An analysis of trust in anonymity networks in the presence of adaptive attackers

Introduces extended Crowds protocols. Optional reading

Social Media Analytics: Trust and Power

In this lecture for a second year interdisciplinary course (part of the curriculum innovation programme) We explore the scope of social media analytics and look at two aspects in depth: Analysing for influence (looking at factors such as network structure, propagation of content and interaction), and analysing for trust (looking at different methods including policy, provenance and reputation - both local and global). The lecture notes include a number of short videos, which cannot be included here for copy-write reasons.

INFO6003 (2013) Towards a formal framework for computation trust -- paper

the introduction of this research paper (especially pg 2-4) and its list of references may be useful to clarify the notions of Bayesian learning applied to trust as explained in the lectures. This is optional reading

trust pie

trust pie

Application of agent-based modeling to the study of gender stereotypes

Gender stereotypes are sets of characteristics that people believe to be typically true of a man or woman. We report an agent-based model (ABM) that simulates how stereotypes disseminate in a group through associative mechanisms. The model consists of agents that carry one of several different versions of a stereotype, which share part of their conceptual content. When an agent acts according to his/her stereotype, and that stereotype is shared by an observer, then the latter’s stereotype strengthens. Contrarily, if the agent does not act according to his/ her stereotype, then the observer’s stereotype weakens. In successive interactions, agents develop preferences, such that there will be a higher probability of interaction with agents that confirm their stereotypes. Depending on the proportion of shared conceptual content in the stereotype’s different versions, three dynamics emerge: all stereotypes in the population strengthen, all weaken, or a bifurcation occurs, i.e., some strengthen and some weaken. Additionally, we discuss the use of agent-based modeling to study social phenomena and the practical consequences that the model’s results might have on stereotype research and their effects on a community

Adaptación y validación del ITQ (Interpersonal Trust Questionnaire). Una nueva medida del apoyo social

Este artículo muestra los resultados de la adaptación al español y validación del Cuestionario de Confianza Interpersonal (Interpersonal Trust Questionnaire– ITQ, Forbes y Roger, 1999) conducida con una población de estudiantes universitarios venezolanos. La escala original de cuarenta y ocho ítems mide la capacidad de los individuos para utilizar con efi ciencia el apoyo social, a través de sus tres dimensiones: miedo a la revelación (MR), afrontamiento social (AS) e intimidad social (IS). La escala fue administrada junto con otros cuestionarios de personalidad a una muestra de doscientos noventa y dos estudiantes universitarios de tres universidades de Caracas, Venezuela. Los resultados del análisis factorial replicaron solo dos de las tres dimensiones del cuestionario, agrupando a cuarenta y seis ítems con altas consistencias internas para cada factor. El estudio de validez concurrente mostró que las dimensiones se relacionan con otros indicadores en la forma esperada, mientras que el estudio de validez predictiva conducido con una muestra diferente de personas desempleadas indicó que el miedo a la revelación se correlaciona positivamente con una pobre salud general, a la vez que el afrontamiento social parece proteger la salud psicológica de los individuos.

El Outsourcing en la dinámica de sistemas hacia mercados extranjeros

Este trabajo recopila literatura académica relevante sobre estrategias de entrada y metodologías para la toma de decisión sobre la contratación de servicios de Outsourcing para el caso de empresas que planean expandirse hacia mercados extranjeros. La manera en que una empresa planifica su entrada a un mercado extranjero, y realiza la consideración y evaluación de información relevante y el diseño de la estrategia, determina el éxito o no de la misma. De otro lado, las metodologías consideradas se concentran en el nivel estratégico de la pirámide organizacional. Se parte de métodos simples para llegar a aquellos basados en la Teoría de Decisión Multicriterio, tanto individuales como híbridos. Finalmente, se presenta la Dinámica de Sistemas como herramienta valiosa en el proceso, por cuanto puede combinarse con métodos multicriterio.

Gobernanza Democrática Territorial - Una aproximación analítica y cuantitativa

La Gobernanza Democrática Territorial (GDT) constituye un enfoque conceptual en torno a las formas de “organización” de los agentes locales y regionales, que se expresa en un modelo o modo de gobierno. Este enfoque emerge desde la década de los años noventa como una opción ó una alternativa frente a otros modelos de gobierno (el modelo burocrático y el modelo gerencial). La diferencia entre este concepto y otros afines – como la gobernabilidad, la gobernabilidad democrática y el buen gobierno – no es de grado sino de naturaleza. Así se deriva del análisis comparado entre estos conceptos.

Modeling the monetary policy reaction function of the colombian central bank

This paper proposes a simple Ordered Probit model to analyse the monetary policy reaction function of the Colombian Central Bank. There is evidence that the reaction function is asymmetric, in the sense that the Bank increases the Bank rate when the gap between observed inflation and the inflation target (lagged once) is positive, but it does not reduce the Bank rate when the gap is negative. This behaviour suggests that the Bank is more interested in fulfilling the announced inflation target rather than in reducing inflation excessively. The forecasting performance of the model, both within and beyond the estimation period, appears to be particularly good.

An artificial economy based on reinforcement learning and agent based modeling

In this paper, we employ techniques from artificial intelligence such as reinforcement learning and agent based modeling as building blocks of a computational model for an economy based on conventions. First we model the interaction among firms in the private sector. These firms behave in an information environment based on conventions, meaning that a firm is likely to behave as its neighbors if it observes that their actions lead to a good pay off. On the other hand, we propose the use of reinforcement learning as a computational model for the role of the government in the economy, as the agent that determines the fiscal policy, and whose objective is to maximize the growth of the economy. We present the implementation of a simulator of the proposed model based on SWARM, that employs the SARSA(λ) algorithm combined with a multilayer perceptron as the function approximation for the action value function.

Fomento de la lectura : la labor del National Literacy Trust.

Resumen basado en el de la publicación

Modeling tuition fees in presence of social heterogeneity. 'Como modelar las tasas de matrícula en presencia de la heterogeneidad social'.

Resumen basado en el de la publicación