tiene como propósito aplicar las concepciones metodológicas de la geoecología de los paisajes en el Departamento Minas (Provincia de Neuquén), con vistas a estudiar la estructura y funcionamiento de los paisajes, herramienta fundamental para comprender el fenómeno de la degradación de la tierra. El objetivo central de este trabajo consiste en estudiar la degradación de los paisajes de este lugar a partir de los preceptos de la geoecología, con apoyo de los Sistemas de Información Geográfica y la teledetección, estableciendo índices diagnósticos que reflejen la interacción e interdependencia entre los componentes naturales y sociales del paisaje. El estudio de los paisajes brinda la posibilidad de integrar transdisciplinariamente los conocimientos y percepciones de la diversidad geoecológica y socioeconómica desde una perspectiva dinámica. Mediante este análisis se puede arribar al conocimiento de las formas de ocupación y conservación de los recursos naturales procurando la protección de la oferta ecológica a largo plazo. El paisaje geográfico o geosistema se concibe como "un sistema espacio-temporal, complejo y abierto, que se origina y evoluciona justamente en la interfase naturaleza-sociedad, en un constante estado de intercambio de energía, materia e información, donde su estructura, funcionamiento, dinámica y evolución reflejan la interacción entre los componentes naturales (abióticos y bióticos), técnico-económicos y socio-culturales (Mateo, J. 1991; Salinas. E. 1991y 1997). Se trata de una formación socio-natural que constituye una categoría científica y como tal, será adoptada en este trabajo.
Resumo:
Aim: Greater understanding of the processes underlying biological invasions is required to determine and predict invasion risk. Two subspecies of olive (Olea europaea subsp. europaea and Olea europaea subsp. cuspidata) have been introduced into Australia from the Mediterranean Basin and southern Africa during the 19th century. Our aim was to determine to what extent the native environmental niches of these two olive subspecies explain the current spatial segregation of the subspecies in their non-native range. We also assessed whether niche shifts had occurred in the non-native range, and examined whether invasion was associated with increased or decreased occupancy of niche space in the non-native range relative to the native range. Location: South-eastern Australia, Mediterranean Basin and southern Africa. Methods: Ecological niche models (ENMs) were used to quantify the similarity of native and non-native realized niches. Niche shifts were characterized by the relative contribution of niche expansion, stability and contraction based on the relative occupancy of environmental space by the native and non-native populations. Results: Native ENMs indicated that the spatial segregation of the two subspecies in their non-native range was partly determined by differences in their native niches. However, we found that environmentally suitable niches were less occupied in the non-native range relative to the native range, indicating that niche shifts had occurred through a contraction of the native niches after invasion, for both subspecies. Main conclusions: The mapping of environmental factors associated with niche expansion, stability or contraction allowed us to identify areas of greater invasion risk. This study provides an example of successful invasions that are associated with niche shifts, illustrating that introduced plant species are sometimes readily able to establish in novel environments. In these situations the assumption of niche stasis during invasion, which is implicitly assumed by ENMs, may be unreasonable.
Resumo:
We analyze the effect of environmental uncertainties on optimal fishery management in a bio-economic fishery model. Unlike most of the literature on resource economics, but in line with ecological models, we allow the different biological processes of survival and recruitment to be affected differently by environmental uncertainties. We show that the overall effect of uncertainty on the optimal size of a fish stock is ambiguous, depending on the prudence of the value function. For the case of a risk-neutral fishery manager, the overall effect depends on the relative magnitude of two opposing effects, the 'convex-cost effect' and the 'gambling effect'. We apply the analysis to the Baltic cod and the North Sea herring fisheries, concluding that for risk neutral agents the net effect of environmental uncertainties on the optimal size of these fish stocks is negative, albeit small in absolute value. Under risk aversion, the effect on optimal stock size is positive for sufficiently high coefficients of constant relative risk aversion.
Resumo:
The selection of metrics for ecosystem restoration programs is critical for improving the quality of monitoring programs and characterizing project success. Moreover it is oftentimes very difficult to balance the importance of multiple ecological, social, and economical metrics. Metric selection process is a complex and must simultaneously take into account monitoring data, environmental models, socio-economic considerations, and stakeholder interests. We propose multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA) methods, broadly defined, for the selection of optimal sets of metrics to enhance evaluation of ecosystem restoration alternatives. Two MCDA methods, a multiattribute utility analysis (MAUT), and a probabilistic multicriteria acceptability analysis (ProMAA), are applied and compared for a hypothetical case study of a river restoration involving multiple stakeholders. Overall, the MCDA results in a systematic, unbiased, and transparent solution, informing restoration alternatives evaluation. The two methods provide comparable results in terms of selected metrics. However, because ProMAA can consider probability distributions for weights and utility values of metrics for each criteria, it is suggested as the best option if data uncertainty is high. Despite the increase in complexity in the metric selection process, MCDA improves upon the current ad-hoc decision practice based on the consultations with stakeholders and experts, and encourages transparent and quantitative aggregation of data and judgement, increasing the transparency of decision making in restoration projects. We believe that MCDA can enhance the overall sustainability of ecosystem by enhancing both ecological and societal needs.
Resumo:
Probabilistic climate data have become available for the first time through the UK Climate Projections 2009, so that the risk of tree growth change can be quantified. We assess the drought risk spatially and temporally using drought probabilities and tree species vulnerabilities across Britain. We assessed the drought impact on the potential yield class of three major tree species (Picea sitchensis, Pinus sylvestris, and Quercus robur) which presently cover around 59% (400,700 ha) of state-managed forests, across lowland and upland sites. Here we show that drought impacts result mostly in reduced tree growth over the next 80 years when using b1, a1b and a1fi IPCC emissions scenarios. We found a maximum reduction of 94% but also a maximum increase of 56% in potential stand yield class in the 2080s from the baseline climate (1961-1990). Furthermore, potential production over the national forest estate for all three species in the 2080s may decrease due to drought by 42% in the lowlands and 32% in the uplands in comparison to the baseline climate. Our results reveal that potential tree growth and forest production on the national forest estate in Britain is likely to reduce, and indicate where and when adaptation measures are required. Moreover, this paper demonstrates the value of probabilistic climate projections for an important economic and environmental sector.
Resumo:
To determine the risk of nitrate pollution in agricultural systems have identified several indexes and efficiencies that may lead an effective N fertilizer management for obtain the maximum yield with minimum environmental impact and health