Modelling a biomass supply chain through discrete-event simulation

The organizational structure of the companies in the biomass energy sector, regarding the supply chain management services, can be greatly improved through the use of software decision support tools. These tools should be able to provide real-time alternative scenarios when deviations from the initial production plans are observed. To make this possible it is necessary to have representative production chain process models where several scenarios and solutions can be evaluated accurately. Due to its nature, this type of process is more adequately represented by means of event-based models. In particular, this work presents the modelling of a typical biomass production chain using the computing platform SIMEVENTS. Throughout the article details about the conceptual model, as well as simulation results, are provided

Forest-based supply chain modelling using the SimPy simulation framework

Proper management of supply chains is fundamental in the overall system performance of forestbased activities. Usually, efficient management techniques rely on a decision support software, which needs to be able to generate fast and effective outputs from the set of possibilities. In order to do this, it is necessary to provide accurate models representative of the dynamic interactions of systems. Due to forest-based supply chains’ nature, event-based models are more suited to describe their behaviours. This work proposes the modelling and simulation of a forestbased supply chain, in particular the biomass supply chain, through the SimPy framework. This Python based tool allows the modelling of discrete-event systems using operations such as events, processes and resources. The developed model was used to access the impact of changes in the daily working plan in three situations. First, as a control case, the deterministic behaviour was simulated. As a second approach, a machine delay was introduced and its implications in the plan accomplishment were analysed. Finally, to better address real operating conditions, stochastic behaviours of processing and driving times were simulated. The obtained results validate the SimPy simulation environment as a framework for modelling supply chains in general and for the biomass problem in particular.

Results of Heinrich event 1 simulation from the University of Victoria Earth System-Climate Model (UVic ESCM) and the Community Climate System Model (CCSM3)

We investigated changes in tropical climate and vegetation cover associated with abrupt climate change during Heinrich Event 1 (HE1, ca. 17.5 ka BP) using two different global climate models: the University of Victoria Earth System-Climate Model (UVic ESCM) and the Community Climate System Model version 3 (CCSM3). Tropical South American and African pollen records suggest that the cooling of the North Atlantic Ocean during HE1 influenced the tropics through a southward shift of the rain belt. In this study, we simulated the HE1 by applying a freshwater perturbation to the North Atlantic Ocean. The resulting slowdown of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation was followed by a temperature seesaw between the Northern and Southern Hemispheres, as well as a southward shift of the tropical rain belt. The shift and the response pattern of the tropical vegetation around the Atlantic Ocean were more pronounced in the CCSM3 than in the UVic ESCM simulation. For tropical South America, opposite changes in tree and grass cover were modeled around 10° S in the CCSM3 but not in the UVic ESCM. In tropical Africa, the grass cover increased and the tree cover decreased around 15° N in the UVic ESCM and around 10° N in the CCSM3. In the CCSM3 model, the tree and grass cover in tropical Southeast Asia responded to the abrupt climate change during the HE1, which could not be found in the UVic ESCM. The biome distributions derived from both models corroborate findings from pollen records in southwestern and equatorial western Africa as well as northeastern Brazil.

The development of UTCS/NETSIM/ICG: an integrated urban traffic control system - network simulation - interactive computer graphics program. Final report.

Transportation Department, Office of University Research, Washington, D.C.

Integrated traffic simulation model - phase I. Volume 4: revisions to the UTCS-1 traffic simulation model to enhance operational efficiency. Final report.

Federal Highway Administration, Washington, D.C.

Integrated traffic simulation model, phase, I. Volume 1: executive summary. Final report.

Federal Highway Administration, Washington, D.C.

Integrated traffic simulation model - phase I. Volume 2: design of the TRAF system (TOS). Final report.

Federal Highway Administration, Washington, D.C.

Development and testing of INTRAS, a microscopic freeway simulation model. Volume 4: program documentation. Final report.

Federal Highway Administration, Office of Research and Development, Washington, D.C.

Models of pedestrian crossing behavior at signalized intersections.

Texas Department of Transportation, Austin

Model tests and numerical simulation of ship capsizing in following seas : final report for period December 1976 - October 1979 /

"Report no. CG-D-08-81."

Development of techniques and data for evaluating ride quality. Volume III: guidelines for development of ride quality models and their applications. Final report.

Transportation Department, Research and Special Programs Directorate, Washington, D.C.

Development and testing of INTRAS, a microscopic freeway simulation model. Volume 1: program design, parameter calibration and freeway dynamics component development. Final report.

Federal Highway Administration, Office of Research and Development, Washington, D.C.

Improvement of mathematical models for vehicle handling. Volume 8: summary report. Final report.

National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, Washington, D.C.

Development and testing of INTRAS, a microscopic freeway simulation model. Volume 2: user's manual. Final report.

Federal Highway Administration, Office of Research and Development, Washington, D.C.

Improvement of mathematical models for vehicle handling. Volume 3: technical manual for the five-degree-of-freedom models. Final report.

National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, Washington, D.C.